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The 7 Signs Of Failure for Internet Startups

Two months ago we set out on a mission to crack the innovation code of Silicon
Valley and share it with the rest of the world. Today we are releasing our first
Startup Genome Report for highly scalable Internet startups, based on the
results of our first survey. We want to thank Sandbox, FastCompany, Inc.,
ReadWriteWeb, Hackernews, youngupstarts, Yourstory.in and many more who
helped us spread the word and gather a total of 666 survey results. And a
special thank you to all our fellow entrepreneurs who shared information about
their company for this cause. Find the full report here.

Here is a sneak peek of our results, showcasing 7 signs of failure:

1. Not Working Full Time

If you decide to start a company don’t do it half-hearted. Creating something from
nothing is hard. Succeeding almost always requires going all in. Temporary
moonlighting is permissible but significantly curbs performance and potential.

Many times we hear people say they will work half time until they have raised money.
Here you can see that people who work half time are able to raise money, but about
24x less than founders who go full time. They also have trouble building up the
intensity required to drive the user growth needed to validate interest in their
product. Working full time is especially critical for startups with a product that
requires critical mass to be valuable.




          based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 1
2. Solo Founder or 4+ Founders

If you make the commitment to go full time your first big challenge is to convince
someone else to join your company who will fully commit to making the company
successful. If you can’t convince at least one person to join you, or you believe you can
do it all yourself, it is a strong signal that company isn’t likely to succeed. However,
trying to find safety in numbers by having too many people to join the founding team
doesn’t turn out very well either. The right number seems to be a founding team of two
to three people.
    ●Solo founders raise less than 50% what 2-3 founders raise. One reason for this is
        that during fundraising solo founders are now forced to split their time and
        attention between the product, the business and raising money.
    ●Solo founders have 290% less user growth and are 16% more likely to scale
        prematurely than founding teams of 2-3.
    ●More than 42% of the startups that are moving more than 20% slower than the
        average time needed to reach the scale stage are solo founders.




          based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 2
3. Don't Have A Technical Cofounder

If you start a technology company and nobody on your team is technical you are
unlikely to succeed. Unless the company is in a very sales intensive market the
founding team should be at least ⅓ technical, 50% ideally. However, too many cooks in
the kitchen are not good either.

The first problem you have by not having someone technical as part of the founding
team is that you do not have anyone who has full ownership of the product. The
business founder doesn’t own the product because they don’t understand the code
and the employees or consultants don’t own the product because the company is not
theirs. As a result companies with no technical cofounder are almost twice as likely to
scale too early. They also have 3-5 times less user growth on average and need 7-8
months longer to reach the scaling stage.




          based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 3
4. Wrong Founding Team Composition for the Wrong Type of Startup

Once you’ve found your team, you should make sure to tackle a market and build a
product that suits the strength of your founding team.

We identified three major types of Internet startups with various sub-types. They are
segmented based on how they perform customer development and customer
acquisition. Each type has different time, skill and money requirements.

The Automizer (Type 1)
Common characteristics: self-service customer acquisition, consumer focused,
product centric, fast execution, often automize a manual process.
The Social Transformer (Type 1N)
Common characteristics: self service customer acquisition, critical mass, runaway
user growth, winner take all markets, complex ux, network effects, typically create
new ways for people to interact.
The Integrator (Type 2)
Common characteristics: lead generation with inside sales reps, high certainty,
product centric, early monetization, SME focused, smaller markets, often take
innovations from consumer Internet and rebuild it for smaller enterprises.
The Challenger (Type 3): large but rigid markets, strong sales, enterprise market
Common characteristics: enterprise sales, high customer dependency, complex &
rigid markets, repeatable sales process.




          based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 4
These graphs show business heavy founding teams are more likely to succeed with a
startup that requires enterprise sales, whereas technical heavy founding teams are
more likely to succeed with a self-service consumer Internet startup. Balanced teams
perform well with all types of startups except those that require a lot of enterprise
sales.

For example, in our data set, 35% of business heavy founding teams were doing
Type 1 “Automizer” startups before product market fit. But after product market
fit only 12% of the business heavy founding teams were doing Automizer
startups. This decrease indicates that business heavy founding teams do not do
as well with Automizer startups.




          based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 5
5. Don't Pivot at All or Pivot Too Often

If you have finally found the perfect founding team and a product and market suited to
your team’s strengths, your next big challenge is having the determination to make
your vision a reality while being flexible in how this achieved. The chances that you will
need to modify some significant aspect of your business is very high. When real world
feedback shows you that something isn’t working you need to adapt. However,
changing your business too frequently will leave you running in circles. We have found
that founders who pivot 1-2 times have 100% more user growth and are 48% less
likely to scale prematurely. (We told founders to consider a pivot a major change in their
business).




          based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 6
6. Don't Listen to Customers

Pivoting is almost always a decision that is made with incomplete information and
under conditions of extreme uncertainty. But taking the time to gather feedback by
interacting with customers significantly increases the odds of making a good decision.
We have found that startups that track their metrics and listen to customers have
400% more user growth.




7. Scale Without Validating Market

Lastly, one of the most critical mistakes we found is that founders get too anxious
about making progress and scale their company prematurely, before validating their
market and streamlining their customer acquisition process. If they have raised a lot of
money or have a lot of determination the result is typically a slow death. If they have
neither then a speedy death is likely.

Following are a number of graphs that show that startups that scaled after product
market fit raise 3.2x more money, and have 1.5x more user growth. Interestingly,
startups that scaled prematurely had been working just as long as startups that scaled
appropriately.




          based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 7
based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 8

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The 7 signs of failure for internet startups

  • 1. The 7 Signs Of Failure for Internet Startups Two months ago we set out on a mission to crack the innovation code of Silicon Valley and share it with the rest of the world. Today we are releasing our first Startup Genome Report for highly scalable Internet startups, based on the results of our first survey. We want to thank Sandbox, FastCompany, Inc., ReadWriteWeb, Hackernews, youngupstarts, Yourstory.in and many more who helped us spread the word and gather a total of 666 survey results. And a special thank you to all our fellow entrepreneurs who shared information about their company for this cause. Find the full report here. Here is a sneak peek of our results, showcasing 7 signs of failure: 1. Not Working Full Time If you decide to start a company don’t do it half-hearted. Creating something from nothing is hard. Succeeding almost always requires going all in. Temporary moonlighting is permissible but significantly curbs performance and potential. Many times we hear people say they will work half time until they have raised money. Here you can see that people who work half time are able to raise money, but about 24x less than founders who go full time. They also have trouble building up the intensity required to drive the user growth needed to validate interest in their product. Working full time is especially critical for startups with a product that requires critical mass to be valuable. based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 1
  • 2. 2. Solo Founder or 4+ Founders If you make the commitment to go full time your first big challenge is to convince someone else to join your company who will fully commit to making the company successful. If you can’t convince at least one person to join you, or you believe you can do it all yourself, it is a strong signal that company isn’t likely to succeed. However, trying to find safety in numbers by having too many people to join the founding team doesn’t turn out very well either. The right number seems to be a founding team of two to three people. ●Solo founders raise less than 50% what 2-3 founders raise. One reason for this is that during fundraising solo founders are now forced to split their time and attention between the product, the business and raising money. ●Solo founders have 290% less user growth and are 16% more likely to scale prematurely than founding teams of 2-3. ●More than 42% of the startups that are moving more than 20% slower than the average time needed to reach the scale stage are solo founders. based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 2
  • 3. 3. Don't Have A Technical Cofounder If you start a technology company and nobody on your team is technical you are unlikely to succeed. Unless the company is in a very sales intensive market the founding team should be at least ⅓ technical, 50% ideally. However, too many cooks in the kitchen are not good either. The first problem you have by not having someone technical as part of the founding team is that you do not have anyone who has full ownership of the product. The business founder doesn’t own the product because they don’t understand the code and the employees or consultants don’t own the product because the company is not theirs. As a result companies with no technical cofounder are almost twice as likely to scale too early. They also have 3-5 times less user growth on average and need 7-8 months longer to reach the scaling stage. based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 3
  • 4. 4. Wrong Founding Team Composition for the Wrong Type of Startup Once you’ve found your team, you should make sure to tackle a market and build a product that suits the strength of your founding team. We identified three major types of Internet startups with various sub-types. They are segmented based on how they perform customer development and customer acquisition. Each type has different time, skill and money requirements. The Automizer (Type 1) Common characteristics: self-service customer acquisition, consumer focused, product centric, fast execution, often automize a manual process. The Social Transformer (Type 1N) Common characteristics: self service customer acquisition, critical mass, runaway user growth, winner take all markets, complex ux, network effects, typically create new ways for people to interact. The Integrator (Type 2) Common characteristics: lead generation with inside sales reps, high certainty, product centric, early monetization, SME focused, smaller markets, often take innovations from consumer Internet and rebuild it for smaller enterprises. The Challenger (Type 3): large but rigid markets, strong sales, enterprise market Common characteristics: enterprise sales, high customer dependency, complex & rigid markets, repeatable sales process. based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 4
  • 5. These graphs show business heavy founding teams are more likely to succeed with a startup that requires enterprise sales, whereas technical heavy founding teams are more likely to succeed with a self-service consumer Internet startup. Balanced teams perform well with all types of startups except those that require a lot of enterprise sales. For example, in our data set, 35% of business heavy founding teams were doing Type 1 “Automizer” startups before product market fit. But after product market fit only 12% of the business heavy founding teams were doing Automizer startups. This decrease indicates that business heavy founding teams do not do as well with Automizer startups. based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 5
  • 6. 5. Don't Pivot at All or Pivot Too Often If you have finally found the perfect founding team and a product and market suited to your team’s strengths, your next big challenge is having the determination to make your vision a reality while being flexible in how this achieved. The chances that you will need to modify some significant aspect of your business is very high. When real world feedback shows you that something isn’t working you need to adapt. However, changing your business too frequently will leave you running in circles. We have found that founders who pivot 1-2 times have 100% more user growth and are 48% less likely to scale prematurely. (We told founders to consider a pivot a major change in their business). based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 6
  • 7. 6. Don't Listen to Customers Pivoting is almost always a decision that is made with incomplete information and under conditions of extreme uncertainty. But taking the time to gather feedback by interacting with customers significantly increases the odds of making a good decision. We have found that startups that track their metrics and listen to customers have 400% more user growth. 7. Scale Without Validating Market Lastly, one of the most critical mistakes we found is that founders get too anxious about making progress and scale their company prematurely, before validating their market and streamlining their customer acquisition process. If they have raised a lot of money or have a lot of determination the result is typically a slow death. If they have neither then a speedy death is likely. Following are a number of graphs that show that startups that scaled after product market fit raise 3.2x more money, and have 1.5x more user growth. Interestingly, startups that scaled prematurely had been working just as long as startups that scaled appropriately. based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 7
  • 8. based on Startup Genome Report version 1.0 . Copyright 2011, contents under creative commons license . Page 8