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SARS-CoV-2 Human
Movement Risk Index
Jim Young
Joel McCune
+
Geography Matters.
Geography Matters
(in a pandemic)
SOCIAL DISTANCING
METRICS
QUANTIFYING RISK RISK INDEX
CALCULATION
Current
Social
Distancing
Metrics
• Normalized by population
• Some factor in distance traveled, while others
are simply based on volume
• Almost all factor out risk associated with
volume
• None quantify and identify significant grouping
locations
Quantifying Risk
Movement Risk Factors Movement Data
Veraset human movement panel
data (~5.6bil records per day)
Unique mobile device location
Analysis Environment
Databricks
ArcGIS
Workflow
1. Raw Data 2. H3 Index
3. Origin /
Destination
Analysis
4. Enrich
Origin
Location
5. Visualize
Hotspots
6. Publish
Dashboard
+
Veraset Panel Data 1. Raw Data
Spatial Index Raw Data
2. H3 Index
Generate
Origin/Destination
Trips
3. Origin /
Destination
Analysis
Risk Index
Calculation
Summarize
Summarize Index Permutations
•Home – movement origins
•Trip – movement destinations
Calculate Calculate risk index – multiply trip count by distance
Sum Sum all home and trip location permutations
Re-identify Identify home and trip location by device into h3 cells
Bin Bin observations – H3 level nine hexagons
Identify Identify dwell observations – drop high speed (over 1mph)
Who is moving?
Who is sheltering? 4. Enrich Origin
Location
5. Visualize
Hotspots
Find Statistically
Significant Areas of
Risk
Share Your Results
6. Publish
Dashboard
1. Raw Data 2. H3 Index
3. Origin /
Destination
Analysis
4. Enrich
Origin
Location
5. Visualize
Hotspots
6. Publish
Dashboard
+
+

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Geospatial Analytics at Scale: Analyzing Human Movement Patterns During a Pandemic