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The scope for energy savings from
Energy Management
Paul Waide, Ph.D.
Waide Strategic Efficiency Ltd
How could Energy Management contribute to meeting EU’s
energy efficiency targets? – Progress and challenges
Brussels, June 14th, 2016
Findings from a new study about to be
released on Leonardo Energy
Assesses the state of EM in
the EU covering:
• industry and building
sectors
• adoption levels and
current practice
• drivers and barriers
• impacts, costs and savings
potentials
• policy experiences
• recommendations
• no single definition but can be said to entail the proactive,
organised and systematic coordination of procurement,
conversion, distribution and use of energy to meet an
organisation’s requirements, taking into account environmental
and economic objectives
• in the tertiary and industrial sectors its operation addresses
facility management, logistics, procurement, production,
planning and control, maintenance and IT
• its implementation requires an organisation to develop an
energy management strategy as the key tool to implement its
energy policy
What is energy management?
• ENERGY POLICY - Established by senior management and defines the overall guidelines for
the efforts to achieve greater energy efficiency and other energy policy objectives
• PLANNING - Identify the significant sources of energy consumption and savings potentials.
Determine the order of priority of the energy saving efforts, set targets and elaborate action
plans in line with policy
• IMPLEMENTATION AND OPERATION - Involve employees in the implementation of the
objectives and ensure better use of energy becomes a part of daily routines including within
purchasing, operation and maintenance, energy efficient design activities etc.
• CHECKING AND CORRECTIVE ACTIONS - Monitoring all significant energy consumption
flows and activities. Take corrective and preventive actions
• MANAGEMENT REVIEW - Management periodically evaluates the implementation of the
plan, objectives and operational control to ensure its continuing suitability in the light of the
commitment to continual improvement
Five key steps in energy management
Energy management implementation is facilitated by specific techniques and
tools
The key techniques are: energy audits, monitoring and benchmarking
The key tools are energy management and related standards:
• EN ISO 50001: 2011 Energy management systems -- Requirements with
guidance for use
• EN 16247 series (1-6) and ISO 50002 on energy audits
• ISO 50004:2014 on implementation of energy management systems
• ISO 50006:2014 Energy management systems -- Measuring energy performance
using energy baselines (EnB) and energy performance indicators (EnPI)
• ISO 50015:2014 Energy management systems -- Measurement and verification
of energy performance of organizations
• EN 16231:2012 Energy efficiency benchmarking methodology
• EN 16212:2012 Energy Efficiency and Savings Calculation, Top-down and Bottom-up
Methods
Techniques and tools
EM strategies and practices can be grouped into the following categories
ranked from least to most proactive approaches:
• no systematic planning; where an organisation only deals with the most
essential issues and has no dedicated management process for energy
• short-term profit maximisation: where management is focused
exclusively on measures that have a relatively short payback period and
a high return
• longer-term profit maximisation: where measures with a longer term
payback are also implemented
• realisation of all financially attractive energy measures: where all
measures are implemented that have a positive return on investment
• climate optimisation strategy: where the organisation is willing to
invest in all measures that meet a climate impact mitigation strategy
and may go beyond purely cost-effective measures
Degrees of energy management
Levels of adoption of EM – findings from
an ECI survey
Distribution of EN ISO 50001 certification
by European country in 2014
Distribution of EN ISO 50001 certification
by European country from 2011 to 2014
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
2011 2012 2013 2014
No.ofcertifiedorganisations
Austria Belgium Bulgaria Croatia Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France
Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Luxembourg Netherlands Norway
Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom
EN ISO 50001 certifications as a share of ISO
9001 certifications by country in 2014
Just 1.5% of medium to large European companies have
adopted EN ISO 50001
• there is a broad spectrum of behaviours currently seen but on average
EM adoption is well below economically rational levels
• energy intensive and larger organisations are much more likely to have
adopted proactive energy management strategies
• very few organisations adopt strategies to realise all financially
attractive measures and even less to optimise their climate impact
• the case of no systematic planning predominates in SMEs
• short term profit maximisation is most common in other commercial
enterprises such that measures with payback periods of beyond 2 years
are seldom considered.
Levels of adoption of EM
• certification to EN ISO 50001 is growing quite rapidly from a low
base
• motivation to be certified is driven by economic incentives
(stimulated by public policy) resulting in a major asymmetry in
the level of certification by EU Member State
• awareness of energy management and its significance is
increasing yet most organisations are struggling to implement it
effectively
• they tend to operate conservative, risk-averse strategies that
avoid deflecting time and effort from core business activities
• given this situation there remains a considerable scope to
develop more sophisticated EM strategies that mine the cost
effective savings potentials more fully
Current situation in the EU
• partially based on a meta-analysis of several energy savings
potentials studies across the EU
• for the industrial sector it is combined with an analysis of 53 case
studies across a wide range of industrial sectors from FR, DE, UK
• integrated into separate stock models for EU industry and EU
service sector buildings (note other uses, such as data centres
were not assessed)
• the buildings stock model is the same one used to provide the
detailed assessment of savings potentials from building
automation and control systems (BACS) in WSE 2013 study1
• base case scenarios aligned with IEA World Energy Outlook
1http://www.leonardo-energy.org/white-paper/building-automation-scope-energy-and-co2-savings-eu
Energy savings potential analysis
Payback period versus savings from 53 EM
industrial case studies in DE, FR, UK
• the payback periods ranged from 0 to 20 years with an
average of 4.4 years
• the savings potentials ranged from less than 1% to 85% with
an average of 26%
• most commonly the EM projects produced savings between
11 and 30% of total energy consumption but much larger
savings potentials were also delivered in some instances
• there is no correlation between the payback period and the
savings potentials
Payback period versus savings from 53 EM
industrial case studies in DE, FR, UK
Energy efficiency cost curve analysis
e.g. EU industrial sector
Source: Fleiter et al, 2013 -
Fraunhofer Institute
Energy efficiency cost curve analysis
e.g. commercial buildings in Ireland
Source: J. Scheer (2015)
Sustainable Energy Authority Ireland
To clarify the value proposition from broader adoption of effective
energy management a set of scenarios were developed as follows:
• A Reference Scenario that considers the energy use by sector
that is anticipated with a continuation of current trends
• A techno-economic Optimal Scenario that considers the energy
use by sector that would be expected were all cost-effective
energy management options to be adopted as rapidly as is
realistically technically feasible
• A Recommended Action Scenario that explores what savings from
energy management would be expected to be achieved were the
specific recommendations in the study to be implemented across
the EU
Energy scenarios considered
Final energy consumption for industry in
the EU under the Reference Scenario
Industrial sector savings under the Optimal
Scenario compared with the Reference Scenario
Final energy savings from EM under the
Recommended Action and Optimal Scenarios
Mtoe
• The Optimal Scenario, which assumes economically-optimised
EM, leads to some 1 728 Mtoe of cumulative energy savings from
2016 to 2035 of which:
• 807 Mtoe of savings are in industry and 931 Mtoe of savings are in
the tertiary sector
• This equates to estimated cumulative CO2 savings of 4.8
gigatonnes over the same period with annual savings of 383
million tonnes of CO2 in 2035
• Extra investments of €119 billion in equipment and related
services are needed at an average of €6.0 billion per year to
deliver these savings
• These are over fourteen times less than the value of the energy
bill savings, which total €1 684 billion over the period, at an
average of €84 billion per year
Optimal Scenario - summary
• The Recommended Action Scenario, which assumes policy
recommendations are followed, leads to some 1 184 Mtoe of
cumulative energy savings from 2016 to 2035 ow which:
• 560 Mtoe of savings are in industry and 624 Mtoe of savings are in
the tertiary sector
• This equates to estimated cumulative CO2 savings of 3.3
gigatonnes with annual savings of 295 million tonnes of CO2 in
2035
• Extra investments of €91 billion in equipment and related
services are needed at an average of €4.6 billion per year to
deliver these savings
• These are over twelve times less than the value of the energy bill
savings, which total €1 154 billion over the period, at an average
of €58 billion per year
Recommended Action Scenario - summary
Barrier Effect Remedial policy tools
VISIBILITY
EE is not measured EE is invisible and ignored Test procedures/measurement protocols/efficiency
metrics
EE is not visible to end users &
service procurers
EE is invisible and ignored Ratings/labels/disclosure/benchmarking/audits/real-
time measurement and reporting
PRIORITY
Low awareness of the value
proposition among service
procurers
EE is undervalued Awareness-raising and communication efforts
Energy expenditure is a low
priority
EE is bundled-in with more
important capital decision factors
Regulation, mechanisms to decouple EE actions from
other concerns
ECONOMY
Split incentives EE is undervalued Regulation, mechanisms to create EE financing
incentives for those not paying all or any of the
energy bill
Scarce investment capital or
competing capital needs
Underinvestment in EE Stimulation of capital supply for EE investments,
incubation and support of new EE business and
financing models, incentives
Energy consumption and supply
subsidies
Unfavourable market conditions
for EE
Removal of subsidies
Unfavourable perception and
treatment of risk
EE project financing cost is
inflated, energy price risk under-
estimated
Mechanisms to underwrite EE project risk, raise
awareness of energy volatility risk, inform/train
financial profession
CAPACITY
Limited know-how on
implementing energy-saving
measures
EE implementation is constrained Capacity-building programmes
Limited government resources to
support implementation
Barriers addressed more slowly
FRAGMENTATION
EE is more difficult to implement
collectively
Energy consumption is split among
many diverse end uses and users
Targeted regulations and other EE enhancement
policies and measures
Separation of energy supply and
demand business models
Energy supply favoured over
energy service
Favourable regulatory frameworks that reward
energy service provision over supply
Fragmented and under-developed
supply chains
Availability of EE is limited and it is
more difficult to implement
Market transformation programmes
Abbreviation: EE = energy efficiency.
Generic barriers to energy savings
Policy - The four principal EE Directives
Ecodesign
Directive
Energy Labelling
Directive
Energy
Performance in
Buildings
Directive
Energy Efficiency
Directive
EU directives
on energy
efficiency
Energy Efficiency Directive - 2012/27/EU
Includes:
- NEEAPS (National Energy Efficiency Action Plans)
- Energy efficiency obligations – Article 7
- Building renovations and public sector buildings – Article 4
- Energy audits and SMEs – Article 8
- Public procurement – Article 6
- Metering/Billing and information
- Heating and cooling (DHC, CHP/cogeneration, microgeneration)
- Energy services
- Transformation, transmission and distribution
- Training, accreditation, certification – Article 16
- Funding and financing – Article 20
Audits are great but fall short of energy management…
The EED requires Member States to make energy audits mandatory
for large enterprises and gives the possibility for enterprises that
have implemented broader energy management schemes such as
ISO 50001 to be exempt.
Nonetheless it leaves several important gaps:
a) it does not oblige or encourage affected enterprises to
implement an energy management system (just to conduct
audits)
b) it does not oblige or encourage affected enterprises to
implement cost effective measures identified in the audits
c) it does not create a system to support the adoption and
implementation of energy management systems
d) mandatory audits only apply to large enterprises
EED Article 8 and audits
What policies are implemented at MS level?
Incentives and obligations feature in the most visibly effective
programmes
• long term voluntary agreement (LTAs) schemes operated by
Denmark, Finland, Flanders, Ireland, Netherlands, Sweden
and UK, wherein participating enterprises agree to reduce
their energy intensity or CO2 emissions by pre-agreed
amounts over a certain period
• In each case the authorities have created an incentive to
participate in these schemes through access to more
favourable tax regimes; often via lower energy or carbon
taxes
Example – the Dutch Long Term Agreements
Annual energy savings under the LTA2 by type (PE= process
efficiency, SE = systems efficiency, EEPD = supply chain efficiency)
Energy efficiency improvement for various sectors under LTA1
DK IE NL Sweden Flanders Finland UK
Programme
name
LTA Large Industry
Energy Network
(LIEN) and SEAI
Energy
Agreements
Programme
Long-Term
Agreements
Programme for
improving energy
efficiency, PFE
Energy policy
agreements with
energy-intensive
companies
Energy efficiency
agreements
Climate Change
Agreement
Period of
operation
1996-2013 1992 to now 2004-12 (repealed
due to
contravention of
EU rules on state
aid)
2012-2015 2008-now 2001-now
Incentives
to
participate
Rebate in
Energy
Savings Tax
Subsidised
audits and
support
Participants pay a
lower Energy Tax
Five-year
exemption from
energy tax on
electricity (SEK
0.005/kWh)
Required to
attain the
environmental
license to
operate
20% subsidy of EE
related capital
costs (€22.5m of
subsidies in 2011)
Reduction of up to
90% on the Climate
Change Levy
Other
features
Implement-
ation of
identified
cost-effective
EE measures
is binding for
a 3 year
period
Agree to work
towards
ISO50001
implementation
Businesses must
draw up an EE
plan every four
years and
implement cost-
effective
measures. Also
road-maps to
reduce CO2 by 50%
by 2030
Must implement
EM, do audits and
invest in measures
with payback <3
years
Participants
cover 82% of
industrial energy
use in
benchmarking
agreement and
6% in the audit
agreement
Sectors
covered
Industry Industry - sites
cover >50% of
industrial
energy use
Industry, services
and agriculture.
Covers 80% of Ind.
energy
Industry Industry Industry, Services,
Energy
Energy intensive
industries and over
thirty smaller
sectors
Reported
impacts
3.26 TWh
in2012 from all
industrial EE
measures (not
just LTA)
Average efficiency
saving of 22.3%
from 1992-2000 =
2%/year From
2009-12 average
savings of
1.6%/year.
13.7 TWh from
2007-11
(electricity savings
of 1.45 TWh/year)
All industrial EE
measures.
(Agreements +
audits) produced
savings of 7.5% in
2010
9,600 facilities have
signed up to CCAs
accounting for 268
TWh in 2010. Savings
target to 2020 of
11%
DK NL Flanders
Mandatory EE
investments linked
to EM
Yes if entity has
entered into the LTA
Yes Yes
Programme name LTA Environmental
Management Act
VLAREM
Description Must implement all
EE measures with a
payback of < 3 years
Must implement all
EE measures with a
payback of < 5 years
Must implement all
EE measures with a
payback of < 3 years
Sectors covered Industry Companies and
buildings
Industry
Other features Entity size limits
apply. Local
authorities can
oblige audits to be
done.
Mandatory approved
energy plan
Summary of mandatory energy efficiency
investment programmes by MS
Germany’s energy tax incentives
• A tax on electricity payable by firms was introduced in
Germany in 2007 and set at €205/MWh
• Until 2012 companies that paid more than €1000/year for this
tax were eligible to apply for a 90% reduction; however, in
2013 the exemption eligibility rules were amended such that
companies are now obliged to prove that they have an energy
management system certified to DIN EN 16001 or DIN EN ISO
50001 in place to be eligible to receive the tax discounts
• As of 2014 about 25000 firms were eligible to receive tax
reductions that totalled 2.3 billion Euros in value, and about
3000 EN ISO 50001 certifications were undertaken in early
2014
• DE has the highest certified uptake of EN ISO 50001 in the
world
Audit incentives and EE networks
• France, Finland, Germany, Norway, Sweden and the UK
amongst others have provided direct financial and technical
assistance to conduct energy audits and implement energy
savings measures in the industrial sector and sometimes the
service sector
• Germany, Ireland and Sweden operate extensive (subsidised)
energy efficiency networks to provide peer to peer support in
implementing EE in businesses
Energy efficiency obligations – summary by MS
DK FR EE IE IT LV LT LU MT ES SI PL UK
EEO
type
Yes Yes -
White
certifica
te
scheme
Yes Yes Yes -
White
certifica
te
scheme
Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes -
White
certifica
te
scheme
Energy
Compan
y
Obligati
on
(ECO)
Year
introdu
ced
2006 2006 2015 2014 2005 2014 2014 2015 2015 2014 2014 2013 2003/20
15
Sectors
where
savings
measur
es can
be
made
Domestic
Industry
Commer
ce
Domestic
Industry
Commer
ce
Domestic
Industry
Commer
ce
Domestic
Industry
Commer
ce
All Industry
buildings
transport
All All Domestic
Scale of
savings
3% of all
non
transpor
t energy
use
2.5
Mtoe
per year
in 2013
Target
of 6.5
TWh
cumulat
ive by
2020
0.55
TWh per
year
1.2
Mtoe in
2012
0.979
TWh in
2020
Target
of 11.7
TWh
cumulat
ive by
2020
Target
of 6
TWh in
2020
Target
of 0.22
TWh in
2020
Target
of 0.571
Mtoe/ye
ar
0.75% of
energy
supplied
by 2018
0.55
Mtoe/ye
ar
Allocati
ons of
savings
by end-
use
sector
39%
Industry
, 8%
services
, 53%
domesti
c
6%
industry
Unspeci
fied
53%
Industry
, 4%
services
, 43%
domesti
c
Unspeci
fied
54.6%
Industry
, 15.3%
building
s/equip
ment,
25.3%
transpor
t, 4.8%
public/a
gricultu
re
Not
specifie
d
Unspeci
fied
Benchmarking
• Benchmarking is one of the most important energy
management tools
• Depending on its scope it allows comparison of the energy
performance of whole enterprises, businesses, facilities,
processes, buildings and systems on a common metric
• At its best it allows like for like comparison where the results
display unequivocal differences in energy efficiency
• When this is recognised by all parties it can be a powerful
motivation for improvement and means of monitoring
improvement
Danish real-time benchmarking of municipal
buildings power and electricity use
Following review of the EED the Commission and MS should consider
amending the provisions which currently exclusively concern energy
audits to:
• introduce MS level targets for the share of enterprises that have
adopted EM and where the targets are set based on the
proportion of enterprises of a given size and energy intensity
within each MS
• consider amending the EED energy audit obligations to become
an obligation to adopt a full energy management system for
enterprises using more than a minimum prescribed energy
consumption or energy intensity level and above a minimum size
• set MS targets for the number of certified energy managers,
wherein the targets are proportional to the economy’s size and
energy intensity and increase to a plateau with time
An energy action plan for Europe (1/3)
• support the development of EM standards and tools which are
targeted to each sub-sector and which are designed to be less
burdensome and more relevant for SMEs and less energy intensive
enterprises
• complete the development of and promote benchmarks of energy
performance in the industrial and tertiary sectors that are
tailored for relevance to each specified industrial or tertiary
sector activity (including SMEs) and require companies and
organisations to benchmark their energy use and share the
results in an anonymous format with public authorities
• develop and provide free energy management support services to
SMEs targeted at those with poor benchmarked efficiency levels
(note this would include but not be limited to energy audits) -
consider obligating/incentivising the poorer performers to
implement highly-cost effective measures
An energy action plan for Europe (2/3)
• provide incentives on energy efficiency capital expenditures for
those organisations that adopt relatively advanced EM, wherein
the total scale of the incentives provided by each Member State
is commensurate to a proportion (say a quarter) of the value of
expected energy savings to be achieved over the lifetime of the
investment
• financing of these incentives could be integrated within national
energy efficiency obligation schemes imposed on energy suppliers
under the provisions of EED Article 7
• develop common EU methodologies to account for and evaluate
energy savings produced via EM to facilitate funding through
EEOs and similar market mechanisms
• develop extensive capacity building programmes to train
organisations in the development and implementation of EM
policies and to build and support the energy services sector
An energy action plan for Europe (3/3)
• EM accesses systemic energy savings opportunities that are very
difficult to capture through other means
• Current EM adoption rates are far below cost-effective levels
• Better and more widely adopted Energy Management has the
potential to save ~26% of EU combined energy use in the
industrial and service sectors of which 19% could be delivered
through more robust policies
• Average net cost savings of €53 billion per annum to 2035 and
average CO2 emissions savings of 165 Mt CO2/year
• Current policy frameworks, such as the encouragement for
audits in the Energy Efficiency Directive are helpful but need to
be strengthened to deliver
• More robust and holistic policy approaches are required
Summary of key findings

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The scope for energy savings from energy management

  • 1. The scope for energy savings from Energy Management Paul Waide, Ph.D. Waide Strategic Efficiency Ltd How could Energy Management contribute to meeting EU’s energy efficiency targets? – Progress and challenges Brussels, June 14th, 2016
  • 2. Findings from a new study about to be released on Leonardo Energy Assesses the state of EM in the EU covering: • industry and building sectors • adoption levels and current practice • drivers and barriers • impacts, costs and savings potentials • policy experiences • recommendations
  • 3. • no single definition but can be said to entail the proactive, organised and systematic coordination of procurement, conversion, distribution and use of energy to meet an organisation’s requirements, taking into account environmental and economic objectives • in the tertiary and industrial sectors its operation addresses facility management, logistics, procurement, production, planning and control, maintenance and IT • its implementation requires an organisation to develop an energy management strategy as the key tool to implement its energy policy What is energy management?
  • 4. • ENERGY POLICY - Established by senior management and defines the overall guidelines for the efforts to achieve greater energy efficiency and other energy policy objectives • PLANNING - Identify the significant sources of energy consumption and savings potentials. Determine the order of priority of the energy saving efforts, set targets and elaborate action plans in line with policy • IMPLEMENTATION AND OPERATION - Involve employees in the implementation of the objectives and ensure better use of energy becomes a part of daily routines including within purchasing, operation and maintenance, energy efficient design activities etc. • CHECKING AND CORRECTIVE ACTIONS - Monitoring all significant energy consumption flows and activities. Take corrective and preventive actions • MANAGEMENT REVIEW - Management periodically evaluates the implementation of the plan, objectives and operational control to ensure its continuing suitability in the light of the commitment to continual improvement Five key steps in energy management
  • 5. Energy management implementation is facilitated by specific techniques and tools The key techniques are: energy audits, monitoring and benchmarking The key tools are energy management and related standards: • EN ISO 50001: 2011 Energy management systems -- Requirements with guidance for use • EN 16247 series (1-6) and ISO 50002 on energy audits • ISO 50004:2014 on implementation of energy management systems • ISO 50006:2014 Energy management systems -- Measuring energy performance using energy baselines (EnB) and energy performance indicators (EnPI) • ISO 50015:2014 Energy management systems -- Measurement and verification of energy performance of organizations • EN 16231:2012 Energy efficiency benchmarking methodology • EN 16212:2012 Energy Efficiency and Savings Calculation, Top-down and Bottom-up Methods Techniques and tools
  • 6. EM strategies and practices can be grouped into the following categories ranked from least to most proactive approaches: • no systematic planning; where an organisation only deals with the most essential issues and has no dedicated management process for energy • short-term profit maximisation: where management is focused exclusively on measures that have a relatively short payback period and a high return • longer-term profit maximisation: where measures with a longer term payback are also implemented • realisation of all financially attractive energy measures: where all measures are implemented that have a positive return on investment • climate optimisation strategy: where the organisation is willing to invest in all measures that meet a climate impact mitigation strategy and may go beyond purely cost-effective measures Degrees of energy management
  • 7. Levels of adoption of EM – findings from an ECI survey
  • 8. Distribution of EN ISO 50001 certification by European country in 2014
  • 9. Distribution of EN ISO 50001 certification by European country from 2011 to 2014 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 2011 2012 2013 2014 No.ofcertifiedorganisations Austria Belgium Bulgaria Croatia Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Luxembourg Netherlands Norway Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom
  • 10. EN ISO 50001 certifications as a share of ISO 9001 certifications by country in 2014
  • 11. Just 1.5% of medium to large European companies have adopted EN ISO 50001 • there is a broad spectrum of behaviours currently seen but on average EM adoption is well below economically rational levels • energy intensive and larger organisations are much more likely to have adopted proactive energy management strategies • very few organisations adopt strategies to realise all financially attractive measures and even less to optimise their climate impact • the case of no systematic planning predominates in SMEs • short term profit maximisation is most common in other commercial enterprises such that measures with payback periods of beyond 2 years are seldom considered. Levels of adoption of EM
  • 12. • certification to EN ISO 50001 is growing quite rapidly from a low base • motivation to be certified is driven by economic incentives (stimulated by public policy) resulting in a major asymmetry in the level of certification by EU Member State • awareness of energy management and its significance is increasing yet most organisations are struggling to implement it effectively • they tend to operate conservative, risk-averse strategies that avoid deflecting time and effort from core business activities • given this situation there remains a considerable scope to develop more sophisticated EM strategies that mine the cost effective savings potentials more fully Current situation in the EU
  • 13. • partially based on a meta-analysis of several energy savings potentials studies across the EU • for the industrial sector it is combined with an analysis of 53 case studies across a wide range of industrial sectors from FR, DE, UK • integrated into separate stock models for EU industry and EU service sector buildings (note other uses, such as data centres were not assessed) • the buildings stock model is the same one used to provide the detailed assessment of savings potentials from building automation and control systems (BACS) in WSE 2013 study1 • base case scenarios aligned with IEA World Energy Outlook 1http://www.leonardo-energy.org/white-paper/building-automation-scope-energy-and-co2-savings-eu Energy savings potential analysis
  • 14. Payback period versus savings from 53 EM industrial case studies in DE, FR, UK
  • 15. • the payback periods ranged from 0 to 20 years with an average of 4.4 years • the savings potentials ranged from less than 1% to 85% with an average of 26% • most commonly the EM projects produced savings between 11 and 30% of total energy consumption but much larger savings potentials were also delivered in some instances • there is no correlation between the payback period and the savings potentials Payback period versus savings from 53 EM industrial case studies in DE, FR, UK
  • 16. Energy efficiency cost curve analysis e.g. EU industrial sector Source: Fleiter et al, 2013 - Fraunhofer Institute
  • 17. Energy efficiency cost curve analysis e.g. commercial buildings in Ireland Source: J. Scheer (2015) Sustainable Energy Authority Ireland
  • 18. To clarify the value proposition from broader adoption of effective energy management a set of scenarios were developed as follows: • A Reference Scenario that considers the energy use by sector that is anticipated with a continuation of current trends • A techno-economic Optimal Scenario that considers the energy use by sector that would be expected were all cost-effective energy management options to be adopted as rapidly as is realistically technically feasible • A Recommended Action Scenario that explores what savings from energy management would be expected to be achieved were the specific recommendations in the study to be implemented across the EU Energy scenarios considered
  • 19. Final energy consumption for industry in the EU under the Reference Scenario
  • 20. Industrial sector savings under the Optimal Scenario compared with the Reference Scenario
  • 21. Final energy savings from EM under the Recommended Action and Optimal Scenarios Mtoe
  • 22. • The Optimal Scenario, which assumes economically-optimised EM, leads to some 1 728 Mtoe of cumulative energy savings from 2016 to 2035 of which: • 807 Mtoe of savings are in industry and 931 Mtoe of savings are in the tertiary sector • This equates to estimated cumulative CO2 savings of 4.8 gigatonnes over the same period with annual savings of 383 million tonnes of CO2 in 2035 • Extra investments of €119 billion in equipment and related services are needed at an average of €6.0 billion per year to deliver these savings • These are over fourteen times less than the value of the energy bill savings, which total €1 684 billion over the period, at an average of €84 billion per year Optimal Scenario - summary
  • 23. • The Recommended Action Scenario, which assumes policy recommendations are followed, leads to some 1 184 Mtoe of cumulative energy savings from 2016 to 2035 ow which: • 560 Mtoe of savings are in industry and 624 Mtoe of savings are in the tertiary sector • This equates to estimated cumulative CO2 savings of 3.3 gigatonnes with annual savings of 295 million tonnes of CO2 in 2035 • Extra investments of €91 billion in equipment and related services are needed at an average of €4.6 billion per year to deliver these savings • These are over twelve times less than the value of the energy bill savings, which total €1 154 billion over the period, at an average of €58 billion per year Recommended Action Scenario - summary
  • 24. Barrier Effect Remedial policy tools VISIBILITY EE is not measured EE is invisible and ignored Test procedures/measurement protocols/efficiency metrics EE is not visible to end users & service procurers EE is invisible and ignored Ratings/labels/disclosure/benchmarking/audits/real- time measurement and reporting PRIORITY Low awareness of the value proposition among service procurers EE is undervalued Awareness-raising and communication efforts Energy expenditure is a low priority EE is bundled-in with more important capital decision factors Regulation, mechanisms to decouple EE actions from other concerns ECONOMY Split incentives EE is undervalued Regulation, mechanisms to create EE financing incentives for those not paying all or any of the energy bill Scarce investment capital or competing capital needs Underinvestment in EE Stimulation of capital supply for EE investments, incubation and support of new EE business and financing models, incentives Energy consumption and supply subsidies Unfavourable market conditions for EE Removal of subsidies Unfavourable perception and treatment of risk EE project financing cost is inflated, energy price risk under- estimated Mechanisms to underwrite EE project risk, raise awareness of energy volatility risk, inform/train financial profession CAPACITY Limited know-how on implementing energy-saving measures EE implementation is constrained Capacity-building programmes Limited government resources to support implementation Barriers addressed more slowly FRAGMENTATION EE is more difficult to implement collectively Energy consumption is split among many diverse end uses and users Targeted regulations and other EE enhancement policies and measures Separation of energy supply and demand business models Energy supply favoured over energy service Favourable regulatory frameworks that reward energy service provision over supply Fragmented and under-developed supply chains Availability of EE is limited and it is more difficult to implement Market transformation programmes Abbreviation: EE = energy efficiency. Generic barriers to energy savings
  • 25. Policy - The four principal EE Directives Ecodesign Directive Energy Labelling Directive Energy Performance in Buildings Directive Energy Efficiency Directive EU directives on energy efficiency
  • 26. Energy Efficiency Directive - 2012/27/EU Includes: - NEEAPS (National Energy Efficiency Action Plans) - Energy efficiency obligations – Article 7 - Building renovations and public sector buildings – Article 4 - Energy audits and SMEs – Article 8 - Public procurement – Article 6 - Metering/Billing and information - Heating and cooling (DHC, CHP/cogeneration, microgeneration) - Energy services - Transformation, transmission and distribution - Training, accreditation, certification – Article 16 - Funding and financing – Article 20
  • 27. Audits are great but fall short of energy management… The EED requires Member States to make energy audits mandatory for large enterprises and gives the possibility for enterprises that have implemented broader energy management schemes such as ISO 50001 to be exempt. Nonetheless it leaves several important gaps: a) it does not oblige or encourage affected enterprises to implement an energy management system (just to conduct audits) b) it does not oblige or encourage affected enterprises to implement cost effective measures identified in the audits c) it does not create a system to support the adoption and implementation of energy management systems d) mandatory audits only apply to large enterprises EED Article 8 and audits
  • 28. What policies are implemented at MS level? Incentives and obligations feature in the most visibly effective programmes • long term voluntary agreement (LTAs) schemes operated by Denmark, Finland, Flanders, Ireland, Netherlands, Sweden and UK, wherein participating enterprises agree to reduce their energy intensity or CO2 emissions by pre-agreed amounts over a certain period • In each case the authorities have created an incentive to participate in these schemes through access to more favourable tax regimes; often via lower energy or carbon taxes
  • 29. Example – the Dutch Long Term Agreements Annual energy savings under the LTA2 by type (PE= process efficiency, SE = systems efficiency, EEPD = supply chain efficiency) Energy efficiency improvement for various sectors under LTA1
  • 30. DK IE NL Sweden Flanders Finland UK Programme name LTA Large Industry Energy Network (LIEN) and SEAI Energy Agreements Programme Long-Term Agreements Programme for improving energy efficiency, PFE Energy policy agreements with energy-intensive companies Energy efficiency agreements Climate Change Agreement Period of operation 1996-2013 1992 to now 2004-12 (repealed due to contravention of EU rules on state aid) 2012-2015 2008-now 2001-now Incentives to participate Rebate in Energy Savings Tax Subsidised audits and support Participants pay a lower Energy Tax Five-year exemption from energy tax on electricity (SEK 0.005/kWh) Required to attain the environmental license to operate 20% subsidy of EE related capital costs (€22.5m of subsidies in 2011) Reduction of up to 90% on the Climate Change Levy Other features Implement- ation of identified cost-effective EE measures is binding for a 3 year period Agree to work towards ISO50001 implementation Businesses must draw up an EE plan every four years and implement cost- effective measures. Also road-maps to reduce CO2 by 50% by 2030 Must implement EM, do audits and invest in measures with payback <3 years Participants cover 82% of industrial energy use in benchmarking agreement and 6% in the audit agreement Sectors covered Industry Industry - sites cover >50% of industrial energy use Industry, services and agriculture. Covers 80% of Ind. energy Industry Industry Industry, Services, Energy Energy intensive industries and over thirty smaller sectors Reported impacts 3.26 TWh in2012 from all industrial EE measures (not just LTA) Average efficiency saving of 22.3% from 1992-2000 = 2%/year From 2009-12 average savings of 1.6%/year. 13.7 TWh from 2007-11 (electricity savings of 1.45 TWh/year) All industrial EE measures. (Agreements + audits) produced savings of 7.5% in 2010 9,600 facilities have signed up to CCAs accounting for 268 TWh in 2010. Savings target to 2020 of 11%
  • 31. DK NL Flanders Mandatory EE investments linked to EM Yes if entity has entered into the LTA Yes Yes Programme name LTA Environmental Management Act VLAREM Description Must implement all EE measures with a payback of < 3 years Must implement all EE measures with a payback of < 5 years Must implement all EE measures with a payback of < 3 years Sectors covered Industry Companies and buildings Industry Other features Entity size limits apply. Local authorities can oblige audits to be done. Mandatory approved energy plan Summary of mandatory energy efficiency investment programmes by MS
  • 32. Germany’s energy tax incentives • A tax on electricity payable by firms was introduced in Germany in 2007 and set at €205/MWh • Until 2012 companies that paid more than €1000/year for this tax were eligible to apply for a 90% reduction; however, in 2013 the exemption eligibility rules were amended such that companies are now obliged to prove that they have an energy management system certified to DIN EN 16001 or DIN EN ISO 50001 in place to be eligible to receive the tax discounts • As of 2014 about 25000 firms were eligible to receive tax reductions that totalled 2.3 billion Euros in value, and about 3000 EN ISO 50001 certifications were undertaken in early 2014 • DE has the highest certified uptake of EN ISO 50001 in the world
  • 33. Audit incentives and EE networks • France, Finland, Germany, Norway, Sweden and the UK amongst others have provided direct financial and technical assistance to conduct energy audits and implement energy savings measures in the industrial sector and sometimes the service sector • Germany, Ireland and Sweden operate extensive (subsidised) energy efficiency networks to provide peer to peer support in implementing EE in businesses
  • 34. Energy efficiency obligations – summary by MS DK FR EE IE IT LV LT LU MT ES SI PL UK EEO type Yes Yes - White certifica te scheme Yes Yes Yes - White certifica te scheme Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes - White certifica te scheme Energy Compan y Obligati on (ECO) Year introdu ced 2006 2006 2015 2014 2005 2014 2014 2015 2015 2014 2014 2013 2003/20 15 Sectors where savings measur es can be made Domestic Industry Commer ce Domestic Industry Commer ce Domestic Industry Commer ce Domestic Industry Commer ce All Industry buildings transport All All Domestic Scale of savings 3% of all non transpor t energy use 2.5 Mtoe per year in 2013 Target of 6.5 TWh cumulat ive by 2020 0.55 TWh per year 1.2 Mtoe in 2012 0.979 TWh in 2020 Target of 11.7 TWh cumulat ive by 2020 Target of 6 TWh in 2020 Target of 0.22 TWh in 2020 Target of 0.571 Mtoe/ye ar 0.75% of energy supplied by 2018 0.55 Mtoe/ye ar Allocati ons of savings by end- use sector 39% Industry , 8% services , 53% domesti c 6% industry Unspeci fied 53% Industry , 4% services , 43% domesti c Unspeci fied 54.6% Industry , 15.3% building s/equip ment, 25.3% transpor t, 4.8% public/a gricultu re Not specifie d Unspeci fied
  • 35. Benchmarking • Benchmarking is one of the most important energy management tools • Depending on its scope it allows comparison of the energy performance of whole enterprises, businesses, facilities, processes, buildings and systems on a common metric • At its best it allows like for like comparison where the results display unequivocal differences in energy efficiency • When this is recognised by all parties it can be a powerful motivation for improvement and means of monitoring improvement
  • 36. Danish real-time benchmarking of municipal buildings power and electricity use
  • 37. Following review of the EED the Commission and MS should consider amending the provisions which currently exclusively concern energy audits to: • introduce MS level targets for the share of enterprises that have adopted EM and where the targets are set based on the proportion of enterprises of a given size and energy intensity within each MS • consider amending the EED energy audit obligations to become an obligation to adopt a full energy management system for enterprises using more than a minimum prescribed energy consumption or energy intensity level and above a minimum size • set MS targets for the number of certified energy managers, wherein the targets are proportional to the economy’s size and energy intensity and increase to a plateau with time An energy action plan for Europe (1/3)
  • 38. • support the development of EM standards and tools which are targeted to each sub-sector and which are designed to be less burdensome and more relevant for SMEs and less energy intensive enterprises • complete the development of and promote benchmarks of energy performance in the industrial and tertiary sectors that are tailored for relevance to each specified industrial or tertiary sector activity (including SMEs) and require companies and organisations to benchmark their energy use and share the results in an anonymous format with public authorities • develop and provide free energy management support services to SMEs targeted at those with poor benchmarked efficiency levels (note this would include but not be limited to energy audits) - consider obligating/incentivising the poorer performers to implement highly-cost effective measures An energy action plan for Europe (2/3)
  • 39. • provide incentives on energy efficiency capital expenditures for those organisations that adopt relatively advanced EM, wherein the total scale of the incentives provided by each Member State is commensurate to a proportion (say a quarter) of the value of expected energy savings to be achieved over the lifetime of the investment • financing of these incentives could be integrated within national energy efficiency obligation schemes imposed on energy suppliers under the provisions of EED Article 7 • develop common EU methodologies to account for and evaluate energy savings produced via EM to facilitate funding through EEOs and similar market mechanisms • develop extensive capacity building programmes to train organisations in the development and implementation of EM policies and to build and support the energy services sector An energy action plan for Europe (3/3)
  • 40. • EM accesses systemic energy savings opportunities that are very difficult to capture through other means • Current EM adoption rates are far below cost-effective levels • Better and more widely adopted Energy Management has the potential to save ~26% of EU combined energy use in the industrial and service sectors of which 19% could be delivered through more robust policies • Average net cost savings of €53 billion per annum to 2035 and average CO2 emissions savings of 165 Mt CO2/year • Current policy frameworks, such as the encouragement for audits in the Energy Efficiency Directive are helpful but need to be strengthened to deliver • More robust and holistic policy approaches are required Summary of key findings