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CLEAN DEVELOPMENT MECHANISM
Roadmap ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Kyoto Protocol Kyoto Protocol ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Kyoto Mechanism ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)?
Certified Emissions Reductions  ( CERs ) A CER is given by the CDM Executive Board to projects in developing countries to certify they have reduced green house gas emissions by one tonne of carbon dioxide per year
One CER is equivalent to one tonne of carbon dioxide reduced
ONE CER = $ 10  (CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATE)
Six green house gases Source: IPCC Third assessment report,2001 Gas Global Warming potential Carbon dioxide (CO2) 1 Methane (CH4) 21 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) 310 Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) 140-11700 Perfluorocarbons (PFCs) 7000-9200 Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6) 23900
What makes a project eligible for CDM? A project is eligible for CDM benefits if the project will result in a net decrease in green house gas emissions – this is called additionality
CDM Projects Renewable Energy Hydro/Wind/Biomass/Solar/Biogas based Cogeneration Clean Energy Energy Efficiency Waste Heat Recovery and Utilization Natural Gas Green Building Energy Efficient Lighting/Cooling/Heating HFC/PFC Abatement Aforestation /Reforestation Methane/Landfill gas recovery & Utilization Others Types of CDM Projects
Project Activities under CDM must be… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Baseline If a project gets 20,000 CER’s it means that it’s emissions are 20,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide less than a reference point called a baseline. A baseline for a CDM project gives the greenhouse gases emissions that would have occurred in the absence of the proposed CDM project activity
Baseline Methodology Step-1:   Identify Baseline Scenario Step-2: Define Data sources and Assumptions Step-3: Estimating the Baseline Step-4: Evaluating Baseline Methodology Step-6: Monitoring of Baseline Methodology Step-5: Assessment of uncertainties
Step 1: Identifying Baseline Scenario D E F I N E R E F I N E SELECT BASELINE SCENARIO Survey of activities providing similar services as the Project Define Spatial Scope – local/regional/national Map technology/practices for Project Activity in Spatial Boundary Identify policies/regulations that influence choice of  Technology/practices Identify programs for promoting resource conservation  Technology/practices in the sector Drop/Add alternatives to Baseline Scenarios
Step 2: Defining Data sources and Assumptions Describe Parameters and Assumptions List the Data used and its Sources Define the Vintage of Data Determine the Spatial level of Data
Step 3: Estimating the Baseline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Step 4: Evaluating Baseline Methodology Two parameters for Evaluation Relevance Robustness Applicability of  Baseline Methodology Strength and  Weakness Transparency Conservative- ness
Step 5: Assessment of Uncertainties ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Step 6: Monitoring of Baseline Methodology Uncertainties  Related to: Assumptions Variables
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Preparation of Project Design Document (PDD) Approval of Host Country Validation of Project by DOEs Registration of Project by UNFCCC Monitoring of Project Activity Verification & Certification of CERs by DOEs Issuance of CERs by UNFCCC One Time Activity Annually For full Crediting period Buyers pay to  Project owners Signing Contract With  Buyers CDM Project Cycle
Feasibility Study Decision Making Project Planning Project Implementation Project Operation &  Maintenance CDM CDM CDM CDM Realization of CDM Revenue Without CDM With CDM Include CDM revenue in project financials & IRR calculation If possible secure Bank loan only on virtue of CDM revenue Include discussion of CDM in all board meeting Include all risk & barrier in project DPR report Involve CDM consultant and develop PDD & PCN Submit PDD to validation agencies at least 4 month prior to signing first purchase order or EPC contract for the project Facilitate in CDM registration PDD: Project Design Document ,PCN: Project Concept Note, EPC: Engineering Procurement and Construction, DPR: Detailed Project Report Project Management
Impact of CDM Revenue on the  Renewable Energy Project Cost Source: Prototype Carbon Fund, World Bank 2005 Technology IRR Energy efficiency  (heating by solar panels) <1.0 Wind 0.9-1.3 Hydro 1.2-2.6 Bagasse 0.5-3.5 Biomass <5.2 Solid Waste Management (Methane Recovery) >5.0
Project’s Contribution to Sustainable Development ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Project Additionality Test
STEP 0:  CLAIMING CREDITS FOR PROJECT WITH START DATE PRIOR   to date of registration – if not applicable go to step 1 directly STEP 1 : IDENTIFICATION OF ALTERNATIVES   to the project activity  consistent with mandatory laws and regulations STEP 3 : BARRIER ANALYSIS Is there at least one barrier  preventing the implementation of the proposed project  activity without the CDM; and (2) Is at least one alternative  Scenario, other than proposed CDM project activity not  Prevented by any of the  Identified barriers? STEP 2 :  INVESTMENT ANALYSIS Does sensitivity analysis conclude that the proposed  CDM project activity is  unlikely to be the most financially attractive or is unlikely to be  financially attractive? STEP 4 :COMMON PRACTICE ANALYSIS (1) No similar activities can be observed? (2) If similar activities are observed, are  they essential distinctions  between  the proposed CDM project activity and  similar activities that can reasonably  be explained?   Project is additional Project is Not Additional Claim CDM Benefits N N N Y Y Y
STEP 2: Investment Analysis Any financial returns from project Other than the CER benefits? Use simple cost analysis Demonstrate costs and  prove no benefits accrue No Investment comparison  Analysis Choose: IRR 1 , NPV, CB ratio Or unit cost of service ($/kWh) Benchmark Analysis Choose: IRR 2 , NPV, CB ratio Or unit cost of service ($/kWh) 1: Project or Equity IRR; 2: Project IRR. Choose Benchmark: GBR + Risk Premium, or Cost of Cap or Req. return Rate, or Company internal Benchmark Yes Indicator of at least  One Alternative > CDM Project  Indicator of CDM Project  < Benchmark  Sensitivity Analysis
STEP 3: Barrier Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
STEP 4: Common Practice Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Estimation of GHG emissions reduction Estimation of GHG emissions (1) ADD: Estimation of Leakage (2) TOTAL Estimation of GHG emissions (1+2= 3) LESS Baseline emissions (4) NET Emissions reduction (4-3)
Transaction cost for Acquiring CERs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Emissions trading
CER Prices as on 15/07/2009 Europe
CER Prices as on 15/07/2009  U.S
CER Prices as on 15/07/2009  India Rs.
Various factors influencing CER prices in India ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],CDM Legal issues
The Role and nature of Carbon  Contracts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],ERPA: Emission Reduction Purchase Agreement
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Role and nature of Carbon  Contracts (Contd…)
CERC Regulations for sharing of  CDM benefits ,[object Object],[object Object],Year Share of project developer (Generation co.) Share of beneficiar-ies 1 75% 25% 2 75% 25% 3 75% 25% 4 75% 25% 5 75% 25% 6 and onwards 75% 25% Year Share of project developer (Generation co.) Share of beneficiari-es 1 100% Nil 2 90% 10% 3 80% 20% 4 70% 30% 5 60% 40% 6 and onwards 50% 50%
CDM project Risk Identification and Management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CDM project Risk Identification and Management (Contd…) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CDM WORLD
CDM Statistics Source: India holds 2 nd  position with 442 registered projects
CDM Statistics (Contd…) Source: India expects 35,774,921  CERs from registered projects i.e. 80940 CERs per projects
CDM Statistics (Contd…) Source: 1256 registered projects
CDM Statistics (Contd…)
Benefits to Developed Countries ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Benefits of CDM to Developing Countries ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
India’s Position ,[object Object],[object Object],Country India USA U.K China World Per capita CO 2  emission (tonnes of CO 2  /annum) 1.2 20.6 9.8 3.8 4.5
Indian Scenario-CDM ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Present Risks  in CDM Promotion in India ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Webography ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 

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Clean Development Mechanism

  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. What is Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)?
  • 6. Certified Emissions Reductions ( CERs ) A CER is given by the CDM Executive Board to projects in developing countries to certify they have reduced green house gas emissions by one tonne of carbon dioxide per year
  • 7. One CER is equivalent to one tonne of carbon dioxide reduced
  • 8. ONE CER = $ 10 (CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATE)
  • 9. Six green house gases Source: IPCC Third assessment report,2001 Gas Global Warming potential Carbon dioxide (CO2) 1 Methane (CH4) 21 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) 310 Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) 140-11700 Perfluorocarbons (PFCs) 7000-9200 Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6) 23900
  • 10. What makes a project eligible for CDM? A project is eligible for CDM benefits if the project will result in a net decrease in green house gas emissions – this is called additionality
  • 11. CDM Projects Renewable Energy Hydro/Wind/Biomass/Solar/Biogas based Cogeneration Clean Energy Energy Efficiency Waste Heat Recovery and Utilization Natural Gas Green Building Energy Efficient Lighting/Cooling/Heating HFC/PFC Abatement Aforestation /Reforestation Methane/Landfill gas recovery & Utilization Others Types of CDM Projects
  • 12.
  • 13. Baseline If a project gets 20,000 CER’s it means that it’s emissions are 20,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide less than a reference point called a baseline. A baseline for a CDM project gives the greenhouse gases emissions that would have occurred in the absence of the proposed CDM project activity
  • 14. Baseline Methodology Step-1: Identify Baseline Scenario Step-2: Define Data sources and Assumptions Step-3: Estimating the Baseline Step-4: Evaluating Baseline Methodology Step-6: Monitoring of Baseline Methodology Step-5: Assessment of uncertainties
  • 15. Step 1: Identifying Baseline Scenario D E F I N E R E F I N E SELECT BASELINE SCENARIO Survey of activities providing similar services as the Project Define Spatial Scope – local/regional/national Map technology/practices for Project Activity in Spatial Boundary Identify policies/regulations that influence choice of Technology/practices Identify programs for promoting resource conservation Technology/practices in the sector Drop/Add alternatives to Baseline Scenarios
  • 16. Step 2: Defining Data sources and Assumptions Describe Parameters and Assumptions List the Data used and its Sources Define the Vintage of Data Determine the Spatial level of Data
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  • 18. Step 4: Evaluating Baseline Methodology Two parameters for Evaluation Relevance Robustness Applicability of Baseline Methodology Strength and Weakness Transparency Conservative- ness
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  • 20. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Preparation of Project Design Document (PDD) Approval of Host Country Validation of Project by DOEs Registration of Project by UNFCCC Monitoring of Project Activity Verification & Certification of CERs by DOEs Issuance of CERs by UNFCCC One Time Activity Annually For full Crediting period Buyers pay to Project owners Signing Contract With Buyers CDM Project Cycle
  • 21. Feasibility Study Decision Making Project Planning Project Implementation Project Operation & Maintenance CDM CDM CDM CDM Realization of CDM Revenue Without CDM With CDM Include CDM revenue in project financials & IRR calculation If possible secure Bank loan only on virtue of CDM revenue Include discussion of CDM in all board meeting Include all risk & barrier in project DPR report Involve CDM consultant and develop PDD & PCN Submit PDD to validation agencies at least 4 month prior to signing first purchase order or EPC contract for the project Facilitate in CDM registration PDD: Project Design Document ,PCN: Project Concept Note, EPC: Engineering Procurement and Construction, DPR: Detailed Project Report Project Management
  • 22. Impact of CDM Revenue on the Renewable Energy Project Cost Source: Prototype Carbon Fund, World Bank 2005 Technology IRR Energy efficiency (heating by solar panels) <1.0 Wind 0.9-1.3 Hydro 1.2-2.6 Bagasse 0.5-3.5 Biomass <5.2 Solid Waste Management (Methane Recovery) >5.0
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  • 25. STEP 0: CLAIMING CREDITS FOR PROJECT WITH START DATE PRIOR to date of registration – if not applicable go to step 1 directly STEP 1 : IDENTIFICATION OF ALTERNATIVES to the project activity consistent with mandatory laws and regulations STEP 3 : BARRIER ANALYSIS Is there at least one barrier preventing the implementation of the proposed project activity without the CDM; and (2) Is at least one alternative Scenario, other than proposed CDM project activity not Prevented by any of the Identified barriers? STEP 2 : INVESTMENT ANALYSIS Does sensitivity analysis conclude that the proposed CDM project activity is unlikely to be the most financially attractive or is unlikely to be financially attractive? STEP 4 :COMMON PRACTICE ANALYSIS (1) No similar activities can be observed? (2) If similar activities are observed, are they essential distinctions between the proposed CDM project activity and similar activities that can reasonably be explained? Project is additional Project is Not Additional Claim CDM Benefits N N N Y Y Y
  • 26. STEP 2: Investment Analysis Any financial returns from project Other than the CER benefits? Use simple cost analysis Demonstrate costs and prove no benefits accrue No Investment comparison Analysis Choose: IRR 1 , NPV, CB ratio Or unit cost of service ($/kWh) Benchmark Analysis Choose: IRR 2 , NPV, CB ratio Or unit cost of service ($/kWh) 1: Project or Equity IRR; 2: Project IRR. Choose Benchmark: GBR + Risk Premium, or Cost of Cap or Req. return Rate, or Company internal Benchmark Yes Indicator of at least One Alternative > CDM Project Indicator of CDM Project < Benchmark Sensitivity Analysis
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  • 29. Estimation of GHG emissions reduction Estimation of GHG emissions (1) ADD: Estimation of Leakage (2) TOTAL Estimation of GHG emissions (1+2= 3) LESS Baseline emissions (4) NET Emissions reduction (4-3)
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  • 32. CER Prices as on 15/07/2009 Europe
  • 33. CER Prices as on 15/07/2009 U.S
  • 34. CER Prices as on 15/07/2009 India Rs.
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  • 43. CDM Statistics Source: India holds 2 nd position with 442 registered projects
  • 44. CDM Statistics (Contd…) Source: India expects 35,774,921 CERs from registered projects i.e. 80940 CERs per projects
  • 45. CDM Statistics (Contd…) Source: 1256 registered projects
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