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On tulips & hubris: is UX a bubble?
Morgan McKeagney       UX Masterclass
iQ Content             Johannesburg, South Africa
www.iqcontent.com      30 March, 2012
@morganmck
morgan@iqcontent.com
Build it and they will come.
The “expert” opinion

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZdREFJnNa2M&feature=player_embedded#!
Right. But what’s all this got
       to do with UX?
Source: Lanyard.com, 12th September 2011
Explosion in UX jobs & salaries
IA?
                  iXD?
     UX?
content strategist?
Misinterpreted Jobs Effect:
    Design Fethisism*
Flow
Cooper




                   Fjord




iQContent
Losing sight of what really matters?
“Make my life
simpler & better”
“I have $10. Where do I put it?”
Six imperatives.....

     UX as a strategic weapon: high




6
      performance through insight & design
     Results & problem-solving focus: sales,
      conversion, cost deflection
     Move beyond reports: become problem-
      solvers, makers & doers
     It takes all sorts: embracing technology &
      multidisciplinary teams
     Getting serious about data: insight,
      reporting, ROI
“The strategic sweet spot of a
                                                                      company is where it meets
                                                                      customers’ needs in a
                                                                      way that rivals can’t,
                                                                      given the context in which it
                                                                      competes.”



        Differentiation through design,
           innovation and execution.

Source: “Can You Say What Your Strategy Is?”,David J. Collis and Michael G. Rukstad,
Harvard Business Review, April 2008
3
 1
                                Execution
     Insight



               2
                   Design



Beyond design: a simple framework
Problem: 68% of our calls go unanswered




         Insight: 50% of calls relate to driving test
Strategy:
Facilitate self-service & reduce calls through
exemplary content & design




Impact:
76% reduction in driver-test related queries in
Month 1.
Problem: our plans are too complex




        Insight: We need to faciliate comparisons
Strategy:
Simplify product choices to eliminate confusion;
streamline the purchasing funnel to drive
conversions




Impact:
888% increase in online sales in Month 1.
How much money are we making or
     saving for our clients?
Evolution: from report writers
Evolution / Fidelity of Deliverables
                                           to makers and doers




                                                                              prototypes &
                                                                              applications




                                                             visual design,
                                                             content & html

                                                wireframes


                                       report

                                                  Time
+

+
MyWay: Transforming multichannel
          interactions
1+1=11
Design is strategy, strategy is UX.
Content is UX, content is design,
     content is strategy.
Visual design is UX, visual design is
             strategy.
Coding, testing & QA is UX
Data & analytics is UX,
data is strategy & design
It’s all interconnected...boundaries are
       arbitrary & create problems
UX is Dead; Long Live UX.
Back, briefly, to tulips...
...and the Irish patient.
Nothing can have value
without being an object of
utility. If the thing is useless, so
 is the labour contained in it.
Thanks! Have fun!




Morgan McKeagney
iQ Content
www.iqcontent.com
@morganmck
morgan@iqcontent.com

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On tulips & hubris: is UX a bubble?

Notas del editor

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  2. Title: Build it & they will come\n
  3. Title: Nuts for tulips: 1636 - 1637\n
  4. First published in 1841\n
  5. What you could get for a viceroy tulip. 1637 - Viceroy tulip cost between 3000 & 4200 guilder - at the time, skilled crafts people earned about 300 guilders a year: so tulips were changing hands for between 10-14 times the average industrial wage.\nProsperity - East Indies, Dutch Golden Age, booming commerce\nUnique nature of the flower - unusual, rare “saturated, intense petal color that no other plant exhibited.”\nBecame a desirable luxury commodity\nLimited supply - cannot be produced quickly\nLimited tradiing period - bloom only for a week in April & May for about a week- dormant from June to September - the trading season\nOutside of that period, people were buying contracts for bulbs, rather than bulbs themsleves - so becam like a highly spohisticated futures market - like contracts for difference - not buying the actual shares - just borrowing them (thins also did for Anglo) - no tulips actually changing hands\nPrices soared\nSoaring prices dragged in more speculators, fueling the boom\nPrices reached their peak during the winter of 1636-37, when some bulbs were reportedly changing hands ten times in a day.\n\n
  6. Title: 360 years later, to the west.....\n
  7. Title: Party on!\n
  8. Title: Our fetish was apartments - good looking, laughing, living the box-room dream.....\n\n
  9. Walford: sold for €58 mill in 2005 - cheap at half the price.\n
  10. 7seconds until 48 seconds\none year later, in 2006, one of the chief architects of the doom, explains our success on bloomberg\ndemographics\nimmigration\nlegislation\nlow interest rates\n
  11. Title: Will it, must it, end in tears? \n\nWell it did for tulips & for houses\n\nTulip prices collapsed in February 1637, tulip bulb contract prices collapsed abruptly and the trade of tulips ground to a halt.\n\nIrish house prices peaked in 2006; and have steadily collapsed ever since - now are between 60& 75% off their peak, depnding which survey you look at. \nWalford - bought for 58mill in 2005; sold in 2011 for 15mill\nIrish Glass Bottle site: bought for 412 mill in 2006 ; valued in 2012 at 60million\n
  12. February 1637, auction of tulips in Haarlem; no buyers turned up.\nBubonic plague\nWhile this may have been the result of the fact that Haarlem was then at the height of an outbreak of bubonic plague, within days panic had spread across the country\nwithin days panic had spread across the country. Despite the efforts of traders to prop up demand, the market for tulips evaporated.\nFlowers that had commanded 5,000 guilders a few weeks before now fetched one-hundredth that amount.\n
  13. September 2008-Jan 2009: all our major banking institutions collapse\nThe darling of the boom - Anglo - needs up to 40b in \n\nPeople’s explanations - poor leadership, greedy bankers, excessive lending, low interest rates, poor regulation hubris & excess\n
  14. September 2008-Jan 2009: all our major banking institutions collapse\nThe darling of the boom - Anglo - needs up to 40b in \n\nPeople’s explanations - poor leadership, greedy bankers, excessive lending, low interest rates, poor regulation hubris & excess\n
  15. My explanation: the fundamentals caught up with us - we had flown too far from value\n
  16. My explanation: the fundamentals caught up with us - we had flown too far from value\n
  17. Title: Inflationary chatter\n
  18. Title: inflationary chatter\n
  19. Title: Flight from value, rockstar mentality\n
  20. UPA 2011 salary survey - $90k, up 7% on 2009\n
  21. Title: Whining & navel-gazing\n
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  24. Inflated sense of importance\n
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  27. Nobody understands us\n
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  32. Holier than thou\nAddressing the most pressing problems, whether design or not\nSales; self-service\n
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  57. Title: Irish patient recovering? Source: Financial Times, August 16th, 2011\n\nThe Helm’s deep moment: turning of the tide\n
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