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Tornadogenesis: Our Current Understanding and Unanswered Questions for VORTEX2 The Second Verification of the Origins of  Rotation in Tornadoes Experiment Photo by Herb Stein Yvette Richardson  Penn State University AMS Meeting Kansas City, MO 12 February 2009
VORTEX2 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
VORTEX2 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Pre-VORTEX1 Methods ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Pre-VORTEX1 Understanding ,[object Object],[object Object],Doug Raflik   Steve Hodanish
Objectives Basic Structure of a Supercell reflectivity after Lemon and Doswell (1979) Eric Nguyen
What we knew before VORTEX1 ,[object Object],Importance of ambient horizontal vorticity from COMET
What we knew before VORTEX1  The importance of a downdraft pre-existing vertical vorticity at the surface initially negligible vertical vorticity at the surface zeroth order assumption: no baroclinity or viscous effects; vortex lines are material lines
Roberto Giudici
Courtesy of Dave Blanchard NSSL archive photo Courtesy of Dave Blanchard
Horizontal vorticity also can be generated baroclinically by buoyancy gradients associated with a storm’s cool outflow, and the tilting of this vorticity can be important in the development of low-level rotation in supercells. What we knew before VORTEX1 Importance of storm-generated horizontal vorticity    shaded and contoured Vertical cross-section across gust front
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Laboratory vortex structure depends strongly on swirl ratio What we knew before VORTEX1   Basic tornado structure Davies-Jones 1986
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],What did VORTEX1 add?
Summary of VORTEX1 Findings ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object], v ’  v ’ Shabbott  & Markowski (2006)
Summary of VORTEX1 Findings ,[object Object],nontornadic tornadic
Smaller field campaigns after VORTEX1 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Marquis et al. (2008) tornado gust fronts Bluestein et al. (2003) Wurman (2002) Lee et al. (2004)
What are the biggest unanswered questions in the study of tornadogenesis? nontornadic nontornadic tornadic nontornadic Why do storms with seemingly similar structure differ in their tornado production?
What are the biggest unanswered questions in the study of tornadogenesis? Wakimoto et al. (2004) tornadic tornadic nontornadic Why are the most intense mesocyclones not necessarily the ones most likely to be associated with tornadogenesis?
A C Wakimoto and Fujita (1981) DOW1 image from 2 June 1995 Tornadoes and low-level mesocyclones are virtually always found to have anticyclonic vorticity on the opposite side of the hook echo/RFD—such vorticity couplets suggest that the tilting of vorticity by a downdraft is important.
purely barotropic process purely baroclinic process negative buoyancy no baroclinic vorticity generation; vortex lines are frozen in the fluid; vortex lines passing through low-level vorticity maximum form U’s (not observed). observed case: vortex lines passing through low-level vorticity maximum form arches Straka, J. M., E. N. Rasmussen, R. P. Davies-Jones, and P. M. Markowski, 2007: An observational and idealized numerical examination of low-level counter-rotating vortices toward the rear flank of supercells.  E. J. Severe Storms Met. ,  2 (8), 1-22.  Markowski, P. M., J. M. Straka, E. N. Rasmussen, R. P. Davies-Jones, Y. Richardson, and J. Trapp, 2008: Vortex lines within low-level mesocyclones obtained from pseudo-dual-Doppler radar observations.  Mon. Wea. Rev. ,  136 , in press.
The fact that baroclinic vorticity generation seems to be important does not necessarily imply that TG becomes increasingly likely as the baroclinity (and cold pool strength) increase!
What are the biggest unanswered questions in the study of tornadogenesis? What role, if any, do secondary gust fronts play? Marquis et al. 2008 Wurman et al. 2007 RFD
Lewellen et al. (1997,2000,2004) What are the biggest unanswered questions in the study of tornadoes? ,[object Object]
Wurman and Alexander (2004) What are the biggest unanswered questions in the study of tornadoes? ,[object Object]
1 May 2008 Storm-environment interactions (on days when storm motion or road network is not conducive to tornadogenesis mission)   2 June 1995 cloud shadow
VORTEX2 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is needed? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
VORTEX2 Participating Instruments ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Remote Sensing
In situ measurements Tornado in-situ probes Stick Net Mobile Mesonets Rawinsondes Disdrometers
VORTEX2 Unmanned Aerial Systems ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Nested deployment strategy
If possible, take advantage of fixed observing systems in OK
Situational Awareness Display Will include mobile mesonet data, radar data, roads, and terrain Available over the mobile digital network
Vortex-2 Operations Center (VOC) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
http://www.vortex2.org

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Kansas City Ams 12 Feb2009 Evan

  • 1. Tornadogenesis: Our Current Understanding and Unanswered Questions for VORTEX2 The Second Verification of the Origins of Rotation in Tornadoes Experiment Photo by Herb Stein Yvette Richardson Penn State University AMS Meeting Kansas City, MO 12 February 2009
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Objectives Basic Structure of a Supercell reflectivity after Lemon and Doswell (1979) Eric Nguyen
  • 7.
  • 8. What we knew before VORTEX1 The importance of a downdraft pre-existing vertical vorticity at the surface initially negligible vertical vorticity at the surface zeroth order assumption: no baroclinity or viscous effects; vortex lines are material lines
  • 10. Courtesy of Dave Blanchard NSSL archive photo Courtesy of Dave Blanchard
  • 11. Horizontal vorticity also can be generated baroclinically by buoyancy gradients associated with a storm’s cool outflow, and the tilting of this vorticity can be important in the development of low-level rotation in supercells. What we knew before VORTEX1 Importance of storm-generated horizontal vorticity  shaded and contoured Vertical cross-section across gust front
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. What are the biggest unanswered questions in the study of tornadogenesis? nontornadic nontornadic tornadic nontornadic Why do storms with seemingly similar structure differ in their tornado production?
  • 18. What are the biggest unanswered questions in the study of tornadogenesis? Wakimoto et al. (2004) tornadic tornadic nontornadic Why are the most intense mesocyclones not necessarily the ones most likely to be associated with tornadogenesis?
  • 19. A C Wakimoto and Fujita (1981) DOW1 image from 2 June 1995 Tornadoes and low-level mesocyclones are virtually always found to have anticyclonic vorticity on the opposite side of the hook echo/RFD—such vorticity couplets suggest that the tilting of vorticity by a downdraft is important.
  • 20. purely barotropic process purely baroclinic process negative buoyancy no baroclinic vorticity generation; vortex lines are frozen in the fluid; vortex lines passing through low-level vorticity maximum form U’s (not observed). observed case: vortex lines passing through low-level vorticity maximum form arches Straka, J. M., E. N. Rasmussen, R. P. Davies-Jones, and P. M. Markowski, 2007: An observational and idealized numerical examination of low-level counter-rotating vortices toward the rear flank of supercells. E. J. Severe Storms Met. , 2 (8), 1-22. Markowski, P. M., J. M. Straka, E. N. Rasmussen, R. P. Davies-Jones, Y. Richardson, and J. Trapp, 2008: Vortex lines within low-level mesocyclones obtained from pseudo-dual-Doppler radar observations. Mon. Wea. Rev. , 136 , in press.
  • 21. The fact that baroclinic vorticity generation seems to be important does not necessarily imply that TG becomes increasingly likely as the baroclinity (and cold pool strength) increase!
  • 22. What are the biggest unanswered questions in the study of tornadogenesis? What role, if any, do secondary gust fronts play? Marquis et al. 2008 Wurman et al. 2007 RFD
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. 1 May 2008 Storm-environment interactions (on days when storm motion or road network is not conducive to tornadogenesis mission) 2 June 1995 cloud shadow
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30. In situ measurements Tornado in-situ probes Stick Net Mobile Mesonets Rawinsondes Disdrometers
  • 31.
  • 32.  
  • 34. If possible, take advantage of fixed observing systems in OK
  • 35. Situational Awareness Display Will include mobile mesonet data, radar data, roads, and terrain Available over the mobile digital network
  • 36.
  • 37.