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Residential Integrated Ventilation Energy Controller (RIVEC) UC Berkeley Cleantech-to-MarketMay, 2011 University of California, Berkeley  |  Cleantech-to-Market
Outline University of California, Berkeley  |  Cleantech-to-Market 2
The Team Adam Boscoe, MBA 2012 Oil & Gas Consultant, PFC Energy Master’s Energy Economics, ITBA Financial Analyst Alex Pederson, JD, MBA 2012 Former CFO of renewable start-up Practiced as a tech-focused transactional attorney LBNL Scientist Team: Iain Walker, PhD, Staff Scientist Max Sherman, Phd, Senior Scientist Post-Doc Assistants: DarrylDickerhoff David Faulkner Serge Stanek, MBA 2012 International management consulting experience emphases in sales, marketing and corporate growth strategies Kelvin So, EE PhD Technical expertise in software development and hardware integration University of California, Berkeley  |  Cleantech-to-Market 3
Air exchange is crucial to indoor air quality, but ventilation accounts for a large chunk of energy use University of California, Berkeley  |  Cleantech-to-Market 4 CO VOCs Mold Source: DOE, “2009 Buildings Energy Data Book”.
Energy efficiency improvements come at a cost to indoor air quality Challenge University of California, Berkeley  |  Cleantech-to-Market 5 Trend ASHRAE 62.2 ventilation required Source: Sherman & Matson (2002)   ASHRAE 62.2: New standard that mandates minimum ventilation standard beyond windows
Economics of the technology are driven by regulatory compliance with ASHRAE 62.2 rollout across US University of California, Berkeley  |  Cleantech-to-Market 6 ASHRAE 62.2 Adoption Energy Star New Homes (2009) < $200k 2010 $200-1,000k  2013 > $5M > 800,000 new builds subject to ASHRAE requirements by 2013 Market size: $100-300M ~64,000 new builds in states without ASHRAE adoption (2009) Market Size: $10-30M Texas example: Largest Energy Star market (29,000 new builds in 2009) 120,000 new homes subject to ASHRAE beginning 2013
RIVEC reduces ventilation energy usage while maintaining indoor air quality Secondary Ventilation Activity University of California, Berkeley  |  Cleantech-to-Market Inputs Outputs RIVEC Software Primary Fan (eg. Bathroom) House Characteristics Size # Fans/Capacity Climate 7
Pathway to market could be standalone hardware, or software integrated into existing controls or HEMS Standalone hardware   ,[object Object]
Manufacturing complexity
One provider for ventilation
Require communication with sensors
Hardware setup allows for easy implementation
Infant marketUniversity of California, Berkeley  |  Cleantech-to-Market 8 Software (“RIVEC inside”) Algorithm Environmental Controls  Home Energy Management inside
Potential partners are fragmented and don’t offer dual value proposition of efficiency and air quality University of California, Berkeley  |  Cleantech-to-Market Infant market No clearly dominant player  Open communications standard No ventilation control Adjusts for temp. (not ventilation) Large players with manufacturing & distribution capabilities No dominant players (incumbents < 30% of market) Software solution overcomes initial capital barriers and creates a competitive advantage in a highly competitive/undiversified market 9
Potential to install in both new homes and retrofits, but new builds are more attractive path to market University of California, Berkeley  |  Cleantech-to-Market 10 VS. New Builds Retrofits Buyer Installation Market Size
Most common solution for meeting minimum ventilation levels has operating cost and efficiency disadvantages University of California, Berkeley  |  Cleantech-to-Market 11 Common Solution VS. RIVEC How Purchase Price Operational Cost Home builders favor cheaper, less efficient systems, transferring costs to the homeowner/utility
Analysis of value chain indicates that minimum viable product must tap home-builder interests Benefits/ unit Total Value Generated=  $969/unit University of California, Berkeley  |  Cleantech-to-Market Participant Benefit 12
Homebuilders have high costs for energy efficient HVAC equipment – RIVEC offers better value proposition = 15% reduction vs. energy code RIVEC HVAC (5%) Average cost of upgrade to energy efficient central cooling unit=$400 Lighting (6%) Appliances (4%) RIVEC can reduce investment in expensive cooling equipment 2% Reduction 13 University of California, Berkeley  |  Cleantech-to-Market
Summary & Next Steps What have we learned? Most promising segment: new homes in markets with tighter envelope specifications and ASHRAE 62.2 adoption Value-add relies on capturing builder benefits (EnergyStar compliance) Path-to-market: most promising is software integration into existing hardware Development Timeline University of California, Berkeley  |  Cleantech-to-Market 14 1 2 3 2011 2012 2014+
Thank You! UC Berkeley Business Plan Competition 15 Thanks to our sources:
Appendix UC Berkeley Business Plan Competition 16
Competitive landscape (alternate slide) University of California, Berkeley  |  Cleantech-to-Market 17 RIVEC adds value to these segments Home Energy Mngmt System Ventilation Controls Feature Set Manufacturers (Whole-Building Fans) Price Point
China is booming new home market, but for now obstacles outweigh potential for RIVEC  Market potential Obstacles ,[object Object]

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Residential Ventilation (Cleantech to Market)

  • 1. Residential Integrated Ventilation Energy Controller (RIVEC) UC Berkeley Cleantech-to-MarketMay, 2011 University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market
  • 2. Outline University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market 2
  • 3. The Team Adam Boscoe, MBA 2012 Oil & Gas Consultant, PFC Energy Master’s Energy Economics, ITBA Financial Analyst Alex Pederson, JD, MBA 2012 Former CFO of renewable start-up Practiced as a tech-focused transactional attorney LBNL Scientist Team: Iain Walker, PhD, Staff Scientist Max Sherman, Phd, Senior Scientist Post-Doc Assistants: DarrylDickerhoff David Faulkner Serge Stanek, MBA 2012 International management consulting experience emphases in sales, marketing and corporate growth strategies Kelvin So, EE PhD Technical expertise in software development and hardware integration University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market 3
  • 4. Air exchange is crucial to indoor air quality, but ventilation accounts for a large chunk of energy use University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market 4 CO VOCs Mold Source: DOE, “2009 Buildings Energy Data Book”.
  • 5. Energy efficiency improvements come at a cost to indoor air quality Challenge University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market 5 Trend ASHRAE 62.2 ventilation required Source: Sherman & Matson (2002) ASHRAE 62.2: New standard that mandates minimum ventilation standard beyond windows
  • 6. Economics of the technology are driven by regulatory compliance with ASHRAE 62.2 rollout across US University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market 6 ASHRAE 62.2 Adoption Energy Star New Homes (2009) < $200k 2010 $200-1,000k 2013 > $5M > 800,000 new builds subject to ASHRAE requirements by 2013 Market size: $100-300M ~64,000 new builds in states without ASHRAE adoption (2009) Market Size: $10-30M Texas example: Largest Energy Star market (29,000 new builds in 2009) 120,000 new homes subject to ASHRAE beginning 2013
  • 7. RIVEC reduces ventilation energy usage while maintaining indoor air quality Secondary Ventilation Activity University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market Inputs Outputs RIVEC Software Primary Fan (eg. Bathroom) House Characteristics Size # Fans/Capacity Climate 7
  • 8.
  • 10. One provider for ventilation
  • 12. Hardware setup allows for easy implementation
  • 13. Infant marketUniversity of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market 8 Software (“RIVEC inside”) Algorithm Environmental Controls Home Energy Management inside
  • 14. Potential partners are fragmented and don’t offer dual value proposition of efficiency and air quality University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market Infant market No clearly dominant player Open communications standard No ventilation control Adjusts for temp. (not ventilation) Large players with manufacturing & distribution capabilities No dominant players (incumbents < 30% of market) Software solution overcomes initial capital barriers and creates a competitive advantage in a highly competitive/undiversified market 9
  • 15. Potential to install in both new homes and retrofits, but new builds are more attractive path to market University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market 10 VS. New Builds Retrofits Buyer Installation Market Size
  • 16. Most common solution for meeting minimum ventilation levels has operating cost and efficiency disadvantages University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market 11 Common Solution VS. RIVEC How Purchase Price Operational Cost Home builders favor cheaper, less efficient systems, transferring costs to the homeowner/utility
  • 17. Analysis of value chain indicates that minimum viable product must tap home-builder interests Benefits/ unit Total Value Generated= $969/unit University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market Participant Benefit 12
  • 18. Homebuilders have high costs for energy efficient HVAC equipment – RIVEC offers better value proposition = 15% reduction vs. energy code RIVEC HVAC (5%) Average cost of upgrade to energy efficient central cooling unit=$400 Lighting (6%) Appliances (4%) RIVEC can reduce investment in expensive cooling equipment 2% Reduction 13 University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market
  • 19. Summary & Next Steps What have we learned? Most promising segment: new homes in markets with tighter envelope specifications and ASHRAE 62.2 adoption Value-add relies on capturing builder benefits (EnergyStar compliance) Path-to-market: most promising is software integration into existing hardware Development Timeline University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market 14 1 2 3 2011 2012 2014+
  • 20. Thank You! UC Berkeley Business Plan Competition 15 Thanks to our sources:
  • 21. Appendix UC Berkeley Business Plan Competition 16
  • 22. Competitive landscape (alternate slide) University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market 17 RIVEC adds value to these segments Home Energy Mngmt System Ventilation Controls Feature Set Manufacturers (Whole-Building Fans) Price Point
  • 23.
  • 24. ~ 18 million new homes built in 2010
  • 25. Air pollution makes smart ventilation critical
  • 26. Some government focus on energy efficiency
  • 27. No ASHRAE 62.2 equivalent implemented
  • 28. Only 30% of homes compliant with building code
  • 29. No widespread adoption of Energy STAR or comparable standards
  • 30. Real estate “bubble” about to burst?University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market
  • 31.
  • 32. Simple, economic way for energy efficiency
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35. Overall load reductionElectrical utilities University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market 19
  • 36. Closer Look: RIVEC Value to Builders University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market Benefits/home Total Value Generated= $970 2% reductionhome energy use RIVEC Builders 15% Reduction Appliances Lighting HVAC Weighted energy savings Heating: $550-2,000 Cooling: $250-450 20
  • 37. Closer Look: RIVEC Value to Utilities-Rebate paid to home owners much less than true value to utilities University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market Benefits/home Total Value Generated= $970/unit Save 560 kWh/year, shift 0.2 kW RIVEC Total value to utilities: $422* Efficiency avoided cost value: $57 Peak permanent load shifting (PLS): $365* *Utilities benefit from peak load shifting ($500/peak kW - $2,500/peak kW), but do not currently have regulatory approval to pay for non-thermal residential load shifting Amount passed to home owners for comparable energy efficiency (rebate): $30-50 Utilities 21
  • 38. Sample ASHRAE 62.2 whole-building ventilation label University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market 22 To maintain minimum levels of outside air ventilation required for good health, the fan control should be on at all times when the building is occupied, unless there is severe outdoor air contamination. -California Energy Commission Indoor Ventilation Minimum Best Practices Guide
  • 39. Energy Star Market Single-Family Home Sales Source: US Census and Energy Star 23 Top 10 Energy Star States by Sales (2009) Source: US Census and Energy Star Energy Star Home Sales (2009) University of California, Berkeley | Cleantech-to-Market

Notas del editor

  1. Adam- Green theme- RIVEC is the next generation of home ventilation that saves energy and maintains air quality
  2. Adam3 MBA&apos;s and an EE PhDScientist team at LBNL
  3. AdamAir exchange is necessary for healthy homes (pollutants build up inside) But HVAC is major component of home energy use
  4. AdamResponse to HVAC energy consumption --&gt; tighter home envelopes But additional mechanical ventilation is mandated for air quality standardsASHRAE 62.2 mandates minimum ventilation level for tighter homes
  5. AdamToday: 18 States and around 200,000 new single-family homes subject to ASHRAE 62.2By 2013: 36 states and estimated 800,000 new homes in ASHRAE statesMarket size: $100-300MEnergyStar offers additional value proposition, especially in short-term64,000 new builds in US in 2009 outside of ASHRAE states
  6. KelvinPatent-pending algorithm incorporates key data points and activity of other fansAlgorithm informs central fan, like a bathroom fan or whole-building fan when to runResponsive system saves energy compared to running 24/7
  7. KelvinTwo essential paths to market: software or hardware productsLab has developed viable standalone hardware solutions with sensors/routers, but capital intensive and no competitive advantage with hardwareTwo software routes: installing in existing environmental controls or more sophisticated home energy systems
  8. AlexRIVEC best partnership options are software installs into equipment with existing network capabilitySoftware is low capital, low opex and provides differentiation
  9. Kelvin-pre-1996 houses are generally not tight enough, and do not need mechanical ventilation-post-1996 houses, even if tight enough, may not have ASHRAE compliant ventilation. Adding an ASHRAE compliant ventilation is a costly operation.-Retrofits that are adding ASHRAE compliant ventilation, such as the retrofits that get EnergyStar certification, have approximately been 12.5k/yr in the past 8 years
  10. Alex
  11. Serge:“Value generated” by RIVEC across different parts of the value chainFor example: Energy savings: $ savings on utility bill for home-occupants, peak reduction for utilities.In terms of potential value from RIVEC, we see the largest potential for home-builders.Homebuilders care about energy efficiency because it has become part of building code and green building certifications. Green certifications increase the value of new homes… for instance Energy STAR -&gt; Transition to next slide.
  12. Energy STAR requires 15% higher energy efficieny than mandated by building code -&gt; i.e. a energy star home should use 15% less energy. They way home builders typically achieve the 15% is from Lighthing, appliances (e.g. dishwasher) and HVAC.
  13. AlexValue-Add relies on capturing value to buildersSoftware is way to goNear term: Focus on integration in EnergyStar markets like TexasLonger term: Focus on building value through increased functionality and data collectionNext StepsContinue product testing: software development and integration with environmental controlsDevelop increased functionality:Test different sensor typesEvaluate potential for data collection and remote adjustments
  14. Alex
  15. Serge:In 2010 new residential floor space completed in China reached 1.8bn sqmetres, slightly less than the entire housing stock of Spain.
  16. SergeUse pictures.
  17. SergeWe thought builders would be the biggest problem (favor low fixed cost, low efficiency solution). We discovered RIVEC can help them meet efficiency standards at LOWER costTriple Value Proposition:Lower capital cost than other efficiency measuresReduces operating costs for consumer (energy)Better air quality maintenance
  18. SergeUse pictures.
  19. SergeUse pictures.