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© TNS 2015
Marketing Research
in a Data Rich World
Sam Curtis
Evgeny Popov
Moscow, November 26
© TNS 2015
Market research goes beyond traditional
0.1
%
Growth of ‘traditional market
research’ market in 2014
globally
(ESOMAR)
63.8
billion $
Volume of ‘traditional market
research’ market in 2014
globally
(ESOMAR)
Estimation of the ‘extended’
market research volume in 2014
globally
(ESOMAR+Outsell Inc.)
(including online analytics,
management consultancies, social
media communities, do-it-yourself
survey software, etc.)
43.9
billion $
2
© TNS 2015
What will the future of market research look like?
Device agnostic
surveying
Death of the
(long) survey
‘In-the-moment’
feedback
Behaviour (not claim)
triggered surveying
Ongoing
brand-consumer
dialogue
Social media data
infused in all types of
research
Real-time,
predictive results
Partnership with owners
of big data
Half of our data comes
from non-surveys
3
© TNS 2015
ROI Accurate Integrated Timely
Client expectations
4
1
The connected consumer
© TNS 2015
Two emergent aspects of the Connected Consumer
Mobile Social
6
© TNS 2015
Shifting device dominance
Source: Gartner, Google, Apple, Enders Analysis, 2014
Smartphones
PCs Smartphones
PCs
Global installed base (m) Global quarterly unit shipments (m)
PCs iOS&Android smartphones Tablets
7
© TNS 2015
Device centricity Globally
% time spent on mobile and tablet daily
Nigeria
Indonesia
SouthAfrica
Kenya
Philippines
Thailand
Ghana
Mexico
SaudiArabia
UAE
Turkey
Colombia
China
Vietnam
HongKong
Malaysia
Portugal
Israel
SouthKorea
Singapore
Italy
Spain
Taiwan
Sweden
USA
UK
Switzerland
Russia
Australia
Slovakia
Norway
Austria
Greece
Netherlands
Hungary
Germany
NewZealand
France
Denmark
Belgium
Canada
Czech…
Finland
Japan
For the first time, the majority of the world is now mobile-centric
1 2 3
TNS Global Connected Life study, D3. Time spent on devices/media/activities
Base: Typical day – 2014 Global (36,325) | 2015 Global (41,635)
Multi-Device Mobile-CentricMobile only Multi-Device PC-Centric
2015
8
© TNS 2015
+1
+1
+6
+11
Social and Instant Messaging drive increased digital interaction
2014 vs. 2015 Digital Hotspots – Global
Average number of digital activities
(Weekly)
Top digital activities
(YoY change in weekly usage %)
Instant messaging
Social networking
Read news, sports or weather
Play games on mobile/tablet
2014 2015
6.2 8.5
TNS Global Connected Life study C1. Digital activities
Base: 2015 Global (53,495) | 2014 Global (49,302)
9
© TNS 2015
The number of social platforms is expanding everywhere
Fragmentation of social and instant messaging platforms
Average number of platforms used daily
0
1
2
3
4
5
Japan
Finland
Denmark
Philippines
Hungary
NewZealand
Greece
CzechRepublic
Germany
Switzerland
Sweden
France
Austria
Belgium
Netherlands
SouthAfrica
Slovakia
Kenya
UK
Portugal
Canada
USA
Turkey
Norway
Australia
SouthKorea
Vietnam
Nigeria
China
Israel
Indonesia
Ghana
Thailand
Spain
Taiwan
Italy
Russia
Mexico
HongKong
Colombia
UAE
Singapore
SaudiArabia
Malaysia
TNS Global Connected Life study; C2. Social/IM usage
Base: Global 2015 (53,495) | Global 2014 (49,302)
2014 2015
10
© TNS 2015
But how does this help us do better research?
Mobile Social
11
2
Mobile
© TNS 2015
Memory
recollection
Long &
un-engaging
Inaccessible
Why move to mobile? The problems that market research faces
Unrepresentative
UnresponsiveSlow
13
© TNS 2015
Respondents are signaling a desire for change
50%
67% 50%
% of panel registrations by device type
33%
One year ago Now
70%
of respondents believe surveys
‘15 minutes or over’ are too
long to take on a smartphone.
~50% also believe the same is
true on PC / Laptop / Tablets)
Source: Kantar / Lightspeed GMI analysis of Global panellist registration
14
© TNS 2015
Collecting data using mobile devices can provide some key
benefits:
Anytime,
anywhere
Higher
engagement
Those who may be
harder to recruit
Creative delivery
of invites
15
© TNS 2015
How many glasses of tap water did you drink yesterday?
3.1
Start of survey
2.4
Middle of survey
1.6
End of survey
As questionnaires get longer, they get bored & engage less
Source: Kantar / Lightspeed GMI
16
© TNS 2015
At TNS, we are moving to ‘device-agnostic’ design for all surveys
Average non-completion rates (%)
Source: Kantar / Lightspeed GMI only data Oct-Nov 2014
Drop outs
If the survey is not designed
for mobile, more than half of
those attempting to take on
mobile will drop out
Think of yourself as a respondent
What device allows you…
- To respond easily and quickly?
- To give accurate responses?
- To stay engaged in the survey?
- To answer additional surveys?
The device YOU choose!
17
© TNS 2015
Case Study: Get quicker data
Baby Care Shopper Purchase Journey, US
20 minute questionnaire
60% completion
2% answered on mobile
1,200 respondents
7 minute questionnaire
97% completion
21% answered on mobile
1,800 respondents
Old Approach New approach
Same budget, Same deliverable
Report prepared in 1 week instead of 2
18
© TNS 2015
Case Study: Get quicker data
Baby Care Shopper Purchase Journey, US
Shorten brand lists
Only 12 brands were large enough to analyse
Reduced brand list from 35 to 12
Saved 5 minutes of questionnaire length
Redundant questions
8 Questions were not used in the final report
We removed all of these
Saved 6 minutes of questionaire length
19
© TNS 2015
Case Study: Get better data
UK, alcohol purchase ‘on-trade’
In reality few count at moment of purchase Brand most important “in the moment” of purchase
Number of influences on purchase decision Consumers make decisions quickly
3.8influences mentioned
per respondent
1.4influences mentioned
per purchase 0 20 40 60
The price
Special offer
Well-known brand
Drinks menu
Brand not available
Friends
Try something new
Complement food
Match the occasion
Drinks display
After the event
Recruitment survey
In the moment
mobile diary
Special offers, despite being a major
tactical lever, are not cutting through.
Business decisions delivered:
- Focus on driving salience for brand rather than price drivers
- Review on premise promotions / offers (not being noticed); consider redirecting funds elsewhere
(e.g., menu visibility / at bar)
20
3
Social
© TNS 2015
Many of us have been underwhelmed by social media
Social data
analytics
Source: Gartner
22
© TNS 2015
We need to move on from the superficial analyses
23
© TNS 2015
5.
Market
Prediction
Requires
profound time
series analysis
Social can be integrated into our offer in many ways, but survey
infusion is the primary focus for TNS
Easy to copy
Best leverages
TNS thinking
Needs client
involvement
‘Me-too’ product
2.
Buzz
Typology
3.
Survey
Infusion
4.
Incident
Simulation
1.
Social
Listening
 structure
social media data
with
communication
mapping
 integrate and
augment survey
data with social
media data
 model
survey data
according to
social media data
trends
 rebuild
survey KPIs by
social media
KPIs
 listen
to social media
data as research
fundament
24
© TNS 2015
Case Study: Campaign evaluation
Football World Cup campaigns, UK
Pepsi ad tested better, but Coca-Cola ad was talked about more
25
© TNS 2015
Case Study: Campaign evaluation
Football World Cup campaigns, UK
Pepsi lateCoke late
Social media analysis showed the Pepsi campaign went flat
26
© TNS 2015
Case Study: Campaign evaluation
Football World Cup campaigns, UK
By moving beyond volumetrics we’re able to fully understand campaign impact
27
© TNS 2015
Case Study: Enriching customer understanding
British Airways
Plotting touchpoint impact from survey
against social buzz
Mapping the conversations
28
© TNS 2015
Case Study: Predict brand equity
Comparing brand tracking to social data
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug
Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
Automotive
Brand
Laundry
Brand
Survey Social
Brand health
29
4
Marketing to the audience of one
© TNS 2015
Cookies and site tracking
(e.g. Google Chrome)
Traded with other DMPs
Data Management platforms are aggregating data
Purchased from 3rd party
sources
(e.g. Experian, Shopcom,
Mastercard etc.)
31
© TNS 2015
This data is being connected at the individual level
Cookies Street Address
Email addresses Device ID
32
© TNS 2015
Data Application
This offers us the ability to connect and leverage data like never
before
Consumer
Purchase
Brand
Social
Mobile
Advertising
Clickstream
Media exposure
Campaign
 PR
 Comms
 Research
 Creative
 Planning
 Media
 CRM
Purchase
33
© TNS 2015
There are numerous ways in which DMPs can be used for insights
purposes
Adding context
to a survey
respondent or
CRM database
Importing survey-
derived ‘segments’
into the DMP for
targeting
Mining for
consumer insights
…and more!
The possibilities are limitless – creativity is key here
1 2 3 4
34
© TNS 2015
Result
The campaign delivered 15% lift in sales (actual purchase data) for those
exposed vs. an identical control group*
Profiles matched to a DMP to find
30 million similar profiles
The 30 million unique cookies
were added to the media plan
Case study:
Matching survey profiles to DMP for media targeting, USA
Survey to find people open to a
brand
1 2 3
15%
Ad Ad
Ad
Ad
Internet
Behavior
Shopping
Behavior
Look-alike Model
35
© TNS 2015
Get ready for the integrated, data-rich world!
36
5
To summarize…
© TNS 2015
Summary points
Connected
Consumer
TNS is investing
into developing of
the mobile
expertise
Social is being
integrated into the
TNS offer in many
ways
Data management
platforms
Mobile and social
are there to help
us make better
research
Device-agnostic
design for all
surveys
Shorter, smarter
Mobile devices
help us get data of
better quality
Survey infusion
Predicting brand
equity using social
data
DMP are being
developed to help
with Integrated
marketing
challenges
38
© TNS 2015
At TNS, we are releasing several mobile and social-enabled
approaches in 2016
Mobile ready Socially infused
Social Conversion
Model
Social TRIM
Predictive Equity
Modelling
Mobile diaries Situational Equity Connected
Shopper Journey
TRIM for Mobile Device-agnostic
Conversion Model
39
© TNS 2015
Better together: ‘traditional’ tools + mobile + social data
40
© TNS 2015
A dialogue with our clients to support the offer development
ExperimentalSafe
PredictiveRepresentative
IterativeComprehensive
FastConsidered
ActionableInsightful
Co-creatorsIndependent
Data acquisition & recyclingData collection
41
© TNS 2015
#tnsconfwww.conf.tns-global.ru
42

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Research in a data-rich world, or faster, cheaper and closer-to- the-moment research Sam Curtis, Global Data Lead, TNS Global Евгений Попов, Директор направления заказных маркетинговых исследова

  • 1. © TNS 2015 Marketing Research in a Data Rich World Sam Curtis Evgeny Popov Moscow, November 26
  • 2. © TNS 2015 Market research goes beyond traditional 0.1 % Growth of ‘traditional market research’ market in 2014 globally (ESOMAR) 63.8 billion $ Volume of ‘traditional market research’ market in 2014 globally (ESOMAR) Estimation of the ‘extended’ market research volume in 2014 globally (ESOMAR+Outsell Inc.) (including online analytics, management consultancies, social media communities, do-it-yourself survey software, etc.) 43.9 billion $ 2
  • 3. © TNS 2015 What will the future of market research look like? Device agnostic surveying Death of the (long) survey ‘In-the-moment’ feedback Behaviour (not claim) triggered surveying Ongoing brand-consumer dialogue Social media data infused in all types of research Real-time, predictive results Partnership with owners of big data Half of our data comes from non-surveys 3
  • 4. © TNS 2015 ROI Accurate Integrated Timely Client expectations 4
  • 6. © TNS 2015 Two emergent aspects of the Connected Consumer Mobile Social 6
  • 7. © TNS 2015 Shifting device dominance Source: Gartner, Google, Apple, Enders Analysis, 2014 Smartphones PCs Smartphones PCs Global installed base (m) Global quarterly unit shipments (m) PCs iOS&Android smartphones Tablets 7
  • 8. © TNS 2015 Device centricity Globally % time spent on mobile and tablet daily Nigeria Indonesia SouthAfrica Kenya Philippines Thailand Ghana Mexico SaudiArabia UAE Turkey Colombia China Vietnam HongKong Malaysia Portugal Israel SouthKorea Singapore Italy Spain Taiwan Sweden USA UK Switzerland Russia Australia Slovakia Norway Austria Greece Netherlands Hungary Germany NewZealand France Denmark Belgium Canada Czech… Finland Japan For the first time, the majority of the world is now mobile-centric 1 2 3 TNS Global Connected Life study, D3. Time spent on devices/media/activities Base: Typical day – 2014 Global (36,325) | 2015 Global (41,635) Multi-Device Mobile-CentricMobile only Multi-Device PC-Centric 2015 8
  • 9. © TNS 2015 +1 +1 +6 +11 Social and Instant Messaging drive increased digital interaction 2014 vs. 2015 Digital Hotspots – Global Average number of digital activities (Weekly) Top digital activities (YoY change in weekly usage %) Instant messaging Social networking Read news, sports or weather Play games on mobile/tablet 2014 2015 6.2 8.5 TNS Global Connected Life study C1. Digital activities Base: 2015 Global (53,495) | 2014 Global (49,302) 9
  • 10. © TNS 2015 The number of social platforms is expanding everywhere Fragmentation of social and instant messaging platforms Average number of platforms used daily 0 1 2 3 4 5 Japan Finland Denmark Philippines Hungary NewZealand Greece CzechRepublic Germany Switzerland Sweden France Austria Belgium Netherlands SouthAfrica Slovakia Kenya UK Portugal Canada USA Turkey Norway Australia SouthKorea Vietnam Nigeria China Israel Indonesia Ghana Thailand Spain Taiwan Italy Russia Mexico HongKong Colombia UAE Singapore SaudiArabia Malaysia TNS Global Connected Life study; C2. Social/IM usage Base: Global 2015 (53,495) | Global 2014 (49,302) 2014 2015 10
  • 11. © TNS 2015 But how does this help us do better research? Mobile Social 11
  • 13. © TNS 2015 Memory recollection Long & un-engaging Inaccessible Why move to mobile? The problems that market research faces Unrepresentative UnresponsiveSlow 13
  • 14. © TNS 2015 Respondents are signaling a desire for change 50% 67% 50% % of panel registrations by device type 33% One year ago Now 70% of respondents believe surveys ‘15 minutes or over’ are too long to take on a smartphone. ~50% also believe the same is true on PC / Laptop / Tablets) Source: Kantar / Lightspeed GMI analysis of Global panellist registration 14
  • 15. © TNS 2015 Collecting data using mobile devices can provide some key benefits: Anytime, anywhere Higher engagement Those who may be harder to recruit Creative delivery of invites 15
  • 16. © TNS 2015 How many glasses of tap water did you drink yesterday? 3.1 Start of survey 2.4 Middle of survey 1.6 End of survey As questionnaires get longer, they get bored & engage less Source: Kantar / Lightspeed GMI 16
  • 17. © TNS 2015 At TNS, we are moving to ‘device-agnostic’ design for all surveys Average non-completion rates (%) Source: Kantar / Lightspeed GMI only data Oct-Nov 2014 Drop outs If the survey is not designed for mobile, more than half of those attempting to take on mobile will drop out Think of yourself as a respondent What device allows you… - To respond easily and quickly? - To give accurate responses? - To stay engaged in the survey? - To answer additional surveys? The device YOU choose! 17
  • 18. © TNS 2015 Case Study: Get quicker data Baby Care Shopper Purchase Journey, US 20 minute questionnaire 60% completion 2% answered on mobile 1,200 respondents 7 minute questionnaire 97% completion 21% answered on mobile 1,800 respondents Old Approach New approach Same budget, Same deliverable Report prepared in 1 week instead of 2 18
  • 19. © TNS 2015 Case Study: Get quicker data Baby Care Shopper Purchase Journey, US Shorten brand lists Only 12 brands were large enough to analyse Reduced brand list from 35 to 12 Saved 5 minutes of questionnaire length Redundant questions 8 Questions were not used in the final report We removed all of these Saved 6 minutes of questionaire length 19
  • 20. © TNS 2015 Case Study: Get better data UK, alcohol purchase ‘on-trade’ In reality few count at moment of purchase Brand most important “in the moment” of purchase Number of influences on purchase decision Consumers make decisions quickly 3.8influences mentioned per respondent 1.4influences mentioned per purchase 0 20 40 60 The price Special offer Well-known brand Drinks menu Brand not available Friends Try something new Complement food Match the occasion Drinks display After the event Recruitment survey In the moment mobile diary Special offers, despite being a major tactical lever, are not cutting through. Business decisions delivered: - Focus on driving salience for brand rather than price drivers - Review on premise promotions / offers (not being noticed); consider redirecting funds elsewhere (e.g., menu visibility / at bar) 20
  • 22. © TNS 2015 Many of us have been underwhelmed by social media Social data analytics Source: Gartner 22
  • 23. © TNS 2015 We need to move on from the superficial analyses 23
  • 24. © TNS 2015 5. Market Prediction Requires profound time series analysis Social can be integrated into our offer in many ways, but survey infusion is the primary focus for TNS Easy to copy Best leverages TNS thinking Needs client involvement ‘Me-too’ product 2. Buzz Typology 3. Survey Infusion 4. Incident Simulation 1. Social Listening  structure social media data with communication mapping  integrate and augment survey data with social media data  model survey data according to social media data trends  rebuild survey KPIs by social media KPIs  listen to social media data as research fundament 24
  • 25. © TNS 2015 Case Study: Campaign evaluation Football World Cup campaigns, UK Pepsi ad tested better, but Coca-Cola ad was talked about more 25
  • 26. © TNS 2015 Case Study: Campaign evaluation Football World Cup campaigns, UK Pepsi lateCoke late Social media analysis showed the Pepsi campaign went flat 26
  • 27. © TNS 2015 Case Study: Campaign evaluation Football World Cup campaigns, UK By moving beyond volumetrics we’re able to fully understand campaign impact 27
  • 28. © TNS 2015 Case Study: Enriching customer understanding British Airways Plotting touchpoint impact from survey against social buzz Mapping the conversations 28
  • 29. © TNS 2015 Case Study: Predict brand equity Comparing brand tracking to social data 4,0 6,0 8,0 10,0 12,0 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Automotive Brand Laundry Brand Survey Social Brand health 29
  • 30. 4 Marketing to the audience of one
  • 31. © TNS 2015 Cookies and site tracking (e.g. Google Chrome) Traded with other DMPs Data Management platforms are aggregating data Purchased from 3rd party sources (e.g. Experian, Shopcom, Mastercard etc.) 31
  • 32. © TNS 2015 This data is being connected at the individual level Cookies Street Address Email addresses Device ID 32
  • 33. © TNS 2015 Data Application This offers us the ability to connect and leverage data like never before Consumer Purchase Brand Social Mobile Advertising Clickstream Media exposure Campaign  PR  Comms  Research  Creative  Planning  Media  CRM Purchase 33
  • 34. © TNS 2015 There are numerous ways in which DMPs can be used for insights purposes Adding context to a survey respondent or CRM database Importing survey- derived ‘segments’ into the DMP for targeting Mining for consumer insights …and more! The possibilities are limitless – creativity is key here 1 2 3 4 34
  • 35. © TNS 2015 Result The campaign delivered 15% lift in sales (actual purchase data) for those exposed vs. an identical control group* Profiles matched to a DMP to find 30 million similar profiles The 30 million unique cookies were added to the media plan Case study: Matching survey profiles to DMP for media targeting, USA Survey to find people open to a brand 1 2 3 15% Ad Ad Ad Ad Internet Behavior Shopping Behavior Look-alike Model 35
  • 36. © TNS 2015 Get ready for the integrated, data-rich world! 36
  • 38. © TNS 2015 Summary points Connected Consumer TNS is investing into developing of the mobile expertise Social is being integrated into the TNS offer in many ways Data management platforms Mobile and social are there to help us make better research Device-agnostic design for all surveys Shorter, smarter Mobile devices help us get data of better quality Survey infusion Predicting brand equity using social data DMP are being developed to help with Integrated marketing challenges 38
  • 39. © TNS 2015 At TNS, we are releasing several mobile and social-enabled approaches in 2016 Mobile ready Socially infused Social Conversion Model Social TRIM Predictive Equity Modelling Mobile diaries Situational Equity Connected Shopper Journey TRIM for Mobile Device-agnostic Conversion Model 39
  • 40. © TNS 2015 Better together: ‘traditional’ tools + mobile + social data 40
  • 41. © TNS 2015 A dialogue with our clients to support the offer development ExperimentalSafe PredictiveRepresentative IterativeComprehensive FastConsidered ActionableInsightful Co-creatorsIndependent Data acquisition & recyclingData collection 41