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Last spring your lab planted ten seedlings and two survived the winter. Let o be the probability
that a seedling survives the winter. (a) Assuming a uniform prior distribution for 8, compute its
posterior mean and standard deviation. (b) Assuming the same prior as in (a), compute and
interpret the 95% central posterior interval. (c) If you plan another 10 seedlings next year, what
is the posterior probability that at least one will survive the winter?

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Last spring your lab planted ten seedlings and two survived the wint.pdf

  • 1. Last spring your lab planted ten seedlings and two survived the winter. Let o be the probability that a seedling survives the winter. (a) Assuming a uniform prior distribution for 8, compute its posterior mean and standard deviation. (b) Assuming the same prior as in (a), compute and interpret the 95% central posterior interval. (c) If you plan another 10 seedlings next year, what is the posterior probability that at least one will survive the winter?