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Shale Gas, Competitiveness, & New U.S. Chemical Investment: ACC Study
1. May 2013
SHALE GAS, COMPETITIVENESS,
AND NEW U.S. CHEMICAL
INVESTMENT: AN ANALYSIS
BASED ON ANNOUNCED
PROJECTS
The full ACC report is available http://chemistrytoenergy.com/shale-‐study.
2. Shale Boom Driving NewU.S. Investment
NorthAmericanCompetitiveAdvantageSustainedthrough2020
Data provided with
permission from
IHS Global Insight
Affordable, competitively
priced natural gas is driving
significant new capital
investment in the US
manufacturing sector
Long-‐term, sustained
opportunity in feedstock
supply and cost
51% of new, publicly-‐
announced chemical
industry investment is from
firms based outside the US
3. U.S. Shale Gas Chemical Investment
Manufacturing
renaissance due to
increased access to
natural gas from shale
Downstream partners are
more competitive than
ever
Nearly 100 projects
announced as of March 2013
$72 billion in potential
chemical industry capital
investments
$67 billion in additional
output by 2020
4.
5. US Chemical Industry Growth
Outpaces Western Europe
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
By 2020, US chemical
output is 21%-‐23% higher
than Western Europe.
Western
Europe
Chemicals excl. Pharmaceuticals -‐ Volume Index of Production (2007=100)
Sources: Eurostat, FRB, ACC analysis
U.S.
6. New ACC Study: US Chemical Industry
Output from Shale-‐Related Investments
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Billions of 2012 Dollars
By 2020, additional output from shale-‐
related chemical investments
generates $66.8 billion in additional
chemical industry shipments.
This is an ongoing, permanent upward
shift in the level of shipments.
7.
During Investment Phase 2010-‐2020*
(Temporary)
From Higher Chemical Industry Output
in 2020 (Permanent)
Total
Jobs
Average
Jobs Added
Per Year
Payroll
($ Billion)
Output
($ Billion)
Total Jobs
Payroll
($ Billion)
Output
($ Billion)
Direct
485,054
44,096 $30.7
$71.7
46,359 $4.9
$66.8
Indirect
258,039
23,458 $16.4
$55.9
264,111
$18.9
$100.4
Induced
442,233
40,233 $20.8
$66.2
226,272
$10.6
$33.9
Total
1,185,326
107,757 $67.9
$193.9
536,741
$34.4
$201.1
NewACC Study: Economic Contributions from
Announced Chemical Industry Investments in U.S.
*Because the investment occurs over a multi-year period, investment phase jobs should be interpreted as work-year
jobs. This is done to avoid double-counting the same job in multiple years.
8. $14B
in NEW, PERMANENT
federal, state, and local
tax revenue from
increased chemical
industry output
(by 2020)
$20B
in NEW federal, state, and
local tax revenue during
investment phase
(2010-‐2020)
New ACC Study: Tax
Revenue Benefits
9. Access & Infrastructure: Allow access to natural gas reserves on
government and private lands. Ensure reliable infrastructure to
transport supplies
Permitting: Timely approval of new construction permits for
projects and investments
State Regulations: Implement responsible state-‐based regulations
that avoid undue restrictions on natural gas supplies
Tax Treatment: Minimize cost and reduce complexity for
businesses. Maintain accelerated depreciation in tax policy
Policies Needed to Realize Potential