Ponencia "How should the sustainability of the location of dry ports be measured?" en la European Transport Conference 2015

1. Aplicación de un modelo basado en el uso de metodología DELPHI y Análisis Multicriterio
para la evaluación de la calidad de la localización de los Puertos Secos
Santander
Junio de 2014
HOW SHOULD THE SUSTAINABILITY OF THE
LOCATION OF DRY PORTS BE MEASURED?
Samir Awad Núñez
Nicoletta González Cancelas
Francisco Soler Flores
Alberto Camarero Orive
Universidad Politécnica de Madrid September 28, 2015

2. RESEARCH TEAM
• PRESENTER
Samir Awad Núñez
MSc Civil Engineering, PhD Candidate
• OTHER TEAM MEMBERS
Dr. Nicoletta González Cancelas
PhD Civil Engineering, University Assistant Lecturer
Dr. Francisco Soler Flores
PhD Computer Science-Artificial Intelligence and MSc Mathematics,
Part-time Assistant Professor
Dr. Alberto Camarero Orive
PhD Civil Engineering and BSc Economics and Business Administration,
University Lecturer
2

3. INTRODUCTION
3
Decentralized
production and
consumption centers
Recent tendency to
minimize stocks
Importance
of maritime
transport
GLOBAL ECONOMIC STRUCTURE

4. INTRODUCTION
4
Congestion in port operations
and routes serving terminals
Lack of open space in port areas
Environmental impact on the
coast
GROWING IMPORTANCE OF PORTS AND THEIR EFFECTS

5. WHY AND HOW DRY PORTS?
5
Sustainability of
supply chain
Sustainability of
the location

6. OBJECTIVE
Main objective: to understand the variables influencing
the sustainability of dry port location and how this
sustainability can be evaluated
Task: identify the existing relationships
between the variables
Task: establish a methodology to
measure and compare the
sustainability of each location
Task: identify the set of variables
Task: build a database of relevant
geographic information
6

7. METHODOLOGY
7

8. METHODOLOGY
8

9. LOGISTICS AND DRY
PORTS
LAND USE
PLANNING
METHODOLOGIES
INDUSTRIAL
ALLOCATION
THEORIES
LITERATURE REVIEW
9
RESEARCH

10. SET OF VARIABLES
10
CATEGORY
FACTOR
VARIABLE
VARIABLES
NOT
CONSIDERED

11. ENVIRONMETAL FACTORS
11
FACTOR VARIABLE CODE VARIABLE KIND
Impact on the natural
environment
DNS Distance to natural spaces Benefit
CNE
Connectivity to natural
environment
Benefit
NIS Number of isolated spaces Cost
DFA Density of the facility area Benefit
Impact on the urban
environment
DUS Distance to urban spaces Benefit
CUE
Connectivity to urban
environment
Cost
Hydrology
DSW Distance to surface water Benefit
FL Flooding level Benefit
GP Groundwater presence Benefit

12. ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL FACTORS
12
FACTOR VARIABLE CODE VARIABLE KIND
Land price LP Land price Cost
Potential growth in
demand
IPI Industrial Production Index Benefit
GDP Gross Domestic Product Benefit
ER Employment rate Cost
Hosting municipality
range
PL Population level Benefit
PD Population density Cost

13. ACCESSIBILITY FACTORS
13
FACTOR VARIABLE CODE VARIABLE KIND
Accessibility to the rail
network
NRA Number of railway accesses Benefit
IRE
Importance of the railway
environment
Benefit
CD Centrality of demand Benefit
QR Quality of the railway Benefit
Accessibility to high
capacity roads network
DAHCN
Direct access to the high capacity
network
Benefit
DHCR Distance to a high capacity road Cost
NL Number of lanes Benefit
Accessibility to airports DA Distance to an airport Cost
Accessibility to ports DP Ports nearer than 400 Km Benefit
Accessibility to supplies
and services
CSS Existence of supplies and services Benefit

14. LOCATION FACTORS
14
FACTOR VARIABLE CODE VARIABLE KIND
Weather
CV Climatic variety Benefit
RL Rainfall level Cost
WF Winter frosts Benefit
Orography
TC Terrain curl Benefit
SL Slope Cost
Geology
TC Terrain curl Benefit
CS Compressive strength Benefit
Relation with other
logistics platforms
NNLP Number of nearby logistic platforms Cost
NMDLP
Number of middle-distance logistic
platforms
Benefit
BICA
Belonging to an industrially
consolidated area
Benefit
Integration into the main
supply chain infrastructures
DPFC
Distance to a principal freight
corridor
Cost
Potential optimization
of the modal shift
DPPC
Distance to a principal passenger
corridor
Benefit
NPT Number of passenger trips Cost
NRADT Nearest roads' ADT Cost
DTENT
Distance to the TEN-T Core Network
Corridors
Benefit

15. 15

16. Valores Category
Code land_price acc_air acc_port acc_sup sup_cha
Factor Land Price
Accessibility to
airports
Accessibility to
ports
Accessibility to
supplies and
services
Integration into
the main supply
chain
infrastructures
Variable
Distance to
natural spaces
Connectivity on
natural
environment
Number of
isolated spaces
Density of the
facility area
Distance to
urban spaces
Connectivity on
urban
environment
Distance to
surface water
Flooding level
Groundwater
presence
Land price
Industrail
production
index
Gross Domestic
Product
Unemployment
rate
Population level
Population
density
Numebr of
railways access
Importance of
the railway
environment
Centrality of
demand
Quality of the
railway
Direct access to
the high capacity
network
Distance to a
high capacity
road
Number of lanes
Distance to an
airport
Number of ports
nearer than 400
Km
Currency of
Supplies and
services
Climatic variety Rainfall level Winter frosts Terrain curl Slope Excavability
Compressive
strength
Number of near
logistic
platforms
Number of
middle-distance
logistic
platforms
Belonging to and
industrial
consolidated
area
Distance to a
principal freight
corridor
Distance to a
principal
passengers
corridor
Number of
passengers trips
Nearest roads'
ADT
Distance to the
TEN-TCore
Network
Corridors
Code DNS CNE NIS DFA DUS CUE DSW FL GP LP IPI GDP EL PL PD NRA IRE CD QR DAHCN DHCR NL DA DP CSS CV RL WF TC SL EX CS NNLP NMDLP BICA DPFC DPPC NPT NRADT DTENT
Type Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Profit Cost Profit Profit Profit Profit Profit Cost Profit Cost Profit Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Cost Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Profit Cost Cost Profit
1,65 0,00 10,00 10,00 0,25 1,00 0,38 10,00 0,00 263,00 91,71 16666,00 36,52 41827,00 55,82 12,00 6,00 4,00 10,00 0,00 9,00 4,00 60,10 7,00 10,00 5,00 551,00 10,00 10,00 0,00 6,39 1950,00 2,00 28,00 5,00 98,20 14,00 312,00 3891,00 10,00
1,00 0,00 2,00 10,00 0,00 6,00 1,00 0,00 0,00 227,10 101,97 24732,00 23,69 1045,00 38,59 3,00 2,00 3,00 10,00 5,00 15,00 4,00 36,70 7,00 10,00 0,00 313,00 10,00 10,00 0,00 0,43 800,00 5,00 59,00 10,00 0,00 71,00 1736,00 20460,00 5,00
2,50 0,00 3,00 0,00 0,00 2,00 0,79 5,00 0,00 176,80 87,77 17780,00 23,01 35146,00 1785,87 8,00 4,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 0,00 6,00 33,30 2,00 10,00 0,00 447,00 10,00 10,00 2,00 0,00 700,00 27,00 100,00 10,00 0,00 36,00 983,00 16094,00 10,00
11,00 0,00 4,00 0,00 0,20 1,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 42,50 97,56 21879,00 26,48 4610,00 54,10 10,00 6,00 4,00 10,00 5,00 16,00 4,00 36,70 7,00 10,00 0,00 774,70 0,00 2,00 3,00 8,26 2600,00 4,00 70,00 5,00 25,60 53,00 625,00 5871,00 10,00
6,40 0,00 4,00 10,00 0,20 0,50 0,00 10,00 10,00 42,50 97,56 21879,00 26,48 2130,00 88,27 8,00 6,00 3,00 5,00 5,00 5,00 4,00 124,00 8,00 10,00 5,00 668,00 10,00 2,00 3,00 0,87 900,00 10,00 70,00 5,00 131,00 27,00 251,00 11879,00 5,00
2,30 0,00 2,00 10,00 0,00 4,00 2,30 10,00 0,00 48,80 97,56 21879,00 18,11 179906,00 1680,42 12,00 2,00 7,00 10,00 10,00 0,00 4,00 1,40 5,00 10,00 0,00 555,00 0,00 10,00 1,00 0,43 800,00 7,00 100,00 10,00 0,00 63,00 611,00 22388,00 0,00
2,50 0,00 3,00 10,00 0,35 2,00 2,35 0,00 0,00 62,10 97,56 21879,00 23,26 6472,00 454,18 5,00 8,00 4,00 10,00 5,00 4,00 4,00 52,50 5,00 10,00 0,00 455,00 0,00 10,00 0,00 0,00 700,00 8,00 60,00 5,00 0,00 116,00 1319,00 11287,00 10,00
0,90 0,00 3,00 10,00 0,61 1,00 0,90 10,00 10,00 82,10 89,81 20399,00 21,86 19604,00 98,27 5,00 4,00 7,00 5,00 0,00 50,00 0,00 120,00 7,00 10,00 10,00 1084,00 10,00 2,00 2,00 0,43 800,00 2,00 50,00 5,00 225,00 33,00 384,00 942,00 10,00
4,40 0,00 12,00 10,00 0,20 3,00 4,57 0,00 0,00 425,80 86,92 28915,00 20,43 91832,00 7652,67 40,00 10,00 7,00 10,00 10,00 0,00 10,00 7,70 2,00 10,00 0,00 436,00 10,00 10,00 0,00 10,00 3000,00 12,00 120,00 10,00 0,00 54,00 800,00 23932,00 10,00
7,00 0,00 14,00 10,00 0,00 4,00 0,00 5,00 0,00 425,80 86,92 28915,00 20,43 3233527,00 5337,88 50,00 10,00 22,00 10,00 10,00 0,00 10,00 16,00 2,00 10,00 0,00 436,00 10,00 10,00 0,00 8,26 2600,00 7,00 120,00 10,00 0,00 83,00 2905,00 56638,00 10,00
11 es10; 0 es 0 - 5 ó más es 0; 1 es10- 1 es 10; 0 es0 3 ó máses 0; 0 es 105es10; 0 es 0 - - 0 es 10; 500 es 0 102 es 10; 80 es 0 0 es 0; 28915es108 es 10; 36.52es 0 35000 ó máses 10;0 es 01000 ó más es 0; 0 es 100 es 0; 10ó más es 10- - - - 15 ó más es 0; 0 es104 ó más es 10; 0es 050 ó más es 0; 0 es 08es10; 0 es 0 - - 1000ó más es 0; 0es 10- - 4 es 0; 0 es 10 - 3000 es 10; 0 es 0 10 ó más es 0; 0 es 10100 ó más es 10; 0es 0- 100 ó más es 0;0es 10100ó más es 0;0 es 100es 10; 2905 es 10100000 es 0; 0 es 10-
CASik Category
Code land_price acc_air acc_port acc_sup sup_cha
Factor Land Price
Accessibility to
airports
Accessibility to
ports
Accessibility to
supplies and
services
Integration into
the main supply
chain
infrastructures
Variable
Distance to
natural spaces
Connectivity on
natural
environment
Number of
isolated spaces
Density of the
facility area
Distance to
urban spaces
Connectivity on
urban
environment
Distance to
surface water
Flooding level
Groundwater
presence
Land price
Industrail
production
index
Gross Domestic
Product
Unemployment
rate
Population level
Population
density
Numebr of
railways access
Importance of
the railway
environment
Centrality of
demand
Quality of the
railway
Direct access to
the high capacity
network
Distance to a
high capacity
road
Number of lanes
Distance to an
airport
Number of ports
nearer than 400
Km
Currency of
Supplies and
services
Climatic variety Rainfall level Winter frosts Terrain curl Slope Excavability
Compressive
strength
Number of near
logistic
platforms
Number of
middle-distance
logistic
platforms
Belonging to and
industrial
consolidated
area
Distance to a
principal freight
corridor
Distance to a
principal
passengers
corridor
Number of
passengers trips
Nearest roads'
ADT
Distance to the
TEN-TCore
Network
Corridors
Code DNS CNE NIS DFA DUS CUE DSW FL GP LP IPI GDP EL PL PD NRA IRE CD QR DAHCN DHCR NL DA DP CSS CV RL WF TC SL EX CS NNLP NMDLP BICA DPFC DPPC NPT NRADT DTENT
Type Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Profit Cost Profit Profit Profit Profit Profit Cost Profit Cost Profit Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Cost Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Profit Cost Cost Profit
1,50 0,00 0,00 10 2,50 6,67 0,76 10 0 4,74 5,32 5,76 0,00 10 9,44 10,00 6,00 4,00 10,00 0,00 4,00 10,00 0,00 8,75 10,00 5,00 4,49 10,00 10,00 10,00 6,39 6,50 8,00 2,80 5,00 1,00 8,60 8,93 9,61 10,00
0,91 0,00 7,50 10 0,00 0,00 2,00 0 0 5,46 9,98 8,55 4,50 0 9,61 3,00 2,00 3,00 10,00 5,00 0,00 10,00 2,66 8,75 10,00 0,00 6,87 10,00 10,00 10,00 0,43 2,67 5,00 5,90 10,00 7,00 2,90 4,02 7,95 5,00
2,27 0,00 5,00 0 0,00 3,33 1,58 5 0 6,46 3,53 6,15 4,74 10 0,00 8,00 4,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 3,34 2,50 10,00 0,00 5,53 10,00 10,00 5,00 0,00 2,33 0,00 10,00 10,00 8,00 6,40 6,62 8,39 10,00
10,00 0,00 2,50 0 2,00 6,67 0,00 0 0 9,15 7,98 7,57 3,52 1 9,46 10,00 6,00 4,00 10,00 5,00 0,00 10,00 2,66 8,75 10,00 0,00 2,25 0,00 2,00 2,50 8,26 8,67 6,00 7,00 5,00 2,00 4,70 7,85 9,41 10,00
5,82 0,00 2,50 10 2,00 8,33 0,00 10 10 9,15 7,98 7,57 3,52 1 9,12 8,00 6,00 3,00 5,00 5,00 6,67 10,00 0,00 10,00 10,00 5,00 3,32 10,00 2,00 2,50 0,87 3,00 0,00 7,00 5,00 0,00 7,30 9,14 8,81 5,00
2,09 0,00 7,50 10 0,00 0,00 4,60 10 0 9,02 7,98 7,57 6,46 10 0,00 10,00 2,00 7,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 9,72 6,25 10,00 0,00 4,45 0,00 10,00 7,50 0,43 2,67 3,00 10,00 10,00 6,00 3,70 7,90 7,76 0,00
2,27 0,00 5,00 10 3,50 3,33 4,70 0 0 8,76 7,98 7,57 4,65 2 5,46 5,00 8,00 4,00 10,00 5,00 7,33 10,00 0,00 6,25 10,00 0,00 5,45 0,00 10,00 10,00 0,00 2,33 2,00 6,00 5,00 5,00 0,00 5,46 8,87 10,00
0,82 0,00 5,00 10 6,10 6,67 1,80 10 10 8,36 4,46 7,05 5,14 6 9,02 5,00 4,00 7,00 5,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 8,75 10,00 10,00 0,00 10,00 2,00 5,00 0,43 2,67 8,00 5,00 5,00 3,00 6,70 8,68 9,91 10,00
4,00 0,00 0,00 10 2,00 0,00 9,14 0 0 1,48 3,15 10,00 5,64 10 0,00 10,00 10,00 7,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 8,46 2,50 10,00 0,00 5,64 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 0,00 10,00 10,00 9,00 4,60 7,25 7,61 10,00
6,36 0,00 0,00 10 0,00 0,00 0,00 5 0 1,48 3,15 10,00 5,64 10 0,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 6,80 2,50 10,00 0,00 5,64 10,00 10,00 10,00 8,26 8,67 3,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 1,70 0,00 4,34 10,00
10,00 0,00 9,10 0,00 8,20 8,20 7,30 7,30 6,40 7,30 6,40 5,50 6,40 4,60 5,50 5,50 8,20 5,50 0,00 4,60 3,70 3,70 5,50 2,80 0,00 5,50 2,80 2,80 5,50 2,80 8,20 8,20 1,90 3,70 1,00 5,50 6,40 6,40 1,00 3,70
7,00 5,00 10,00 8,00 5,50
CASik*wk Category
Code land_price acc_air acc_port acc_sup sup_cha
Factor Land Price
Accessibility to
airports
Accessibility to
ports
Accessibility to
supplies and
services
Integration into
the main supply
chain
infrastructures
Variable
Distance to
natural spaces
Connectivity on
natural
environment
Number of
isolated spaces
Density of the
facility area
Distance to
urban spaces
Connectivity on
urban
environment
Distance to
surface water
Flooding level
Groundwater
presence
Land price
Industrail
production
index
Gross Domestic
Product
Unemployment
rate
Population level
Population
density
Numebr of
railways access
Importance of
the railway
environment
Centrality of
demand
Quality of the
railway
Direct access to
the high capacity
network
Distance to a
high capacity
road
Number of lanes
Distance to an
airport
Number of ports
nearer than 400
Km
Currency of
Supplies and
services
Climatic variety Rainfall level Winter frosts Terrain curl Slope Excavability
Compressive
strength
Number of near
logistic
platforms
Number of
middle-distance
logistic
platforms
Belonging to and
industrial
consolidated
area
Distance to a
principal freight
corridor
Distance to a
principal
passengers
corridor
Number of
passengers trips
Nearest roads'
ADT
Distance to the
TEN-TCore
Network
Corridors
Code DNS CNE NIS DFA DUS CUE DSW FL GP LP IPI GDP EL PL PD NRA IRE CD QR DAHCN DHCR NL DA DP CSS CV RL WF TC SL EX CS NNLP NMDLP BICA DPFC DPPC NPT NRADT DTENT
Type Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Profit Cost Profit Profit Profit Profit Profit Cost Profit Cost Profit Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Cost Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Profit Cost Cost Profit
15,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 20,50 54,67 5,55 73,00 0,00 34,60 34,07 31,70 0,00 46,00 51,93 55,00 49,20 22,00 0,00 0,00 14,80 37,00 0,00 24,50 0,00 27,50 12,57 28,00 55,00 28,00 52,39 53,30 15,20 10,36 5,00 5,50 55,04 57,13 9,61 37,00
9,09 0,00 68,25 0,00 0,00 0,00 14,60 0,00 0,00 39,84 63,90 47,04 28,79 1,37 52,88 16,50 16,40 16,50 0,00 23,00 0,00 37,00 14,63 24,50 0,00 0,00 19,24 28,00 55,00 28,00 3,57 21,87 9,50 21,83 10,00 38,50 18,56 25,75 7,95 18,50
22,73 0,00 45,50 0,00 0,00 27,33 11,53 36,50 0,00 47,19 22,59 33,82 30,32 46,19 0,00 44,00 32,80 55,00 0,00 46,00 37,00 37,00 18,37 7,00 0,00 0,00 15,48 28,00 55,00 14,00 0,00 19,13 0,00 37,00 10,00 44,00 40,96 42,34 8,39 37,00
100,00 0,00 22,75 0,00 16,40 54,67 0,00 0,00 0,00 66,80 51,09 41,62 22,53 6,06 52,02 55,00 49,20 22,00 0,00 23,00 0,00 37,00 14,63 24,50 0,00 0,00 6,31 0,00 11,00 7,00 67,74 71,07 11,40 25,90 5,00 11,00 30,08 50,23 9,41 37,00
58,18 0,00 22,75 0,00 16,40 68,33 0,00 73,00 64,00 66,80 51,09 41,62 22,53 2,80 50,15 44,00 49,20 16,50 0,00 23,00 24,67 37,00 0,00 28,00 0,00 27,50 9,30 28,00 11,00 7,00 7,13 24,60 0,00 25,90 5,00 0,00 46,72 58,47 8,81 18,50
20,91 0,00 68,25 0,00 0,00 0,00 33,58 73,00 0,00 65,88 51,09 41,62 41,31 46,00 0,00 55,00 16,40 38,50 0,00 46,00 37,00 37,00 53,46 17,50 0,00 0,00 12,46 0,00 55,00 21,00 3,57 21,87 5,70 37,00 10,00 33,00 23,68 50,54 7,76 0,00
22,73 0,00 45,50 0,00 28,70 27,33 34,31 0,00 0,00 63,93 51,09 41,62 29,76 8,51 30,02 27,50 65,60 22,00 0,00 23,00 27,13 37,00 0,00 17,50 0,00 0,00 15,26 0,00 55,00 28,00 0,00 19,13 3,80 22,20 5,00 27,50 0,00 34,94 8,87 37,00
8,18 0,00 45,50 0,00 50,02 54,67 13,14 73,00 64,00 61,01 28,53 38,80 32,90 25,77 49,60 27,50 32,80 38,50 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 24,50 0,00 55,00 0,00 28,00 11,00 14,00 3,57 21,87 15,20 18,50 5,00 16,50 42,88 55,54 9,91 37,00
40,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 16,40 0,00 66,72 0,00 0,00 10,83 20,13 55,00 36,11 46,00 0,00 55,00 82,00 38,50 0,00 46,00 37,00 37,00 46,53 7,00 0,00 0,00 15,79 28,00 55,00 28,00 82,00 82,00 0,00 37,00 10,00 49,50 29,44 46,38 7,61 37,00
63,64 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 36,50 0,00 10,83 20,13 55,00 36,11 46,00 0,00 55,00 82,00 55,00 0,00 46,00 37,00 37,00 37,40 7,00 0,00 0,00 15,79 28,00 55,00 28,00 67,74 71,07 5,70 37,00 10,00 55,00 10,88 0,00 4,34 37,00
CASik*wk*Wk Category
Code land_price acc_air acc_port acc_sup sup_cha
Factor Land Price
Accessibility to
airports
Accessibility to
ports
Accessibility to
supplies and
services
Integration into
the main supply
chain
infrastructures
Variable
Distance to
natural spaces
Connectivity on
natural
environment
Number of
isolated spaces
Density of the
facility area
Distance to
urban spaces
Connectivity on
urban
environment
Distance to
surface water
Flooding level
Groundwater
presence
Land price
Industrail
production
index
Gross Domestic
Product
Unemployment
rate
Population level
Population
density
Numebr of
railways access
Importance of
the railway
environment
Centrality of
demand
Quality of the
railway
Direct access to
the high capacity
network
Distance to a
high capacity
road
Number of lanes
Distance to an
airport
Number of ports
nearer than 400
Km
Currency of
Supplies and
services
Climatic variety Rainfall level Winter frosts Terrain curl Slope Excavability
Compressive
strength
Number of near
logistic
platforms
Number of
middle-distance
logistic
platforms
Belonging to and
industrial
consolidated
area
Distance to a
principal freight
corridor
Distance to a
principal
passengers
corridor
Number of
passengers trips
Nearest roads'
ADT
Distance to the
TEN-TCore
Network
Corridors
Code DNS CNE NIS DFA DUS CUE DSW FL GP LP IPI GDP EL PL PD NRA IRE CD QR DAHCN DHCR NL DA DP CSS CV RL WF TC SL EX CS NNLP NMDLP BICA DPFC DPPC NPT NRADT DTENT
Type Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Profit Cost Profit Profit Profit Profit Profit Cost Profit Cost Profit Profit Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Cost Profit Cost Profit Profit Cost Profit Cost Cost Profit
75,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 148,63 396,33 33,29 438,00 0,00 242,21 218,07 202,89 0,00 230,00 259,65 550,00 492,00 220,00 0,00 0,00 148,00 370,00 0,00 245,00 0,00 82,50 37,72 84,00 275,00 140,00 261,94 266,50 121,60 82,88 40,00 30,25 277,95 288,49 48,54 186,85
45,45 0,00 341,25 0,00 0,00 0,00 87,60 0,00 0,00 278,90 408,97 301,08 184,26 6,87 264,39 165,00 164,00 165,00 0,00 230,00 0,00 370,00 73,15 245,00 0,00 0,00 57,71 84,00 275,00 140,00 17,83 109,33 76,00 174,64 80,00 211,75 93,73 130,06 40,17 93,43
113,64 0,00 227,50 0,00 0,00 198,17 69,20 219,00 0,00 330,31 144,57 216,45 194,03 230,96 0,00 440,00 328,00 550,00 0,00 460,00 370,00 370,00 91,85 70,00 0,00 0,00 46,45 84,00 275,00 70,00 0,00 95,67 0,00 296,00 80,00 242,00 206,85 213,83 42,37 186,85
500,00 0,00 113,75 0,00 118,90 396,33 0,00 0,00 0,00 467,57 326,99 266,35 144,19 30,29 260,12 550,00 492,00 220,00 0,00 230,00 0,00 370,00 73,15 245,00 0,00 0,00 18,93 0,00 55,00 35,00 338,70 355,33 91,20 207,20 40,00 60,50 151,90 253,66 47,54 186,85
290,91 0,00 113,75 0,00 118,90 495,42 0,00 438,00 384,00 467,57 326,99 266,35 144,19 14,00 250,73 440,00 492,00 165,00 0,00 230,00 246,67 370,00 0,00 280,00 0,00 82,50 27,89 84,00 55,00 35,00 35,65 123,00 0,00 207,20 40,00 0,00 235,94 295,27 44,50 93,43
104,55 0,00 341,25 0,00 0,00 0,00 201,48 438,00 0,00 461,13 326,99 266,35 264,40 230,00 0,00 550,00 164,00 385,00 0,00 460,00 370,00 370,00 267,30 175,00 0,00 0,00 37,38 0,00 275,00 105,00 17,83 109,33 45,60 296,00 80,00 181,50 119,58 255,22 39,19 0,00
113,64 0,00 227,50 0,00 208,08 198,17 205,86 0,00 0,00 447,53 326,99 266,35 190,44 42,53 150,10 275,00 656,00 220,00 0,00 230,00 271,33 370,00 0,00 175,00 0,00 0,00 45,78 0,00 275,00 140,00 0,00 95,67 30,40 177,60 40,00 151,25 0,00 176,45 44,80 186,85
40,91 0,00 227,50 0,00 362,65 396,33 78,84 438,00 384,00 427,09 182,59 248,33 210,54 128,83 247,98 275,00 328,00 385,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 245,00 0,00 165,00 0,00 84,00 55,00 70,00 17,83 109,33 121,60 148,00 40,00 90,75 216,54 280,48 50,02 186,85
200,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 118,90 0,00 400,33 0,00 0,00 75,83 128,82 352,00 231,08 230,00 0,00 550,00 820,00 385,00 0,00 460,00 370,00 370,00 232,65 70,00 0,00 0,00 47,38 84,00 275,00 140,00 410,00 410,00 0,00 296,00 80,00 272,25 148,67 234,19 38,41 186,85
318,18 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 219,00 0,00 75,83 128,82 352,00 231,08 230,00 0,00 550,00 820,00 550,00 0,00 460,00 370,00 370,00 187,00 70,00 0,00 0,00 47,38 84,00 275,00 140,00 338,70 355,33 45,60 296,00 80,00 302,50 54,94 0,00 21,90 186,85
Total Máximo % calidad Posioción
Total
sostenibilidad
Máximo
sostenibilidad
% sostenibilidad
Posición
sostenibilidad
Total medio
ambiente
Máximo medio
ambiente
% medio
ambiente
Posición medio
ambiente
Total
socioeconómico
Máximo
socioeconómico
%
socioeconómico
Posición
socieconómico
Total
accesibilidad
Máximo
accesibilidad
% accesibilidad
Posición
accesibilidad
Total
localización
Máximo
localización
% localización
Posición
localización
6493,29 51,75 7 2244,07 40,14 6 1091,25 32,06 4 1152,82 52,71 7 2025,00 55,10 8 2224,22 67,76 3
4914,56 39,16 10 1918,77 34,32 8 474,30 13,93 10 1444,47 66,04 5 1412,15 38,43 9 1583,64 48,25 7
6462,70 51,50 6 1943,82 34,77 7 827,51 24,31 7 1116,32 51,04 8 2679,85 72,92 4 1839,02 56,03 5
6646,45 52,97 5 2624,50 46,94 4 1128,98 33,17 3 1495,51 68,38 2 2180,15 59,32 7 1841,81 56,11 4
6893,84 54,94 4 3310,79 59,21 2 1840,98 54,08 2 1469,82 67,20 3 2223,67 60,51 5 1359,38 41,42 10
6937,08 55,28 3 2634,14 47,11 3 1085,28 31,88 5 1548,87 70,81 1 2741,30 74,59 3 1561,64 47,58 6
5938,31 47,32 9 2377,18 42,52 5 953,24 28,00 6 1423,94 65,10 6 2197,33 59,79 6 1363,80 41,55 9
6241,99 49,74 8 3373,59 60,34 1 1928,23 56,65 1 1445,36 66,08 4 1233,00 33,55 10 1635,41 49,83 8
7617,37 60,70 1 1736,97 31,07 9 719,23 21,13 8 1017,73 46,53 9 3257,65 88,64 2 2622,76 79,91 1
7160,11 57,06 2 1554,92 27,81 10 537,18 15,78 9 1017,73 46,53 9 3377,00 91,89 1 2228,20 67,89 2
52,36 41,33 29,94 65,57 60,15 52,93
5,01 12,64 10,96 15,47 18,02 17,11
acc_road wea orog geol rel_plat mod_shi
Environmental Economic and social Accesibility Location
imp_nat imp_urb hydro dem_gro mun_ran acc_rail
Accessibility to high capacity roads network Weather Orography Geology Relation with other logistics platforms Potential optimization of the modal shiftImpact on natural environment Impact on urban environment Hydrology Potential Demand Growth Hosting municipality range Accessibility to the rail network
VI
VII
VIII
IX
X
Environmental
Dry Port
I
II
III
IV
V
Economic and social Accesibility Location
imp_nat imp_urb hydro dem_gro mun_ran acc_rail acc_road wea orog geol rel_plat mod_shi
Impact on natural environment Impact on urban environment Hydrology Potential Demand Growth Hosting municipality range Potential optimization of the modal shift
Dry Port
I
II
III
IV
Accessibility to the rail network Accessibility to high capacity roads network Weather Orography Geology Relation with other logistics platforms
Peso variable
Peso factor 5,00 7,25 6,00 6,40
V
VI
VII
VIII
IX
X
8,00 5,05
Environmental Economic and social Accesibility Location
5,00 10,00 10,00 3,00 5,00 5,00
acc_road wea orog geol rel_plat mod_shiimp_nat imp_urb hydro dem_gro mun_ran acc_rail
Accessibility to high capacity roads network Weather Orography Geology Relation with other logistics platforms Potential optimization of the modal shiftImpact on natural environment Impact on urban environment Hydrology Potential Demand Growth Hosting municipality range Accessibility to the rail network
VI
VII
VIII
IX
X
Environmental
Dry Port
I
II
III
IV
V
Economic and social Accesibility Location
imp_nat imp_urb hydro dem_gro mun_ran acc_rail acc_road wea orog geol rel_plat mod_shi
Impact on natural environment Impact on urban environment Hydrology Potential Demand Growth Hosting municipality range Potential optimization of the modal shift
Dry Port
I
II
III
IV
Accessibility to the rail network Accessibility to high capacity roads network Weather Orography Geology Relation with other logistics platforms
12548,45 5591,20 3404,00 2187,20 3675,00 3282,25
V
VI
VII
VIII
IX
X
16

17. METHODOLOGY
17

18. BAYESIAN NETWORK
18

19. METHODOLOGY
19

20. BAYESIAN NETWORK
20
Layer
Depth

21. BAYESIAN NETWORK
21

22. DELPHI QUESTIONNAIRE
22

23. METHODOLOGY
23

24. 24

25. Variable
DNS
CNE
NIS
DFA
DUS
CUE
DSW
FL
GP
LP
IPI
GDP
EL
PL
PD
NRA
IRE
CD
QR
DAHCN
DHCR
NL
DA
DP
CSS
CV
RL
WF
TC
SL
EX
CS
NNLP
NMDLP
BICA
DPFC
DPPC
NPT
NRADT
DTENT
I 1,50 0,00 0,00 10,00 2,50 6,67 0,76 10,00 0,00 4,74 5,32 5,76 0,00 10,00 9,44 10,00 6,00 4,00 10,00 0,00 4,00 10,00 0,00 8,75 10,00 5,00 4,49 10,00 10,00 10,00 6,39 6,50 8,00 2,80 5,00 1,00 8,60 8,93 9,61 10,00
II 0,91 0,00 7,50 10,00 0,00 0,00 2,00 0,00 0,00 5,46 9,98 8,55 4,50 0,30 9,61 3,00 2,00 3,00 10,00 5,00 0,00 10,00 2,66 8,75 10,00 0,00 6,87 10,00 10,00 10,00 0,43 2,67 5,00 5,90 10,00 7,00 2,90 4,02 7,95 5,00
III 2,27 0,00 5,00 0,00 0,00 3,33 1,58 5,00 0,00 6,46 3,53 6,15 4,74 10,04 0,00 8,00 4,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 3,34 2,50 10,00 0,00 5,53 10,00 10,00 5,00 0,00 2,33 0,00 10,00 10,00 8,00 6,40 6,62 8,39 10,00
IV 10,00 0,00 2,50 0,00 2,00 6,67 0,00 0,00 0,00 9,15 7,98 7,57 3,52 1,32 9,46 10,00 6,00 4,00 10,00 5,00 0,00 10,00 2,66 8,75 10,00 0,00 2,25 0,00 2,00 2,50 8,26 8,67 6,00 7,00 5,00 2,00 4,70 7,85 9,41 10,00
V 5,82 0,00 2,50 10,00 2,00 8,33 0,00 10,00 10,00 9,15 7,98 7,57 3,52 0,61 9,12 8,00 6,00 3,00 5,00 5,00 6,67 10,00 0,00 10,00 10,00 5,00 3,32 10,00 2,00 2,50 0,87 3,00 0,00 7,00 5,00 0,00 7,30 9,14 8,81 5,00
VI 2,09 0,00 7,50 10,00 0,00 0,00 4,60 10,00 0,00 9,02 7,98 7,57 6,46 10,00 0,00 10,00 2,00 7,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 9,72 6,25 10,00 0,00 4,45 0,00 10,00 7,50 0,43 2,67 3,00 10,00 10,00 6,00 3,70 7,90 7,76 0,00
VII 2,27 0,00 5,00 10,00 3,50 3,33 4,70 0,00 0,00 8,76 7,98 7,57 4,65 1,85 5,46 5,00 8,00 4,00 10,00 5,00 7,33 10,00 0,00 6,25 10,00 0,00 5,45 0,00 10,00 10,00 0,00 2,33 2,00 6,00 5,00 5,00 0,00 5,46 8,87 10,00
VIII 0,82 0,00 5,00 10,00 6,10 6,67 1,80 10,00 10,00 8,36 4,46 7,05 5,14 5,60 9,02 5,00 4,00 7,00 5,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 8,75 10,00 10,00 0,00 10,00 2,00 5,00 0,43 2,67 8,00 5,00 5,00 3,00 6,70 8,68 9,91 10,00
IX 4,00 0,00 0,00 10,00 2,00 0,00 9,14 0,00 0,00 1,48 3,15 10,00 5,64 10,00 0,00 10,00 10,00 7,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 8,46 2,50 10,00 0,00 5,64 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 0,00 10,00 10,00 9,00 4,60 7,25 7,61 10,00
X 6,36 0,00 0,00 10,00 0,00 0,00 0,00 5,00 0,00 1,48 3,15 10,00 5,64 10,00 0,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 6,80 2,50 10,00 0,00 5,64 10,00 10,00 10,00 8,26 8,67 3,00 10,00 10,00 10,00 1,70 0,00 4,34 10,00
25

26. METHODOLOGY
26
LQRi = EP · SCASik · wk · Wk
EP ∈ N 0,1
i ∈ N 1, … ,10 ; k ∈ N 1, … ,17 ; k ∈ N 1, … ,40

27. RESULTS
27
Environmental
Economic and
Social
Accessibility Location Sustainability Quality (LQR)
I 1091.2 32.1% 1152.8 52.7% 2025.0 55.1% 2224.2 67.8% 2244.1 40.1% 6022.0 48.0%
II 474.3 13.9% 1444.5 66.0% 1412.2 38.4% 1583.6 48.2% 1918.8 34.3% 4827.0 38.5%
III 827.5 24.3% 1116.3 51.0% 2679.9 72.9% 1839.0 56.0% 1943.8 34.8% 6174.5 49.2%
IV 1129.0 33.2% 1495.5 68.4% 2180.2 59.3% 1841.8 56.1% 2624.5 46.9% 6646.5 53.0%
V 1841.0 54.1% 1469.8 67.2% 2223.7 60.5% 1359.4 41.4% 3310.8 59.2% 6071.8 48.4%
VI 1085.3 31.9% 1548.9 70.8% 2741.3 74.6% 1561.6 47.6% 2634.1 47.1% 6297.6 50.2%
VII 953.2 28.0% 1423.9 65.1% 2197.3 59.8% 1363.8 41.6% 2377.2 42.5% 5732.5 45.7%
VIII 1928.2 56.6% 1445.4 66.1% 1233.0 33.6% 1635.4 49.8% 3373.6 60.3% 5341.2 42.6%
IX 719.2 21.1% 1017.7 46.5% 3257.7 88.6% 2622.8 79.9% 1737.0 31.1% 7217.0 57.5%
X 537.2 15.8% 1017.7 46.5% 3377.0 91.9% 2228.2 67.9% 1554.9 27.8% 6941.1 55.3%
Average 1058.6 31.1% 1313.3 60.0% 2332.7 63.5% 1826.0 55.6% 2371.9 42.4% 6127.1 48.8%
Median 1019.3 29.9% 1434.2 65.6% 2210.5 60.1% 1737.2 52.9% 2310.6 41.3% 6123.2 48.8%
Std Dev 373.2 11.0% 338.3 15.5% 662.2 18.0% 561.5 17.1% 623.0 11.1% 754.4 6.0%
Max 3404.0 2187.2 3675.0 3282.3 5591.2 12548.5

28. CONCLUSIONS
Multidisciplinary problem
Environmental variables are the most important
Four variables are unrelated to the rest of the network,
but we must not lose sight of these variables in future
evaluations
Ability of the methodology
28

29. Samir Awad Núñez
samir.awad@caminos.upm.es
Department of Civil Engineering - Transport and Land Use Planning
Technical University of Madrid