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Game Theory




Moral Hazard
               Sandeep Gunjan
               Ashok Bhardwaj
               Khyati Bhola
What is moral “Hazard”?
In economic theory, moral hazard refers to a situation in which a
party makes a decision about how much risk to take, while another
party bears the costs if things go badly, and the party insulated from
risk behaves differently from how it would if it were fully exposed to
the risk.
It is the form of
    • Post contractual opportunism
    • That arises because actions that have efficiency consequences
    are not freely observable (monitoring problem)
    • So the person taking them may choose to pursue his or her
    private interests at others’ expense
Moral Hazard Term History

According to research by Dembe and Boden, the term
dates back to the 17th century, and was widely used by
English insurance companies by the late 19th century.
Early usage of the term carried negative connotations,
implying fraud or immoral behaviour (usually on the part
of an insured party).
Moral Hazard Game
            Player 1

            3              1
                     0

      Player 2 0,0          Player 2
  -3       3                       1
                           -1



3,3                      -1,1    1,1.5
               3,2
Moral Hazard Example: Insurance
For example, a person with insurance against
automobile theft may be less cautious about locking
his or her car, because the negative consequences of
vehicle theft are (partially) the responsibility of the
insurance company. Below are some more examples
of Moral Hazard:-
• Fire Insurance
• Term Life Insurance (?)
• Health Insurance
Moral Hazard Example: Finance
Moral hazard also occur with borrowers. Borrowers may not
act prudently (in the view of the lender) when they invest or
spend funds recklessly.

For example, credit card companies often limit the amount
borrowers can spend with their cards, because without such
limits borrowers may spend borrowed funds recklessly, leading
to default.
Moral Hazard Example: Politician

• Elected people has public trust. Which can not be
  cannot usually be monitored much of the time.
• They may pursue their personal interests rather than
  those of the public.
Moral Hazard Example: Management
•    Senior Management members may pursue their own goals of
     status, high salaries, expensive perks, and job security rather
     than the stockholders’ interests
•    They may push sales growth over profits.
•    They may treat themselves to huge staffs and corporate jets.
•    They may oppose takeovers that would oust them and increase
     the value of the firm.
•    Senior Management members may ignore the shareholder’s
    rightful claims, building   executive offices that are not exactly
    Spartan by nature.
Illustration

      In the presence of uncertainty:
Assign the risk to the better informed party.
    Efficiency and greater profits result.


The more risks are transferred to the well-
informed party, the more profit is earned.




                     •9
Warning

      In the presence of uncertainty:
Assign the risk to the better informed party.
    Efficiency and greater profits result.

                   BUT
           If done imprecisely,
        may be better not to bother.




                    •10
Thank you.

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Moral hazard

  • 1. Game Theory Moral Hazard Sandeep Gunjan Ashok Bhardwaj Khyati Bhola
  • 2. What is moral “Hazard”? In economic theory, moral hazard refers to a situation in which a party makes a decision about how much risk to take, while another party bears the costs if things go badly, and the party insulated from risk behaves differently from how it would if it were fully exposed to the risk. It is the form of • Post contractual opportunism • That arises because actions that have efficiency consequences are not freely observable (monitoring problem) • So the person taking them may choose to pursue his or her private interests at others’ expense
  • 3. Moral Hazard Term History According to research by Dembe and Boden, the term dates back to the 17th century, and was widely used by English insurance companies by the late 19th century. Early usage of the term carried negative connotations, implying fraud or immoral behaviour (usually on the part of an insured party).
  • 4. Moral Hazard Game Player 1 3 1 0 Player 2 0,0 Player 2 -3 3 1 -1 3,3 -1,1 1,1.5 3,2
  • 5. Moral Hazard Example: Insurance For example, a person with insurance against automobile theft may be less cautious about locking his or her car, because the negative consequences of vehicle theft are (partially) the responsibility of the insurance company. Below are some more examples of Moral Hazard:- • Fire Insurance • Term Life Insurance (?) • Health Insurance
  • 6. Moral Hazard Example: Finance Moral hazard also occur with borrowers. Borrowers may not act prudently (in the view of the lender) when they invest or spend funds recklessly. For example, credit card companies often limit the amount borrowers can spend with their cards, because without such limits borrowers may spend borrowed funds recklessly, leading to default.
  • 7. Moral Hazard Example: Politician • Elected people has public trust. Which can not be cannot usually be monitored much of the time. • They may pursue their personal interests rather than those of the public.
  • 8. Moral Hazard Example: Management • Senior Management members may pursue their own goals of status, high salaries, expensive perks, and job security rather than the stockholders’ interests • They may push sales growth over profits. • They may treat themselves to huge staffs and corporate jets. • They may oppose takeovers that would oust them and increase the value of the firm. • Senior Management members may ignore the shareholder’s rightful claims, building executive offices that are not exactly Spartan by nature.
  • 9. Illustration In the presence of uncertainty: Assign the risk to the better informed party. Efficiency and greater profits result. The more risks are transferred to the well- informed party, the more profit is earned. •9
  • 10. Warning In the presence of uncertainty: Assign the risk to the better informed party. Efficiency and greater profits result. BUT If done imprecisely, may be better not to bother. •10