This presentation is supplemental to the 2040 Socioeconomic Study completed by Transport Studio at the request of the Valdosta-Lowndes Metropolitan Planning Organization. More information is on our website at www.sgrc.us/transportation.
3. Why do you need socioeconomic data?
• The need for transportation improvements
• People and jobs create trips
•
•
•
•
How many?
When?
Where from?
Where to?
• Federal funding
• Federal requirements
• GDOT regulations
4. What kind of data?
• Population and employment
• Base and existing year data
• 2010 base year
• Today’s updates
• 2040 horizon year projections
• Interim year projections
5. Planning Data
Transportation
Comprehensive planning
• Population and households
• Housing
• Gender
• Age
• Race
• Educational attainment
• Labor force
• Income
• Employment
•
•
•
•
Service
Retail
Manufacturing
Wholesale
• Student enrollment
6. How? LRTP Data and Projection Process
• Base year data
• Determine horizon year
control totals
• Distribute growth to zones
• Traffic analysis zones or TAZs
• Verify and revise
• Develop interim year data
9. Horizon Year Population – Model Area
2010 Travel Demand Model Area Population 110,780
2040 Travel Demand Model Area Population 154,820
40% increase in thirty years
10. Major Assumptions
• Household and employment growth follow population growth trend
• Ratio of jobs to housing in region
• Kinds of jobs in region
•
•
•
•
Service
Retail
Manufacturing
Wholesale
• Growth Areas
• Densities
• Dwelling units per acre
• Jobs per acre
16. Land already
developed -ornot suitable for
development
Future population
and employment
distributed to
zones
Land suitable for
development
Developable land
by Growth Area
and other
parameters
17. Distribute
Growth to Zones
A. Growth Areas within
zone boundary
B. Suitable and
available for
development
C. Developable acres
within each Growth
Area are assigned
jobs or housing
D. Developable acres
with access to water
or sewer service
may be assigned
jobs or housing
A
D
B
C
24. Findings
• Identified Growth Areas will accommodate most growth by 2040
• Some households assigned to areas zoned residential with existing access to
water or sewer service
• Service jobs assigned to areas with existing access to water or sewer service
based on zoning
• Industrial Growth Areas contain more land than will be needed by
2040 for projected manufacturing and wholesale jobs
25. Recommendations
• Consistent Census boundaries and traffic analysis zone boundaries
• Update Census boundaries to reflect real life conditions if applicable
• Adjust zone boundaries as needed
• Evaluate Growth Areas during plan update(s)
• Evaluate land use scenarios with VLMPO travel demand model
• Evaluate policies and development patterns through comprehensive planning
process
• Continue coordination with MAFB and other major employers
26. Thank you
Corey Hull, AICP
229-333-5277
chull@sgrc.us
Whitney Shephard, PE, LEED AP
912-677-0430
whitney@transportstudio.net
Notas del editor
We collected projections from various sources and developed our own based on Census data