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S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and
Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016)
THE EMPIRICAL STUDY ON INVESTORS RISK PERCEPTION AND
BEHAVIOUR OF EQUITY INVESTORS IN TIRUCHIRAPPALLI DISTRICT
S. Abdul Lathif
Assistant Professor, Department of Business Administration,
Jamal Mohamed College (Autonomous), Trichirappalli – 20
Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha
Associate Professor, Jamal Institute of Management,
Jamal Mohamed College (Autonomous), Trichirappalli – 20
ABSTRACT
The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship among the individual
behavioural of Equity Investors and his Risk Perception. It explores individual investor’s
preferences for Investment choices and provisionally investigates the impacts of risk
tolerances and risk perceptions on their investment decisions. A sample of 200 investors
using a structured questionnaire from investment avenues in Tiruchirappalli district. The
result of analysis have shown that investor’s decisions to make their investment choices are
significantly and negatively related to personal income level.
Key words: Risk Perception, Equity Investors, Investment Management, Decision-Making
Cite this Article: S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. The Empirical Study on
Investors Risk Perception and Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District.
International Journal of Management, 7(2), 2016, pp. 266-275.
http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/index.asp
1. INTRODUCTION
Investment is a real investment and not financial investment. It is a conscious act of an individual or
any entity that involves development of money (cash) in securities or asset issued by an financial
institution with a view to obtain the target returns over a specified period of time (John maynard
Keynes, 1938). Investment decision-making behavior theories on investment activities is examined that
the traditional investment approach was the dominant approach in the market until 1950s. Although,
this approach is lacked a scientific paltry, it is seen that it was the dominant view in the market for a
long time due to the fact that its workability was relatively easy (Civan, 2007). In the historic
investment conception, the investors think that they can decrease the risk just by increasing the number
of investment instruments. They have without considering the relations between the revenue of
investment instrument (Dermirats and Gungor, 2004). In the traditional investment approach, the
investors are recommended to invest in the instruments with a high revenue possibility. However, they
are not informed about how the risk will be measured and the mean values of yields realized in the past
defined as expected return (Reilly and Ve Brown, 1999). The study execute by Markowitz in 1952
named “investment selection” establish the development of new theories in the field (Cihangir et al.,
2008). There are similar studies done in the field of investment (Kardiyen 2008). With the help of the
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT (IJM)
ISSN 0976-6502 (Print)
ISSN 0976-6510 (Online)
Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275
http://www.iaeme.com/ijm/index.asp
Journal Impact Factor (2016): 8.1920 (Calculated by GISI)
www.jifactor.com
IJM
© I A E M E
International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 -
6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication
267
S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and
Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016)
theory developed by Markowitz, it was suggested that the risk cannot be reduced by increasing the
number of financial instruments and the decision for investment should be made by taking in to
consideration the direction and degree of relation among the investment instruments (Demirtas and
Gungor, 2004). According to the modern investment theory of Markowitz, the overall risk of
investment could be lower than the each financial asset and some cases that the non-systematic risk of
investment could be reduced to zero. After all, it was pointed out that investors could prefer some
investments for being less risky although they produce the same amount of revenue and again they
could prefer others for higher revenues even though they have the same level of risk (Markowitz,
1952). In Markowitz view, the risk can be reduced considerably with reverse correlations among the
investment instruments as well as by diversifying the instruments available in the investors (Cetin,
2007). According to this theory, Markowitz preferred the investments with lower risks instead of the
once with higher revenues. While forming a investment and diversification (Civan, 2007), as a result
of the studies accomplish in the following periods meanwhile which analytical models failed to explain
individual investors behavior. There are two studies of Kahneman and Tversky, who were interested in
the area of finance. Their first study, which was on short-cut motive errors (Kahneman and Tversky,
1974) was published in 1974, although the second study, which was on frame dependency, was
published in 1979 (Bayar, 2011) and these two people formed the basis for behavioural finance (Bayar,
2011). Kahneman and Tversky (1979) mentioned that irrational investors in their studies. In this
sense, the expectation theory suggested that whip up big interest. In this theory Kahneman and
Tversky stated that investors concentrated on loss and gains at different levels and also, Kahneman and
Tversky argued that instead of expected risk, perceived risk must be taken in to account with his study
entitled “Integration of outcomes of psychological research into economic sciences and decision
making against indecision” that he wrote with Tversky, Kahneman received the nobel prize for
economics in 2002. For Kahneman, this prize was an index that behavioural finance was widely and
scientifically accepted.
To summarize, this is absents of understanding of individual behaviour of Equity Investors and
Risk perception. Also, the relationship between individual behaviour of equity investors and risk
perception is less explored in previous studies. So, the objective of the study was to examine the
perception of equity investors in Tiruchirappalli District.
2. REVIEW OF LITERATURE
In this paper, a comprehensive literature review about individual behaviour of equity investors and his
risk perception has been carried out. Many authors describe behaviour finance perspective. Such as,
Deaux and Emswiller (1974), Lenney (1977), Maital et al. (1986), Thaler and Johnson (1990) and
Beyer and Bowden (1997). Those authors are to explain that individual investor would demonstrate
different risk attitude when facing investment alternatives. Comparing with previously research, current
study is to focus on external factors and psychological factors how to affect investor’s investment
decision and investment choices. For instance, Annaert et al. (2005), Wang et al. (2006) indicate the
impact of information asymmetric problem on investor behaviour. This is another subject in behavioral
finance field. Most of these researches are pay close attention to behavioral finance, especially in
financial products choices (investment) and behaviour of individual investor investment related. There
are some empirical evidence shows the impact of risk tolerance and risk perception of investment
choices. These are Carducci and Wong (1998), Grable and Joo (1997), Grable and Lytton (1999),
Grable (2000), Hallahan et al., (2003), Hallahan et al., (2004), Frijns et al., (2008), and Veld and Veld-
Merkoulova (2008). In terms of different risk perception or risk tolerance level, individual investor
may show different reaction base upon their psychology factor and economic situation, which would
lead to heterogeneous investment choice for individual investors.
3. RESEARCH OBJECTIVES
 To examine the risk perception of equity investors in Tiruchirappalli city.
 To study the importance of investment management of equity investors.
 To know about the Investors knowledge and experience of investing in equities.
International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 -
6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication
268
S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and
Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016)
4. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
4.1. Research Design
A Research design is purely and simply the framework of plan for a study that guides the collection
and analysis of data. The study is intended to find the investors’ investment behaviour in various
investment avenues at Tiruchirappalli district. The study design is Descriptive in nature.
4.2. Descriptive Research
Is a fact finding investigation with adequate interpretation. It is the simplest type of research and is
more specific. Mainly designed to gather descriptive information and provides information for
formulating more sophisticated studies.
4.3. Survey Instrument
The questionnaire was two pages in length classified into two parts. Part I consists of questions seeking
information about demographics such as (Name, Gender, Age, Marital Status, Qualification,
Employment, Annual Income, Financial instrument, Ability of investment appetite) . The Part II
includes questions that aim at obtaining details about Financial Future, Financial Risk, Investment
Preferences, Risk Tolerance and Investment activities
4.4. Source of Data
The sources of primary and secondary data were used for the collection of Information for the study.
Primary data was collected through questionnaire and secondary data from Articles have been sourced
from Various Magazines and journals dealing with the concepts of investment management and risk
perception.
4.5. Sample Size
A sample size refers to the numbers of items selected from the universe to constitute a sample. Sample
size for the study is 200 Investors are properly responded in Investment Avenues in Tiruchirappalli
district.
4.6. Sampling Method
Simple random sampling was adopted. It is an approach in which each unit of population an equal
chance of being selected.
4.7. Data Analysis
Table 1Type of Investment Preferred and Time taken for Evaluation of Performance of investment by
the respondents
Sl.
NO.
Type of
Investment
No. of
Respondents
%
Period of
Time
No. of
Respondents
%
1 Bonds 51 25.50 Monthly 71 35.50
2 Equities 91 45.50 Quarterly 42 21.00
3 Bank Deposits 58 29.00 Annually 50 25.00
4 T-Bills 0 0.00 Over 5 Years 37 18.50
200 200 100.00
From the above table, it shows that 45.5% of the respondent’s preferred Equity type of
investments, 29% of the respondents preferred Bank Deposits and 25.5% of the respondents preferred
bonds type of investment. No one prefers T Bills. , it is clear that 35.5% of the respondents judge the
International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 -
6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication
269
S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and
Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016)
performance of investment in a month, 25% of the respondents judge the performance of investment,
21% of the respondents judge the performance of investment quarterly and 18.5% of the respondents
take over 5 years to judge the performance of the investment.
Table 2 Performance about their Financial Future and age from which the Respondents are investing
Sl.
No.
Financial
Future
No. of
Respondents
%
Age of
Investing
No. of
Respondents
%
1
Very
Optimistic
45 22.50
Age 80 and
Over
35 17.50
2 Positive 68 34.00 Age 70 to 79 46 23.00
3 Unsure 58 29.00 Age 60 to 59 52 26.00
4 Pessimistic 29 14.50 Age 50 to 59 59 29.50
Total 200 100.00 Age under 40 8 4.00
Total 200 100.00
From the above table, it shows that 34% of the respondents are positive about their financial
future, 29% of the respondents are unsure, 22.5% of the respondents are very optimistic about their
financial future and 14.5% of the respondents are Pessimistic. It is found that 29.5% of the respondents
have invested in age between 50 to 59 years, 26% of the respondents have invested in the age between
60 to 69 years, 23% of the respondents have invested in the age between 70 to 79 years, and 17.5% of
the respondents have invested in the age 80 and above. It is revealing that people under 40 years only
4% have been investing.
Table 3 Understanding comfort level in stock Investing and Investor Perception
Sl.
No.
Understanding and
Comfort Level
No. of
Respondents %
Best
Statement
No. of
Respondents %
1
No Experience in Stock
Market 59 29.50
Some Current
Income 54 27.00
2
No Experience, but
some Level of Comfort 40 20.00
High Current
Income 15 7.50
3
Some Experience &
Interest 33 16.50
High Total
Return 82 41.00
4 Reasonable Experience 45 22.50
Substantial
Return
49 24.50
5
Extensive Background
and Good Comfort 23 11.50 Total 200 100
Total 200 100
From the above table, shows that 29.5% of the respondents have no experience in stock market,
22.5% of the respondents have reasonable experience, 20% of the respondents have no experience but
some level of comfort, 16.5% of the respondents have some experience and interest and 11.5% of the
respondents are have extensive background and good comfort. It is found that 41% of the respondents
perceive high total return as the best statement, 27% of the respondents perceive some current income
and are very safe, 24.5% of the respondents are perceive substantial return.
International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 -
6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication
270
S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and
Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016)
Table 4 Attitude about Financial Risk
Sl. No. Attitude about Financial Risk No. of Respondents %
1 Diversified Investment 51 25.50
2 I Only invested with extra money I can afford to loss 36 18.00
3 Associated with playing in the stock 82 41.00
4
The higher the investment yield or rate of return the greater
the risk
31 15.50
Total 200 100
From the above table. It is clear that 41% of the respondents are associated with playing in the
stock market, 25.5% of the respondents have diversified investment. 18% of the respondents afford to
loss, and 15.5% of the respondents have an attitude that the higher the investment yield or rate of
returns the greater the risk.
Table 5 Investment Activities by the Respondents
Sl.
No.
Any Investment Activities No. of Respondents %
1 Yes 99 49.50
2 No 101 50.50
Total 200 100.0
From the above table, shows that 50.5% of the respondents do not have any investment activities and
49.5% of the respondents are having investment activities.
Table 6 Risk Tolerance since the time of investment and response to market decline
Sl. No.
Risk
Tolerance
No. of
Respondents
%
Liquidation
Process
No. of
Respondents
%
1
More
Willingness
0 0.00 Immediately 56 28.00
2
Less
Willingness
69 34.50 At 90000 18 9.00
3
Risk Factors
has no
influence
72 36.00
Would wait for
market turnaround
81 40.50
4 4 No Idea 59 At 75000 45 22.50
Total 200 100.00 Total 200 100.00
From the above table, it shows that for 36% of the respondents risk factor has no influence since
the time of first investment, 34.5% of the respondents have less willingness to take on risk, 29.5% of
the respondents have no idea about risk . It is inferred that 40.5% of the respondents would wait for
market turnaround, 28% of the respondents would immediately liquidate and move to a more stable
investment, 22.5% of the respondents will move at 75000 for stable investment and 9% of the
respondents will move at 90000 for stable investment.
International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 -
6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication
271
S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and
Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016)
Table 7 Time Horizon for Withdrawals and Growth Expected of Investment in 5 years
Sl.
No.
Time Horizon for
with drawals
No. of
Respondents
%
Growth
Expected
No. of
Respondents
%
1 Currently 65 32.5 0 to 15% 52 26.00
2 Less than 3 years 36 18.00 15% to 30% 45 22.50
3
Between 6 to 15
years
70 35.00 30% to 50% 57 28.50
4 After 15 years 29 14.50 Above 50% 46 23.00
Total 200 100 Total 200 100
From the above table, it is found that 35% of the respondents will make withdrawals between 6 to
15 years, 32.5% of the respondents currently need to make withdrawals, 18% of the respondents will
withdraw in less than 3 years and 14.5% of the respondents will withdraw after 15 years. It is clear that
28.5% of the respondents expect their investment to grow from 30% to 50%, 26% of the respondents
expect their investment to grow from 0 to 15%, 23% of the respondents expect a growth above 50%
and 22.5% of the respondents expect a growth from15% to 30%.
Table 8 Sharing Information about Risk with Consultant, Learns from Risk and Measure to Control
Risk
Sl.
No
.
Feel
Fre
e
No. of
Responden
ts %
Lear
n
from
Risk
No. of
Responden
ts %
Measure to
Control
Risk
No. of
Responden
ts %
1 Yes 127
63.5
0
Yes 71
35.5
0
Avoidance 89
44.5
0
2 No 73
36.5
0
No 129
64.5
0
Modificatio
n
111
55.5
0
Total 200 100 Total 200 100 Total 200 100
From the above table, it is found that 63.5% of the respondents feel free to share information on
risk with consultant and 36.5% the respondents do not feel free to share information with the
consultant. It is found that 64.5% of the respondents do not learn from their risk, and 35.5% of the
respondents learn from their risk. The table shows that 55.5% of respondents control the risk by
modification and 44.5% of the respondents avoid risk.
Table 9 Chi-Square Analysis for Income Level and Age of Investing
Age of
Investing
Income Level
From 25 to 35 From 35 to 45 From 45 to 55 Above 55 Grand Total
Rs. 5000 8 14 14 8 44
Rs.5000 to Rs.
6000
13 14 9 3 39
Rs.6000 to Rs.
7000
11 13 13 8 45
Rs.7000 to Rs.
8000
7 16 9 5 37
Above Rs. 8000 6 11 13 5 35
Grand Total 45 68 58 29 200
Null Hypothesis (H0): No Significant relationship between Income and Age of investing. Alternate
International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 -
6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication
272
S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and
Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016)
Hypothesis (H1): There is a Close Significant relationship Income and Age of investing.
Factor
Calculated Chi-Square
Value
Table
Value
Degree of
Freedom
Re-Marks
Income
Level
8.267 21.026 12
Not
Significant
It is noted from the above table that the calculated Chi-square value is less than the table value. So,
there is Close relationship between Age group and Age of investing.
Table 10 Chi-Square Analysis for Income Level and Performance of Investment
Performance of Investment
Income Level
Monthly Quarterly Annually Over 5 Years Grand Total
Rs. 5000 15 9 15 5 44
Rs.5000 to Rs. 6000 16 9 6 8 39
Rs.6000 to Rs. 7000 15 10 9 11 45
Rs.7000 to Rs. 8000 14 7 9 7 37
Above Rs. 8000 11 7 11 6 35
Grand Total 71 42 50 37 200
Null Hypothesis (H0): No Significant relationship between income level and performance of
investments.
Alternate Hypothesis (H1): There is Close Significant relationship between income level and
performance of investments.
Factor
Calculated Chi-Square
Value
Table
Value
Degree of
Freedom
Remarks
Income
Level
6.978 21.026 12
Not
Significant
Table 11 Chi-Square Analysis for Income Level and Financial Future
Financial Future
Income Level
Very
Optimistic
Positive Unsure Pessimistic
Grand
Total
Rs. 5000 8 14 14 8 44
Rs.5000 to Rs. 6000 13 14 9 3 39
Rs.6000 to Rs. 7000 11 13 13 8 45
Rs.7000 to Rs. 8000 7 16 9 5 37
Above Rs. 8000 6 11 13 5 35
Grand Total 45 68 58 29 200
Null Hypothesis (H0): No Significant relationship between income level and financial future.
Alternate Hypothesis (H1): There is Close Significant relationship between income level and
financial future.
International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 -
6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication
273
S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and
Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016)
Factor
Calculated Chi-Square
Value
Table
Value
Degree of
Freedom
Remarks
Income
Level
8.267 21.026 12
Not
Significant
Table 12 Chi-Square Analysis for Income Level and Financial Risk
Financial
Risk
Income Level
Reduces
Risk Invest with
Extra Money
Associated with
Playing in the stock
Rate of
Returns
Grand
Total
Rs. 5000 14 7 19 4 44
Rs.5000 to Rs.
6000
15 5 15 4 39
Rs.6000 to Rs.
7000
9 11 16 9 45
Rs.7000 to Rs.
8000
7 7 17 6 37
Above Rs.
8000
6 6 15 8 35
Grand Total 51 36 82 31 200
Null Hypothesis (H0): No Significant relationship between income level and financial risk.
Alternate Hypothesis (H1): There is Close Significant relationship between income level and
financial risk.
Factor
Calculated Chi-Square
Value
Table
Value
Degree of
Freedom
Remarks
Income
Level
11.505 21.026 12
Not
Significant
It is noted from the above table that the calculated Chi-square value is less than the table value. So,
there is Close relationship between Income level and Financial Risk.
Table 13 Chi-Square Analysis for Income Level and Risk Tolerance
Risk Tolerance
Income Level
Less Willingness Risk Tolerance No Idea Grand Total
Rs. 5000 12 23 9 44
Rs.5000 to Rs. 6000 19 7 13 39
Rs.6000 to Rs. 7000 16 16 13 45
Rs.7000 to Rs. 8000 13 14 10 37
Above Rs. 8000 9 12 14 35
Grand Total 69 72 59 200
Null Hypothesis (H0): No Significant relationship between income level and risk tolerance.
Alternate Hypothesis (H1): There is Close Significant relationship between income level and risk
tolerance.
International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 -
6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication
274
S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and
Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016)
Factor
Calculated Chi-Square
Value
Table
Value
Degree of
Freedom
Remarks
Income
Level
13.391 15.507 8
Not
Significant
5. FINDINGS
 55% of the respondents are not experienced in the stock market.
 48.5% of the respondents belong to the age between 30 years to 60 years old.
 45.5% of the respondents are purchased Equities type of investments.
 34% of the respondents are optimistic of their financial future.
 41% of the respondents describe high total return as best statement.
 41% of the respondents are associated with playing in the stock market.
 28.5% of the respondents are expecting their growth 30% to 50%. =
 55.5% of respondents control the risk by modification.
 From the Chi-Square Analysis, It is clear that there is a close relationship between Age group
and Age of investing and Performance of investments.
 From the Chi-Square Analysis, It is confirmed that there is Close relationship between Income
level and Financial Future and risk.
6. SUGGESTIONS
 Most of the respondents are not aware of Investment Management. So, proper guidance can be
given to them. This is to create awareness.
 A regular investor friendly seminar can be organized to suit the timings of the investing
public. For instance, such seminars can be interactive sessions, arranged at frequent intervals.
 The newsletters published help investors. Hence newsletters / bulletins can be published for
guidance.
 Efforts should be taken to popularize Equity through appropriate publicity measures.
7. CONCLUSION
The study is made to find out “Investors Risk perception and Behaviour of Equity investors”. The study
reveals that the investors in Tiruchirappalli city are not aware of Investment which would minimize
risk and maximize the return. And also it is clear that the investors in Tiruchirappalli city have low
level of understanding about risk and the importance of Investment management as they are not aware
these factors. Hence proper should to be taken in order to improve the awareness level in the minds of
the investors.
8. BIBLIOGRAPHY
[1] Alex Kane: (Mar- 1982) Skewness Preferences and Investment Choice, Journal of
Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol 17, No.1.
[2] Asai, M. and M. McAleer (2007), Investment index GARCH: a class of parsimonious
dynamic covariance models, Unpublished Paper, University of Western Australia.
[3] Bollerslev, T. (1990), modeling the coherence in short-run nominal exchange rates: a
multivariate generalized ARCH model, Review of Economics and Statistics, 72.
[4] Campbell, J.Y. (1987), Stock returns and the term structure, Journal of Financial
Economics, 18, 373-399.
[5] Chen, N.F., R. Roll and S.A. Ross (1986), Economic forces and the stock markets,
Journal of Business.
International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 -
6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication
275
S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and
Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016)
[6] Fama, E.F. and K.R. French (1989), Business conditions and expected returns on stocks
and bonds, Journal of Financial Economics.
[7] F. Modigliani & M.Miller (1958), the Cost of Capital- Corporation Finance and the
Theory of Investment, the American Economic Review, Vol.6.
[8] Freid.D Arditti (Mar, 1967), Risk and the Required on Equity, Journal of Finance, Vol.22.
Harry Markowitz (1992) Investment Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investments,
New Haven, Yale University Press.
[9] McAleer, M. (2005), Automated Inference and Learning in Modeling Fina ncial
Volatility, Econometric Theory.
[10] PrasanaChandra (2006) Projects-Planing-Analysis-Seelection-Financing-Implementation-
and Review, Tata McGraw Hill.

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THE EMPIRICAL STUDY ON INVESTORS RISK PERCEPTION AND BEHAVIOUR OF EQUITY INVESTORS IN TIRUCHIRAPPALLI DISTRICT

  • 1. 266 S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016) THE EMPIRICAL STUDY ON INVESTORS RISK PERCEPTION AND BEHAVIOUR OF EQUITY INVESTORS IN TIRUCHIRAPPALLI DISTRICT S. Abdul Lathif Assistant Professor, Department of Business Administration, Jamal Mohamed College (Autonomous), Trichirappalli – 20 Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha Associate Professor, Jamal Institute of Management, Jamal Mohamed College (Autonomous), Trichirappalli – 20 ABSTRACT The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship among the individual behavioural of Equity Investors and his Risk Perception. It explores individual investor’s preferences for Investment choices and provisionally investigates the impacts of risk tolerances and risk perceptions on their investment decisions. A sample of 200 investors using a structured questionnaire from investment avenues in Tiruchirappalli district. The result of analysis have shown that investor’s decisions to make their investment choices are significantly and negatively related to personal income level. Key words: Risk Perception, Equity Investors, Investment Management, Decision-Making Cite this Article: S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District. International Journal of Management, 7(2), 2016, pp. 266-275. http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/index.asp 1. INTRODUCTION Investment is a real investment and not financial investment. It is a conscious act of an individual or any entity that involves development of money (cash) in securities or asset issued by an financial institution with a view to obtain the target returns over a specified period of time (John maynard Keynes, 1938). Investment decision-making behavior theories on investment activities is examined that the traditional investment approach was the dominant approach in the market until 1950s. Although, this approach is lacked a scientific paltry, it is seen that it was the dominant view in the market for a long time due to the fact that its workability was relatively easy (Civan, 2007). In the historic investment conception, the investors think that they can decrease the risk just by increasing the number of investment instruments. They have without considering the relations between the revenue of investment instrument (Dermirats and Gungor, 2004). In the traditional investment approach, the investors are recommended to invest in the instruments with a high revenue possibility. However, they are not informed about how the risk will be measured and the mean values of yields realized in the past defined as expected return (Reilly and Ve Brown, 1999). The study execute by Markowitz in 1952 named “investment selection” establish the development of new theories in the field (Cihangir et al., 2008). There are similar studies done in the field of investment (Kardiyen 2008). With the help of the INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT (IJM) ISSN 0976-6502 (Print) ISSN 0976-6510 (Online) Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 http://www.iaeme.com/ijm/index.asp Journal Impact Factor (2016): 8.1920 (Calculated by GISI) www.jifactor.com IJM © I A E M E
  • 2. International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 - 6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication 267 S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016) theory developed by Markowitz, it was suggested that the risk cannot be reduced by increasing the number of financial instruments and the decision for investment should be made by taking in to consideration the direction and degree of relation among the investment instruments (Demirtas and Gungor, 2004). According to the modern investment theory of Markowitz, the overall risk of investment could be lower than the each financial asset and some cases that the non-systematic risk of investment could be reduced to zero. After all, it was pointed out that investors could prefer some investments for being less risky although they produce the same amount of revenue and again they could prefer others for higher revenues even though they have the same level of risk (Markowitz, 1952). In Markowitz view, the risk can be reduced considerably with reverse correlations among the investment instruments as well as by diversifying the instruments available in the investors (Cetin, 2007). According to this theory, Markowitz preferred the investments with lower risks instead of the once with higher revenues. While forming a investment and diversification (Civan, 2007), as a result of the studies accomplish in the following periods meanwhile which analytical models failed to explain individual investors behavior. There are two studies of Kahneman and Tversky, who were interested in the area of finance. Their first study, which was on short-cut motive errors (Kahneman and Tversky, 1974) was published in 1974, although the second study, which was on frame dependency, was published in 1979 (Bayar, 2011) and these two people formed the basis for behavioural finance (Bayar, 2011). Kahneman and Tversky (1979) mentioned that irrational investors in their studies. In this sense, the expectation theory suggested that whip up big interest. In this theory Kahneman and Tversky stated that investors concentrated on loss and gains at different levels and also, Kahneman and Tversky argued that instead of expected risk, perceived risk must be taken in to account with his study entitled “Integration of outcomes of psychological research into economic sciences and decision making against indecision” that he wrote with Tversky, Kahneman received the nobel prize for economics in 2002. For Kahneman, this prize was an index that behavioural finance was widely and scientifically accepted. To summarize, this is absents of understanding of individual behaviour of Equity Investors and Risk perception. Also, the relationship between individual behaviour of equity investors and risk perception is less explored in previous studies. So, the objective of the study was to examine the perception of equity investors in Tiruchirappalli District. 2. REVIEW OF LITERATURE In this paper, a comprehensive literature review about individual behaviour of equity investors and his risk perception has been carried out. Many authors describe behaviour finance perspective. Such as, Deaux and Emswiller (1974), Lenney (1977), Maital et al. (1986), Thaler and Johnson (1990) and Beyer and Bowden (1997). Those authors are to explain that individual investor would demonstrate different risk attitude when facing investment alternatives. Comparing with previously research, current study is to focus on external factors and psychological factors how to affect investor’s investment decision and investment choices. For instance, Annaert et al. (2005), Wang et al. (2006) indicate the impact of information asymmetric problem on investor behaviour. This is another subject in behavioral finance field. Most of these researches are pay close attention to behavioral finance, especially in financial products choices (investment) and behaviour of individual investor investment related. There are some empirical evidence shows the impact of risk tolerance and risk perception of investment choices. These are Carducci and Wong (1998), Grable and Joo (1997), Grable and Lytton (1999), Grable (2000), Hallahan et al., (2003), Hallahan et al., (2004), Frijns et al., (2008), and Veld and Veld- Merkoulova (2008). In terms of different risk perception or risk tolerance level, individual investor may show different reaction base upon their psychology factor and economic situation, which would lead to heterogeneous investment choice for individual investors. 3. RESEARCH OBJECTIVES  To examine the risk perception of equity investors in Tiruchirappalli city.  To study the importance of investment management of equity investors.  To know about the Investors knowledge and experience of investing in equities.
  • 3. International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 - 6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication 268 S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016) 4. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 4.1. Research Design A Research design is purely and simply the framework of plan for a study that guides the collection and analysis of data. The study is intended to find the investors’ investment behaviour in various investment avenues at Tiruchirappalli district. The study design is Descriptive in nature. 4.2. Descriptive Research Is a fact finding investigation with adequate interpretation. It is the simplest type of research and is more specific. Mainly designed to gather descriptive information and provides information for formulating more sophisticated studies. 4.3. Survey Instrument The questionnaire was two pages in length classified into two parts. Part I consists of questions seeking information about demographics such as (Name, Gender, Age, Marital Status, Qualification, Employment, Annual Income, Financial instrument, Ability of investment appetite) . The Part II includes questions that aim at obtaining details about Financial Future, Financial Risk, Investment Preferences, Risk Tolerance and Investment activities 4.4. Source of Data The sources of primary and secondary data were used for the collection of Information for the study. Primary data was collected through questionnaire and secondary data from Articles have been sourced from Various Magazines and journals dealing with the concepts of investment management and risk perception. 4.5. Sample Size A sample size refers to the numbers of items selected from the universe to constitute a sample. Sample size for the study is 200 Investors are properly responded in Investment Avenues in Tiruchirappalli district. 4.6. Sampling Method Simple random sampling was adopted. It is an approach in which each unit of population an equal chance of being selected. 4.7. Data Analysis Table 1Type of Investment Preferred and Time taken for Evaluation of Performance of investment by the respondents Sl. NO. Type of Investment No. of Respondents % Period of Time No. of Respondents % 1 Bonds 51 25.50 Monthly 71 35.50 2 Equities 91 45.50 Quarterly 42 21.00 3 Bank Deposits 58 29.00 Annually 50 25.00 4 T-Bills 0 0.00 Over 5 Years 37 18.50 200 200 100.00 From the above table, it shows that 45.5% of the respondent’s preferred Equity type of investments, 29% of the respondents preferred Bank Deposits and 25.5% of the respondents preferred bonds type of investment. No one prefers T Bills. , it is clear that 35.5% of the respondents judge the
  • 4. International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 - 6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication 269 S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016) performance of investment in a month, 25% of the respondents judge the performance of investment, 21% of the respondents judge the performance of investment quarterly and 18.5% of the respondents take over 5 years to judge the performance of the investment. Table 2 Performance about their Financial Future and age from which the Respondents are investing Sl. No. Financial Future No. of Respondents % Age of Investing No. of Respondents % 1 Very Optimistic 45 22.50 Age 80 and Over 35 17.50 2 Positive 68 34.00 Age 70 to 79 46 23.00 3 Unsure 58 29.00 Age 60 to 59 52 26.00 4 Pessimistic 29 14.50 Age 50 to 59 59 29.50 Total 200 100.00 Age under 40 8 4.00 Total 200 100.00 From the above table, it shows that 34% of the respondents are positive about their financial future, 29% of the respondents are unsure, 22.5% of the respondents are very optimistic about their financial future and 14.5% of the respondents are Pessimistic. It is found that 29.5% of the respondents have invested in age between 50 to 59 years, 26% of the respondents have invested in the age between 60 to 69 years, 23% of the respondents have invested in the age between 70 to 79 years, and 17.5% of the respondents have invested in the age 80 and above. It is revealing that people under 40 years only 4% have been investing. Table 3 Understanding comfort level in stock Investing and Investor Perception Sl. No. Understanding and Comfort Level No. of Respondents % Best Statement No. of Respondents % 1 No Experience in Stock Market 59 29.50 Some Current Income 54 27.00 2 No Experience, but some Level of Comfort 40 20.00 High Current Income 15 7.50 3 Some Experience & Interest 33 16.50 High Total Return 82 41.00 4 Reasonable Experience 45 22.50 Substantial Return 49 24.50 5 Extensive Background and Good Comfort 23 11.50 Total 200 100 Total 200 100 From the above table, shows that 29.5% of the respondents have no experience in stock market, 22.5% of the respondents have reasonable experience, 20% of the respondents have no experience but some level of comfort, 16.5% of the respondents have some experience and interest and 11.5% of the respondents are have extensive background and good comfort. It is found that 41% of the respondents perceive high total return as the best statement, 27% of the respondents perceive some current income and are very safe, 24.5% of the respondents are perceive substantial return.
  • 5. International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 - 6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication 270 S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016) Table 4 Attitude about Financial Risk Sl. No. Attitude about Financial Risk No. of Respondents % 1 Diversified Investment 51 25.50 2 I Only invested with extra money I can afford to loss 36 18.00 3 Associated with playing in the stock 82 41.00 4 The higher the investment yield or rate of return the greater the risk 31 15.50 Total 200 100 From the above table. It is clear that 41% of the respondents are associated with playing in the stock market, 25.5% of the respondents have diversified investment. 18% of the respondents afford to loss, and 15.5% of the respondents have an attitude that the higher the investment yield or rate of returns the greater the risk. Table 5 Investment Activities by the Respondents Sl. No. Any Investment Activities No. of Respondents % 1 Yes 99 49.50 2 No 101 50.50 Total 200 100.0 From the above table, shows that 50.5% of the respondents do not have any investment activities and 49.5% of the respondents are having investment activities. Table 6 Risk Tolerance since the time of investment and response to market decline Sl. No. Risk Tolerance No. of Respondents % Liquidation Process No. of Respondents % 1 More Willingness 0 0.00 Immediately 56 28.00 2 Less Willingness 69 34.50 At 90000 18 9.00 3 Risk Factors has no influence 72 36.00 Would wait for market turnaround 81 40.50 4 4 No Idea 59 At 75000 45 22.50 Total 200 100.00 Total 200 100.00 From the above table, it shows that for 36% of the respondents risk factor has no influence since the time of first investment, 34.5% of the respondents have less willingness to take on risk, 29.5% of the respondents have no idea about risk . It is inferred that 40.5% of the respondents would wait for market turnaround, 28% of the respondents would immediately liquidate and move to a more stable investment, 22.5% of the respondents will move at 75000 for stable investment and 9% of the respondents will move at 90000 for stable investment.
  • 6. International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 - 6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication 271 S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016) Table 7 Time Horizon for Withdrawals and Growth Expected of Investment in 5 years Sl. No. Time Horizon for with drawals No. of Respondents % Growth Expected No. of Respondents % 1 Currently 65 32.5 0 to 15% 52 26.00 2 Less than 3 years 36 18.00 15% to 30% 45 22.50 3 Between 6 to 15 years 70 35.00 30% to 50% 57 28.50 4 After 15 years 29 14.50 Above 50% 46 23.00 Total 200 100 Total 200 100 From the above table, it is found that 35% of the respondents will make withdrawals between 6 to 15 years, 32.5% of the respondents currently need to make withdrawals, 18% of the respondents will withdraw in less than 3 years and 14.5% of the respondents will withdraw after 15 years. It is clear that 28.5% of the respondents expect their investment to grow from 30% to 50%, 26% of the respondents expect their investment to grow from 0 to 15%, 23% of the respondents expect a growth above 50% and 22.5% of the respondents expect a growth from15% to 30%. Table 8 Sharing Information about Risk with Consultant, Learns from Risk and Measure to Control Risk Sl. No . Feel Fre e No. of Responden ts % Lear n from Risk No. of Responden ts % Measure to Control Risk No. of Responden ts % 1 Yes 127 63.5 0 Yes 71 35.5 0 Avoidance 89 44.5 0 2 No 73 36.5 0 No 129 64.5 0 Modificatio n 111 55.5 0 Total 200 100 Total 200 100 Total 200 100 From the above table, it is found that 63.5% of the respondents feel free to share information on risk with consultant and 36.5% the respondents do not feel free to share information with the consultant. It is found that 64.5% of the respondents do not learn from their risk, and 35.5% of the respondents learn from their risk. The table shows that 55.5% of respondents control the risk by modification and 44.5% of the respondents avoid risk. Table 9 Chi-Square Analysis for Income Level and Age of Investing Age of Investing Income Level From 25 to 35 From 35 to 45 From 45 to 55 Above 55 Grand Total Rs. 5000 8 14 14 8 44 Rs.5000 to Rs. 6000 13 14 9 3 39 Rs.6000 to Rs. 7000 11 13 13 8 45 Rs.7000 to Rs. 8000 7 16 9 5 37 Above Rs. 8000 6 11 13 5 35 Grand Total 45 68 58 29 200 Null Hypothesis (H0): No Significant relationship between Income and Age of investing. Alternate
  • 7. International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 - 6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication 272 S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016) Hypothesis (H1): There is a Close Significant relationship Income and Age of investing. Factor Calculated Chi-Square Value Table Value Degree of Freedom Re-Marks Income Level 8.267 21.026 12 Not Significant It is noted from the above table that the calculated Chi-square value is less than the table value. So, there is Close relationship between Age group and Age of investing. Table 10 Chi-Square Analysis for Income Level and Performance of Investment Performance of Investment Income Level Monthly Quarterly Annually Over 5 Years Grand Total Rs. 5000 15 9 15 5 44 Rs.5000 to Rs. 6000 16 9 6 8 39 Rs.6000 to Rs. 7000 15 10 9 11 45 Rs.7000 to Rs. 8000 14 7 9 7 37 Above Rs. 8000 11 7 11 6 35 Grand Total 71 42 50 37 200 Null Hypothesis (H0): No Significant relationship between income level and performance of investments. Alternate Hypothesis (H1): There is Close Significant relationship between income level and performance of investments. Factor Calculated Chi-Square Value Table Value Degree of Freedom Remarks Income Level 6.978 21.026 12 Not Significant Table 11 Chi-Square Analysis for Income Level and Financial Future Financial Future Income Level Very Optimistic Positive Unsure Pessimistic Grand Total Rs. 5000 8 14 14 8 44 Rs.5000 to Rs. 6000 13 14 9 3 39 Rs.6000 to Rs. 7000 11 13 13 8 45 Rs.7000 to Rs. 8000 7 16 9 5 37 Above Rs. 8000 6 11 13 5 35 Grand Total 45 68 58 29 200 Null Hypothesis (H0): No Significant relationship between income level and financial future. Alternate Hypothesis (H1): There is Close Significant relationship between income level and financial future.
  • 8. International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 - 6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication 273 S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016) Factor Calculated Chi-Square Value Table Value Degree of Freedom Remarks Income Level 8.267 21.026 12 Not Significant Table 12 Chi-Square Analysis for Income Level and Financial Risk Financial Risk Income Level Reduces Risk Invest with Extra Money Associated with Playing in the stock Rate of Returns Grand Total Rs. 5000 14 7 19 4 44 Rs.5000 to Rs. 6000 15 5 15 4 39 Rs.6000 to Rs. 7000 9 11 16 9 45 Rs.7000 to Rs. 8000 7 7 17 6 37 Above Rs. 8000 6 6 15 8 35 Grand Total 51 36 82 31 200 Null Hypothesis (H0): No Significant relationship between income level and financial risk. Alternate Hypothesis (H1): There is Close Significant relationship between income level and financial risk. Factor Calculated Chi-Square Value Table Value Degree of Freedom Remarks Income Level 11.505 21.026 12 Not Significant It is noted from the above table that the calculated Chi-square value is less than the table value. So, there is Close relationship between Income level and Financial Risk. Table 13 Chi-Square Analysis for Income Level and Risk Tolerance Risk Tolerance Income Level Less Willingness Risk Tolerance No Idea Grand Total Rs. 5000 12 23 9 44 Rs.5000 to Rs. 6000 19 7 13 39 Rs.6000 to Rs. 7000 16 16 13 45 Rs.7000 to Rs. 8000 13 14 10 37 Above Rs. 8000 9 12 14 35 Grand Total 69 72 59 200 Null Hypothesis (H0): No Significant relationship between income level and risk tolerance. Alternate Hypothesis (H1): There is Close Significant relationship between income level and risk tolerance.
  • 9. International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 - 6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication 274 S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016) Factor Calculated Chi-Square Value Table Value Degree of Freedom Remarks Income Level 13.391 15.507 8 Not Significant 5. FINDINGS  55% of the respondents are not experienced in the stock market.  48.5% of the respondents belong to the age between 30 years to 60 years old.  45.5% of the respondents are purchased Equities type of investments.  34% of the respondents are optimistic of their financial future.  41% of the respondents describe high total return as best statement.  41% of the respondents are associated with playing in the stock market.  28.5% of the respondents are expecting their growth 30% to 50%. =  55.5% of respondents control the risk by modification.  From the Chi-Square Analysis, It is clear that there is a close relationship between Age group and Age of investing and Performance of investments.  From the Chi-Square Analysis, It is confirmed that there is Close relationship between Income level and Financial Future and risk. 6. SUGGESTIONS  Most of the respondents are not aware of Investment Management. So, proper guidance can be given to them. This is to create awareness.  A regular investor friendly seminar can be organized to suit the timings of the investing public. For instance, such seminars can be interactive sessions, arranged at frequent intervals.  The newsletters published help investors. Hence newsletters / bulletins can be published for guidance.  Efforts should be taken to popularize Equity through appropriate publicity measures. 7. CONCLUSION The study is made to find out “Investors Risk perception and Behaviour of Equity investors”. The study reveals that the investors in Tiruchirappalli city are not aware of Investment which would minimize risk and maximize the return. And also it is clear that the investors in Tiruchirappalli city have low level of understanding about risk and the importance of Investment management as they are not aware these factors. Hence proper should to be taken in order to improve the awareness level in the minds of the investors. 8. BIBLIOGRAPHY [1] Alex Kane: (Mar- 1982) Skewness Preferences and Investment Choice, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol 17, No.1. [2] Asai, M. and M. McAleer (2007), Investment index GARCH: a class of parsimonious dynamic covariance models, Unpublished Paper, University of Western Australia. [3] Bollerslev, T. (1990), modeling the coherence in short-run nominal exchange rates: a multivariate generalized ARCH model, Review of Economics and Statistics, 72. [4] Campbell, J.Y. (1987), Stock returns and the term structure, Journal of Financial Economics, 18, 373-399. [5] Chen, N.F., R. Roll and S.A. Ross (1986), Economic forces and the stock markets, Journal of Business.
  • 10. International Journal of Management (IJM), ISSN 0976 – 6502(Print), ISSN 0976 - 6510(Online), Volume 7, Issue 2, February (2016), pp. 266-275 © IAEME Publication 275 S. Abdul Lathif. and Dr. U. Syed Aktharsha. “The Empirical Study on Investors Risk Perception and Behaviour of Equity Investors in Tiruchirappalli District” - (ICAM 2016) [6] Fama, E.F. and K.R. French (1989), Business conditions and expected returns on stocks and bonds, Journal of Financial Economics. [7] F. Modigliani & M.Miller (1958), the Cost of Capital- Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment, the American Economic Review, Vol.6. [8] Freid.D Arditti (Mar, 1967), Risk and the Required on Equity, Journal of Finance, Vol.22. Harry Markowitz (1992) Investment Selection: Efficient Diversification of Investments, New Haven, Yale University Press. [9] McAleer, M. (2005), Automated Inference and Learning in Modeling Fina ncial Volatility, Econometric Theory. [10] PrasanaChandra (2006) Projects-Planing-Analysis-Seelection-Financing-Implementation- and Review, Tata McGraw Hill.