SlideShare una empresa de Scribd logo

Applying Success Probabilities and Critical Chain Concepts to Oil & Gas Projects in Brazil

•Descargar como PPT, PDF•
•
Peter Mello
Peter Mello

The document discusses Success Driven Project Management (SDPM), a methodology for managing project uncertainties, risks, and resource restrictions. SDPM involves calculating success probabilities and contingency reserves during planning, and tracking success probability trends during execution. It is being applied successfully in Brazil for oil and gas projects. SDPM is compared to other approaches like Critical Chain Project Management, and its expansion to more projects in Brazil is discussed.

EmpresarialesTecnología
1 de 54
The Application of Success Probabilities, Success Driven Project Management, and Some Critical Chain Concepts To the Oil & Gas Industry in Brazil Russell D. Archibald, USA Vladimir Liberzon, Russia Peter Berndt de Souza Mello, Brazil PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Presentation Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
THE NEED FOR MANAGING UNCERTAINTIES, RISKS, & RESOURCE RESTRICTIONS IN PROJECTS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Success Driven Project Management (SDPM) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Success Driven Project Management (SDPM) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Resource Critical Path/RCP ,[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Success Probability ,[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Eight Integration Methods Used ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Eight Integration Methods (Cont ’ d) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Eight Integration Methods (Cont ’ d) ,[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Eight Integration Methods (Cont ’ d) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Methods Unique to SDPM ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
SDPM versus CCM ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
SDPM versus CCM (cont’d) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
SDPM versus CCM (cont’d) Risk Evaluation & Prediction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
SDPM versus CCM (cont’d) Progress Evaluation & Decision Making ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
SDPM versus CCM (cont’d) Project Portfolio Management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
SDPM versus CCM (cont’d) Periodic Schedule & Cost Performance Evaluation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
MC vs Using 3 Estimates: Inputs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
MC vs Using 3 Estimates: Process Methods ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
MC vs Using 3 Estimates: Completion Date ,[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
MC vs Using 3 Estimates: Progress Evaluation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
MC vs Using 3 Estimates: Pro ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
MC vs Using 3 Estimates: Cons ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
MC vs Using 3 Estimates: Using a Summary Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
MC vs Using 3 Estimates: Merge Bias Question ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
The Russian Approach to Project Planning ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Is this the real critical chain ? (Photo in Amazon, enjoying a couple of days off the Urucu/Manaus Project – Peter Mello, 2007)
Experience to Date: SDPM & RCP in Brazil ,[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Experience to Date: SDPM & RCP in Brazil ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Slowing Down to Speed Up !! ,[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Fragnets ,[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Fragnets ,[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Fragnets PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA Schedule optimization
Fragnets PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA 800 meters per day 1150 meters per day Slow down Speed up
Scheduling optimization in a few words ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA 9 DAYS 10 DAYS
SDPM is expanding in Brazil ,[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
SDPM is expanding in Brazil ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
SDPM is expanding in Brazil ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
SDPM is expanding in Brazil ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
SDPM is expanding in Brazil ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA Three point estimates Most Probable applied Pessimistic applied Most Probable Planning Pessimistic Planning Optimistic Planning
PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA Optimistic with Critical Schedule Calculated
PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA Success Probability PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA Tipical Schedule The real world Buffer protection
PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA Success Probability – The paradox ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA Success Probability – The paradox ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],SDPM will create calculated critical schedules that will establish the necessary balance between cost & time effectiveness and the expected success probability, according to goals agreed with stakeholders.
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Conclusions (Cont’d) ,[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
Conclusions (Cont’d) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
A Few Useful Links ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA

Recomendados

Improvement of construction labor productivity in chambal region
Improvement of construction labor productivity in chambal regionImprovement of construction labor productivity in chambal region
Improvement of construction labor productivity in chambal regioneSAT Publishing House
 
Causes of Delay in Construction of Bridge Girders
Causes of Delay in Construction of Bridge GirdersCauses of Delay in Construction of Bridge Girders
Causes of Delay in Construction of Bridge GirdersIOSR Journals
 
Performing against the wall - SPI after completion
Performing against the wall - SPI after completionPerforming against the wall - SPI after completion
Performing against the wall - SPI after completionM Maged Hegazy, LLM, MBA, CCP, P3O
 
Earned Value Analysis
Earned Value AnalysisEarned Value Analysis
Earned Value AnalysisChedi Masambaji
 
MC0084 – Software Project Management & Quality Assurance - Master of Computer...
MC0084 – Software Project Management & Quality Assurance - Master of Computer...MC0084 – Software Project Management & Quality Assurance - Master of Computer...
MC0084 – Software Project Management & Quality Assurance - Master of Computer...Aravind NC
 
SE chapters 24-25
SE chapters 24-25SE chapters 24-25
SE chapters 24-25Hardik Patel
 
Favorite Delay Analysis Methodologies Town Hall SEI
Favorite Delay Analysis Methodologies Town Hall SEIFavorite Delay Analysis Methodologies Town Hall SEI
Favorite Delay Analysis Methodologies Town Hall SEIChris Carson
 
Schedule quality – detailed analysis of the main metrics webinar, 27 June 2017
Schedule quality – detailed analysis of the main metrics webinar, 27 June 2017Schedule quality – detailed analysis of the main metrics webinar, 27 June 2017
Schedule quality – detailed analysis of the main metrics webinar, 27 June 2017Association for Project Management
 

Recomendados

Improvement of construction labor productivity in chambal region
Improvement of construction labor productivity in chambal regionImprovement of construction labor productivity in chambal region
Improvement of construction labor productivity in chambal regioneSAT Publishing House
 
Causes of Delay in Construction of Bridge Girders
Causes of Delay in Construction of Bridge GirdersCauses of Delay in Construction of Bridge Girders
Causes of Delay in Construction of Bridge GirdersIOSR Journals
 
Performing against the wall - SPI after completion
Performing against the wall - SPI after completionPerforming against the wall - SPI after completion
Performing against the wall - SPI after completionM Maged Hegazy, LLM, MBA, CCP, P3O
 
Earned Value Analysis
Earned Value AnalysisEarned Value Analysis
Earned Value AnalysisChedi Masambaji
 
MC0084 – Software Project Management & Quality Assurance - Master of Computer...
MC0084 – Software Project Management & Quality Assurance - Master of Computer...MC0084 – Software Project Management & Quality Assurance - Master of Computer...
MC0084 – Software Project Management & Quality Assurance - Master of Computer...Aravind NC
 
SE chapters 24-25
SE chapters 24-25SE chapters 24-25
SE chapters 24-25Hardik Patel
 
Favorite Delay Analysis Methodologies Town Hall SEI
Favorite Delay Analysis Methodologies Town Hall SEIFavorite Delay Analysis Methodologies Town Hall SEI
Favorite Delay Analysis Methodologies Town Hall SEIChris Carson
 
Schedule quality – detailed analysis of the main metrics webinar, 27 June 2017
Schedule quality – detailed analysis of the main metrics webinar, 27 June 2017Schedule quality – detailed analysis of the main metrics webinar, 27 June 2017
Schedule quality – detailed analysis of the main metrics webinar, 27 June 2017Association for Project Management
 
Delay Analysis and Concurrent Delay
Delay Analysis and Concurrent DelayDelay Analysis and Concurrent Delay
Delay Analysis and Concurrent DelayM Maged Hegazy, LLM, MBA, CCP, P3O
 
NWC 2015 - Critical - Path Simulation
NWC 2015 - Critical - Path Simulation NWC 2015 - Critical - Path Simulation
NWC 2015 - Critical - Path Simulation Jennifer Day
 
PMI Global 2007 - Urucu/Manaus
PMI Global 2007 - Urucu/ManausPMI Global 2007 - Urucu/Manaus
PMI Global 2007 - Urucu/ManausPeter Mello
 
Pm0015 quantitative methods in project management
Pm0015 quantitative methods in project managementPm0015 quantitative methods in project management
Pm0015 quantitative methods in project managementsmumbahelp
 
Cbp Component A
Cbp Component ACbp Component A
Cbp Component AWorld Agroforestry (ICRAF)
 
The True Costs and Benefits of CMMI Level 5
The True Costs and Benefits of CMMI Level 5The True Costs and Benefits of CMMI Level 5
The True Costs and Benefits of CMMI Level 5rhefner
 
Applicability of CMMI for Small to Medium Enterprises
Applicability of CMMI for Small to Medium EnterprisesApplicability of CMMI for Small to Medium Enterprises
Applicability of CMMI for Small to Medium Enterprisesrhefner
 
Literature Review in Project Scheduling Techniques
Literature Review in Project Scheduling TechniquesLiterature Review in Project Scheduling Techniques
Literature Review in Project Scheduling TechniquesObi-Ugbo Alex
 
Test Estimation
Test Estimation Test Estimation
Test Estimation SQALab
 
Data Collection Points And Gqm
Data Collection Points And GqmData Collection Points And Gqm
Data Collection Points And GqmGerrit Klaschke, CSM
 
Cost Engineering Financing and Risk Management in Upstream Oil & Gas Projects
Cost Engineering Financing and Risk Management in Upstream Oil & Gas ProjectsCost Engineering Financing and Risk Management in Upstream Oil & Gas Projects
Cost Engineering Financing and Risk Management in Upstream Oil & Gas ProjectspetroEDGE
 
Getting to Done and Some Issues Along the Way
Getting to Done and Some Issues Along the WayGetting to Done and Some Issues Along the Way
Getting to Done and Some Issues Along the WayGlen Alleman
 
PM685 - Kwon
PM685 - KwonPM685 - Kwon
PM685 - KwonUAAPMD
 
S3 p2 lee_kong_hui
S3 p2 lee_kong_huiS3 p2 lee_kong_hui
S3 p2 lee_kong_huishivamagarwal223
 
AFITC 2018 - Using Process Maturity and Agile to Strengthen Cyber Security
AFITC 2018 - Using Process Maturity and Agile to Strengthen Cyber SecurityAFITC 2018 - Using Process Maturity and Agile to Strengthen Cyber Security
AFITC 2018 - Using Process Maturity and Agile to Strengthen Cyber SecurityDjindo Lee
 
Assessment_4.pptx
Assessment_4.pptxAssessment_4.pptx
Assessment_4.pptxhoneyarguelles
 
Pragmatic Approaches to Project Costs Estimation
Pragmatic Approaches to Project Costs EstimationPragmatic Approaches to Project Costs Estimation
Pragmatic Approaches to Project Costs EstimationChristopher Akinlade
 
“Organizational Project Management Maturity Model – An Insider’s Overview”
“Organizational Project Management Maturity Model – An Insider’s Overview”“Organizational Project Management Maturity Model – An Insider’s Overview”
“Organizational Project Management Maturity Model – An Insider’s Overview”Saji Madapat
 
Value Value
Value Value Value Value
Value Value Abada Saad
 
Value engineering practical
Value engineering practicalValue engineering practical
Value engineering practicalAbada Saad
 
Ferramentas de gestão do tempo no Spider Project
Ferramentas de gestão do tempo no Spider ProjectFerramentas de gestão do tempo no Spider Project
Ferramentas de gestão do tempo no Spider ProjectPeter Mello
 
Equipes alto desempenho
Equipes alto desempenhoEquipes alto desempenho
Equipes alto desempenhoPeter Mello
 

Más contenido relacionado

Similar a Applying Success Probabilities and Critical Chain Concepts to Oil & Gas Projects in Brazil

NWC 2015 - Critical - Path Simulation
NWC 2015 - Critical - Path Simulation NWC 2015 - Critical - Path Simulation
NWC 2015 - Critical - Path Simulation Jennifer Day
 
PMI Global 2007 - Urucu/Manaus
PMI Global 2007 - Urucu/ManausPMI Global 2007 - Urucu/Manaus
PMI Global 2007 - Urucu/ManausPeter Mello
 
Pm0015 quantitative methods in project management
Pm0015 quantitative methods in project managementPm0015 quantitative methods in project management
Pm0015 quantitative methods in project managementsmumbahelp
 
The True Costs and Benefits of CMMI Level 5
The True Costs and Benefits of CMMI Level 5The True Costs and Benefits of CMMI Level 5
The True Costs and Benefits of CMMI Level 5rhefner
 
Applicability of CMMI for Small to Medium Enterprises
Applicability of CMMI for Small to Medium EnterprisesApplicability of CMMI for Small to Medium Enterprises
Applicability of CMMI for Small to Medium Enterprisesrhefner
 
Literature Review in Project Scheduling Techniques
Literature Review in Project Scheduling TechniquesLiterature Review in Project Scheduling Techniques
Literature Review in Project Scheduling TechniquesObi-Ugbo Alex
 
Test Estimation
Test Estimation Test Estimation
Test Estimation SQALab
 
Cost Engineering Financing and Risk Management in Upstream Oil & Gas Projects
Cost Engineering Financing and Risk Management in Upstream Oil & Gas ProjectsCost Engineering Financing and Risk Management in Upstream Oil & Gas Projects
Cost Engineering Financing and Risk Management in Upstream Oil & Gas ProjectspetroEDGE
 
Getting to Done and Some Issues Along the Way
Getting to Done and Some Issues Along the WayGetting to Done and Some Issues Along the Way
Getting to Done and Some Issues Along the WayGlen Alleman
 
PM685 - Kwon
PM685 - KwonPM685 - Kwon
PM685 - KwonUAAPMD
 
AFITC 2018 - Using Process Maturity and Agile to Strengthen Cyber Security
AFITC 2018 - Using Process Maturity and Agile to Strengthen Cyber SecurityAFITC 2018 - Using Process Maturity and Agile to Strengthen Cyber Security
AFITC 2018 - Using Process Maturity and Agile to Strengthen Cyber SecurityDjindo Lee
 
Pragmatic Approaches to Project Costs Estimation
Pragmatic Approaches to Project Costs EstimationPragmatic Approaches to Project Costs Estimation
Pragmatic Approaches to Project Costs EstimationChristopher Akinlade
 
“Organizational Project Management Maturity Model – An Insider’s Overview”
“Organizational Project Management Maturity Model – An Insider’s Overview”“Organizational Project Management Maturity Model – An Insider’s Overview”
“Organizational Project Management Maturity Model – An Insider’s Overview”Saji Madapat
 
Value engineering practical
Value engineering practicalValue engineering practical
Value engineering practicalAbada Saad
 

Similar a Applying Success Probabilities and Critical Chain Concepts to Oil & Gas Projects in Brazil (20)

Delay Analysis and Concurrent Delay
Delay Analysis and Concurrent DelayDelay Analysis and Concurrent Delay
Delay Analysis and Concurrent Delay
 
NWC 2015 - Critical - Path Simulation
NWC 2015 - Critical - Path Simulation NWC 2015 - Critical - Path Simulation
NWC 2015 - Critical - Path Simulation
 
PMI Global 2007 - Urucu/Manaus
PMI Global 2007 - Urucu/ManausPMI Global 2007 - Urucu/Manaus
PMI Global 2007 - Urucu/Manaus
 
Pm0015 quantitative methods in project management
Pm0015 quantitative methods in project managementPm0015 quantitative methods in project management
Pm0015 quantitative methods in project management
 
Cbp Component A
Cbp Component ACbp Component A
Cbp Component A
 
The True Costs and Benefits of CMMI Level 5
The True Costs and Benefits of CMMI Level 5The True Costs and Benefits of CMMI Level 5
The True Costs and Benefits of CMMI Level 5
 
Applicability of CMMI for Small to Medium Enterprises
Applicability of CMMI for Small to Medium EnterprisesApplicability of CMMI for Small to Medium Enterprises
Applicability of CMMI for Small to Medium Enterprises
 
Literature Review in Project Scheduling Techniques
Literature Review in Project Scheduling TechniquesLiterature Review in Project Scheduling Techniques
Literature Review in Project Scheduling Techniques
 
Test Estimation
Test Estimation Test Estimation
Test Estimation
 
Data Collection Points And Gqm
Data Collection Points And GqmData Collection Points And Gqm
Data Collection Points And Gqm
 
Cost Engineering Financing and Risk Management in Upstream Oil & Gas Projects
Cost Engineering Financing and Risk Management in Upstream Oil & Gas ProjectsCost Engineering Financing and Risk Management in Upstream Oil & Gas Projects
Cost Engineering Financing and Risk Management in Upstream Oil & Gas Projects
 
Getting to Done and Some Issues Along the Way
Getting to Done and Some Issues Along the WayGetting to Done and Some Issues Along the Way
Getting to Done and Some Issues Along the Way
 
PM685 - Kwon
PM685 - KwonPM685 - Kwon
PM685 - Kwon
 
S3 p2 lee_kong_hui
S3 p2 lee_kong_huiS3 p2 lee_kong_hui
S3 p2 lee_kong_hui
 
AFITC 2018 - Using Process Maturity and Agile to Strengthen Cyber Security
AFITC 2018 - Using Process Maturity and Agile to Strengthen Cyber SecurityAFITC 2018 - Using Process Maturity and Agile to Strengthen Cyber Security
AFITC 2018 - Using Process Maturity and Agile to Strengthen Cyber Security
 
Assessment_4.pptx
Assessment_4.pptxAssessment_4.pptx
Assessment_4.pptx
 
Pragmatic Approaches to Project Costs Estimation
Pragmatic Approaches to Project Costs EstimationPragmatic Approaches to Project Costs Estimation
Pragmatic Approaches to Project Costs Estimation
 
“Organizational Project Management Maturity Model – An Insider’s Overview”
“Organizational Project Management Maturity Model – An Insider’s Overview”“Organizational Project Management Maturity Model – An Insider’s Overview”
“Organizational Project Management Maturity Model – An Insider’s Overview”
 
Value Value
Value Value Value Value
Value Value
 
Value engineering practical
Value engineering practicalValue engineering practical
Value engineering practical
 

Más de Peter Mello

Ferramentas de gestão do tempo no Spider Project
Ferramentas de gestão do tempo no Spider ProjectFerramentas de gestão do tempo no Spider Project
Ferramentas de gestão do tempo no Spider ProjectPeter Mello
 
Equipes alto desempenho
Equipes alto desempenhoEquipes alto desempenho
Equipes alto desempenhoPeter Mello
 
Recursos Compartilhados e Portfolio (Sucesu-RS / GUGP)
Recursos Compartilhados e Portfolio (Sucesu-RS / GUGP)Recursos Compartilhados e Portfolio (Sucesu-RS / GUGP)
Recursos Compartilhados e Portfolio (Sucesu-RS / GUGP)Peter Mello
 
Variação de Prazo (com base ao Earned Schedule / Aplicativo)
Variação de Prazo (com base ao Earned Schedule / Aplicativo)Variação de Prazo (com base ao Earned Schedule / Aplicativo)
Variação de Prazo (com base ao Earned Schedule / Aplicativo)Peter Mello
 
Análise de Valor Agregado (e projeções)
Análise de Valor Agregado (e projeções)Análise de Valor Agregado (e projeções)
Análise de Valor Agregado (e projeções)Peter Mello
 
Metricas, indicadores, planejamento & controle em projetos.
Metricas, indicadores, planejamento & controle em projetos.Metricas, indicadores, planejamento & controle em projetos.
Metricas, indicadores, planejamento & controle em projetos.Peter Mello
 
Além do Método do Caminho Crítico: Success Driven Project Management
Além do Método do Caminho Crítico: Success Driven Project ManagementAlém do Método do Caminho Crítico: Success Driven Project Management
Além do Método do Caminho Crítico: Success Driven Project ManagementPeter Mello
 
Métodos de Corrente Crítica
Métodos de Corrente CríticaMétodos de Corrente Crítica
Métodos de Corrente CríticaPeter Mello
 
White Paper - Spider Project
White Paper - Spider ProjectWhite Paper - Spider Project
White Paper - Spider ProjectPeter Mello
 
Spider CPM e Desk200: Gratuito para uso Profissional
Spider CPM e Desk200: Gratuito para uso ProfissionalSpider CPM e Desk200: Gratuito para uso Profissional
Spider CPM e Desk200: Gratuito para uso ProfissionalPeter Mello
 
Análise e Simulação de Riscos
Análise e Simulação de RiscosAnálise e Simulação de Riscos
Análise e Simulação de RiscosPeter Mello
 
1o projeto Spider Project SCPM
1o projeto Spider Project SCPM1o projeto Spider Project SCPM
1o projeto Spider Project SCPMPeter Mello
 
Introdução ao Spider CPM (5)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (5)Introdução ao Spider CPM (5)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (5)Peter Mello
 
Introdução ao Spider CPM (4)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (4)Introdução ao Spider CPM (4)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (4)Peter Mello
 
Introdução ao Spider CPM (3)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (3)Introdução ao Spider CPM (3)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (3)Peter Mello
 
Introdução ao Spider CPM (2)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (2)Introdução ao Spider CPM (2)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (2)Peter Mello
 
Introdução ao Spider CPM (1)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (1)Introdução ao Spider CPM (1)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (1)Peter Mello
 
Técnicas para o Desenvolvimento de Cronogramas
Técnicas para o Desenvolvimento de CronogramasTécnicas para o Desenvolvimento de Cronogramas
Técnicas para o Desenvolvimento de CronogramasPeter Mello
 
Riscos Problemas Oportunidades A07 V1
Riscos Problemas Oportunidades A07 V1Riscos Problemas Oportunidades A07 V1
Riscos Problemas Oportunidades A07 V1Peter Mello
 

Más de Peter Mello (20)

Ferramentas de gestão do tempo no Spider Project
Ferramentas de gestão do tempo no Spider ProjectFerramentas de gestão do tempo no Spider Project
Ferramentas de gestão do tempo no Spider Project
 
Equipes alto desempenho
Equipes alto desempenhoEquipes alto desempenho
Equipes alto desempenho
 
Recursos Compartilhados e Portfolio (Sucesu-RS / GUGP)
Recursos Compartilhados e Portfolio (Sucesu-RS / GUGP)Recursos Compartilhados e Portfolio (Sucesu-RS / GUGP)
Recursos Compartilhados e Portfolio (Sucesu-RS / GUGP)
 
Variação de Prazo (com base ao Earned Schedule / Aplicativo)
Variação de Prazo (com base ao Earned Schedule / Aplicativo)Variação de Prazo (com base ao Earned Schedule / Aplicativo)
Variação de Prazo (com base ao Earned Schedule / Aplicativo)
 
Análise de Valor Agregado (e projeções)
Análise de Valor Agregado (e projeções)Análise de Valor Agregado (e projeções)
Análise de Valor Agregado (e projeções)
 
Metricas, indicadores, planejamento & controle em projetos.
Metricas, indicadores, planejamento & controle em projetos.Metricas, indicadores, planejamento & controle em projetos.
Metricas, indicadores, planejamento & controle em projetos.
 
Scrum Smart
Scrum Smart Scrum Smart
Scrum Smart
 
Além do Método do Caminho Crítico: Success Driven Project Management
Além do Método do Caminho Crítico: Success Driven Project ManagementAlém do Método do Caminho Crítico: Success Driven Project Management
Além do Método do Caminho Crítico: Success Driven Project Management
 
Métodos de Corrente Crítica
Métodos de Corrente CríticaMétodos de Corrente Crítica
Métodos de Corrente Crítica
 
White Paper - Spider Project
White Paper - Spider ProjectWhite Paper - Spider Project
White Paper - Spider Project
 
Spider CPM e Desk200: Gratuito para uso Profissional
Spider CPM e Desk200: Gratuito para uso ProfissionalSpider CPM e Desk200: Gratuito para uso Profissional
Spider CPM e Desk200: Gratuito para uso Profissional
 
Análise e Simulação de Riscos
Análise e Simulação de RiscosAnálise e Simulação de Riscos
Análise e Simulação de Riscos
 
1o projeto Spider Project SCPM
1o projeto Spider Project SCPM1o projeto Spider Project SCPM
1o projeto Spider Project SCPM
 
Introdução ao Spider CPM (5)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (5)Introdução ao Spider CPM (5)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (5)
 
Introdução ao Spider CPM (4)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (4)Introdução ao Spider CPM (4)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (4)
 
Introdução ao Spider CPM (3)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (3)Introdução ao Spider CPM (3)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (3)
 
Introdução ao Spider CPM (2)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (2)Introdução ao Spider CPM (2)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (2)
 
Introdução ao Spider CPM (1)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (1)Introdução ao Spider CPM (1)
Introdução ao Spider CPM (1)
 
Técnicas para o Desenvolvimento de Cronogramas
Técnicas para o Desenvolvimento de CronogramasTécnicas para o Desenvolvimento de Cronogramas
Técnicas para o Desenvolvimento de Cronogramas
 
Riscos Problemas Oportunidades A07 V1
Riscos Problemas Oportunidades A07 V1Riscos Problemas Oportunidades A07 V1
Riscos Problemas Oportunidades A07 V1
 

Último

(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Keshav Puram 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Keshav Puram 🔝 Delhi NCR(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Keshav Puram 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Keshav Puram 🔝 Delhi NCRsoniya singh
 
Pitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deckPitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deckHajeJanKamps
 
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdfRenandantas16
 
Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...
Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...
Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...anilsa9823
 
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...Paul Menig
 
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth MarketingTech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth MarketingShawn Pang
 
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...Dipal Arora
 
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for SuccessSales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for SuccessAggregage
 
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.Aaiza Hassan
 
VIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service Pune
VIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service PuneVIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service Pune
VIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service PuneCall girls in Ahmedabad High profile
 
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service JamshedpurVIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service JamshedpurSuhani Kapoor
 
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.Eni
 
Cash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call Girls
Cash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call GirlsCash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call Girls
Cash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call GirlsApsara Of India
 
Banana Powder Manufacturing Plant Project Report 2024 Edition.pptx
Banana Powder Manufacturing Plant Project Report 2024 Edition.pptxBanana Powder Manufacturing Plant Project Report 2024 Edition.pptx
Banana Powder Manufacturing Plant Project Report 2024 Edition.pptxgeorgebrinton95
 
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis UsageNeil Kimberley
 
Keppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update Presentation Slides
Keppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update Presentation SlidesKeppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update Presentation Slides
Keppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update Presentation SlidesKeppelCorporation
 
Call Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any Time
Call Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any TimeCall Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any Time
Call Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any Timedelhimodelshub1
 
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝soniya singh
 
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdf
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdfrishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdf
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdfmuskan1121w
 

Último (20)

(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Keshav Puram 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Keshav Puram 🔝 Delhi NCR(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Keshav Puram 🔝 Delhi NCR
(8264348440) 🔝 Call Girls In Keshav Puram 🔝 Delhi NCR
 
Pitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deckPitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: NOQX's $200k Pre-seed deck
 
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf
0183760ssssssssssssssssssssssssssss00101011 (27).pdf
 
Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...
Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...
Lucknow 💋 Escorts in Lucknow - 450+ Call Girl Cash Payment 8923113531 Neha Th...
 
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...
7.pdf This presentation captures many uses and the significance of the number...
 
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth MarketingTech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth Marketing
Tech Startup Growth Hacking 101 - Basics on Growth Marketing
 
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...
Call Girls Navi Mumbai Just Call 9907093804 Top Class Call Girl Service Avail...
 
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for SuccessSales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
Sales & Marketing Alignment: How to Synergize for Success
 
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.
M.C Lodges -- Guest House in Jhang.
 
VIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service Pune
VIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service PuneVIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service Pune
VIP Call Girls Pune Kirti 8617697112 Independent Escort Service Pune
 
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service JamshedpurVIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
VIP Call Girl Jamshedpur Aashi 8250192130 Independent Escort Service Jamshedpur
 
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.
Eni 2024 1Q Results - 24.04.24 business.
 
Cash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call Girls
Cash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call GirlsCash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call Girls
Cash Payment 9602870969 Escort Service in Udaipur Call Girls
 
Banana Powder Manufacturing Plant Project Report 2024 Edition.pptx
Banana Powder Manufacturing Plant Project Report 2024 Edition.pptxBanana Powder Manufacturing Plant Project Report 2024 Edition.pptx
Banana Powder Manufacturing Plant Project Report 2024 Edition.pptx
 
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
 
KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)
KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)
KestrelPro Flyer Japan IT Week 2024 (English)
 
Keppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update Presentation Slides
Keppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update Presentation SlidesKeppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update Presentation Slides
Keppel Ltd. 1Q 2024 Business Update Presentation Slides
 
Call Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any Time
Call Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any TimeCall Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any Time
Call Girls Miyapur 7001305949 all area service COD available Any Time
 
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
Call Girls in Mehrauli Delhi 💯Call Us 🔝8264348440🔝
 
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdf
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdfrishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdf
rishikeshgirls.in- Rishikesh call girl.pdf
 

Applying Success Probabilities and Critical Chain Concepts to Oil & Gas Projects in Brazil

  • 1. The Application of Success Probabilities, Success Driven Project Management, and Some Critical Chain Concepts To the Oil & Gas Industry in Brazil Russell D. Archibald, USA Vladimir Liberzon, Russia Peter Berndt de Souza Mello, Brazil PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28. Is this the real critical chain ? (Photo in Amazon, enjoying a couple of days off the Urucu/Manaus Project – Peter Mello, 2007)
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34. Fragnets PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA Schedule optimization
  • 35. Fragnets PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA 800 meters per day 1150 meters per day Slow down Speed up
  • 36.
  • 37. PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA
  • 38. PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA 9 DAYS 10 DAYS
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44. PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA Three point estimates Most Probable applied Pessimistic applied Most Probable Planning Pessimistic Planning Optimistic Planning
  • 45. PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA Optimistic with Critical Schedule Calculated
  • 46. PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA Success Probability PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA Tipical Schedule The real world Buffer protection
  • 47.
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54. PMI COS 5th Conference, May 4-7 2008, Chicago USA