RPCA-PPT-Avril_2022-Résultats définitifs_situation des marchés régionaux.pptx
1. RPCA, April 2022
RESTRICTED MEETING
2021/2022 season final
figures and the regional
market situation
by Sy Martial, TRAORE, CILSS
2. Plan
• Background
• 2021/2022 final cereal production figures
• Final cereal food balance for 2021/2022
• 2021/2022 roots and tubers final production
figures
• 2021/2022 leguminous final production figures
• Pastoral situation
• Regional markets situation
• Recommendations
3. Background
• The production figures for all the countries and all the main crops have
been presented and validated during the regional PREGEC meeting, in
Dakar, Senegal (28 – 30 march, 2022);
• Representing from all countries have taken part of the regional PREGEC
meeting ;
• 9 Countries have really conducted crop assessment by sample survey :
Cabo-Verde; Benin, Burkina Faso, Gambia, Niger, Nigeria, Mali, Togo,
Senegal, Chad;
• 7 Countries have made an estimation based on season monitoring and
historical data : Côte d’Ivoire, Liberia, Bissau-Guinea, Guinea; Ghana;
Mauritania, Sierra Leone
• Forage balance sheet improvement but only : Burkina, Mauritania, Niger,
Chad, Senegal
• Progess in food balance sheet : Burkina Faso, Togo, Guinea and Niger.
Mali, Senegal, Mauritania and Gambia
4. 2021/2022 Final cereal production figures
73million mT, increased by -2.4% vs last year and 2.7% vs average 5years
60 000 000
62 000 000
64 000 000
66 000 000
68 000 000
70 000 000
72 000 000
74 000 000
76 000 000
2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020 2020-2021 2021-2022
PRODUCTION
TONNES)
SEASONS
6. 2021/2022 final cereal production figures
Production per Countries and zones
Countries Productions Vs 2019/2020 Var Avg 5yrs
Burkina Faso 4 661 140 -10,0% -3%
Cap Vert 209 -76%
Gambie 104 040 -3,4% -13%
Guinée Bissau 279 921 8,7% 21%
Mali 8 800 956 -15,0% -10%
Mauritanie 467 595 15,5% 25%
Niger 3 503 224 -39% -39%
Sénégal 3 480 394 -4,4% 25%
Tchad 2 620 315 -9,1% -9%
SAHEL 23 917 794 -16% -11%
7. 2021/2022 final cereal production figures
Production per countries and zones
Countries Productions Vs 2019/2020 Var Avg 5yrs
Bénin 2 308 913 6% 11%
Côte d'Ivoire 2 956 955 5% -6%
Guinée 4 869 446 4% 19%
Ghana 5 309 115 16% 44%
Liberia 255 588 -5% 22%
Nigeria 29 877 835 2% 5%
Sierra Leone 2 121 560 80% 62%
Togo 1 403 573 4% 6%
Costal countries 49 102 985 6% 11%
8. 2021/2022 final cereal production figures
Production per countries and zones
Zones Productions Var20/21 VarMoy5A
UEMOA 27 267 640 -13% -9%
ECOWAS 69 805 433 -2% 3%
CILSS 35 329 245 -10% -6%
Eastern basin 38 310 287 -4% -2%
Central basin 23 004 304 -5% 1%
Western basin 11 578 752 10% 27%
9. 2021/2022 final cereal production figures
Cereal production per head
Countries
2021/2022
(kg/head/year)
Var 2020/2021 (%) Var 5 ys Average (%)
Burkina Faso 218 -5% -7%
Cap Vert* -
Gambie 45 -10% -43%
Guinée Bissau 131 7% 16%
Mali 449 -11% -3%
Mauritanie 111 -1% -29%
Niger 193 -20% -14%
Sénégal 201 -1% 31%
Tchad 165 -4% -9%
SAHEL 235 -10% -6%
10. 2021/2022 final cereal production figures
Cereal production per head
Countries 2021/2022
(kg/head/year)
Var 2020/2021 (%) Var 5 ys Average (%)
Bénin 183 7% 13%
Côte d'Ivoire 110 2% -14%
Guinée 370 15% 13%
Ghana 148 3% 22%
Liberia 49 -5% -49%
Nigeria 141 1% 10%
Sierra Léone 266 94% 78%
Togo 174 0% -4%
Costal Countries 152 5% 3%
ALL Zone 174 -1% 0%
13. Roots and Tubers production final figure (2021/2022)
Crops
Production
Million mT
Var. 2020/2021
(%)
Var. Average 5yrs (%)
Cassava 103 373 656 4,9% 9,9%
Yam 81 632 905 6,7% 12,5%
Sweet potato 6 377 259 6,0% 13,8%
Irish potato 2 133 737 3,3% 10,5%
Coco yam 10 324 814 0,3% 8,9%
Total 203 842 372 5,4% 11,0%
203 854 372; 5% VS 2020/2021 et 11% vs Ag5ys
14. Leguminous and oil seeds final production figure
(2021/2022)
Crops
Production
Million mT
Var. 2020/2021 (%)
Var. Average 5yrs
(%)
Ground nut 10 616 714 -1,0% 9,8%
Cowpea 7 594 694 -10,6% -5,0%
Sesame 1 136 699 -14,9% 1,1%
Cotton 3 230 678 24,6% 15,8%
Soyabean 1 970 035 6,7% 31,8%
Bambara nut 185 274 -21,9% -1,9%
Total 25 364 351 0,5% 9,0%
15. Other productions
Crop Production Var. 2020/2021 (%)
Var. Average 5yrs
(%)
Cacao 4 094 554 16,1% 22,2%
Coffee 310 481 -6,7% 11,3%
Rubber 1 374 007 12,4% 46,6%
Cashew nut 1 747 839 8,8% 24,7%
Palm Oil 6 954 239 28,5% -11,6%
Plantain 14 534 701 5,8% 29,2%
16. Pastoral situation
• Despite the relatively average fodder production this year at the end of the
rainy season;
• Fodder deficit exacerbated by bush fires and civil insecurity limit access to
pasture;
• Cross-border transhumance is limited or prohibited by some host countries
• An early pastoral lean season with abnormal movements and
concentrations of livestock in secure areas
Biomass production in kg
of dry matter per hectare
(Kg.MS/ha) octobre 2021
17. Regional markets situations
• Global cereal production down by 2% (Vs 2020) -16% for
Sahelian countries;
• A relatively lower than usual level of cereal carryover stocks;
• The persistence of inflation in several countries in the region,
which is currently spreading to all countries;
• A deteriorating security situation that has resulted in over 5 million
IDPs in the region;
• A rather complicated regional political situation;
• An already very difficult food and nutrition situation: 27 million in
crisis
• An exacerbation of road congestion;
• A 2022/2023 horizon that looks even more difficult in view of the
war in Ukraine
18. Regional markets situations
Cereal price
41 : 46%
Maize
32 : 36%
Millet
33 : 37%
Sorghum
16 : 21%
Rice local
15 : 19%
Rice imp.
19 : 27%
Wheat
Overall increase in cereal prices (33 : 37%),
Important increase vs November 21 for all the crop
20. Regional markets situations
Livestock prices variations : Jan - Feb vs average 5years
29%
-2%
17%
33%
12%
27%
2%
20%
14%14%
25%
6%
23%
34%
11%
26%
-1%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
BF ML MR NE SN TD BF ML MR NE SN TD BF ML MR NE SN TD NE ML
Cattle Sheep Goat Camel
21. Recommendations
To CILSS, ECOWAS and UEMOA:
Pursue negotiations that should lead very quickly to the suspension of the embargo
on Mali in specific areas related to trade in food products with other countries in the
Community area;
Continue to advocate for the implementation by States of vigorous political measures
to ensure compliance with Community provisions on the free movement of goods
and persons
Continue to advocate with governments for the immediate suspension of border
closure measures and the reduction of road harassment linked to the
strengthening of security arrangements in certain States
Strengthen advocacy with governments for the gradual lifting of measures
restricting or prohibiting cross-border transhumance, in compliance with
Community provisions on pastoral mobilitý
Take steps to facilitate the supply of agricultural inputs, particularly fertilizer, to
producers in order to strengthen agricultural production in the 2022/2023 season
22. Recommendations
To the States
Accelerate financial mobilisation for the implementation of response plans for
vulnerable populations severely affected by the multifactorial food and nutrition
crises;
Release the border closure decisions imposed by the anti-covid-19 measures
in order to facilitate the trade flow of food products between the States of the
region
Take vigorous policy measures to reduce barriers, harassment and other forms
of restriction to the free movement of goods and services within and between
countries;
Implement adequate policy and financial measures aimed at mitigating the
effects of inflation and price hikes on the access of the most vulnerable
households to food;
Activate bilateral cooperation mechanisms for cross-border transhumance and
support pastoral organisations in the supply of livestock feed to mitigate the
consequences of the early pastoral hunger gap
23. Recommendations
For the attention of the partners:
Support states' efforts to implement national
response plans;
Support national and regional initiatives in
capacity building of food and nutrition securitý
information systems.