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The Publishers Are Dead?! Lessons
  From Digital Game Distribution

                  Joost Rietveld
                   @gjrietveld




08/06/2012   Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
08/06/2012   Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
What is the impact of digital distribution
channels on effective commercialization
strategies of independent game developers?


CONTEXT
• Total market of digital games estimated at $20 billion for 2011 (IDG, 2011)
• Barriers to market eroded
• Lower development costs due to smaller project scope on digital channels
• Publishers are demanding both from monetary and creative perspective
• … Kickstarter!




 08/06/2012               Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
“We don’t work with publishers because they
                                 cannot guarantee success at all. We can consider it,
                                 but then they have to come with a very good deal!”
                                    – Indie developer in recent email conversation




              “The publisher is dead!”
                           – http://whoneedschillingo.com/




“We do not write a marketing plan,
    marketing doesn’t work.”
 – Indie developer in recent email conversation



08/06/2012                Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
125,802 games on the iOS Appstore
 – 148apps.biz

                         85% of all games on iOS sell no more than 1,500 units
                                                                               – Simon Careless (Gamasutra)


                "I think that is ending now because if you have a million apps
                  in an app store, just because your app is in an app store, it
                doesn't mean it's going to be discovered. So you've got issues
                         about how you're going to bring traffic to it."
                 - Trip Hawkins (Founder EA, now CEO indie studio Digital Chocolate




59% of all Apps don’t break even, 68% of all Apps earn less than $5,000
                                              – App Promo




                                    Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost
   08/06/2012
                                                    Rietveld
Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost
08/06/2012
                             Rietveld
10000

                                                                                                                            Units comparison (LOG)
                                                                                                                           Units Strategic alliance             Units 'Artist-led'


                         platform feature


              1000
Units sold




                                                                     price drop


               100


                                 us release




                10
                     1
                         4
                             7
                                 10
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                                                25
                                                     28
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                                                                                                       73
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                                                                                                                                                              115
                                                                                                                                                                    118
                                                                                                                                                                    121
                                                                                                                                                                          124
                                                                                    Days from release
               08/06/2012                                           Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
indie strategy                       partnering strategy
units sold                                   20,961                                    135,288
revenue generated (€)                        88,347                                    110,363
publisher fee (€)                               N/A                                     14,847
market performance                       Bottom 60%                                     Top 5%
meta score (0-100)                             79%                                        86%




  08/06/2012            Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
reputation    marketing                         network               portfolio




 08/06/2012       Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
low reputation                                       high reputation
low complementarities    Don’t even think about it, look                   Invest in complementarities
                             for reputable partner                                    through in-house
                            (95% of all developers)                       development or acquisitions
                                                                                                (Rovio)
high complementarities      Focus on building large                      Commercialize independently,
                          portfolio through contracts                       exploit complementarities
                            with other developers                                    through portfolio
                                   (Chillingo)                                                (Zynga)




                              Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost
 08/06/2012
                                              Rietveld
£20,000

             £18,000

             £16,000

             £14,000

             £12,000

             £10,000

              £8,000

              £6,000

              £4,000

              £2,000

                 £0
                       Independent strategy(100%)                  Partnering strategy (70%)




08/06/2012                 Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
@gjrietveld
             www.strategyguide.nl




08/06/2012    Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld

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The publishers are dead?! Lessons from digital game distribution

  • 1. The Publishers Are Dead?! Lessons From Digital Game Distribution Joost Rietveld @gjrietveld 08/06/2012 Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
  • 2. 08/06/2012 Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
  • 3. What is the impact of digital distribution channels on effective commercialization strategies of independent game developers? CONTEXT • Total market of digital games estimated at $20 billion for 2011 (IDG, 2011) • Barriers to market eroded • Lower development costs due to smaller project scope on digital channels • Publishers are demanding both from monetary and creative perspective • … Kickstarter! 08/06/2012 Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
  • 4. “We don’t work with publishers because they cannot guarantee success at all. We can consider it, but then they have to come with a very good deal!” – Indie developer in recent email conversation “The publisher is dead!” – http://whoneedschillingo.com/ “We do not write a marketing plan, marketing doesn’t work.” – Indie developer in recent email conversation 08/06/2012 Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
  • 5. 125,802 games on the iOS Appstore – 148apps.biz 85% of all games on iOS sell no more than 1,500 units – Simon Careless (Gamasutra) "I think that is ending now because if you have a million apps in an app store, just because your app is in an app store, it doesn't mean it's going to be discovered. So you've got issues about how you're going to bring traffic to it." - Trip Hawkins (Founder EA, now CEO indie studio Digital Chocolate 59% of all Apps don’t break even, 68% of all Apps earn less than $5,000 – App Promo Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost 08/06/2012 Rietveld
  • 6. Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost 08/06/2012 Rietveld
  • 7. 10000 Units comparison (LOG) Units Strategic alliance Units 'Artist-led' platform feature 1000 Units sold price drop 100 us release 10 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 100 103 106 109 112 115 118 121 124 Days from release 08/06/2012 Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
  • 8. indie strategy partnering strategy units sold 20,961 135,288 revenue generated (€) 88,347 110,363 publisher fee (€) N/A 14,847 market performance Bottom 60% Top 5% meta score (0-100) 79% 86% 08/06/2012 Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
  • 9. reputation marketing network portfolio 08/06/2012 Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
  • 10. low reputation high reputation low complementarities Don’t even think about it, look Invest in complementarities for reputable partner through in-house (95% of all developers) development or acquisitions (Rovio) high complementarities Focus on building large Commercialize independently, portfolio through contracts exploit complementarities with other developers through portfolio (Chillingo) (Zynga) Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost 08/06/2012 Rietveld
  • 11. £20,000 £18,000 £16,000 £14,000 £12,000 £10,000 £8,000 £6,000 £4,000 £2,000 £0 Independent strategy(100%) Partnering strategy (70%) 08/06/2012 Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld
  • 12. @gjrietveld www.strategyguide.nl 08/06/2012 Digital Shoreditch | Play Summit | Joost Rietveld