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Today’s webinar is the third in a series from IM_ Retail
CHANGE
THE GAME
Webinar 6
9 June
GROWTH
STRATEGY
Webinar 5
2 June – 11:00
RETAIL
CONSUMER
Webinar 4
26 May – 15:00
ONLINE
PRICING
Webinar 3
19 May – 11:00
Webinar 1
21 April
GROW
TOPLINE
Webinar 2
28 April
ENSURE
LIQUIDITY
Reach out for the opportunity to deep dive into a 1:1 session
Price and promotion plays have a direct impact on your profits
Note: Simplified retail P&L breakdown with thin margins 5
5% PRICE
REDUCTION
- 50%
2,000 2,000
7,000 7,000
1,000Profit
Before
10,000
After
500
COGS
SG&A
9,500
Without any increase in volume,
your profit will drop by
2,000 2,000
7,000
8,400
1,000
1,000
COGS
Profit
SG&A
Before
10,000
After
11,400
2,000 2,000
7,000 7,000
1,000 1,500
Before
COGS
After
Profit
SG&A
10,000
10,500
5% PRICE
REDUCTION
0%
With a 20% increase in volume,
your change in profit will be
5% PRICE
INCREASE
+ 50%
Without any increase in volume,
your profit will increase by
6Implement Consulting Group: Retail price and promotion framework, 2020
Profitability
Sales growth
Coherentprice and promotion strategy
Distinct strategic choices that cascade the commercial strategy
and guide everything related to pricing and promotion.
Capabilities
Do we have the right “people, organisation, competences, culture, leadership, systems, tools,
processes, governance and performance management” to succeed with our operation?
Customer
trust and loyalty
Price/value
perception
Contribution
margin targets
Competitive
price (re)actions
Customers’
willingness to pay
Commercial
strategy
Influencers
IMPLEMENT RETAIL PRICE
AND PROMOTION FRAMEWORK
Strategic objectives
PRODUCT
SEGMENTATION
PRICING
INTELLIGENCE
PROMOTIONAL
EFFECTIVENESS
C
C
C
C
8
• Objectives
• Driver analysis
• Product roles
• Dynamic segmentation
• Performance clusters
• Key value items
PRODUCT
SEGMENTATION
A dynamic productsegmentationis built on
strong categorymanagement and
segments productson strategic and tactical
roles.
9
Productroles and the drivers
of performance
…
• Based on the objectives in the
commercialstrategy, we should
break down the financial key
performanceindicators into their
underlying strategic, tactical and
external drivers.
• Understanding how our price and
promotionplays influence and are
influenced by the underlying drivers
is key to monitoring performance
and segmenting products into roles.
Establishing clear objectives for what we are trying to optimise and analysing
the underlying drivers – let’s monitor performance and define product roles
Contribution
margin
Strategic drivers
Tactical drivers
Price/promo plays
External drivers
Financial drivers
Realised
price
X
Revenue
–
Cost
=
Volume
Price
psychology
Competitive
price
Organic
Price
perception
Promo
expectations Marketing
Conversion TrafficXDiscountsNormal price –
Promotions
10
Key value item
analysis
Promotional
effect analysis
Conversion and
contribution
analysis
A dynamic product segmentation should assign strategic and tactical roles to every item
in the assortment based on the ability to influence performance drivers
Promouplift
1.
Low
3.
Promo
0.
No
2.
Base
Total traffic
Conversion
B. D.
A. C.
Contribution margin
Importance
KVI
Price sensitivity
Performanceclusters
and key value items
…
• Based on the underlying drivers of
our strategic objectives,we can
segmentproducts into distinct
clusters using advanced data
analytics and the organisational
intelligence.
• Core segments can be based on
traffic and promotional uplift,
conversionand contribution margin
or any other relevant set of relevant
indictors that influence your
objective.
12
• Core segmentation
• Key value items
• Fundamental
price plays
• Irrational consumers
• Pricing psychology
PRICING
INTELLIGENCE
Intelligent pricing requires a dynamic
productsegmentationand a choice
not to match competitors on every item.
13
Combining the performance clusters and key value segmentation in a core segmentation
enables us to activate the right products in different price and promotion plays
Key value
item analysis
Key value
items
Key value items
Price and assortment perception drivers
Competitive
matching
Promotional
effect
analysis
Promo-
reactive
traffic
Traffic
drivers
Volume
drivers
Key traffic
drivers
Key
category
drivers
High/low
pricing
High-
base
traffic
Category
destroyers
Conversion
drivers
Margin
drivers
Key
margin
drivers
Everyday low
pricing
No or low
traffic
Destructive
category
filler
Potential
conversion
drivers
Potential
margin
drivers
Margin
drivers
Psychological
pricing
Conversion
and contribution
analysis
Low conv.
+
Low margin
High conv.
+
Low margin
Low conv.
+
High margin
High conv.
+
High margin
PLAYSSEGMENTATIONPERFORMANCE CLUSTERS
Core segmentation,key value
items and price plays
…
• All segments can be assigned
(automated) price and promotion
plays
• Key value items drive price and
assortmentperception,so they must
be priced very competitively,
perhaps even at negative margins
• Non-key value items can be devoted
less price attention and follow other
price and promotionplays Conversion
B. D.
A. C.
Contribution margin
Promouplift
1.
Low
3.
Promo
0.
No
2.
Base
Total traffic
Importance
KVI
Price sensitivity
14
Remembering the power of a price increase: you should optimise your margin by
matching price plays to product segments and building margin on non-key value items
Intro Price and promotion plays End of life
FUNDAMENTAL PRICE PLAYS
Competitive matching
High/low
Everyday low
Psychological
Fundamentalprice plays
and price corridors
…
There are four fundamental price plays:
• KVI:competitive following
• Promo items: high/low pricing
• Non promo:everyday low pricing
• Low conversion: psychological
pricing
The (automated) execution of any price
play should be based on at least three
price corridors:
• Category price tiers
• Market price levels
• Unit economic thresholds
16
Options
Compromise Decoy
Startingpoint
Default Endowment
Context
Anchoring Sequencing
Psychology proposes that humans don’t like to do too much rational thinking:
online pricing is a perfect place to exploit this laziness
Psychologicalpricing
…
• Consumers have the feelof a
handful of price points (these are
your value items)
• For all other items, they will assess
cheap/expensive relative to
something else
• Deliberatelyworking with these
relative positions is what
psychologicalpricing is all about
18
PROMOTIONAL
EFFECTIVENESS
An effective promotiondelivers on a
specificsetof targets – driving traffic,
conversionand margin
• Promotions vs
marketing
• Promotion equation
• Promotion types
• Promotion drivers
• Product
segmentation
19
AWARENESS
ENGAGE/TRAFFIC
CONVERSION
FULFILMENT
AWARENESS
TRAFFIC
CONVERSION
BASKET SIZE
Promotional effectiveness is defined by the ability to drive and convert traffic
at the most optimal promotion price
PROMOTIONS MARKETINGVS
• Promotions are traffic builders
used to engagepotential customers
by matching their need with a
productperceived to be priced
correctly
• Promotions are good for converting
doubters who are not sure when
or where to buy
• Promotions are used to show big
discounts to cater for the huge
amount of disloyalcustomers
who are looking for a good bargain
(price hunters)
• SoMe
• TV
• Re-targeting
20
Promotional effectiveness is defined by the ability to drive and convert traffic
at the most optimal promotion price
Revenue
Traffic
Conversion
Basket size
THE EQUATION
• The promotiontype is selected
based on the purpose of the
promotion
• Each promotionmust have a traffic,
conversionor basket size target that
equals a promotionrevenue target
• Each promotionis evaluated against
the promotiontarget and the overall
performance
PROMOTION TYPES
1) Big savings
2) New product introductions
3) Limited editions
1) Browsing behaviour
2) Traffic originated from
3) Left the basket
1) Buy 2 – save xx amount
2) Complementary products/bundle
3) Others bought
21
Promotional effectiveness is defined by the ability to drive and convert traffic
at the most optimal promotion price
Traffic drivers
Low conversion and low contribution margin
Direct sales to alternative products with higher
margin
Volume drivers
High conversion and low contribution margin
Try to sell complementaryproducts to increase
basket size and margin
Key traffic drivers
Low conversion and high contribution margin
Use additional incentives to increase conversion
Key category drivers
High conversion and high contribution margin
Always make sure you have the right timing and that
products are available
PRODUCT SEGMENTATION
• The productsegmentationis the
core foundation for defining which
products must be promoted
• Each driver has its pros and cons,
and the purpose and promotion
drivers are correlated
PROMOTION PLAYS
22Implement Consulting Group: Retail price and promotion framework, 2020
Profitability
Sales growth
Coherentprice and promotion strategy
Distinct strategic choices that cascade the commercial strategy
and guide everything related to pricing and promotion.
Capabilities
Do we have the right “people, organisation, competences, culture, leadership, systems, tools,
processes, governance and performance management” to succeed with our operation?
Customer
trust and loyalty
Price/value
perception
Contribution
margin targets
Competitive
price (re)actions
Customers’
willingness to pay
Commercial
strategy
Influencers
IMPLEMENT RETAIL PRICE
AND PROMOTION FRAMEWORK
Strategic objectives
PRODUCT
SEGMENTATION
PRICING
INTELLIGENCE
PROMOTIONAL
EFFECTIVENESS
C
C
C
C
Note: Simplif ied P&L breakdown 23
HOW MIGHT WE
REALISE A 5% PRICE
INCREASE?
• Increase prices on non-key value items
• Use price psychology to influence more
profitable consumer choices
• Plan and execute effective promotions:
To reduce frequency and discount depth
+ 50%
2,000 2,000
7,000 7,000
1,000 1,500
Before
COGS
After
Profit
SG&A
10,000
10,500
Without any increase in volume,
your profit will increase by
5% PRICEINCREASE
24
So what should you be doing tomorrow …?
WHAT WILL A 5%
PRICE IMPROVEMENT
DO TO YOUR PROFITS?
Do the math and test which
products you can increase
without losing too much volume.
1 2 3
ANALYSE HISTORICAL
PROMOTIONAL
PERFORMANCE
What is the promotion uplift –
the overall performance vs
promotion performance?
MAKE TANGIBLE
TARGETS FOR YOUR
COMINGPROMOTIONS
Define your expected overall
target and your promotion share
– and remember to evaluate

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The retail and online pricing game

  • 1. 1
  • 2. 2 Today’s webinar is the third in a series from IM_ Retail CHANGE THE GAME Webinar 6 9 June GROWTH STRATEGY Webinar 5 2 June – 11:00 RETAIL CONSUMER Webinar 4 26 May – 15:00 ONLINE PRICING Webinar 3 19 May – 11:00 Webinar 1 21 April GROW TOPLINE Webinar 2 28 April ENSURE LIQUIDITY Reach out for the opportunity to deep dive into a 1:1 session
  • 3. Price and promotion plays have a direct impact on your profits Note: Simplified retail P&L breakdown with thin margins 5 5% PRICE REDUCTION - 50% 2,000 2,000 7,000 7,000 1,000Profit Before 10,000 After 500 COGS SG&A 9,500 Without any increase in volume, your profit will drop by 2,000 2,000 7,000 8,400 1,000 1,000 COGS Profit SG&A Before 10,000 After 11,400 2,000 2,000 7,000 7,000 1,000 1,500 Before COGS After Profit SG&A 10,000 10,500 5% PRICE REDUCTION 0% With a 20% increase in volume, your change in profit will be 5% PRICE INCREASE + 50% Without any increase in volume, your profit will increase by
  • 4. 6Implement Consulting Group: Retail price and promotion framework, 2020 Profitability Sales growth Coherentprice and promotion strategy Distinct strategic choices that cascade the commercial strategy and guide everything related to pricing and promotion. Capabilities Do we have the right “people, organisation, competences, culture, leadership, systems, tools, processes, governance and performance management” to succeed with our operation? Customer trust and loyalty Price/value perception Contribution margin targets Competitive price (re)actions Customers’ willingness to pay Commercial strategy Influencers IMPLEMENT RETAIL PRICE AND PROMOTION FRAMEWORK Strategic objectives PRODUCT SEGMENTATION PRICING INTELLIGENCE PROMOTIONAL EFFECTIVENESS C C C C
  • 5. 8 • Objectives • Driver analysis • Product roles • Dynamic segmentation • Performance clusters • Key value items PRODUCT SEGMENTATION A dynamic productsegmentationis built on strong categorymanagement and segments productson strategic and tactical roles.
  • 6. 9 Productroles and the drivers of performance … • Based on the objectives in the commercialstrategy, we should break down the financial key performanceindicators into their underlying strategic, tactical and external drivers. • Understanding how our price and promotionplays influence and are influenced by the underlying drivers is key to monitoring performance and segmenting products into roles. Establishing clear objectives for what we are trying to optimise and analysing the underlying drivers – let’s monitor performance and define product roles Contribution margin Strategic drivers Tactical drivers Price/promo plays External drivers Financial drivers Realised price X Revenue – Cost = Volume Price psychology Competitive price Organic Price perception Promo expectations Marketing Conversion TrafficXDiscountsNormal price – Promotions
  • 7. 10 Key value item analysis Promotional effect analysis Conversion and contribution analysis A dynamic product segmentation should assign strategic and tactical roles to every item in the assortment based on the ability to influence performance drivers Promouplift 1. Low 3. Promo 0. No 2. Base Total traffic Conversion B. D. A. C. Contribution margin Importance KVI Price sensitivity Performanceclusters and key value items … • Based on the underlying drivers of our strategic objectives,we can segmentproducts into distinct clusters using advanced data analytics and the organisational intelligence. • Core segments can be based on traffic and promotional uplift, conversionand contribution margin or any other relevant set of relevant indictors that influence your objective.
  • 8. 12 • Core segmentation • Key value items • Fundamental price plays • Irrational consumers • Pricing psychology PRICING INTELLIGENCE Intelligent pricing requires a dynamic productsegmentationand a choice not to match competitors on every item.
  • 9. 13 Combining the performance clusters and key value segmentation in a core segmentation enables us to activate the right products in different price and promotion plays Key value item analysis Key value items Key value items Price and assortment perception drivers Competitive matching Promotional effect analysis Promo- reactive traffic Traffic drivers Volume drivers Key traffic drivers Key category drivers High/low pricing High- base traffic Category destroyers Conversion drivers Margin drivers Key margin drivers Everyday low pricing No or low traffic Destructive category filler Potential conversion drivers Potential margin drivers Margin drivers Psychological pricing Conversion and contribution analysis Low conv. + Low margin High conv. + Low margin Low conv. + High margin High conv. + High margin PLAYSSEGMENTATIONPERFORMANCE CLUSTERS Core segmentation,key value items and price plays … • All segments can be assigned (automated) price and promotion plays • Key value items drive price and assortmentperception,so they must be priced very competitively, perhaps even at negative margins • Non-key value items can be devoted less price attention and follow other price and promotionplays Conversion B. D. A. C. Contribution margin Promouplift 1. Low 3. Promo 0. No 2. Base Total traffic Importance KVI Price sensitivity
  • 10. 14 Remembering the power of a price increase: you should optimise your margin by matching price plays to product segments and building margin on non-key value items Intro Price and promotion plays End of life FUNDAMENTAL PRICE PLAYS Competitive matching High/low Everyday low Psychological Fundamentalprice plays and price corridors … There are four fundamental price plays: • KVI:competitive following • Promo items: high/low pricing • Non promo:everyday low pricing • Low conversion: psychological pricing The (automated) execution of any price play should be based on at least three price corridors: • Category price tiers • Market price levels • Unit economic thresholds
  • 11. 16 Options Compromise Decoy Startingpoint Default Endowment Context Anchoring Sequencing Psychology proposes that humans don’t like to do too much rational thinking: online pricing is a perfect place to exploit this laziness Psychologicalpricing … • Consumers have the feelof a handful of price points (these are your value items) • For all other items, they will assess cheap/expensive relative to something else • Deliberatelyworking with these relative positions is what psychologicalpricing is all about
  • 12. 18 PROMOTIONAL EFFECTIVENESS An effective promotiondelivers on a specificsetof targets – driving traffic, conversionand margin • Promotions vs marketing • Promotion equation • Promotion types • Promotion drivers • Product segmentation
  • 13. 19 AWARENESS ENGAGE/TRAFFIC CONVERSION FULFILMENT AWARENESS TRAFFIC CONVERSION BASKET SIZE Promotional effectiveness is defined by the ability to drive and convert traffic at the most optimal promotion price PROMOTIONS MARKETINGVS • Promotions are traffic builders used to engagepotential customers by matching their need with a productperceived to be priced correctly • Promotions are good for converting doubters who are not sure when or where to buy • Promotions are used to show big discounts to cater for the huge amount of disloyalcustomers who are looking for a good bargain (price hunters) • SoMe • TV • Re-targeting
  • 14. 20 Promotional effectiveness is defined by the ability to drive and convert traffic at the most optimal promotion price Revenue Traffic Conversion Basket size THE EQUATION • The promotiontype is selected based on the purpose of the promotion • Each promotionmust have a traffic, conversionor basket size target that equals a promotionrevenue target • Each promotionis evaluated against the promotiontarget and the overall performance PROMOTION TYPES 1) Big savings 2) New product introductions 3) Limited editions 1) Browsing behaviour 2) Traffic originated from 3) Left the basket 1) Buy 2 – save xx amount 2) Complementary products/bundle 3) Others bought
  • 15. 21 Promotional effectiveness is defined by the ability to drive and convert traffic at the most optimal promotion price Traffic drivers Low conversion and low contribution margin Direct sales to alternative products with higher margin Volume drivers High conversion and low contribution margin Try to sell complementaryproducts to increase basket size and margin Key traffic drivers Low conversion and high contribution margin Use additional incentives to increase conversion Key category drivers High conversion and high contribution margin Always make sure you have the right timing and that products are available PRODUCT SEGMENTATION • The productsegmentationis the core foundation for defining which products must be promoted • Each driver has its pros and cons, and the purpose and promotion drivers are correlated PROMOTION PLAYS
  • 16. 22Implement Consulting Group: Retail price and promotion framework, 2020 Profitability Sales growth Coherentprice and promotion strategy Distinct strategic choices that cascade the commercial strategy and guide everything related to pricing and promotion. Capabilities Do we have the right “people, organisation, competences, culture, leadership, systems, tools, processes, governance and performance management” to succeed with our operation? Customer trust and loyalty Price/value perception Contribution margin targets Competitive price (re)actions Customers’ willingness to pay Commercial strategy Influencers IMPLEMENT RETAIL PRICE AND PROMOTION FRAMEWORK Strategic objectives PRODUCT SEGMENTATION PRICING INTELLIGENCE PROMOTIONAL EFFECTIVENESS C C C C
  • 17. Note: Simplif ied P&L breakdown 23 HOW MIGHT WE REALISE A 5% PRICE INCREASE? • Increase prices on non-key value items • Use price psychology to influence more profitable consumer choices • Plan and execute effective promotions: To reduce frequency and discount depth + 50% 2,000 2,000 7,000 7,000 1,000 1,500 Before COGS After Profit SG&A 10,000 10,500 Without any increase in volume, your profit will increase by 5% PRICEINCREASE
  • 18. 24 So what should you be doing tomorrow …? WHAT WILL A 5% PRICE IMPROVEMENT DO TO YOUR PROFITS? Do the math and test which products you can increase without losing too much volume. 1 2 3 ANALYSE HISTORICAL PROMOTIONAL PERFORMANCE What is the promotion uplift – the overall performance vs promotion performance? MAKE TANGIBLE TARGETS FOR YOUR COMINGPROMOTIONS Define your expected overall target and your promotion share – and remember to evaluate