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Determining Primary Energy
Factors for Electricity
Leonardo ENERGY Webinar
24. February 2016
Andreas Aamodt, ADAPT Consulting
Is electricity the cause of, or solution to,
our energy challenges?
Source: EC. Energy Roadmap 2050. (2011)
2012 review of conversion factors
2012 review of conversion factors
Conclusion:
The use of conversion factors
should be avoided in a regulatory
context if direct regulation of
primary energy consumption is
possible.
Regulatory use of conversion
factors seems unavoidable
• LCA
• Sosial accounting
• ISO/CEN
• Energy Performance of
Buildings Directive
• Energy Labelling Directive
• Ecodesign Directive
Our mandate
• Establish principles and a
framework for determining PEFs
and other conversion factors for
electricity drawn from the
distribution grid
• Discuss how the use of conversion
factors are appropriate or required
for use in the context of EU energy
policy
Methodological approach
Framework structure
Part 1:
Overarching
principles
Part 2:
Detailed
calculations
«Accuracy» «Precision»
The attributional assessment allocates primary energy
consumption associated with the production of electricity
to the end-user consumption of electricity.
A consequential assessment tries to uncover to what
extent changes in the end-user consumption of electricity
results in changes in the primary energy consumption.
Select assesment
approach
Clarify indicator
Establish
system limits
Establish
time frame
Clarify indicator
Part 1: Overarching principles
Select assesment
approach
Part 1: Overarching principles
Private car
Bus with 5
passengers
Bus with 30
passengers
Total greenhouse gas emissions 150 g/km 1525 g/km 1650 g/km
Allocating emissions per passenger 150 g/km 305 g/km 55 g/km
Increase in emissions when the person
choose her mean of transportation
(consequential assessment)
150 g/km 5 g/km 5 g/km
Select assesment
approach
Clarify indicator
Establish
system limits
Establish
time frame
Clarify indicator
Part 1: Overarching principles
Select assesment
approach
Clarify indicator
Establish
system limits
Establish
time frame
Clarify indicator
PEF = 1,8
CO2 = 350g
+CCS
PEF = 2,5
CO2 = 50g
PEF = 3,0
CO2 = 0 g
Part 1: Overarching principles
Select assesment
approach
Clarify indicator
Establish
system limits
Establish
time frame
Clarify indicator
Low CO2-factor High CO2-factor
High PEF
Geothermal energy
Nuclear power
Thermal energy with
CCS
Bioenergy
Coal-power
Gas-power
Low PEF
Wind power
Hydropower
Solar energy
Combined heat and
power (bio)
Combined heat and
power (coal)
Combined heat and
power (gas)
Externality Calculation indicator
Emission of greenhouse gases gCO2e/kWh
Consumption of primary energy PEF (primary energy factor)
Renewable share RESSHARE
Energy cost €/MWh
Emission of radioactive waste mgRW/kWh
Select assesment
approach
Part 1: Overarching principles
Clarify indicator
Establish
system limits
Establish
time frame
Select assesment
approach
Clarify indicator
Establish
system limits
Establish
time frame
Part 1: Overarching principles
Power sector
ETS-sectors
All sectors
Part 1: Overarching principles
Objective Time frame
Report annual energy statistics
Historical production data
per year (e.g. year 2014)
Meet an energy efficiency target in
2020
Expected production data in
2020
Calculate energy performance of
buildings with an expected lifetime of
50 years
2016-2065
Select assesment
approach
Clarify indicator
Establish
system limits
Establish
time frame
Framework structure
Methodology part 2a:
PEF-calculations in an
attributional assessment
Step 5a: Select allocation
mechanism
Physical allocation mechanism
Step 5a: Select allocation mechanism
Financial allocation mechanism
Step 6a: Identify electricity mix
Step 7a: Identify externalities
associated to the electricity mix
Source: Ecoinvent
Step 8a: Determine electricity
conversion factor (PEF)
Example:
Tecnology Share PEF
Hydro 96 % 1
Wind 2 % 1
Natural gas 2 % 1,8
Average 100 % 1,02
Methodology part 2b: PEF-calculations
in an consequential assessment
Step 5b: Identify relevant
regulatory measures
Examples:
• Concession procedures
• Emission permits
• EU ETS
• Electricity quota systems
• Taxes
• Subsidies
Step 6b: Identify marginal changes
in electricity production
Short term Long term
Rebound
Price elasticity of demand and
rebound
Price
Quantity
Electricity savings
Step 7b: Calculate externalities associated
with changes in electricity production
Step 8b: Determine electricity
conversion factor (PEF)
Achieved by multiplying the
primary energy per kWh for each
production technology with the
share each technology has in the
marginal electricity production
mix.
Chapter 6: EU application of the
principles and framework
• Energy Performance of Buildings
Directive (EPBD)
– Methodology for calculating the energy
performance of buildings
– Member States are free to adopt national
primary energy factors
• Energy Efficiency Directive (EED)
– Member States may apply a co-efficient of
2,5 reflecting the 40 % average EU
generation efficiency
– Member States may apply a different co-
efficient
• Ecodesign Directive and Energy
Labelling Directive
Conversion factors in
Ecodesign and Energy Labelling
Overarching
principles
EU conversion
factor
Recommended
conversion factor
1. Assessment
approach
Attributional Consequential
2. Indicator
Conversion
coefficient
PEF
3. System limits EU25 EEA
4. Time frame 2004 2020
‘conversion coefficient’ or ‘CC’ means a coefficient reflecting the
estimated 40 % average EU generation efficiency referred to in
Directive 2012/27/EU of the European Parliament and of the
Council; the value of the conversion coefficient is CC = 2,5;
andreas.aamodt@adapt.no

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Determining Primary Energy Factors for Electricity (PEFs

  • 1. Determining Primary Energy Factors for Electricity Leonardo ENERGY Webinar 24. February 2016 Andreas Aamodt, ADAPT Consulting
  • 2. Is electricity the cause of, or solution to, our energy challenges? Source: EC. Energy Roadmap 2050. (2011)
  • 3. 2012 review of conversion factors
  • 4. 2012 review of conversion factors Conclusion: The use of conversion factors should be avoided in a regulatory context if direct regulation of primary energy consumption is possible.
  • 5. Regulatory use of conversion factors seems unavoidable • LCA • Sosial accounting • ISO/CEN • Energy Performance of Buildings Directive • Energy Labelling Directive • Ecodesign Directive
  • 6. Our mandate • Establish principles and a framework for determining PEFs and other conversion factors for electricity drawn from the distribution grid • Discuss how the use of conversion factors are appropriate or required for use in the context of EU energy policy
  • 8. Framework structure Part 1: Overarching principles Part 2: Detailed calculations «Accuracy» «Precision»
  • 9. The attributional assessment allocates primary energy consumption associated with the production of electricity to the end-user consumption of electricity. A consequential assessment tries to uncover to what extent changes in the end-user consumption of electricity results in changes in the primary energy consumption. Select assesment approach Clarify indicator Establish system limits Establish time frame Clarify indicator Part 1: Overarching principles Select assesment approach
  • 10. Part 1: Overarching principles Private car Bus with 5 passengers Bus with 30 passengers Total greenhouse gas emissions 150 g/km 1525 g/km 1650 g/km Allocating emissions per passenger 150 g/km 305 g/km 55 g/km Increase in emissions when the person choose her mean of transportation (consequential assessment) 150 g/km 5 g/km 5 g/km Select assesment approach Clarify indicator Establish system limits Establish time frame Clarify indicator
  • 11. Part 1: Overarching principles Select assesment approach Clarify indicator Establish system limits Establish time frame Clarify indicator PEF = 1,8 CO2 = 350g +CCS PEF = 2,5 CO2 = 50g PEF = 3,0 CO2 = 0 g
  • 12. Part 1: Overarching principles Select assesment approach Clarify indicator Establish system limits Establish time frame Clarify indicator Low CO2-factor High CO2-factor High PEF Geothermal energy Nuclear power Thermal energy with CCS Bioenergy Coal-power Gas-power Low PEF Wind power Hydropower Solar energy Combined heat and power (bio) Combined heat and power (coal) Combined heat and power (gas)
  • 13. Externality Calculation indicator Emission of greenhouse gases gCO2e/kWh Consumption of primary energy PEF (primary energy factor) Renewable share RESSHARE Energy cost €/MWh Emission of radioactive waste mgRW/kWh Select assesment approach Part 1: Overarching principles Clarify indicator Establish system limits Establish time frame
  • 14. Select assesment approach Clarify indicator Establish system limits Establish time frame Part 1: Overarching principles Power sector ETS-sectors All sectors
  • 15. Part 1: Overarching principles Objective Time frame Report annual energy statistics Historical production data per year (e.g. year 2014) Meet an energy efficiency target in 2020 Expected production data in 2020 Calculate energy performance of buildings with an expected lifetime of 50 years 2016-2065 Select assesment approach Clarify indicator Establish system limits Establish time frame
  • 17. Methodology part 2a: PEF-calculations in an attributional assessment
  • 18. Step 5a: Select allocation mechanism Physical allocation mechanism
  • 19. Step 5a: Select allocation mechanism Financial allocation mechanism
  • 20. Step 6a: Identify electricity mix
  • 21. Step 7a: Identify externalities associated to the electricity mix Source: Ecoinvent
  • 22. Step 8a: Determine electricity conversion factor (PEF) Example: Tecnology Share PEF Hydro 96 % 1 Wind 2 % 1 Natural gas 2 % 1,8 Average 100 % 1,02
  • 23. Methodology part 2b: PEF-calculations in an consequential assessment
  • 24. Step 5b: Identify relevant regulatory measures Examples: • Concession procedures • Emission permits • EU ETS • Electricity quota systems • Taxes • Subsidies
  • 25. Step 6b: Identify marginal changes in electricity production Short term Long term
  • 26. Rebound Price elasticity of demand and rebound Price Quantity Electricity savings
  • 27. Step 7b: Calculate externalities associated with changes in electricity production
  • 28. Step 8b: Determine electricity conversion factor (PEF) Achieved by multiplying the primary energy per kWh for each production technology with the share each technology has in the marginal electricity production mix.
  • 29. Chapter 6: EU application of the principles and framework • Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD) – Methodology for calculating the energy performance of buildings – Member States are free to adopt national primary energy factors • Energy Efficiency Directive (EED) – Member States may apply a co-efficient of 2,5 reflecting the 40 % average EU generation efficiency – Member States may apply a different co- efficient • Ecodesign Directive and Energy Labelling Directive
  • 30. Conversion factors in Ecodesign and Energy Labelling Overarching principles EU conversion factor Recommended conversion factor 1. Assessment approach Attributional Consequential 2. Indicator Conversion coefficient PEF 3. System limits EU25 EEA 4. Time frame 2004 2020 ‘conversion coefficient’ or ‘CC’ means a coefficient reflecting the estimated 40 % average EU generation efficiency referred to in Directive 2012/27/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council; the value of the conversion coefficient is CC = 2,5;