SlideShare una empresa de Scribd logo
1 de 35
Why aren’t children
        Learning?
     Abhijit Vinayak Banerjee
Department of Economics and
  Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty
               Action Lab, MIT
We should have been
celebrating
   The last two decades have been decades of
    enormous expansion in education
   In many parts of both East and West Africa
    and almost all over South Asia, school
    enrolment has grown very rapidly
   In many of these places school enrolment
    rates are now over 90% in the 6-12 age
    group
Primary school enrollment rates
                                                Source: UNESCO EFA Global
                                                Monitoring Report 2009
100% East   Asia


 90% Latin   America


       World
 80%
       All developing countries
       Arab States
 70%
       South Asia


 60%



       Sub Saharan Africa
 50%



 40%
   1991        1993     1995      1997   1999        2001      2003     2005
Yet
   One senses a certain despondency

   Children enrolled in school does not
    seem to imply children are learning
   According to ASER, 59% of 4th graders
    and 44% of the 5th graders India read
    below the 2nd grade level
     76% of 4th graders and 63% of 5th
      graders cannot do simple divisions
   Very similar results in Pakistan (LEAPs
    report), Kenya (Duflo, Dupas and
    Kremer)
What is the problem?
What could be the problem?
1.   Lack of inputs: textbooks, flipcharts etc
2.   Shortage of teachers
3.   Teaching/pedagogy
4.   Lack of demand
5.   Distorted beliefs
What do we know
   There is both evidence from RCTs and non-
    RCTs.
   I will focus on RCTs with an occasional
    mention of the non-RCT studies
Evidence on inputs
   Multiple studies by Kremer et al. in Kenya
   Essentially none of them found any impact
   Limited exception: Textbooks matter for the
    best performing children
   On the other hand access to schools
    definitely matters.
       Duflo on INPRES
   Spending time in school also matters
       Spohr on Taiwan.
RCT Evidence on Teacher-
student ratio
   Very little evidence of a positive effect
   In Udaipur, RCT in the mid 1990s (Banerjee-Kremer-
    Jacob).
       20 randomly chosen schools got an extra teacher
       School attendance went up. No change in test scores
   In Vadodara and Mumbai, implementation of the
    Balsakhi (children’s friend program) in the early 2000s.
       Pull-out program for remedial education
       No improvement in those predicted to be left behind
   Similar results from Kenya (Duflo-Dupas-Kremer) in the
    late 2000s
Teachers
   High absence rates                     Absence rates for primary schools
    have now been                     27
    documented in many   25
                                                                25

    countries
                                                                                  19
    (World Absenteeism   20

                                                    16
    Survey)              15                                                                     14

                                                                                                        11
                         10


                         5


                         0




                                                                                                       ru
                                                    h
                                  a




                                                                                            r
                                                           a




                                                                              a




                                                                                           do
                                 nd




                                                           di
                                                 es




                                                                           si




                                                                                                     Pe
                                                         In




                                                                        ne




                                                                                         ua
                                              ad
                               ga




                                                                       do




                                                                                       Ec
                                              gl
                              U



                                            an




                                                                     In
                                           B
Teaching works
   Is absence a serious
    problem: evidence from a
    randomized trial of cameras
    in Rajasthan, India, for
    monitoring teacher presence
    with presence based
    incentives in NGO schools
    (Duflo, Hanna, Ryan)

   Absence dropped from 42%
    to 21%.Test scores went up
    by about 0.2 standard
    deviations
   Muralidharan’s results
Evidence on pedagogy:
Remedial teaching
   The remedial education program mentioned
    before tested in two cities
   High school educated teachers help paid
    Rs.1000 a month
   Very large effects on test scores of the lowest
    performing children after a year.
   Even bigger after two years (0.6 sd)
Learning to read
   Results from a randomized experiment in Jaunpur, India
   This is an area where child attendance is 50%
   15 percent of children age 7 to 14 could not recognize a letter;
   Only 39 percent could read and understand a simple story (of
    grade 1 level);
   38 percent could not recognize numbers.
   In 65 randomly chosen villages Pratham, an educational
    NGO, recruited volunteers through information and discussion
    of learning levels.
   In each village several “volunteers” with high school education
    were given one week training on how to teach reading
Children can learn fast…
Children can learn fast…

   Volunteers conducted evening “camp” for 2 months.
   A year later, the average child who could not read
    anything at baseline and who attended the camp was 60
    percentage points more likely to decipher letters
   The average child who attended the camp and who
    could decipher letters, but not words, in the baseline was
    26 percentage points more likely to be able to read and
    understand a story compared to control
   Combined with natural progress over a year, this means
    that 100% of those who attended could read letters
   35% of those who could do letters now read stories
Summer schools
   Bihar.
   Government school teachers were given
    some special training and conducted summer
    school classes for four to six weeks
   Large gains (0.2 sd in treatment villages but
    only 17.5% attended)
   The average child who attended gained ½ a
    level (i.e nothing to word, word to para, para
    to story)
Tracking
   In Kenyan government schools
   Started with huge class sizes; extra local
    teachers hired to allow smaller classes
   Some randomly chosen classes were divided in
    two based on past performance of the children
   Others were divided randomly.
   The children in both the tracked classrooms did
    better at all points of the distribution (0.2 sd)
Reading to learn
   Also in Bihar
   Version of remedial education targeted at
    children who can read
   Materials plus volunteers trained in how to
    use them
   Large gains among high performing kids as
    well.
   No gains in the absence of the volunteers
Computer assisted learning
   Most evidence from the OECD suggest
    computers do not help
   Potentially very different in developing
    countries
   RCT in India at the same time as the
    Balsakhi study. Gains of 0.47 sd in math
    scores.
   On the other hand OLPC study found nothing
   Structured curriculum versus “freedom”
Evidence on demand
   Some evidence of low child/parent motivation
    Child attendance rates in ASER is around
    70% on days when school is open
   However child motivation is in part an
    outcome of the teaching/learning
    environment.
   If you are totally lost in class then it is hard to
    be motivated
The Jaunpur program worked but…
   Only 8% of children (13% of those who
    could not read) attended camp
   Did parents know that there was a
    problem?
   Pratham did an extensive campaign in
    130 of these villages testing a large
    fraction of the children, teaching parents
    how to test, and sharing the results
   Did not do anything to complain to the
    school system or shift children to a better
    school (even absent the camps)
   Consistent with evidence from Pakistan
    that parents in (randomly chosen)
    villages that got a negative “school report
    card” don’t shift their children.             Part of the other 92%
Direct evidence of demand
effects
   Foster and Rosenzweig: effect of HYV
   Kremer, Miguel, Thornton (2008): effect of $20
    scholarship for top 15% performers
       Girls in Kenya
       Effect of 0.2 sd on girls
       Effect on teacher effort
       Effect of 0.1 sd on boys and on girls unlikely to
        win the prize
More on demand effects
   Jensen (2009): effect of information about
    opening of call centers on school
    participation among girls In India
   Jensen (2005): Effect of information about
    returns to education in Dominican Republic
   Berry (2008): Small bonus for doing well for
    first graders either for child or for parent
       Overall incentive effect
       Which is better depends on parental involvment
Is it all demand?

   One way to look at this is to look at children who go to private
    schools. Demand driven
   Lot of self-selection
    (though in South
    Asia, less than one
    would imagine
    because of the $1 a
    month private
    schools).
   Without taking self-
    selection into
    account
    (from Desai et al.):
But do private schools offer
better education?


       Fig. 4. Distribution of Reading Skill by                            Fig. 5. Distribution of Arithmatic
                      School Type                                                 Skills by School Type
                         Government        Private                                      Government    Private
                                                                47                 37
                                                                                                                        34
                                                                                                            31
                                                                                          26          24
                                                           27         21
                              24                22   22                                                            17
               15                     16
  12                11                                                     10
        5


Can not read   Letters         Words           Paragraph    Story    No Numbers    Numbers           Subtraction   Division
Controlling for Selection into
private schools
   Educated, higher income parents send their children to
    private schools
   Using family fixed effects the private school effect
     +0.31*** for reading skills
     +0.22*** for arithmetic skills
   There is probably some self-selection in that since
    parents discriminate.
   Comparable to the Rajasthan incentive study (the benefit
    of pure attendance)
   Ambiguous results from Andhra Pradesh vouchers
    experiment.
On the other hand
   Much bigger effects from pedagogical
    interventions
       In other words, private school teaching is much less
        effective, at least in improving the performance of the
        weakest children, than these often brief interventions
        by motivated but poorly trained teachers.
   Suggests that demand is not the only problem

   What could be going on?
What could be going on: some
hypotheses
   The universally shared
    (private schools/public
    schools) pedagogy is
    grossly inappropriate

   Based on covering
    material rather than
    generating learning.
Education as a lottery
Education as a lottery
   Consistent with a theory that says that parents see
    education as a gamble with long odds: if my child is
    smart she will make it and get a government job.
    Otherwise too bad. No point fighting fate
   Happy to give it a shot, but starting from a essentialist
    view of the child’s capacity
   Unfortunately, given the schools, they may well be right.
   Teachers also take the same view and aim to serve the
    top students only.
   Children also
   All the evidence suggest that they are probably wrong
The theory fits with..
   Parents discriminate between children, want
    to pick the “intelligent” child for private
    schooling (evidence in LEAPS in Pakistan)
   Parents in Madagascar say that 70% of those
    who will complete schooling will get a
    government job. The truth is 33%
   On average get the returns to schooling right
       But enormous dispersion—some overestimate,
        many underestimate (and under-invest)
It explains
   Why the returns to remedial education are so
    high
   Why tracking works?
   Why government teachers perform so
    differently in summer schools?
   Why textbooks only work for the best children
   Why private schools do not do much better
What is to be done?
   Change pedagogy: focus
    on integrating the various
    Pratham innovations, for
    example, into regular
    teaching.
       This is what Pratham is
        trying to do all over India:
       Doesn’t seem to work yet
        with government teachers
   Tracking?
   More flexible schooling
   More scholarships
What more
   Change incentives: create more proximate goals that
    teachers can hit rather than focus on one public exam
   Change parental perceptions: Trials in Dominican
    Republic and Madagascar that gave parents information
    on the average returns on education increased test
    scores
     0.2 standard deviation gains overall in Madagascar,
       0.4 among those parents who underestimate returns
     Child attendance went up by 3.5 percentage points on
       average.
   More use of ICT
Intrerpeting education results

Más contenido relacionado

Destacado

Workshop Social Media - FNV Bondgenoten vrijdag 4 maart 2011
Workshop Social Media - FNV Bondgenoten vrijdag 4 maart 2011Workshop Social Media - FNV Bondgenoten vrijdag 4 maart 2011
Workshop Social Media - FNV Bondgenoten vrijdag 4 maart 2011
Wieger Waardenburg
 
Διάφοροι τύποι μισθών
Διάφοροι τύποι μισθώνΔιάφοροι τύποι μισθών
Διάφοροι τύποι μισθών
atanatsis
 
Manitoulin 2014
Manitoulin 2014Manitoulin 2014
Manitoulin 2014
jaccalder
 
火柴人的故事
火柴人的故事火柴人的故事
火柴人的故事
TerryChien
 
Solucion lectura 3[1]
Solucion lectura 3[1]Solucion lectura 3[1]
Solucion lectura 3[1]
guest531f33
 
Osb studija slucaja sgsb-a.ppt [compatibility m
Osb studija slucaja sgsb-a.ppt [compatibility mOsb studija slucaja sgsb-a.ppt [compatibility m
Osb studija slucaja sgsb-a.ppt [compatibility m
Oracle Hrvatska
 
Charla con funcionarios versión corta
Charla con funcionarios versión cortaCharla con funcionarios versión corta
Charla con funcionarios versión corta
luzserrano
 

Destacado (20)

The animals
The animalsThe animals
The animals
 
Study Abroad In A Transparent World
Study Abroad In A Transparent WorldStudy Abroad In A Transparent World
Study Abroad In A Transparent World
 
Workshop Social Media - FNV Bondgenoten vrijdag 4 maart 2011
Workshop Social Media - FNV Bondgenoten vrijdag 4 maart 2011Workshop Social Media - FNV Bondgenoten vrijdag 4 maart 2011
Workshop Social Media - FNV Bondgenoten vrijdag 4 maart 2011
 
Presentatie Social Media - FNV Bondgenoten
Presentatie Social Media - FNV BondgenotenPresentatie Social Media - FNV Bondgenoten
Presentatie Social Media - FNV Bondgenoten
 
Topshops Malik
Topshops MalikTopshops Malik
Topshops Malik
 
Διάφοροι τύποι μισθών
Διάφοροι τύποι μισθώνΔιάφοροι τύποι μισθών
Διάφοροι τύποι μισθών
 
Space Camp - Barcelona - English
Space Camp - Barcelona - EnglishSpace Camp - Barcelona - English
Space Camp - Barcelona - English
 
Manitoulin 2014
Manitoulin 2014Manitoulin 2014
Manitoulin 2014
 
Maternal and Child Anemia- Why, what works, what needs more work?
Maternal and Child Anemia- Why, what works, what needs more work?Maternal and Child Anemia- Why, what works, what needs more work?
Maternal and Child Anemia- Why, what works, what needs more work?
 
火柴人的故事
火柴人的故事火柴人的故事
火柴人的故事
 
Xmseng
XmsengXmseng
Xmseng
 
【营销咨询】20101103中粮我买网营销咨询项目建议书
【营销咨询】20101103中粮我买网营销咨询项目建议书【营销咨询】20101103中粮我买网营销咨询项目建议书
【营销咨询】20101103中粮我买网营销咨询项目建议书
 
microwaves
microwavesmicrowaves
microwaves
 
xarxes
xarxesxarxes
xarxes
 
Solucion lectura 3[1]
Solucion lectura 3[1]Solucion lectura 3[1]
Solucion lectura 3[1]
 
Osb studija slucaja sgsb-a.ppt [compatibility m
Osb studija slucaja sgsb-a.ppt [compatibility mOsb studija slucaja sgsb-a.ppt [compatibility m
Osb studija slucaja sgsb-a.ppt [compatibility m
 
Informal Learning Evidence in Online Communities of Mobile Device Enthusiasts...
Informal Learning Evidence in Online Communities of Mobile Device Enthusiasts...Informal Learning Evidence in Online Communities of Mobile Device Enthusiasts...
Informal Learning Evidence in Online Communities of Mobile Device Enthusiasts...
 
Transit 2050 (oct 2012)
Transit 2050 (oct 2012)Transit 2050 (oct 2012)
Transit 2050 (oct 2012)
 
Description
DescriptionDescription
Description
 
Charla con funcionarios versión corta
Charla con funcionarios versión cortaCharla con funcionarios versión corta
Charla con funcionarios versión corta
 

Similar a Intrerpeting education results

Teacher perceptionlisa debbie++++final[1]
Teacher perceptionlisa debbie++++final[1]Teacher perceptionlisa debbie++++final[1]
Teacher perceptionlisa debbie++++final[1]
lmm323
 
Annual status of education report
Annual status of education reportAnnual status of education report
Annual status of education report
pratyush227
 
Scaling Up Development - Oct. 29, 2013
Scaling Up Development - Oct. 29, 2013Scaling Up Development - Oct. 29, 2013
Scaling Up Development - Oct. 29, 2013
Aaron King
 
Chapte 1 Over
Chapte  1 OverChapte  1 Over
Chapte 1 Over
MaximaSheffield592
 
Leading the Instructional Program and its effect on Academic Achievement of s...
Leading the Instructional Program and its effect on Academic Achievement of s...Leading the Instructional Program and its effect on Academic Achievement of s...
Leading the Instructional Program and its effect on Academic Achievement of s...
inventionjournals
 
Research paper (pre ed 2)
Research paper (pre ed 2)Research paper (pre ed 2)
Research paper (pre ed 2)
Ysa Garcera
 

Similar a Intrerpeting education results (20)

Teacher perceptionlisa debbie++++final[1]
Teacher perceptionlisa debbie++++final[1]Teacher perceptionlisa debbie++++final[1]
Teacher perceptionlisa debbie++++final[1]
 
Vajra
VajraVajra
Vajra
 
Annual status of education report
Annual status of education reportAnnual status of education report
Annual status of education report
 
Scaling Up Development - Oct. 29, 2013
Scaling Up Development - Oct. 29, 2013Scaling Up Development - Oct. 29, 2013
Scaling Up Development - Oct. 29, 2013
 
How to Get the Most Out of Education Impact Evaluations
How to Get the Most Out of Education Impact EvaluationsHow to Get the Most Out of Education Impact Evaluations
How to Get the Most Out of Education Impact Evaluations
 
Chronic-Absence-Background-Spring-2014.pptx
Chronic-Absence-Background-Spring-2014.pptxChronic-Absence-Background-Spring-2014.pptx
Chronic-Absence-Background-Spring-2014.pptx
 
High School Online Credit Recovery
High School Online Credit RecoveryHigh School Online Credit Recovery
High School Online Credit Recovery
 
Chapte 1 Over
Chapte  1 OverChapte  1 Over
Chapte 1 Over
 
Early childhood as a priority for sustainable education systems in ethiopia
Early childhood as a priority for sustainable education systems in ethiopiaEarly childhood as a priority for sustainable education systems in ethiopia
Early childhood as a priority for sustainable education systems in ethiopia
 
CoSN 2012 Presentation
CoSN 2012 PresentationCoSN 2012 Presentation
CoSN 2012 Presentation
 
Leading the Instructional Program and its effect on Academic Achievement of s...
Leading the Instructional Program and its effect on Academic Achievement of s...Leading the Instructional Program and its effect on Academic Achievement of s...
Leading the Instructional Program and its effect on Academic Achievement of s...
 
Education in economic development South Africa
Education in economic development South AfricaEducation in economic development South Africa
Education in economic development South Africa
 
Shannon Knight
Shannon KnightShannon Knight
Shannon Knight
 
Educate the future save the children_Save
Educate the future save the children_SaveEducate the future save the children_Save
Educate the future save the children_Save
 
Research paper (pre ed 2)
Research paper (pre ed 2)Research paper (pre ed 2)
Research paper (pre ed 2)
 
123India
123India123India
123India
 
WEareSAKSHAM
WEareSAKSHAMWEareSAKSHAM
WEareSAKSHAM
 
SCHOOL survey indicates widening educational gap between SC/ST and other chil...
SCHOOL survey indicates widening educational gap between SC/ST and other chil...SCHOOL survey indicates widening educational gap between SC/ST and other chil...
SCHOOL survey indicates widening educational gap between SC/ST and other chil...
 
Primary-Education-1
Primary-Education-1Primary-Education-1
Primary-Education-1
 
[Challenge:Future] FoT
[Challenge:Future] FoT[Challenge:Future] FoT
[Challenge:Future] FoT
 

Último

The basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptx
The basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptxThe basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptx
The basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptx
heathfieldcps1
 
Making and Justifying Mathematical Decisions.pdf
Making and Justifying Mathematical Decisions.pdfMaking and Justifying Mathematical Decisions.pdf
Making and Justifying Mathematical Decisions.pdf
Chris Hunter
 

Último (20)

The basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptx
The basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptxThe basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptx
The basics of sentences session 3pptx.pptx
 
INDIA QUIZ 2024 RLAC DELHI UNIVERSITY.pptx
INDIA QUIZ 2024 RLAC DELHI UNIVERSITY.pptxINDIA QUIZ 2024 RLAC DELHI UNIVERSITY.pptx
INDIA QUIZ 2024 RLAC DELHI UNIVERSITY.pptx
 
This PowerPoint helps students to consider the concept of infinity.
This PowerPoint helps students to consider the concept of infinity.This PowerPoint helps students to consider the concept of infinity.
This PowerPoint helps students to consider the concept of infinity.
 
Measures of Dispersion and Variability: Range, QD, AD and SD
Measures of Dispersion and Variability: Range, QD, AD and SDMeasures of Dispersion and Variability: Range, QD, AD and SD
Measures of Dispersion and Variability: Range, QD, AD and SD
 
Application orientated numerical on hev.ppt
Application orientated numerical on hev.pptApplication orientated numerical on hev.ppt
Application orientated numerical on hev.ppt
 
Explore beautiful and ugly buildings. Mathematics helps us create beautiful d...
Explore beautiful and ugly buildings. Mathematics helps us create beautiful d...Explore beautiful and ugly buildings. Mathematics helps us create beautiful d...
Explore beautiful and ugly buildings. Mathematics helps us create beautiful d...
 
Unit-IV; Professional Sales Representative (PSR).pptx
Unit-IV; Professional Sales Representative (PSR).pptxUnit-IV; Professional Sales Representative (PSR).pptx
Unit-IV; Professional Sales Representative (PSR).pptx
 
How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17
How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17
How to Give a Domain for a Field in Odoo 17
 
Unit-IV- Pharma. Marketing Channels.pptx
Unit-IV- Pharma. Marketing Channels.pptxUnit-IV- Pharma. Marketing Channels.pptx
Unit-IV- Pharma. Marketing Channels.pptx
 
Making and Justifying Mathematical Decisions.pdf
Making and Justifying Mathematical Decisions.pdfMaking and Justifying Mathematical Decisions.pdf
Making and Justifying Mathematical Decisions.pdf
 
On National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan Fellows
On National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan FellowsOn National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan Fellows
On National Teacher Day, meet the 2024-25 Kenan Fellows
 
Advanced Views - Calendar View in Odoo 17
Advanced Views - Calendar View in Odoo 17Advanced Views - Calendar View in Odoo 17
Advanced Views - Calendar View in Odoo 17
 
Role Of Transgenic Animal In Target Validation-1.pptx
Role Of Transgenic Animal In Target Validation-1.pptxRole Of Transgenic Animal In Target Validation-1.pptx
Role Of Transgenic Animal In Target Validation-1.pptx
 
Nutritional Needs Presentation - HLTH 104
Nutritional Needs Presentation - HLTH 104Nutritional Needs Presentation - HLTH 104
Nutritional Needs Presentation - HLTH 104
 
Micro-Scholarship, What it is, How can it help me.pdf
Micro-Scholarship, What it is, How can it help me.pdfMicro-Scholarship, What it is, How can it help me.pdf
Micro-Scholarship, What it is, How can it help me.pdf
 
Class 11th Physics NEET formula sheet pdf
Class 11th Physics NEET formula sheet pdfClass 11th Physics NEET formula sheet pdf
Class 11th Physics NEET formula sheet pdf
 
General Principles of Intellectual Property: Concepts of Intellectual Proper...
General Principles of Intellectual Property: Concepts of Intellectual  Proper...General Principles of Intellectual Property: Concepts of Intellectual  Proper...
General Principles of Intellectual Property: Concepts of Intellectual Proper...
 
Asian American Pacific Islander Month DDSD 2024.pptx
Asian American Pacific Islander Month DDSD 2024.pptxAsian American Pacific Islander Month DDSD 2024.pptx
Asian American Pacific Islander Month DDSD 2024.pptx
 
Sociology 101 Demonstration of Learning Exhibit
Sociology 101 Demonstration of Learning ExhibitSociology 101 Demonstration of Learning Exhibit
Sociology 101 Demonstration of Learning Exhibit
 
TỔNG ÔN TẬP THI VÀO LỚP 10 MÔN TIẾNG ANH NĂM HỌC 2023 - 2024 CÓ ĐÁP ÁN (NGỮ Â...
TỔNG ÔN TẬP THI VÀO LỚP 10 MÔN TIẾNG ANH NĂM HỌC 2023 - 2024 CÓ ĐÁP ÁN (NGỮ Â...TỔNG ÔN TẬP THI VÀO LỚP 10 MÔN TIẾNG ANH NĂM HỌC 2023 - 2024 CÓ ĐÁP ÁN (NGỮ Â...
TỔNG ÔN TẬP THI VÀO LỚP 10 MÔN TIẾNG ANH NĂM HỌC 2023 - 2024 CÓ ĐÁP ÁN (NGỮ Â...
 

Intrerpeting education results

  • 1. Why aren’t children Learning? Abhijit Vinayak Banerjee Department of Economics and Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty Action Lab, MIT
  • 2. We should have been celebrating  The last two decades have been decades of enormous expansion in education  In many parts of both East and West Africa and almost all over South Asia, school enrolment has grown very rapidly  In many of these places school enrolment rates are now over 90% in the 6-12 age group
  • 3. Primary school enrollment rates Source: UNESCO EFA Global Monitoring Report 2009 100% East Asia 90% Latin America World 80% All developing countries Arab States 70% South Asia 60% Sub Saharan Africa 50% 40% 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005
  • 4. Yet  One senses a certain despondency  Children enrolled in school does not seem to imply children are learning  According to ASER, 59% of 4th graders and 44% of the 5th graders India read below the 2nd grade level  76% of 4th graders and 63% of 5th graders cannot do simple divisions  Very similar results in Pakistan (LEAPs report), Kenya (Duflo, Dupas and Kremer)
  • 5. What is the problem?
  • 6. What could be the problem? 1. Lack of inputs: textbooks, flipcharts etc 2. Shortage of teachers 3. Teaching/pedagogy 4. Lack of demand 5. Distorted beliefs
  • 7. What do we know  There is both evidence from RCTs and non- RCTs.  I will focus on RCTs with an occasional mention of the non-RCT studies
  • 8. Evidence on inputs  Multiple studies by Kremer et al. in Kenya  Essentially none of them found any impact  Limited exception: Textbooks matter for the best performing children  On the other hand access to schools definitely matters.  Duflo on INPRES  Spending time in school also matters  Spohr on Taiwan.
  • 9. RCT Evidence on Teacher- student ratio  Very little evidence of a positive effect  In Udaipur, RCT in the mid 1990s (Banerjee-Kremer- Jacob).  20 randomly chosen schools got an extra teacher  School attendance went up. No change in test scores  In Vadodara and Mumbai, implementation of the Balsakhi (children’s friend program) in the early 2000s.  Pull-out program for remedial education  No improvement in those predicted to be left behind  Similar results from Kenya (Duflo-Dupas-Kremer) in the late 2000s
  • 10. Teachers  High absence rates Absence rates for primary schools have now been 27 documented in many 25 25 countries 19 (World Absenteeism 20 16 Survey) 15 14 11 10 5 0 ru h a r a a do nd di es si Pe In ne ua ad ga do Ec gl U an In B
  • 11. Teaching works  Is absence a serious problem: evidence from a randomized trial of cameras in Rajasthan, India, for monitoring teacher presence with presence based incentives in NGO schools (Duflo, Hanna, Ryan)  Absence dropped from 42% to 21%.Test scores went up by about 0.2 standard deviations  Muralidharan’s results
  • 12. Evidence on pedagogy: Remedial teaching  The remedial education program mentioned before tested in two cities  High school educated teachers help paid Rs.1000 a month  Very large effects on test scores of the lowest performing children after a year.  Even bigger after two years (0.6 sd)
  • 13. Learning to read  Results from a randomized experiment in Jaunpur, India  This is an area where child attendance is 50%  15 percent of children age 7 to 14 could not recognize a letter;  Only 39 percent could read and understand a simple story (of grade 1 level);  38 percent could not recognize numbers.  In 65 randomly chosen villages Pratham, an educational NGO, recruited volunteers through information and discussion of learning levels.  In each village several “volunteers” with high school education were given one week training on how to teach reading
  • 15. Children can learn fast…  Volunteers conducted evening “camp” for 2 months.  A year later, the average child who could not read anything at baseline and who attended the camp was 60 percentage points more likely to decipher letters  The average child who attended the camp and who could decipher letters, but not words, in the baseline was 26 percentage points more likely to be able to read and understand a story compared to control  Combined with natural progress over a year, this means that 100% of those who attended could read letters  35% of those who could do letters now read stories
  • 16. Summer schools  Bihar.  Government school teachers were given some special training and conducted summer school classes for four to six weeks  Large gains (0.2 sd in treatment villages but only 17.5% attended)  The average child who attended gained ½ a level (i.e nothing to word, word to para, para to story)
  • 17. Tracking  In Kenyan government schools  Started with huge class sizes; extra local teachers hired to allow smaller classes  Some randomly chosen classes were divided in two based on past performance of the children  Others were divided randomly.  The children in both the tracked classrooms did better at all points of the distribution (0.2 sd)
  • 18. Reading to learn  Also in Bihar  Version of remedial education targeted at children who can read  Materials plus volunteers trained in how to use them  Large gains among high performing kids as well.  No gains in the absence of the volunteers
  • 19. Computer assisted learning  Most evidence from the OECD suggest computers do not help  Potentially very different in developing countries  RCT in India at the same time as the Balsakhi study. Gains of 0.47 sd in math scores.  On the other hand OLPC study found nothing  Structured curriculum versus “freedom”
  • 20. Evidence on demand  Some evidence of low child/parent motivation  Child attendance rates in ASER is around 70% on days when school is open  However child motivation is in part an outcome of the teaching/learning environment.  If you are totally lost in class then it is hard to be motivated
  • 21. The Jaunpur program worked but…  Only 8% of children (13% of those who could not read) attended camp  Did parents know that there was a problem?  Pratham did an extensive campaign in 130 of these villages testing a large fraction of the children, teaching parents how to test, and sharing the results  Did not do anything to complain to the school system or shift children to a better school (even absent the camps)  Consistent with evidence from Pakistan that parents in (randomly chosen) villages that got a negative “school report card” don’t shift their children. Part of the other 92%
  • 22. Direct evidence of demand effects  Foster and Rosenzweig: effect of HYV  Kremer, Miguel, Thornton (2008): effect of $20 scholarship for top 15% performers  Girls in Kenya  Effect of 0.2 sd on girls  Effect on teacher effort  Effect of 0.1 sd on boys and on girls unlikely to win the prize
  • 23. More on demand effects  Jensen (2009): effect of information about opening of call centers on school participation among girls In India  Jensen (2005): Effect of information about returns to education in Dominican Republic  Berry (2008): Small bonus for doing well for first graders either for child or for parent  Overall incentive effect  Which is better depends on parental involvment
  • 24. Is it all demand?  One way to look at this is to look at children who go to private schools. Demand driven  Lot of self-selection (though in South Asia, less than one would imagine because of the $1 a month private schools).  Without taking self- selection into account (from Desai et al.):
  • 25. But do private schools offer better education? Fig. 4. Distribution of Reading Skill by Fig. 5. Distribution of Arithmatic School Type Skills by School Type Government Private Government Private 47 37 34 31 26 24 27 21 24 22 22 17 15 16 12 11 10 5 Can not read Letters Words Paragraph Story No Numbers Numbers Subtraction Division
  • 26. Controlling for Selection into private schools  Educated, higher income parents send their children to private schools  Using family fixed effects the private school effect  +0.31*** for reading skills  +0.22*** for arithmetic skills  There is probably some self-selection in that since parents discriminate.  Comparable to the Rajasthan incentive study (the benefit of pure attendance)  Ambiguous results from Andhra Pradesh vouchers experiment.
  • 27. On the other hand  Much bigger effects from pedagogical interventions  In other words, private school teaching is much less effective, at least in improving the performance of the weakest children, than these often brief interventions by motivated but poorly trained teachers.  Suggests that demand is not the only problem  What could be going on?
  • 28. What could be going on: some hypotheses  The universally shared (private schools/public schools) pedagogy is grossly inappropriate  Based on covering material rather than generating learning.
  • 29. Education as a lottery
  • 30. Education as a lottery  Consistent with a theory that says that parents see education as a gamble with long odds: if my child is smart she will make it and get a government job. Otherwise too bad. No point fighting fate  Happy to give it a shot, but starting from a essentialist view of the child’s capacity  Unfortunately, given the schools, they may well be right.  Teachers also take the same view and aim to serve the top students only.  Children also  All the evidence suggest that they are probably wrong
  • 31. The theory fits with..  Parents discriminate between children, want to pick the “intelligent” child for private schooling (evidence in LEAPS in Pakistan)  Parents in Madagascar say that 70% of those who will complete schooling will get a government job. The truth is 33%  On average get the returns to schooling right  But enormous dispersion—some overestimate, many underestimate (and under-invest)
  • 32. It explains  Why the returns to remedial education are so high  Why tracking works?  Why government teachers perform so differently in summer schools?  Why textbooks only work for the best children  Why private schools do not do much better
  • 33. What is to be done?  Change pedagogy: focus on integrating the various Pratham innovations, for example, into regular teaching.  This is what Pratham is trying to do all over India:  Doesn’t seem to work yet with government teachers  Tracking?  More flexible schooling  More scholarships
  • 34. What more  Change incentives: create more proximate goals that teachers can hit rather than focus on one public exam  Change parental perceptions: Trials in Dominican Republic and Madagascar that gave parents information on the average returns on education increased test scores  0.2 standard deviation gains overall in Madagascar, 0.4 among those parents who underestimate returns  Child attendance went up by 3.5 percentage points on average.  More use of ICT