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Product-specific, non-product-specific or in-between:
Practices and consequences
under the WTO Agreement on Agriculture
International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium (IATRC)
Annual Meeting
8-10 December 2019, Washington DC Lars.Brink@hotmail.com
Lars Brink
– Some domestic support under WTO Agreement on
Agriculture (AoA) is subject to limit
• Limited support is measured by AMSs
– Aggregate Measurements of Support
• AMSs are calculated for non-exempt support
– That is, not exempted as green box, blue box, or Art. 6.2 support
– Several product-specific (PS) AMSs
– One non-product-specific (NPS) AMS
– Some built-in lack of clarity
• Do members interpret rules on PS and NPS differently?
• What difference do different interpretations make?
Role of PS AMSs and NPS AMS
Lars Brink
2
– “support provided for an agricultural product in favour
of the producers of the basic agricultural product”
(emphasis added)
• “calculated on a product-specific basis for each basic
agricultural product”
• “product-specific support”
– “non-product-specific support provided in favour of
agricultural producers in general” (emphasis added)
• “support which is non-product-specific”
• “non-product-specific support”
– Contrast in definitions: “product” vs. “producers”
What we call PS AMSs and NPS AMSs
Lars Brink
3
– Look at notifications to the Committee on Agriculture
• 12 members; 98% of all notified AMS support
• Latest year notified: range from 2015 to 2018
• Adopt a subjective meaning of “basic agricultural product”
• Identify AMSs which are not for a “basic agricultural product”
but for a group of products
– Call them Product-group AMSs
– Members report some Product-group AMSs as PS AMSs
• Identify elements of the NPS AMS which are not for all
producers but for the producers of a group of products
– Call them Producer-group elements
– Members report some Producer-group elements in the NPS AMS
Approach
Lars Brink
4
Lars Brink
5
Table 1. Members reporting a Product-group AMS as PS AMS
Member Product-group AMS as PS AMS Year
Brazil - 2017
Canada Other grains, oilseeds and forage crops 2016
Other Crops 2016
Other Livestock 2016
China Root crops 2016
EU Other Livestocks (rabbit, reindeer and eggs) 2016
Fruit and vegetables 2016
Other products not mentioned in Annex X to R 1580/2007 2016
India Coarse cereals (understood as bajra, jowar, maize, barley) 2017
Pulses (understood as gram, arhar, urad, moong and lentils) 2017
Japan Fruits 2016
Vegetables 2016
Korea - 2015
Mexico - 2018
Norway Fruits, berries and vegetables 2018
Russia Meat 2017
Switzerland Other grain legumes 2018
Fruit 2018
United States Livestock 2016
Orchards, vineyards, nursery 2016
Source: G/AG/N/BRA/52; CAN/131; CHN/47; EU/55; IND/15; JPN/236; KOR/63; MEX/48; NOR/108; RUS/24; CHE/95; USA/123.
Lars Brink
6
Table 2. Products reported both in Product-group AMSs and as a basic agricultural product
Member Product-group AMS
as PS AMS
Basic agricultural product likely also part of group Year
Brazil - - 2017
Canada - - 2016
China - - 2016
EU (special case) - Milk AMS, Skimmed milk powder AMS, Butter AMS 2016
India - - 2017
Japan - - 2016
Korea - - 2015
Mexico - - 2018
Norway - - 2018
Russia Meat Cattle, Deer, Horses, Poultry, Swine, Sheep and goat 2017
Switzerland - - 2018
United
States
Livestock Beef cattle & calves, Hogs and pigs, Sheep and
lambs
2016
Orchards, vineyards,
nursery
Apples, Apricots, Pears, (more?), Grapes/raisins (?),
Nursery
2016
Source: G/AG/N/BRA/52; CAN/131; CHN/47; EU/55; IND/15; JPN/236; KOR/63; MEX/48; NOR/108; RUS/24; CHE/95; USA/123.
– Many members report a Product-group AMS as PS AMS
– Two out of 12 members double-count values of prod’n
• Effectively doubles the size of product’s de minimis threshold
• Russia (2017), United States (2016)
– Russia: Meat AMS + individual product AMSs for each species
– United States: Livestock AMS + ind. product AMSs for each species
– United States: Orchards, vineyards, nursery AMS + ind. product AMSs
• But: only little support in Product-group AMSs
– Allocating Product-group AMS support to individual products is not
likely to change de minimis status of PS AMSs
• EU special case
– A basic agr product (milk) and two processed products (butter, SMP)
– But no de minimis testing of butter AMS and SMP AMS
Product-group AMSs and double-counting
Lars Brink
7
Lars Brink
8
Table 3. Members reporting a Producer-group element as part of the NPS AMS
Member Producer-group element as part of the NPS AMS Year
Brazil (Unclear product coverage) 2017
Canada AgriInsurance (some products not eligible?) 2016
China - 2016
EU Horizontal support in the Fruit and Vegetables sector: Green harvesting and non-
harvesting
2016
Horizontal support in the Fruit and Vegetables sector: Harvest insurance 2016
India Insurance premium subsidy (product coverage not shown) 2017
Japan Crop income stabilization payment (only crops?) 2016
Korea Crop insurance (only crops?) 2015
Mexico - 2018
Norway Subsidies to insemination 2018
Taxes on pesticides 2018
Feed transport subsidies 2018
Russia Many programs, incl. Pedigree livestock, Elite seeds, Combined fodder, Perennial
plantations, Plant production, Livestock production, Livestock farm family
2017
Switzerland Payments for herding roughage-consuming animals 2018
United States Grazing livestock 2016
Agriculture Risk Coverage, county-based (ARC-CO) 2016
Price Loss Coverage 2016
Agricultural Risk Coverage, individual farm (ARC-IC) 2016
Agricultural Risk Coverage, county-based (ARC-CO) pilot 2016
Farm Storage Facility Loans 2016
Biomass crop assistance program 2016
Source: G/AG/N/BRA/52; CAN/131; CHN/47; EU/55; IND/15; JPN/236; KOR/63; MEX/48; NOR/108; RUS/24; CHE/95; USA/123.
– Members report Producer-group elements in NPS AMS
• Support in Producer-group elements can be a large share of
NPS AMS
– Russia, United States
• United States has largest amount of Producer-group elements
in NPS AMS
– Does NPS AMS allow Producer-group elements?
• Hinges on meaning of “producers in general”
– Meaning of “producers in general” has not been tested
• Eventually to be clarified?
– Negotiations or dispute settlement or practice
Producer-group elements in NPS AMS
Lars Brink
9
– “In general” has different dictionary meanings
– Not necessarily decisive in legal interpretation
• Mainly, mostly (a large group)
• As a whole, all (exhaustive)
– If NPS means large group of producers
• Producer-group element of support must stay in NPS AMS
• Could new caps on PS AMSs drive a shift to Producer-group
elements in NPS AMS?
– If room in PS AMSs is tight, and not so tight in NPS AMS
– E.g., put some of crop A’s AMS and some of crop B’s AMS into an A+B
element in NPS AMS?
What does “producers in general” mean?
Lars Brink
10
– If NPS means all producers regardless of products
• Need to remove Producer-group element from NPS AMS
• Require allocation to PS AMSs?
– Assume rational allocation key can be found
– Reduces NPS AMS; raises PS AMS
• Some PS AMSs can become large enough to go into CTAMS
– Risk of CTAMS exceeding BTAMS?
• Russia: Producer-group elements are small amounts
– Small risk
• United States: Producer-group elements are large amounts
– Larger risk: Several more PS AMSs may exceed de minimis thresholds
and go into CTAMS
What if “in general” means all?
Lars Brink
11
CTAMS: Current Total AMS; BTAMS: Bound Total AMS
– What flexibility do members have under the AoA rules?
– Double-count values of production for PS AMSs?
• United States does not worry in its particular case
– “ … there are instances where the product-specific value of
production data is used twice”
» Committee on Agriculture June 2018 (ID 87148)
– Manage classification of policies to use de minimis?
• Consider “best” combined use of several de minimis
allowances
• For individual PS AMSs and for NPS AMS
– Depends on values of production and other AMS support
Maximum legitimate use of de minimis?
Lars Brink
12
– Interpret program characteristics along with AoA rules
– If AMS support: Is it PS or NPS?
• Would net effect on CTAMS play a role in choosing PS or NPS?
– Consider size of other payments in individual PS AMSs and NPS AMS
– Consider values of production: Individual crops and agriculture sector
• If PS AMS support
– May raise some PS AMSs enough for them to go into CTAMS
– Will include some of 2019 MFP in those PS AMSs that stay de minimis
• If part of NPS AMS
– Is value of production large enough for NPS AMS to stay de minimis?
– If value of production is too small, pressure to classify as PS AMSs?
– If claimed as blue box exempt
• De minimis thresholds are not an issue
Reveal classification of 2019 MFP in 2021?
United States 2019 Market Facilitation Program
Lars Brink
13
Thank you!
Lars.Brink@hotmail.com
Lars Brink
14
Selected references
Articles 1 and 6.4 and Annex 3, WTO Agreement on Agriculture. https://www.wto.org/english/docs_e/legal_e/14-ag_01_e.htm
Brink, L. 2018. Farm support, domestic policies, and the WTO rules: the world is changing. In International Trade Rules for Food
and Agricultural Products, Vol. III, Handbook of International Food and Agricultural Policies, ed. K. Meilke and T. Josling.
Singapore: World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.
Congressional Research Service. 2019. U.S. farm support: Compliance with WTO Commitments. R45940. 4 October.
https://crsreports.congress.gov
Glauber, J. 2019. Agricultural trade aid: Implications and consequences for US global trade relationships in the context of the
World Trade Organization. American Boondoggle, American Enterprise Institute, November.
https://www.aei.org/category/american-boondoggle/

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Product specific, non-product-specific or in-between - practices and consequences under the wto agreement on agriculture

  • 1. Product-specific, non-product-specific or in-between: Practices and consequences under the WTO Agreement on Agriculture International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium (IATRC) Annual Meeting 8-10 December 2019, Washington DC Lars.Brink@hotmail.com Lars Brink
  • 2. – Some domestic support under WTO Agreement on Agriculture (AoA) is subject to limit • Limited support is measured by AMSs – Aggregate Measurements of Support • AMSs are calculated for non-exempt support – That is, not exempted as green box, blue box, or Art. 6.2 support – Several product-specific (PS) AMSs – One non-product-specific (NPS) AMS – Some built-in lack of clarity • Do members interpret rules on PS and NPS differently? • What difference do different interpretations make? Role of PS AMSs and NPS AMS Lars Brink 2
  • 3. – “support provided for an agricultural product in favour of the producers of the basic agricultural product” (emphasis added) • “calculated on a product-specific basis for each basic agricultural product” • “product-specific support” – “non-product-specific support provided in favour of agricultural producers in general” (emphasis added) • “support which is non-product-specific” • “non-product-specific support” – Contrast in definitions: “product” vs. “producers” What we call PS AMSs and NPS AMSs Lars Brink 3
  • 4. – Look at notifications to the Committee on Agriculture • 12 members; 98% of all notified AMS support • Latest year notified: range from 2015 to 2018 • Adopt a subjective meaning of “basic agricultural product” • Identify AMSs which are not for a “basic agricultural product” but for a group of products – Call them Product-group AMSs – Members report some Product-group AMSs as PS AMSs • Identify elements of the NPS AMS which are not for all producers but for the producers of a group of products – Call them Producer-group elements – Members report some Producer-group elements in the NPS AMS Approach Lars Brink 4
  • 5. Lars Brink 5 Table 1. Members reporting a Product-group AMS as PS AMS Member Product-group AMS as PS AMS Year Brazil - 2017 Canada Other grains, oilseeds and forage crops 2016 Other Crops 2016 Other Livestock 2016 China Root crops 2016 EU Other Livestocks (rabbit, reindeer and eggs) 2016 Fruit and vegetables 2016 Other products not mentioned in Annex X to R 1580/2007 2016 India Coarse cereals (understood as bajra, jowar, maize, barley) 2017 Pulses (understood as gram, arhar, urad, moong and lentils) 2017 Japan Fruits 2016 Vegetables 2016 Korea - 2015 Mexico - 2018 Norway Fruits, berries and vegetables 2018 Russia Meat 2017 Switzerland Other grain legumes 2018 Fruit 2018 United States Livestock 2016 Orchards, vineyards, nursery 2016 Source: G/AG/N/BRA/52; CAN/131; CHN/47; EU/55; IND/15; JPN/236; KOR/63; MEX/48; NOR/108; RUS/24; CHE/95; USA/123.
  • 6. Lars Brink 6 Table 2. Products reported both in Product-group AMSs and as a basic agricultural product Member Product-group AMS as PS AMS Basic agricultural product likely also part of group Year Brazil - - 2017 Canada - - 2016 China - - 2016 EU (special case) - Milk AMS, Skimmed milk powder AMS, Butter AMS 2016 India - - 2017 Japan - - 2016 Korea - - 2015 Mexico - - 2018 Norway - - 2018 Russia Meat Cattle, Deer, Horses, Poultry, Swine, Sheep and goat 2017 Switzerland - - 2018 United States Livestock Beef cattle & calves, Hogs and pigs, Sheep and lambs 2016 Orchards, vineyards, nursery Apples, Apricots, Pears, (more?), Grapes/raisins (?), Nursery 2016 Source: G/AG/N/BRA/52; CAN/131; CHN/47; EU/55; IND/15; JPN/236; KOR/63; MEX/48; NOR/108; RUS/24; CHE/95; USA/123.
  • 7. – Many members report a Product-group AMS as PS AMS – Two out of 12 members double-count values of prod’n • Effectively doubles the size of product’s de minimis threshold • Russia (2017), United States (2016) – Russia: Meat AMS + individual product AMSs for each species – United States: Livestock AMS + ind. product AMSs for each species – United States: Orchards, vineyards, nursery AMS + ind. product AMSs • But: only little support in Product-group AMSs – Allocating Product-group AMS support to individual products is not likely to change de minimis status of PS AMSs • EU special case – A basic agr product (milk) and two processed products (butter, SMP) – But no de minimis testing of butter AMS and SMP AMS Product-group AMSs and double-counting Lars Brink 7
  • 8. Lars Brink 8 Table 3. Members reporting a Producer-group element as part of the NPS AMS Member Producer-group element as part of the NPS AMS Year Brazil (Unclear product coverage) 2017 Canada AgriInsurance (some products not eligible?) 2016 China - 2016 EU Horizontal support in the Fruit and Vegetables sector: Green harvesting and non- harvesting 2016 Horizontal support in the Fruit and Vegetables sector: Harvest insurance 2016 India Insurance premium subsidy (product coverage not shown) 2017 Japan Crop income stabilization payment (only crops?) 2016 Korea Crop insurance (only crops?) 2015 Mexico - 2018 Norway Subsidies to insemination 2018 Taxes on pesticides 2018 Feed transport subsidies 2018 Russia Many programs, incl. Pedigree livestock, Elite seeds, Combined fodder, Perennial plantations, Plant production, Livestock production, Livestock farm family 2017 Switzerland Payments for herding roughage-consuming animals 2018 United States Grazing livestock 2016 Agriculture Risk Coverage, county-based (ARC-CO) 2016 Price Loss Coverage 2016 Agricultural Risk Coverage, individual farm (ARC-IC) 2016 Agricultural Risk Coverage, county-based (ARC-CO) pilot 2016 Farm Storage Facility Loans 2016 Biomass crop assistance program 2016 Source: G/AG/N/BRA/52; CAN/131; CHN/47; EU/55; IND/15; JPN/236; KOR/63; MEX/48; NOR/108; RUS/24; CHE/95; USA/123.
  • 9. – Members report Producer-group elements in NPS AMS • Support in Producer-group elements can be a large share of NPS AMS – Russia, United States • United States has largest amount of Producer-group elements in NPS AMS – Does NPS AMS allow Producer-group elements? • Hinges on meaning of “producers in general” – Meaning of “producers in general” has not been tested • Eventually to be clarified? – Negotiations or dispute settlement or practice Producer-group elements in NPS AMS Lars Brink 9
  • 10. – “In general” has different dictionary meanings – Not necessarily decisive in legal interpretation • Mainly, mostly (a large group) • As a whole, all (exhaustive) – If NPS means large group of producers • Producer-group element of support must stay in NPS AMS • Could new caps on PS AMSs drive a shift to Producer-group elements in NPS AMS? – If room in PS AMSs is tight, and not so tight in NPS AMS – E.g., put some of crop A’s AMS and some of crop B’s AMS into an A+B element in NPS AMS? What does “producers in general” mean? Lars Brink 10
  • 11. – If NPS means all producers regardless of products • Need to remove Producer-group element from NPS AMS • Require allocation to PS AMSs? – Assume rational allocation key can be found – Reduces NPS AMS; raises PS AMS • Some PS AMSs can become large enough to go into CTAMS – Risk of CTAMS exceeding BTAMS? • Russia: Producer-group elements are small amounts – Small risk • United States: Producer-group elements are large amounts – Larger risk: Several more PS AMSs may exceed de minimis thresholds and go into CTAMS What if “in general” means all? Lars Brink 11 CTAMS: Current Total AMS; BTAMS: Bound Total AMS
  • 12. – What flexibility do members have under the AoA rules? – Double-count values of production for PS AMSs? • United States does not worry in its particular case – “ … there are instances where the product-specific value of production data is used twice” » Committee on Agriculture June 2018 (ID 87148) – Manage classification of policies to use de minimis? • Consider “best” combined use of several de minimis allowances • For individual PS AMSs and for NPS AMS – Depends on values of production and other AMS support Maximum legitimate use of de minimis? Lars Brink 12
  • 13. – Interpret program characteristics along with AoA rules – If AMS support: Is it PS or NPS? • Would net effect on CTAMS play a role in choosing PS or NPS? – Consider size of other payments in individual PS AMSs and NPS AMS – Consider values of production: Individual crops and agriculture sector • If PS AMS support – May raise some PS AMSs enough for them to go into CTAMS – Will include some of 2019 MFP in those PS AMSs that stay de minimis • If part of NPS AMS – Is value of production large enough for NPS AMS to stay de minimis? – If value of production is too small, pressure to classify as PS AMSs? – If claimed as blue box exempt • De minimis thresholds are not an issue Reveal classification of 2019 MFP in 2021? United States 2019 Market Facilitation Program Lars Brink 13
  • 14. Thank you! Lars.Brink@hotmail.com Lars Brink 14 Selected references Articles 1 and 6.4 and Annex 3, WTO Agreement on Agriculture. https://www.wto.org/english/docs_e/legal_e/14-ag_01_e.htm Brink, L. 2018. Farm support, domestic policies, and the WTO rules: the world is changing. In International Trade Rules for Food and Agricultural Products, Vol. III, Handbook of International Food and Agricultural Policies, ed. K. Meilke and T. Josling. Singapore: World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. Congressional Research Service. 2019. U.S. farm support: Compliance with WTO Commitments. R45940. 4 October. https://crsreports.congress.gov Glauber, J. 2019. Agricultural trade aid: Implications and consequences for US global trade relationships in the context of the World Trade Organization. American Boondoggle, American Enterprise Institute, November. https://www.aei.org/category/american-boondoggle/