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   Suffrage- the right to vote
    › Framers of the Constitution purposely left the
      power to set suffrage qualifications to each
      State.
    › Amendment X- Powers reserved to the States
   Electorate- the potential voting
    population; those able to vote
    › Some 210 million Americans are qualified to
      vote
    › American citizen, 18 years of age
   The long road toward American suffrage
    has been marked by two major trends…
    1. Gradual elimination of restrictions on voting
       rights
    2. Transfer of power from State Governments
       to the Federal Government
Five factors that voting restrictions have
fallen under in American history:
1. Religious belief
2. Property ownership
3. Tax payment
4. Race
5. Sex
We’ll see these
continue to effect
American votes today
1.   Religious qualifications quickly
     disappeared by 1800.
     › No State has had a religious test since 1810
    States began to eliminate property
     ownership and tax payment
     requirements
     › By 1830-40s, nearly all white-American adult
      males could vote in every State
2.   Following the Civil War, Federal
     government amends the U.S.
     Constitution to hold the 15th
     Amendment
     › Ratified in 1870, protected any citizen from
      being denied the right to vote because of
      race.
3.   Early 20th century- Voting rights for all
     sexes
     › 19th Amendment prohibited the denial of the
       right to vote because of sex
     › Ratified in 1920
     › Executive Power- enforced by the central
       government
4.   1960s- Ensuring the right to vote to
     African Americans in ALL States
     › Passage of federal legislation and court
      decisions
        23rd Amendment (1961) added the voters of
         Washington D.C.
        24th Amendment (1964) eliminated the poll tax
        Voting Rights Act of 1965- civil rights act that
         helped solidify racial equality in the voting
         booths
   Most recent expansions in electorate
    suffrage comes with the adoption of
    › 26th Amendment- No State can set a
      minimum age for voting at more than 18
      years of age
    › Ratified 1971
Every State requires that any person who
wants to vote must:
1. Have citizenship
2. Have residence
3. Be of age


   States have found ways to bypass or
    bend the rules of the first 2 requirements.
   Aliens- foreign born residents who have not
    become citizens
    › Generally denied the right to vote
    › HOWEVER, it is not expressed in the Constitution
 Historically, western States allowed aliens to
  vote (to attract settlers)
 1926- Arkansas is the last State to illegalize
  voting rights to aliens in federal elections.
   One must be a legal resident of the State
    he/she wishes to cast their ballot
    1. To keep a political machine (interest group)
       from importing out-of-staters to vote in local &
       State elections
    2. To allow new voters some time to become
       familiar with the candidates/issues of their State
   Voting Rights Act (1970)- Congress banned
    any requirement of longer than 30 days for
    voting in presidential elections
   Dunn v. Blumstein- 1972, a Supreme
    Court case that found Tennessee’s
    requirements were unconstitutional
    › 90 day residency in country
    › 1 year residency in State


   Transients- persons living in a State for
    only a short time
    › Out-of-State salesman, armed service
      member, or college students may find it
      difficult to vote while travelling
   30-day residency requirement
    › Must live in-State for thirty days
    › Live in a specific county


   30-day registration requirement
    ›   Registration deadline is 30 days before the
        upcoming election
 26th Amendment (1971)- declared that no
  State may set a minimum age for voting in
  ANY election at more than 18 years of age
 Before the 26th Amendment, the generally
  accepted voting age was 21 and up
    › Only four States had a set voting age of lower
     than 21 before 1970.
       Georgia, Kentucky, Alaska, and Hawaii
 Vietnam War:
“Old enough to fight,
old enough to vote”
   Montana was the 8th state to ratify the
    26th Amendment
    › March 29, 1971
    › Congress proposed the Amendment on
      March 23, 1971
   Voting turnout in Montana is usually
    always higher than the national average

      General Election   Montana Voting   National Voter
      (Year)             turnout (%)      Turnout (%)
      2004               71.4             55.3
      2008               74.5             56.8
   A procedure of voter identification
    intended to prevent fraudulent voting.
    › Every state, except North Dakota, requires voter
      registration
    › N.D. was one of the first States to adopt voter
      registration, but abolished it in 1951because of
      its small precincts
 Type of electoral fraud that occurs when the
  name of a deceased person remains on a
  state’s official list of registered voters and a
  living person fraudulently casts a ballot in that
  name.
 1982- Gubernatorial election in Illinois
  estimated that as many as 1 in 10 ballots cast
  during the election were fraudulent, including
  votes by the dead.
    › Same can be
    said in the 1960 election
   Purging- State law directs local election
    officials to review the lists of registered
    voters and to remove those names no
    longer eligible
    › Usually happens every 2 to 4 years


   Poll Books- Lists of all the registered voters
    in each precinct
    › The “Death Master Files”
   A person’s ability to read or write.
    › A device used to keep African Americans
      from voting in parts of the South
       Used to keep Native Americans from voting in
        the West and Southwest
 Poll Tax- the payment of a special tax, as a
  condition for voting
 1889- Florida is the first of 11 Southern States
  to initiate these poll taxes
    › Used to discourage African Americans from
      voting
    › 1966- the poll tax was still used in 4 southern
      states
   24th Amendment (1964)- outlawed the poll
    tax, or any other tax in federal elections
   Gerrymandering- the practice of
    drawing electoral district lines in order to
    limit the voting strength of a particular
    party or group.
    › District lines are the boundaries of the
      geographic area from which a candidate is
      elected to a public office
   Injunction- a court order that either
    forces or limits the performance of some
    act by a private individual or by a public
    official.
Democrat Convention
       2008
                      Republican Convention
                               2008
This is an area of study that has been
researched and investigated more
thoroughly than just about any other in
Political Science.

Here are just some things you should know...
 The word idiot comes from the Greek
  root word idiotes, meaning those citizens
  who do not vote.
 Tens of millions of Americans, for one
  reason or another, do not vote.
   General Presidential Election (2000)
    › Votes cast: 51.2% of the voting populous
   General Presidential Election (2008)
    › Votes cast: 56.8% of voting populous
 Off-year elections-
The congressional
elections held in the
even-numbered years
between presidential
elections
Turnout of
                                                        voting-age
         Voting-age         Voter                       population
Year     population      registration   Voter turnout    (percent)
2010**     235,809,266       NA          90,682,968       37.8%
2008*      231,229,580       NA         132,618,580*       56.8
2006       220,600,000   135,889,600     80,588,000        37.1
2004       221,256,931   174,800,000    122,294,978        55.3
2002       215,473,000   150,990,598     79,830,119        37.0
2000       205,815,000   156,421,311    105,586,274        51.3
1998       200,929,000   141,850,558     73,117,022        36.4
1996       196,511,000   146,211,960     96,456,345        49.1
1994       193,650,000   130,292,822     75,105,860        38.8
1992       189,529,000   133,821,178    104,405,155        55.1
1990       185,812,000   121,105,630     67,859,189        36.5
1988       182,778,000   126,379,628     91,594,693        50.1
1986       178,566,000   118,399,984     64,991,128        36.4
1984       174,466,000   124,150,614     92,652,680        53.1
1982       169,938,000   110,671,225     67,615,576        39.8
1980       164,597,000   113,043,734     86,515,221        52.6
1978       158,373,000   103,291,265     58,917,938        37.2
1976       152,309,190   105,037,986     81,555,789        53.6
1974       146,336,000   96,199,0201     55,943,834        38.2
1972       140,776,000   97,328,541      77,718,554        55.2
1970       124,498,000   82,496,7472     58,014,338        46.6
1968       120,328,186   81,658,180      73,211,875        60.8
1966       116,132,000   76,288,2833     56,188,046        48.4
1964       114,090,000   73,715,818      70,644,592        61.9
1962       112,423,000   65,393,7514     53,141,227        47.3
1960       109,159,000   64,833,0965     68,838,204        63.1
   The time that it takes to vote at the polls
    should NOT be a significant reason for so
    many nonvoters.
    › “Cannot-Voters”
    › Actual Nonvoters
    › Inconvenient Polling
1.   10 million of the 100 million potential
     voters who did not vote in the 2000
     election are resident aliens.
2.   5-6 million voters were said to be
     physically unable to get to the polls.
3.   2-3 million voters are said to be travelling
     during the general elections
4.   Nearly half-million voters are in mental
     health care facilities or under some kind
     of legal restraint
5.   2 million potential voters are in jails and
     prisons
 Even factoring in the “cannot-voters,” there
  is still an 80 million voter gap in the U.S.
 Many people simple choose not to vote
    › Many are convinced that their vote doesn’t
      make a difference
    › Some are content with the political world
    › Others share a distrust toward politics
   Political Efficacy- One’s own influence or
    effectiveness on politics
   Cumbersome election procedures
    › Registration requirements
    › Long ballots
    › Lines at voting polls
   “Time-zone fallout” problem
    › Polls in States in the Eastern/Central time zones
      close before Mountain/Pacific time zones
    › Media effect
   It usually comes down to lack of interest
 Information on voting behavior comes
  from 3 main sources”
1. Results of Particular Elections
     ›   A careful study of the returns by areas
         populated by a single interest group
2.   Field of Survey Research
     › Polling of scientifically determined cross
         sections of the population
3.   Studies of Political Socialization
     ›   The process by which people gain their
         political attitudes and opinions
 There are two basic means of studying voter
  behavior
1. Sociological factors
     ›   Voter’s personal characteristics-age, race,
         income, occupation, education, religion, etc.
     ›   Voter’s group affiliation-family, co-workers,
         friends, etc.
2.   Psychological factors
     ›   Voter’s perceptions of politics
 Written by Paul Lazarsfeld
 “Social Characteristics = Political Preference
 Activation~4 Step Process
    1. Interest-make people aware
    2. Exposure-people begin to learn about the
       campaign
    3. Selective Attention-filtering information
        Funnel of Causality
    4. Crystallization-lock in their vote choice
   Reinforcement~ Used to appeal to your
    partisans
   Income/Occupation
    › Voters with higher incomes tend to be
      Republicans
    › Voters with lower incomes tend to be
      Democrats
   Education
    › Statistics show a strong correlation of higher
      educated voters backing a Republican
      candidate
    › A college graduates vote for Republican in
      higher % than do high school graduates
    › High school graduates vote Republican in
      higher % than do voters with a grade school
      education
   Gender Gap- a measureable difference
    between the partisan choices of men
    and women.
    › First appeared in the election of 1980
      (Reagan vs. Carter)
    › Women generally tend to favor Democrats
      by a margin of 5-10%
    › Similarly, men favor Republicans
   Men and women are more likely to vote
    differently on specific issues:
    › Abortion, health-care, social welfare, and
     military involvement
 Age- traditionally, younger voters tend to
  be Democrats
 Different generations will have different
  political values
   Religious
    › Catholics (Irish Immigrants) = Democrats
    › North Protestants (English) = Republicans
   Ethnic Background
    › Nonwhites = Democrats
   These ethnic variables conflict with
    religious values much of the time
 Geography = sectionalism
 Post Civil Way
    › Solid South belonged to the Democrats
    › This is a thing of the past; the GOP now
     controls much of the Southern U.S.
 Large cities/urban
communities draw
Democrats
 Suburban America =
Republicans
   “Enduring Attachment”
    › The idea that partisanship strengthens over time
      because of outside influences.
   Party Affiliation
    › Social identification
    › Political Parties  different constituent groups
      social categories identify    self conception
   Party Identification- the loyalty of people to
    a particular political party
    › Partisanship strengthens over time
    › Single most significant predictor for populous’
      voting outcome
   Straight-ticket voting: the practice of voting
    for candidates of only one party in an
    election
   Split-ticket voting
    › Voting is an inadequate measure of self-
      conception
    › Party identification is by no means the sole
      determinant of vote preference
   Rise of the Independents
    › Those people who have no party affiliation
Prisoner
                                  1


                     Confess             Quiet




           Confess    20/20              10/25

Prisoner
    2
            Quiet     25/10               2/2
Chapter 6 voter behavior

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Chapter 6 voter behavior

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3. Suffrage- the right to vote › Framers of the Constitution purposely left the power to set suffrage qualifications to each State. › Amendment X- Powers reserved to the States
  • 4. Electorate- the potential voting population; those able to vote › Some 210 million Americans are qualified to vote › American citizen, 18 years of age  The long road toward American suffrage has been marked by two major trends… 1. Gradual elimination of restrictions on voting rights 2. Transfer of power from State Governments to the Federal Government
  • 5. Five factors that voting restrictions have fallen under in American history: 1. Religious belief 2. Property ownership 3. Tax payment 4. Race 5. Sex We’ll see these continue to effect American votes today
  • 6. 1. Religious qualifications quickly disappeared by 1800. › No State has had a religious test since 1810  States began to eliminate property ownership and tax payment requirements › By 1830-40s, nearly all white-American adult males could vote in every State
  • 7. 2. Following the Civil War, Federal government amends the U.S. Constitution to hold the 15th Amendment › Ratified in 1870, protected any citizen from being denied the right to vote because of race.
  • 8. 3. Early 20th century- Voting rights for all sexes › 19th Amendment prohibited the denial of the right to vote because of sex › Ratified in 1920 › Executive Power- enforced by the central government
  • 9. 4. 1960s- Ensuring the right to vote to African Americans in ALL States › Passage of federal legislation and court decisions  23rd Amendment (1961) added the voters of Washington D.C.  24th Amendment (1964) eliminated the poll tax  Voting Rights Act of 1965- civil rights act that helped solidify racial equality in the voting booths
  • 10. Most recent expansions in electorate suffrage comes with the adoption of › 26th Amendment- No State can set a minimum age for voting at more than 18 years of age › Ratified 1971
  • 11.
  • 12. Every State requires that any person who wants to vote must: 1. Have citizenship 2. Have residence 3. Be of age  States have found ways to bypass or bend the rules of the first 2 requirements.
  • 13. Aliens- foreign born residents who have not become citizens › Generally denied the right to vote › HOWEVER, it is not expressed in the Constitution  Historically, western States allowed aliens to vote (to attract settlers)  1926- Arkansas is the last State to illegalize voting rights to aliens in federal elections.
  • 14. One must be a legal resident of the State he/she wishes to cast their ballot 1. To keep a political machine (interest group) from importing out-of-staters to vote in local & State elections 2. To allow new voters some time to become familiar with the candidates/issues of their State  Voting Rights Act (1970)- Congress banned any requirement of longer than 30 days for voting in presidential elections
  • 15. Dunn v. Blumstein- 1972, a Supreme Court case that found Tennessee’s requirements were unconstitutional › 90 day residency in country › 1 year residency in State  Transients- persons living in a State for only a short time › Out-of-State salesman, armed service member, or college students may find it difficult to vote while travelling
  • 16. 30-day residency requirement › Must live in-State for thirty days › Live in a specific county  30-day registration requirement › Registration deadline is 30 days before the upcoming election
  • 17.  26th Amendment (1971)- declared that no State may set a minimum age for voting in ANY election at more than 18 years of age  Before the 26th Amendment, the generally accepted voting age was 21 and up › Only four States had a set voting age of lower than 21 before 1970.  Georgia, Kentucky, Alaska, and Hawaii  Vietnam War: “Old enough to fight, old enough to vote”
  • 18. Montana was the 8th state to ratify the 26th Amendment › March 29, 1971 › Congress proposed the Amendment on March 23, 1971  Voting turnout in Montana is usually always higher than the national average General Election Montana Voting National Voter (Year) turnout (%) Turnout (%) 2004 71.4 55.3 2008 74.5 56.8
  • 19. A procedure of voter identification intended to prevent fraudulent voting. › Every state, except North Dakota, requires voter registration › N.D. was one of the first States to adopt voter registration, but abolished it in 1951because of its small precincts
  • 20.  Type of electoral fraud that occurs when the name of a deceased person remains on a state’s official list of registered voters and a living person fraudulently casts a ballot in that name.  1982- Gubernatorial election in Illinois estimated that as many as 1 in 10 ballots cast during the election were fraudulent, including votes by the dead. › Same can be said in the 1960 election
  • 21. Purging- State law directs local election officials to review the lists of registered voters and to remove those names no longer eligible › Usually happens every 2 to 4 years  Poll Books- Lists of all the registered voters in each precinct › The “Death Master Files”
  • 22. A person’s ability to read or write. › A device used to keep African Americans from voting in parts of the South  Used to keep Native Americans from voting in the West and Southwest
  • 23.  Poll Tax- the payment of a special tax, as a condition for voting  1889- Florida is the first of 11 Southern States to initiate these poll taxes › Used to discourage African Americans from voting › 1966- the poll tax was still used in 4 southern states  24th Amendment (1964)- outlawed the poll tax, or any other tax in federal elections
  • 24.
  • 25. Gerrymandering- the practice of drawing electoral district lines in order to limit the voting strength of a particular party or group. › District lines are the boundaries of the geographic area from which a candidate is elected to a public office
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28. Injunction- a court order that either forces or limits the performance of some act by a private individual or by a public official.
  • 29. Democrat Convention 2008 Republican Convention 2008
  • 30. This is an area of study that has been researched and investigated more thoroughly than just about any other in Political Science. Here are just some things you should know...
  • 31.  The word idiot comes from the Greek root word idiotes, meaning those citizens who do not vote.  Tens of millions of Americans, for one reason or another, do not vote.
  • 32. General Presidential Election (2000) › Votes cast: 51.2% of the voting populous  General Presidential Election (2008) › Votes cast: 56.8% of voting populous  Off-year elections- The congressional elections held in the even-numbered years between presidential elections
  • 33. Turnout of voting-age Voting-age Voter population Year population registration Voter turnout (percent) 2010** 235,809,266 NA 90,682,968 37.8% 2008* 231,229,580 NA 132,618,580* 56.8 2006 220,600,000 135,889,600 80,588,000 37.1 2004 221,256,931 174,800,000 122,294,978 55.3 2002 215,473,000 150,990,598 79,830,119 37.0 2000 205,815,000 156,421,311 105,586,274 51.3 1998 200,929,000 141,850,558 73,117,022 36.4 1996 196,511,000 146,211,960 96,456,345 49.1 1994 193,650,000 130,292,822 75,105,860 38.8 1992 189,529,000 133,821,178 104,405,155 55.1 1990 185,812,000 121,105,630 67,859,189 36.5 1988 182,778,000 126,379,628 91,594,693 50.1 1986 178,566,000 118,399,984 64,991,128 36.4 1984 174,466,000 124,150,614 92,652,680 53.1 1982 169,938,000 110,671,225 67,615,576 39.8 1980 164,597,000 113,043,734 86,515,221 52.6 1978 158,373,000 103,291,265 58,917,938 37.2 1976 152,309,190 105,037,986 81,555,789 53.6 1974 146,336,000 96,199,0201 55,943,834 38.2 1972 140,776,000 97,328,541 77,718,554 55.2 1970 124,498,000 82,496,7472 58,014,338 46.6 1968 120,328,186 81,658,180 73,211,875 60.8 1966 116,132,000 76,288,2833 56,188,046 48.4 1964 114,090,000 73,715,818 70,644,592 61.9 1962 112,423,000 65,393,7514 53,141,227 47.3 1960 109,159,000 64,833,0965 68,838,204 63.1
  • 34. The time that it takes to vote at the polls should NOT be a significant reason for so many nonvoters. › “Cannot-Voters” › Actual Nonvoters › Inconvenient Polling
  • 35. 1. 10 million of the 100 million potential voters who did not vote in the 2000 election are resident aliens. 2. 5-6 million voters were said to be physically unable to get to the polls. 3. 2-3 million voters are said to be travelling during the general elections 4. Nearly half-million voters are in mental health care facilities or under some kind of legal restraint 5. 2 million potential voters are in jails and prisons
  • 36.  Even factoring in the “cannot-voters,” there is still an 80 million voter gap in the U.S.  Many people simple choose not to vote › Many are convinced that their vote doesn’t make a difference › Some are content with the political world › Others share a distrust toward politics  Political Efficacy- One’s own influence or effectiveness on politics
  • 37. Cumbersome election procedures › Registration requirements › Long ballots › Lines at voting polls  “Time-zone fallout” problem › Polls in States in the Eastern/Central time zones close before Mountain/Pacific time zones › Media effect  It usually comes down to lack of interest
  • 38.
  • 39.  Information on voting behavior comes from 3 main sources” 1. Results of Particular Elections › A careful study of the returns by areas populated by a single interest group 2. Field of Survey Research › Polling of scientifically determined cross sections of the population 3. Studies of Political Socialization › The process by which people gain their political attitudes and opinions
  • 40.  There are two basic means of studying voter behavior 1. Sociological factors › Voter’s personal characteristics-age, race, income, occupation, education, religion, etc. › Voter’s group affiliation-family, co-workers, friends, etc. 2. Psychological factors › Voter’s perceptions of politics
  • 41.  Written by Paul Lazarsfeld  “Social Characteristics = Political Preference  Activation~4 Step Process 1. Interest-make people aware 2. Exposure-people begin to learn about the campaign 3. Selective Attention-filtering information  Funnel of Causality 4. Crystallization-lock in their vote choice  Reinforcement~ Used to appeal to your partisans
  • 42.
  • 43. Income/Occupation › Voters with higher incomes tend to be Republicans › Voters with lower incomes tend to be Democrats
  • 44. Education › Statistics show a strong correlation of higher educated voters backing a Republican candidate › A college graduates vote for Republican in higher % than do high school graduates › High school graduates vote Republican in higher % than do voters with a grade school education
  • 45. Gender Gap- a measureable difference between the partisan choices of men and women. › First appeared in the election of 1980 (Reagan vs. Carter) › Women generally tend to favor Democrats by a margin of 5-10% › Similarly, men favor Republicans  Men and women are more likely to vote differently on specific issues: › Abortion, health-care, social welfare, and military involvement
  • 46.  Age- traditionally, younger voters tend to be Democrats  Different generations will have different political values
  • 47. Religious › Catholics (Irish Immigrants) = Democrats › North Protestants (English) = Republicans  Ethnic Background › Nonwhites = Democrats  These ethnic variables conflict with religious values much of the time
  • 48.  Geography = sectionalism  Post Civil Way › Solid South belonged to the Democrats › This is a thing of the past; the GOP now controls much of the Southern U.S.  Large cities/urban communities draw Democrats  Suburban America = Republicans
  • 49. “Enduring Attachment” › The idea that partisanship strengthens over time because of outside influences.  Party Affiliation › Social identification › Political Parties different constituent groups social categories identify self conception
  • 50. Party Identification- the loyalty of people to a particular political party › Partisanship strengthens over time › Single most significant predictor for populous’ voting outcome  Straight-ticket voting: the practice of voting for candidates of only one party in an election
  • 51. Split-ticket voting › Voting is an inadequate measure of self- conception › Party identification is by no means the sole determinant of vote preference  Rise of the Independents › Those people who have no party affiliation
  • 52. Prisoner 1 Confess Quiet Confess 20/20 10/25 Prisoner 2 Quiet 25/10 2/2