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Does technology pay for itself?
Henk Hogeveen, Wilma Steeneveld, Mariska vd Voort and Claudia Kamphuis
What can you expect from me
 A little history and overview
 Success factors for precision technology
 Adoption of sensor systems
 Effects of mastitis detection systems
 Effects of estrus detection systems
 Wrap up
Initiated by cow identification systems in 1970s
Recording of individual milk yield
Allocating feed/concentrates to individual cows
Boosted by development of automatic milking systems in 1980s
6 main brands
Automatic milking systems are marketed since 1992
1992 first commercial farm in NL (Bottema, 1992)
>10,000 farms globally (Rodenburg, 2013)
3,615 (19.5%) Dutch farms (Stichting KOM, 2015)
Boosted by development of automatic milking systems in 1990s
Replacement of human senses
Sensor development was boosted by
Automatic milking
And further pushed by other factors
Increasing herd
seize
Government
Society
Mom, where does the milk come from?
From the factory, honey
There are A LOT of sensor technologies
12
Cheap technology
Low in maintenance costs
Udder or quarter level
Most used to detect abnormal milk or mastitis
Limited performance for mastitis detection
(Rutten et al., 2013)
Electrical Conductivity
handheldIn-line
Other (more sophisticated and expensive) sensor technologies
were introduced to monitor cow health and productivity
Udder Health
- Electrical Conductivity
- Milk yield
- Somatic Cell Count
- (Milk) Temperature
- Colour
Other (more sophisticated and expensive) sensor technologies
were introduced to monitor cow health and productivity
Udder Health
- Electrical Conductivity
- Milk yield
- Somatic Cell Count
- (Milk) Temperature
- Colour
Milk Composition
- Milk yield
- Fat and protein content
- Lactose content
- Somatic cell count
Other (more sophisticated and expensive) sensor technologies
were introduced to monitor cow health and productivity
Fertility
- Progesterone
- Activity
- Rumination
Milk Composition
- Milk yield
- Fat and protein content
- Lactose content
- Somatic cell count
Other (more sophisticated and expensive) sensor technologies
were introduced to monitor cow health and productivity
Fertility
- Progesterone
- Activity
- Rumination
Cow ‘Composition’
- Weight
- Body Condition Score
Metabolic disorders
- Activity
- Rumination
- Milk yield
- SCC
- pH
Other (more sophisticated and expensive) sensor technologies
were introduced to monitor cow health and productivity
Cow ‘Composition’
- Weight
- Body Condition Score
Other (more sophisticated and expensive) sensor technologies
were introduced to monitor cow health and productivity
Metabolic disorders
- Activity
- Rumination
- Milk yield
- SCC
- pH
Cow Mobility
- Weight
- Activity
- Rumination
- Milk yield
There is A LOT of potential
Improved health, welfare
Increase productivity
Increased efficiency
Improved product quality
Objective monitoring
Improved social lifestyle
……..
What can you expect from me
 A little history and overview
 Success factors for precision technology
 Adoption of sensor systems
 Effects of mastitis detection systems
 Effects of estrus detection systems
 Wrap up
Success factors
 System specifications
 Cost efficiency
 Non-economic factors
System specification
 Description of (prototype) technology
 Algorithms that transform data to information
Is this information useful?
 Integration with other data sources
This can improve performance
Problems: Integration of various systems, co-operation
between companies.
 Decision support
With or without interference of the farmer
This is the ultimate of precision dairy farming
Cost efficiency
 Benefits > costs
 Sounds easy but ......
● Costs are clear
● Benefits often indirect
● Belief of effect
● .........
 There are a few economic analyses (scientifically)
published
 Portfolio problem: other fields of investment in
comparison to precision dairy
Non-monetary factors
 Risk
 Availability of labor/capital
 Farmers’ goals/preferences
What can you expect from me
 A little history and overview
 Success factors for precision technology
 Adoption of sensor systems
 Effects of mastitis detection systems
 Effects of estrus detection systems
 Wrap up
Use of sensor systems in the Netherlands
 Questionnaire study: 1,672 Dutch dairy farmers (Accon-
AVM)
 512 (31%) responded
● 212 had sensor systems (41 %)
 Permission to use MPR data: 414 (37 % with sensors)
 Available accountancy data: 217 farms
Steeneveld et al., 2015, J. Dairy Sci.
Steeneveld & Hogeveen, 2015, J. Dairy Sci
Steeneveld et al., 2015, COMPAG
When did CMS farmers invest in sensors (n = 81)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Mastitis Rumination Estrus
Year
Farmers(n)
When did AMS farmers invest in sensors (n = 121)
(Steeneveld and Hogeveen, 2015)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Mastitis Rumination Estrus
Year
Farmers(n)
Milk sensors used (n = 512)
0
20
40
60
80
100
AMS
CMS
Estrus detection sensors used (n = 512)
0
20
40
60
80
Activity cows Activity young Temperature Progesterone
AMS
CMS
Oestrus detection sensors used (n = 512)
0
20
40
60
80
Rumination Weighing
AMS
CMS
Reasons to invest (CMS farms; %)
Rumination (10) Activity (57) Temp (4)
Reduce labor 30 39 6
Improve health/reprod 70 81 25
Insight in health 60 46 0
Not a concious decision 10 4 50
Improve profitability 30 47 0
Other 10 5 25
Reasons to invest (AMS farms; %)
34
Investment reason EC
(n = 112)
Rumination
(n = 11)
Activity
(n = 50)
Reduce labor 1 9 6
Improve health/ reprod 14 55 72
Insight in health 14 82 42
Not a conscious decision 97 54 48
Improve farm profitability 13 45 48
What can you expect from me
 A little history and overview
 Success factors for precision technology
 Adoption of sensor systems
 Effects of mastitis detection systems
 Effects of estrus detection systems
 Wrap up
Automated mastitis detection: effects
Farms AMS farms CMS farms
No sensors Before After Before After
Number of cows
% growth in size
Milk production
(kg / cow / year)
86
3.5
8,343
82
2.6
8,398
97
4.2
8,558
127
6.0
8,371
159
9.7
8,179
190
195
200
205
210
215
220
225
230
235
240
No sensor system AMS farms before
investment
AMS farms after
investment
CMS farms before
investment
CMS farms after
investment
Somaticcellcount(x1,000cells/ml)Automated mastitis detection: Somatic cell count
Estrus detection sensors
Farms AMS farms CMS farms
No sensors Before After Before After
Number of cows
% growth in size
Milk production
(kg/cow/year
85
3.5
8,342
86
2.8
8,473
102
5.3
8,632
104
4.0
8,245
131
6.1
8,177
Effects on reproduction
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
No sensor system AMS farms before
investment
AMS farms after
investment
CMS farms before
investment
CMS farms after
investment
Daystofirstservice
What can you expect from me
 A little history and overview
 Success factors for precision technology
 Adoption of sensor systems
 Effects of mastitis detection systems
 Effects of estrus detection systems
 Wrap up
Automated oestrus detection: model calculations
General culling
Calving
Ovulation
Heat detection
P(1st ovulation)
P(heat)
P(heat detected)
P(culling)
P(culling)
P(culling)
Simulated cow
Parity, production level
Insemination
after voluntary waiting period
Culling due to fertility issues
- Max 6 inseminations
- Not pregnant in wk 35
Replacement heifer
Cow pregnant
P(pregnant)
P(early embryonic death)
Next parity
∆ Milk yield
∆ Number of inseminations
∆ Number of calves produced
∆ Feed intake
∆ Number of culled cows
∆ Number of false alerts from PLF
Output
cow place /year
Milk price
Labour costs
Cost for AI
Costs/revenues of calves
Costs feed
Costs for culling
Costs of false alerts PLF (labour or AI)
x €
At farm level
Probabilities are
adjusted for each
simulated week
Costs of PLF technology: investment, maintenance,
depreciation, replacement of faulty sensors
Cow Model
SN 50%
SP 100%
SN 80%
SP 95%
€108/cow
€3600/herd
10years
Checking each
alert visually
Results
Cash flow: 3,202 $CA / year
Cost-Benefit ratio: $CA 1.72
Discounted payback period: 8 years
Investment pays off
(Rutten et al., 2014)
SN 80%;SP 95%
€ 108/cow
€ 3600/herd
10years
Checking each alert visually
Economics of estrus detection: Practise
($CA/100 kg milk)
No sensor AMS CMS
Before After Before After
Capital costs 14.53 13.61a 19.56b 15.51c 15.89c
Labour costs 17.33 16.37a 15.82a 15.82c 14.60c
Variable costs 27.23 26.12a 27.72a 25,59c 26.94c
Revenues 64.79 61,50a 64.93b 64.08c 66,05c
Profit 5.70 5.40a 1.83b 7.15c 8.62c
What can you expect from me
 A little history and overview
 Success factors for precision technology
 Adoption of sensor systems
 Effects of mastitis detection systems
 Effects of estrus detection systems
 Wrap up
Difference between theory and practise
 The potential of sensors is not always reached
 Why??
Use of sensor information is limited
(Hogeveen et al., 2013)
5% of generated mastitis alert lists are visually checked
Reasons not to check alerts included:
No deviation in yield (19%)No flakes on filter (28%) Repeatedly on list (10%)
Too busy (10%)Malfunctioning (4%) No EC increase (5%)
Many mastitis cases are not detected
(Hogeveen et al., 2013)
75%
less clinical mastitis
and higher SCC
Use of sensor information is limited
22% of farm owners indicated that expectations did not
match performance reality
24% of farm owners indicated
that learning support was not
as expected
(Eastwood et al., 2015)
Too much information without knowing
what to do with it (Russell and Bewley, 2013)
50
Farmers’ attitude is important
Being in control Letting-go
Convenience seekersBusiness optimisers
Farmers’ attitude
Eager to understand and
learn the system
Not having the
time or skills
Innovators/ambassadors
Sensors can pay for themselves…..
….. and at the same time:
 Improve dairy cattle health and welfare
 Improve the efficiency in the dairy value chain
 All sensors?
I am not sure about that
Thank you for your attention
I wish you a great conference
@henkhogeveen
animal-health-management.blogspot.com
www.slideshare.net/henkhogeveen
Thank you for your attention
www.precisiondairyfarming.com/2016

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Does technology pay for itself

  • 1. Does technology pay for itself? Henk Hogeveen, Wilma Steeneveld, Mariska vd Voort and Claudia Kamphuis
  • 2. What can you expect from me  A little history and overview  Success factors for precision technology  Adoption of sensor systems  Effects of mastitis detection systems  Effects of estrus detection systems  Wrap up
  • 3. Initiated by cow identification systems in 1970s Recording of individual milk yield Allocating feed/concentrates to individual cows
  • 4. Boosted by development of automatic milking systems in 1980s
  • 5. 6 main brands Automatic milking systems are marketed since 1992
  • 6. 1992 first commercial farm in NL (Bottema, 1992) >10,000 farms globally (Rodenburg, 2013) 3,615 (19.5%) Dutch farms (Stichting KOM, 2015) Boosted by development of automatic milking systems in 1990s
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Replacement of human senses Sensor development was boosted by Automatic milking
  • 11. And further pushed by other factors Increasing herd seize Government Society Mom, where does the milk come from? From the factory, honey
  • 12. There are A LOT of sensor technologies 12
  • 13. Cheap technology Low in maintenance costs Udder or quarter level Most used to detect abnormal milk or mastitis Limited performance for mastitis detection (Rutten et al., 2013) Electrical Conductivity handheldIn-line
  • 14. Other (more sophisticated and expensive) sensor technologies were introduced to monitor cow health and productivity Udder Health - Electrical Conductivity - Milk yield - Somatic Cell Count - (Milk) Temperature - Colour
  • 15. Other (more sophisticated and expensive) sensor technologies were introduced to monitor cow health and productivity Udder Health - Electrical Conductivity - Milk yield - Somatic Cell Count - (Milk) Temperature - Colour Milk Composition - Milk yield - Fat and protein content - Lactose content - Somatic cell count
  • 16. Other (more sophisticated and expensive) sensor technologies were introduced to monitor cow health and productivity Fertility - Progesterone - Activity - Rumination Milk Composition - Milk yield - Fat and protein content - Lactose content - Somatic cell count
  • 17. Other (more sophisticated and expensive) sensor technologies were introduced to monitor cow health and productivity Fertility - Progesterone - Activity - Rumination Cow ‘Composition’ - Weight - Body Condition Score
  • 18. Metabolic disorders - Activity - Rumination - Milk yield - SCC - pH Other (more sophisticated and expensive) sensor technologies were introduced to monitor cow health and productivity Cow ‘Composition’ - Weight - Body Condition Score
  • 19. Other (more sophisticated and expensive) sensor technologies were introduced to monitor cow health and productivity Metabolic disorders - Activity - Rumination - Milk yield - SCC - pH Cow Mobility - Weight - Activity - Rumination - Milk yield
  • 20. There is A LOT of potential Improved health, welfare Increase productivity Increased efficiency Improved product quality Objective monitoring Improved social lifestyle ……..
  • 21. What can you expect from me  A little history and overview  Success factors for precision technology  Adoption of sensor systems  Effects of mastitis detection systems  Effects of estrus detection systems  Wrap up
  • 22. Success factors  System specifications  Cost efficiency  Non-economic factors
  • 23. System specification  Description of (prototype) technology  Algorithms that transform data to information Is this information useful?  Integration with other data sources This can improve performance Problems: Integration of various systems, co-operation between companies.  Decision support With or without interference of the farmer This is the ultimate of precision dairy farming
  • 24. Cost efficiency  Benefits > costs  Sounds easy but ...... ● Costs are clear ● Benefits often indirect ● Belief of effect ● .........  There are a few economic analyses (scientifically) published  Portfolio problem: other fields of investment in comparison to precision dairy
  • 25. Non-monetary factors  Risk  Availability of labor/capital  Farmers’ goals/preferences
  • 26. What can you expect from me  A little history and overview  Success factors for precision technology  Adoption of sensor systems  Effects of mastitis detection systems  Effects of estrus detection systems  Wrap up
  • 27. Use of sensor systems in the Netherlands  Questionnaire study: 1,672 Dutch dairy farmers (Accon- AVM)  512 (31%) responded ● 212 had sensor systems (41 %)  Permission to use MPR data: 414 (37 % with sensors)  Available accountancy data: 217 farms Steeneveld et al., 2015, J. Dairy Sci. Steeneveld & Hogeveen, 2015, J. Dairy Sci Steeneveld et al., 2015, COMPAG
  • 28. When did CMS farmers invest in sensors (n = 81) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Mastitis Rumination Estrus Year Farmers(n)
  • 29. When did AMS farmers invest in sensors (n = 121) (Steeneveld and Hogeveen, 2015) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Mastitis Rumination Estrus Year Farmers(n)
  • 30. Milk sensors used (n = 512) 0 20 40 60 80 100 AMS CMS
  • 31. Estrus detection sensors used (n = 512) 0 20 40 60 80 Activity cows Activity young Temperature Progesterone AMS CMS
  • 32. Oestrus detection sensors used (n = 512) 0 20 40 60 80 Rumination Weighing AMS CMS
  • 33. Reasons to invest (CMS farms; %) Rumination (10) Activity (57) Temp (4) Reduce labor 30 39 6 Improve health/reprod 70 81 25 Insight in health 60 46 0 Not a concious decision 10 4 50 Improve profitability 30 47 0 Other 10 5 25
  • 34. Reasons to invest (AMS farms; %) 34 Investment reason EC (n = 112) Rumination (n = 11) Activity (n = 50) Reduce labor 1 9 6 Improve health/ reprod 14 55 72 Insight in health 14 82 42 Not a conscious decision 97 54 48 Improve farm profitability 13 45 48
  • 35. What can you expect from me  A little history and overview  Success factors for precision technology  Adoption of sensor systems  Effects of mastitis detection systems  Effects of estrus detection systems  Wrap up
  • 36. Automated mastitis detection: effects Farms AMS farms CMS farms No sensors Before After Before After Number of cows % growth in size Milk production (kg / cow / year) 86 3.5 8,343 82 2.6 8,398 97 4.2 8,558 127 6.0 8,371 159 9.7 8,179
  • 37. 190 195 200 205 210 215 220 225 230 235 240 No sensor system AMS farms before investment AMS farms after investment CMS farms before investment CMS farms after investment Somaticcellcount(x1,000cells/ml)Automated mastitis detection: Somatic cell count
  • 38. Estrus detection sensors Farms AMS farms CMS farms No sensors Before After Before After Number of cows % growth in size Milk production (kg/cow/year 85 3.5 8,342 86 2.8 8,473 102 5.3 8,632 104 4.0 8,245 131 6.1 8,177
  • 39. Effects on reproduction 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 No sensor system AMS farms before investment AMS farms after investment CMS farms before investment CMS farms after investment Daystofirstservice
  • 40. What can you expect from me  A little history and overview  Success factors for precision technology  Adoption of sensor systems  Effects of mastitis detection systems  Effects of estrus detection systems  Wrap up
  • 41. Automated oestrus detection: model calculations
  • 42. General culling Calving Ovulation Heat detection P(1st ovulation) P(heat) P(heat detected) P(culling) P(culling) P(culling) Simulated cow Parity, production level Insemination after voluntary waiting period Culling due to fertility issues - Max 6 inseminations - Not pregnant in wk 35 Replacement heifer Cow pregnant P(pregnant) P(early embryonic death) Next parity ∆ Milk yield ∆ Number of inseminations ∆ Number of calves produced ∆ Feed intake ∆ Number of culled cows ∆ Number of false alerts from PLF Output cow place /year Milk price Labour costs Cost for AI Costs/revenues of calves Costs feed Costs for culling Costs of false alerts PLF (labour or AI) x € At farm level Probabilities are adjusted for each simulated week Costs of PLF technology: investment, maintenance, depreciation, replacement of faulty sensors Cow Model SN 50% SP 100% SN 80% SP 95% €108/cow €3600/herd 10years Checking each alert visually
  • 43. Results Cash flow: 3,202 $CA / year Cost-Benefit ratio: $CA 1.72 Discounted payback period: 8 years Investment pays off (Rutten et al., 2014) SN 80%;SP 95% € 108/cow € 3600/herd 10years Checking each alert visually
  • 44. Economics of estrus detection: Practise ($CA/100 kg milk) No sensor AMS CMS Before After Before After Capital costs 14.53 13.61a 19.56b 15.51c 15.89c Labour costs 17.33 16.37a 15.82a 15.82c 14.60c Variable costs 27.23 26.12a 27.72a 25,59c 26.94c Revenues 64.79 61,50a 64.93b 64.08c 66,05c Profit 5.70 5.40a 1.83b 7.15c 8.62c
  • 45. What can you expect from me  A little history and overview  Success factors for precision technology  Adoption of sensor systems  Effects of mastitis detection systems  Effects of estrus detection systems  Wrap up
  • 46. Difference between theory and practise  The potential of sensors is not always reached  Why??
  • 47. Use of sensor information is limited (Hogeveen et al., 2013) 5% of generated mastitis alert lists are visually checked Reasons not to check alerts included: No deviation in yield (19%)No flakes on filter (28%) Repeatedly on list (10%) Too busy (10%)Malfunctioning (4%) No EC increase (5%)
  • 48. Many mastitis cases are not detected (Hogeveen et al., 2013) 75% less clinical mastitis and higher SCC
  • 49. Use of sensor information is limited 22% of farm owners indicated that expectations did not match performance reality 24% of farm owners indicated that learning support was not as expected (Eastwood et al., 2015)
  • 50. Too much information without knowing what to do with it (Russell and Bewley, 2013) 50
  • 51. Farmers’ attitude is important Being in control Letting-go Convenience seekersBusiness optimisers
  • 52. Farmers’ attitude Eager to understand and learn the system Not having the time or skills Innovators/ambassadors
  • 53. Sensors can pay for themselves….. ….. and at the same time:  Improve dairy cattle health and welfare  Improve the efficiency in the dairy value chain  All sensors? I am not sure about that
  • 54. Thank you for your attention I wish you a great conference @henkhogeveen animal-health-management.blogspot.com www.slideshare.net/henkhogeveen Thank you for your attention www.precisiondairyfarming.com/2016