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III                                MONEY MARKET




3.1      The money market is a key component of the        has been a shift towards greater exchange rate
financial system as it is the fulcrum of monetary          flexibility and adoption of inflation targeting by some
operations conducted by the central bank in its            central banks partly because of increased capital
pursuit of monetary policy objectives. It is a market      mobility, greater financial market integration and
for shor t-term funds with maturity ranging from           repeated episodes of currency crises. Commensurate
over night to one year and includes financial              with these changes, central banks have moved away
instruments that are deemed to be close substitutes        from conventional (direct) instruments of monetary
of money. The money market performs three broad            control (working through the quantum channel)
functions. One, it provides an equilibrating               towards more use of indirect instruments (operating
mechanism for demand and supply of short-term              through the price channel). Accordingly, the use of
funds. Two, it enables borrowers and lenders of short-     reserve requirements and direct credit controls has
term funds to fulfil their borrowing and investment        been gradually de-emphasised, while relying more
requirements at an efficient market clearing price.        on interest rates for signalling the monetary policy
Three, it provides an avenue for central bank              stance. As central banks have only limited control
intervention in influencing both quantum and cost of       over long-term interest rates, the most commonly
liquidity in the financial system, thereby transmitting    adopted strategy has been to exert direct influence
monetary policy impulses to the real economy. The          only on short-term interest rates and permitting
objective of monetary management by the central            market expectations to influence long-term interest
bank is to align money market rates with the key           rates through financial market inter-linkages. Thus,
policy rate. As excessive money market volatility          the choice of monetary policy instruments is guided
could deliver confusing signals about the stance of        by the structure of the money market.
monetary policy, it is critical to ensure orderly market
                                                           3.4      In India, although the ultimate goals of
behaviour, from the point of view of both monetary
                                                           monetary policy, viz., growth and price stability, have
and financial stability. Thus, efficient functioning of
                                                           remained unchanged over the years, the Reserve
the money market is important for the effectiveness
                                                           Bank has modified its operational and intermediate
of monetary policy.
                                                           objectives of monetar y policy several times in
3.2      In order to meet these basic functions            response to changes in the economic and financial
efficiently, money markets have evolved over time          environment. For instance, in the mid-1980s, the
spawning new instruments and participants with             Reserve Bank formally adopted monetary targeting
varying risk profiles in line with the changes in the      with feedback as a nominal anchor to fight inflation,
operating procedures of monetary policy. Changes in        partly induced by the large scale monetisation of fiscal
financial mar ket str uctures, macroeconomic               deficits. The operating procedure in this regime was
objectives and economic environment have called for        modulation of bank reserves by varying reserve
shifts in monetary regimes, which, in turn, have           requirements. In order to meet reserve requirements,
necessitated refinements both in the operating             banks borrowed primarily from the inter-bank (call
instruments and procedures, and in institutional           money) market. Hence, these transactions were
arrangements by central banks.                             reflective of the overall liquidity in the system.
                                                           Accordingly, the Reserve Bank focussed on the money
3.3      Internationally, following the breakdown of       market, in particular, the call money market by using
the Bretton Woods system, there was a shift from           various direct instruments of monetary control to
rule-based frameworks towards discretion in the use        signal the policy stance consistent with the overall
of monetary policy instruments, which ultimately led       objectives of achieving growth and price stability. As
to the gradual abandonment of exchange rate                interest rates were regulated, monetary management
targets. Changes in financial structures and financial     was undertaken mainly through changes in the cash
innovations also rendered monetar y targeting              reserve ratio (CRR), which was used to influence
ineffective by making the money demand functions           indirectly the marginal cost of borrowing by having
unstable. Accordingly, since the early 1990s, there        an initial impact on the call money market. As the
REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE




success of this strategy was crucially dependent on              streamlining the money market operations. This
the stability of the call money market and its inter-            resulted in greater control over the liquidity in the
linkages with other money market segments, reforms               system and created an efficient mechanism to
since the late 1980s, along with changes in the                  transmit interest rate signals. Thus, changes in the
reserve maintenance procedures, have aimed at                    monetary policy operating procedures necessitated
developing various money market segments through                 refinements in money market microstructure through
introduction of new instr uments, increased                      introduction of new instruments and widening of
participation and improved liquidity management in               par ticipation under a deregulated interest rate
the system.                                                      environment.

3.5       Financial sector reforms since the early               3.7      The need for developed and well-integrated
1990s have provided a strong impetus to the                      money market also assumes critical importance as
development of financial markets, which, along with              India progressively moves towards greater capital
interest rate deregulation, paved the way for                    account convertibility, as envisaged by the Committee
introduction of mar ket-based monetar y policy                   on Fuller Capital Account Convertibility (FCAC), which
instruments. With financial innovations, money                   submitted its report to the Reserve Bank in July 2006.
demand was seen as less stable and the                           Better response to such financial flows by various
disequilibrium in money markets got reflected in                 market segments will depend upon the extent of
short-term interest rates (Mohan, 2006). Accordingly,            integration as well as the development of necessary
since the adoption of the multiple indicator approach            infrastructure. The greater integration of domestic and
in 1998, although monetary aggregates continue to                international markets also calls for flexible use of
be an important information variable, interest rates             monetary policy instruments for modulating domestic
have emerged as the operational instrument of policy             liquidity conditions and correcting any serious
– initially the Bank Rate and then the repo/reverse              misalignments between short-term and long-term
repo rates under the liquidity adjustment facility               interest rates.
(LAF) from June 2000. This shift in emphasis from
money to interest rates has been spurred by                      3.8     Against the above backdrop, this chapter
increased financial liberalisation, greater trade                traces the evolution of monetary policy operating
openness and capital flows, and innovations in                   procedures in India as necessitated by the changes
payment and transactions technologies. Such a shift              in the financial market structure, in particular, the
was gradual and a logical outcome of measures                    money market, and the risks/challenges arising out
implemented in the reform period since the early                 of such market orientation of monetar y policy.
1990s (Reddy, 2002). An array of new money market                Section I spells out the theoretical underpinnings of
instruments such as commercial paper, certificates               money mar ket for monetar y policy making.
of deposit and repos has been introduced in order                International experience on money market operating
to broaden the money market. Furthermore, with                   procedures, the evolving practices in liquidity
increased sophistication of financial markets, the risk          management operations and the structure of money
profiles of financial mar ket par ticipants also                 market are set out in Section II. Section III presents
changed, necessitating introduction of derivative                a brief review of the money market in India in the
instruments as effective risk management tools.                  pre-reform period. Section IV deals with the changes
                                                                 in the Reser ve Bank’s liquidity management
3.6      The liberalisation of capital controls resulting        operations commensurate with the shifts in operating
in increased integration of the Indian economy with              procedures. Developments in various segments of
the global economy, however, posed new challenges                the money market since the mid-1980s are covered
and dilemmas for monetar y and exchange rate                     in Section V. It also discusses the Reserve Bank’s
management in the 1990s. These developments                      proactive role in mitigating various risks to the
called for a greater emphasis on orderly conditions              financial system. Section VI identifies the emerging
in financial markets for ensuring financial stability.           issues in monetary and liquidity management in India
In this phase, the focus of reforms was on introducing           and the need for addressing them in future for the
instruments of various maturities in different money             smooth functioning of the money market and the
market segments and imparting liquidity to these                 efficient conduct of monetary policy. Section VII
instruments by developing a secondary market, and                presents the concluding observations.

                                                            68
MONEY MARKET




I.   ROLE OF THE MONEY MARKET -                                  bank money in the banking system, which is
     THEORETICAL UNDERPINNINGS                                   determined by the supply of bank reserves. If all
                                                                 factors having an impact on output and inflation were
3.9       There is a general consensus among
                                                                 completely known in advance, it would make no
academics and central bankers that monetary policy
                                                                 difference whether the central bank conducts policy
is best geared to achieve price stability. In some
                                                                 by fixing the supply of reserves or by setting an
countries, central banks have additional mandates
                                                                 interest rate (Friedman, 2000b). In fact, these
such as ensuring full employment, maximising growth
                                                                 alternative operating strategies would be similar in
and promoting financial stability. In order to meet these
                                                                 impact. However, since many factors that impact the
objectives, central banks intervene in financial
                                                                 central bank’s policy priorities are unpredictable, the
markets to ensure that short-term interest rates (and
                                                                 choice of the operating instrument matters for the
exchange rates) and liquidity are maintained at
                                                                 effectiveness of monetary policy.
appropriate levels, consistent with the objectives of
monetary policy. Thus, monetary policy and financial             3.12     The theoretical justification for the conduct of
markets are linked intrinsically. It is through the              monetary policy through interest rates is derived from
financial markets that monetary policy affects the real          “the appropriate choice of instrument problem” (Poole,
economy. Hence, financial markets are the connecting             1970). It was demonstrated that if aggregate demand
link in the transmission mechanism between monetary              shocks in the economy originate from the goods
policy and the real economy.                                     market (the IS curve), then the optimum policy is to
3.10     The relationship between monetary policy and            target monetary aggregates for minimising output
financial markets is of mutual inter-dependence.                 fluctuations. On the other hand, if demand shocks
Central banks conduct monetary policy by directly and            originate in the money market (the LM curve), from
indirectly influencing financial market prices. Financial        the perspective of monetary policy, targeting interest
market prices reflect the expectations of market                 rates is the appropriate approach. The implication
participants about future economic developments.                 being that as financial mar kets develop with
These expectations, in tur n, provide valuable                   increasing financial innovations, the demand for
information to central banks in setting the optimal              money becomes unstable, rendering monetar y
course of monetary policy in the future.                         targeting redundant. In other words, with the gradual
                                                                 financial sophistication of the economy, the
3.11     Monetary policy affects financial markets               speculative demand for money dominates the
through various financial price and quantity channels.           transaction motive. Hence, most developed countries
The transmission process from monetary policy to                 operate through an interest rate target.
financial markets and finally to the real economy is
typically triggered through the use of monetary policy           3.13     The interest rate channel is the primary
instruments (reserve requirements, open market                   mechanism of monetar y policy transmission in
operations, policy rates and refinance facilities) for           conventional macroeconomic models where an
controlling the operating targets (like reserve money            increase in nominal interest rates, given some degree
and bank reserves) consistent with intermediate                  of price stickiness, translates into an increase in the
targets such as money supply, which enables                      real rate of interest and the user cost of capital
attainment of final objectives of economic growth and            (Exhibit III.1) . These changes, in turn, lead to a
pr ice stability. Typically, the monetar y policy                postponement in consumption or a reduction in
instrument is a financial market price, which is                 investment spending thereby affecting the working of
directly set or closely controlled by the central bank.          the real sector, viz., changing aggregate demand and
For most central banks with floating exchange rates,             supply, and eventually growth and inflation in the
the monetar y policy instrument is a shor t-term                 economy (Kuttner and Mosser, 2002). This is the
interest rate. Changes in the short-term policy rate             mechanism embodied in conventional specifications
provide signals to financial markets, whereby various            of the “IS” curve, both of the “Old Keynesian” variety
segments of the financial system respond by                      (Samuelson and Solow, 1960) and the “New Keynesian”
adjusting their rates of return on various instruments,          models developed during the 1990s (Rotemberg and
depending on their sensitivity and the efficacy of the           Woodford, 1997; Clarida, Gali, and Gertler, 1999).
transmission mechanism. Under fixed exchange rate                However, the macroeconomic response to policy-
regimes, a particular exchange rate serves as the                induced interest rate changes is considerably larger
instrument. Similarly, under the monetary targeting              than that implied by conventional estimates of the
regime, the operating target is the quantity of central          interest elasticities of consumption and investment

                                                            69
REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE




                              Exhibit III.1: Monetary Policy Transmission through Interest Rate Channel


                                    Monetary Policy Operations (OMO, Reserve Requirements, Refinance)


                                                               Change in Reserves

                     Short-term Interest Rate                                                             Monetary Base



                                                                                                          Money Supply

                                                               Market Interest Rate


                                                                 Real Interest Rate

                                                                            Interest Rate Channel

                                                                Aggregate Demand


    Source: Adapted from Kuttner and Mosser (2002).



(Bernanke and Gertler, 1995). This suggests that                              3.15     Short-term interest rates alone have only
mechanisms, other than the interest rate channel, may                         limited direct effects on the economy. Long-term
also be at work in the transmission of monetary policy1 .                     interest rates have a stronger impact as they
3.14     Interest rates can influence the monetary                            determine savings and investment decisions in the
policymaking process in three distinct ways                                   economy. In order to impact the economy, monetary
(Friedman, 2000a). The first role of interest rates is                        policy impulses must, therefore, be transmitted from
as an instrument variable that the central bank sets                          the money market to the capital market by influencing
in order to implement its chosen policy. A second                             asset prices such as loan rates, bond rates, exchange
potential role for interest rates in the monetary policy                      rates and stock market valuations. The money market
process is again as an instrument variable, but as an                         and the capital market are linked by expectations.
instrument that the central bank varies not for                               Neglecting transaction costs and risk premiums, the
influencing output and inflation directly but rather for                      expectations theory of the term structure views the
targeting the money stock. Finally, most central banks                        long-term interest rate as an average of the short-
use short-term interest rate as their monetary policy                         term interest rates expected to prevail till the maturity
instrument variable based on long-term interest rate                          of the respective instrument. Although current short-
movements, which are taken as more of an                                      term interest rates have some effect on longer-term
infor mation var iable about potential future                                 bond yields, the expectations theory of the term
developments. Implicit in this framework, however, is                         structure indicates that it is primarily expected future
a regular term structure of interest rates whereby                            short-term interest rates which determine bond yields.
policy initiatives at the short end are transmitted                           In practice, owing to uncertainty about the future
efficiently to the longer end of the maturity spectrum.                       evolution of short-term interest rates and the time-
This relationship fares better under the assumption                           varying risk premiums, the longer the maturity, the
of adaptive expectations (Chow, 1989), while recent                           weaker the link between current short-term rates and
empirical evidence suggests that long-term rates are                          long-term rates. Therefore, in practice, central banks
poor (and biased) predictors of future short-term                             sometimes find it difficult to guide longer-term interest
rates, particularly when expectations are rational                            rates to a level commensurate with what they consider
(Blinder, 2006).                                                              to be the optimal monetary policy stance.

1   The changes in the policy rate, by inducing international interest rate differentials, also have a bearing on exchange rate movements through the
    uncovered interest rate parity condition.



                                                                        70
MONEY MARKET




3.16      Central banks, never theless, operate on              refers to actions taken by the central bank to manage
short-term policy rates, which under a regular term-            the overall level of high-powered money and, through
structure and a smooth market continuum would be                this, to regulate money market conditions (Box III.1).
able to influence long-term interest rates. In order to         The regulation of money market conditions focusses
efficiently transmit monetary policy signals to long-           on offsetting the demand for excess reserves in order
term rates, central banks foster development of the             to avoid large fluctuations in bank reserves causing
money market. The money market, thus, serves as                 volatility in short-term interest rates. Successful
the corner-stone of a competitive and efficient system          market liquidity management requires that the daily
of market-based intervention by the central bank. It            level of excess reserves in the banking system be
stimulates an active secondary bond market by                   close to the level demanded by banks.
reducing the liquidity risk of bonds and other short-
term financial instruments and assists financial                3.19     Theoretically, the speed of transmission of
intermediaries in managing their liquidity risk. It also        policy signals to financial asset prices improves with
ser ves as the medium for Gover nment cash                      derivatives trading as it enables risk sharing across
management and provides the first link in the                   the market as well as reflects the inter-temporal
implementation of monetary policy. There are three              adjustments of financial asset prices to monetary
conditions which are required to be fulfilled for               policy signals. A financial derivative contract derives
developing a well-functioning money market. These               the future price for the underlying asset on the basis
are: (i) banks and other financial institutions must be         of its current price and interest rates. Accordingly, the
commercially motivated to respond to incentives,                efficient pricing of derivatives is contingent upon an
actively manage risk and maximise profit; (ii) the              active and liquid market for the underlying asset. As
central bank must shift from direct to indirect methods         the informational content of the market is reflected in
of implementing monetar y policy; and (iii) the                 prices of derivatives, there is a case for using
Government must have a good mechanism of cash                   derivatives as monetary policy instruments. It is,
management, thereby giving the central bank greater             however, noted that central banks do not use
freedom in setting its operating procedures.                    derivative instruments actively for monetary policy
                                                                purposes as they are normally considered to be risky
3.17     The central bank’s operating procedures
                                                                and uncertain. Furthermore, the impact of derivatives
greatly influence the stability of the money market as
                                                                trading on the real economy remains ambiguous (Gray
well as banks’ incentives to actively use the money
market to manage risk. In this regard, operating                and Place, 2001). Der ivatives, however, are
procedures need to be designed appropriately to                 increasingly becoming a useful tool for r isk
promote market liquidity, stability and encourage               management in financial markets.
active risk management. The operating procedures                3.20    To sum up, the interest rate channel has
that particularly influence banks’ risk management              emerged as a key channel of monetar y policy
incentives are the reserve maintenance period, the              transmission mechanism. Although the central bank
definition of liabilities on which reserves are levied,         can directly influence mainly shor t-ter m rates,
accommodation policy and the accuracy of operations             effective transmission of policy signals requires a
designed to affect market liquidity - that is, the              proper term structure of interest rates, which is
accuracy with which the central bank can control the            dependent on market par ticipants’ expectations
demand for excess reserves in the system.                       about the future movements in policy rates. A well-
3.18     Development of liquidity in the inter-bank             functioning money market is, therefore, essential for
market - the market for short-term lending/borrowing            conducting indirect, market-based monetary policy
amongst banks - provides the basis for growth and               operations and for providing the liquidity necessary
increased liquidity in the broader money market,                for the market in government securities and private
including secondary market for Treasury Bills and               sector bonds. By careful management of liquidity
private sector money market instruments. While the              conditions, the central bank can realise its monetary
central bank’s liquidity management operations                  policy objectives and encourage money market
encompass discretionary injections or withdrawals of            transactions while ensuring stable market conditions.
primary money from the financial system at its own              A vital element for conducting effective monetary
initiative, its accommodation policy comprises                  policy is knowledge of Government cash flows,
operations to meet the demand for liquidity from                which, like central bank’s open market operations,
market participants. Market liquidity management                also affect bank’s reserve balances.

                                                           71
REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE




                                                   Box III.1
                      Role of the Money Market in the Monetary Transmission Mechanism

The money market forms the first and foremost link in the               (rise) to the level at which banks collectively are willing to
transmission of monetary policy impulses to the real                    hold all of the reserves that the central bank has supplied
economy. Policy interventions by the central bank along                 will the financial system reach equilibrium. Hence, an
with its market operations influence the decisions of                   “expansionary” (contractionary) open market operation
households and fir ms through the monetar y policy                      creates downward (upward) pressure on short-term interest
transmission mechanism. The key to this mechanism is                    rates not only because the central bank itself is a buyer
the total claim of the economy on the central bank,                     (seller), but also because it leads banks to buy (sell)
commonly known as the monetary base or high-powered                     securities. In this way, the central bank can easily influence
money in the economy. Among the constituents of the                     interest rates on short-term debt instruments. In the
monetary base, the most important constituent is bank                   presence of a regular term structure of interest rates and
reserves, i.e., the claims that banks hold in the form of               without market segmentation, such policy impulses get
deposits with the central bank. The banks’ need for these               transmitted to the longer end of the maturity spectrum,
reserves depends on the overall level of economic activity.             thereby influencing long-term interest rates, which have a
This is governed by several factors: (i) banks hold such                bearing on household’s consumption and savings decisions
reserves in proportion to the volume of deposits in many                and hence on aggregate demand.
countries, known as reserve requirements, which influence
their ability to extend credit and create deposits, thereby             There are alternative mechanisms of achieving the same
limiting the volume of transactions to be handled by the                objective through the imposition of reserve requirements
bank; (ii) bank’s ability to make loans (asset of the bank)             and central bank lending to banks in the form of refinance
depends on its ability to mobilise deposits (liability of the           facilities. Lowering (increasing) the reserve requirement,
bank) as total assets and liabilities of the bank need to               and, therefore, reducing (increasing) the demand for
match and expand/contract together; and (iii) banks’ need               reserves has roughly the same impact as an expansionary
to hold balances at the central bank for settlement of claims           (contractionary) open market operation, which increases
within the banking system as these transactions are settled             (decreases) the supply of reserves creating downward
through the accounts of banks maintained with the central               (upward) pressure on interest rates. Similarly, another way
bank. Therefore, the daily functioning of a modern economy              in which central banks can influence the supply of reserves
and its financial system creates a demand for central bank              is through direct lending of reserves to banks. Central
reserves which increases along with an expansion in                     banks lend funds to banks at a policy rate, which usually
overall economic activity (Friedman, 2000b).                            acts as the ceiling in the short-term market. Similarly,
                                                                        central banks absorb liquidity at a rate which acts as the
The central bank’s power to conduct monetary policy stems               floor for short-term market interest rates. This is important,
from its role as a monopolist, as the sole supplier of bank             since injecting liquidity at the ceiling rate would ensure
reserves, in the market for bank reserves. The most                     that banks do not have access to these funds for arbitrage
common procedure by which central banks influence the                   opportunities whereby they borrow from the central bank
outstanding supply of bank reserves is through “open                    and deploy these funds in the market to earn higher interest
mar ket operations” – that is, by buying or selling                     rates. Similarly, liquidity absorption by the central bank has
government securities in the market. When a central bank                to be at the floor rate since deployment of funds with the
buys (sells) securities, it credits (debits) the reserve account        central bank is free of credit and other risks. Typically, the
of the seller (buyer) bank. This increases (decreases) the              objective of the central bank is to modulate liquidity
total volume of reserves that the banking system collectively           conditions by pegging short-term interest rates within this
holds. Expansion (contraction) of the total volume of                   corridor.
reserves in this way matters because banks can exchange
reserves for other remunerative assets. Since reserves earn             While the above mechanism outlines how central banks
low interest, and in many countries remain unremunerated,               can influence short-term interest rates by adjusting the
banks typically would exchange them for some interest                   quantity of bank reserves, the same objective can be
bearing asset such as Treasury Bill or other short-term debt            achieved by picking on a particular short-term interest rate
instruments. If the banking system has excess (inadequate)              and then adjusting the supply of reserves commensurate
reserves, banks would seek to buy (sell) such instruments.              with that rate. In many countries, this is achieved by
If there is a general increase (decrease) in demand for                 targeting the overnight inter-bank lending rate and
securities, it would result in increase (decline) in security           adjusting the level of reserves which would keep the inter-
prices and decline (increase) in interest rates. The resulting          bank lending rate at the desired level. Thus, by influencing
lower (higher) interest rates on short-term debt instruments            short-term interest rates, central banks can influence
mean a reduced (enhanced) opportunity cost of holding                   output and inflation in the economy, the ultimate objectives
low interest reserves. Only when market interest rates fall             of monetary policy.



                                                                   72
MONEY MARKET




II.    OPERATING PROCEDURES AND MONEY                                        targets in several countries, thereby prompting many
       MARKET - INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE                                     central banks to adopt a multiple indicator approach.
                                                                             Under this approach, many central banks such as the
3.21     The objectives, targets and operating                               US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and
procedures of monetary policy worldwide have                                 the Bank of Japan regularly monitor a number of
witnessed considerable shifts in tune with the                               macroeconomic indicators such as prices, output
evolution of monetary theory, central banking regimes                        gaps, and developments in asset, credit and other
and the changing macroeconomic conditions over                               financial markets, which have a bearing on price
time. By the 1970s, most central banks came to accept                        stability.
price stability as a key objective of monetary policy -
a departure from the earlier prominence given to                             3.23    Some EMEs such as Russia and China
growth and employment objectives. In recent years,                           continue to specify intermediate targets in the form
beyond the traditional growth-inflation trade-off,                           of monetary aggregates. Some other countries such
financial stability has emerged as another key                               as Indonesia, however, use indicative monetary
objective in the wake of growing financial market                            targets more as an important information variable,
integration and associated uncertainty and volatility                        supplementing it with other indicators of developments
arising out of contagion. Although a number of central                       in financial mar kets and the real economy.
banks in developed countries such as the Reserve                             Furthermore, along with the adoption of inflation
Bank of New Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia and                           targeting by many EME central banks, there has been
the Bank of England have adopted price stability as                          an increasing focus on the interest rate channel of
their sole objective by adopting an inflation targeting                      the monetary transmission process.
framework, several other countries, viz., the US and
Japan continue to pursue dual objectives of price
stability and growth. Similarly, while some emerging                         Operating Targets
market economies (EMEs) such as South Africa,                                3.24    The process of monetar y policy
Thailand, Korea and Mexico have emphasised solely                            implementation is guided mainly by the choice of
price stability by adopting an inflation targeting                           operating targets. Notwithstanding the policy
framework, some others tend to follow multiple                               objectives, the critical issue facing the monetary
objectives.                                                                  authorities is to strike a balance in the short-run
                                                                             between instruments and targets. In recent years, a
Monetary Policy Frameworks                                                   certain degree of consensus has emerged both in the
Intermediate Targets                                                         industrialised countries and EMEs to use market-
                                                                             oriented instruments, driven mainly by the rapid
3.22     As central banks could not always directly                          development and deepening of various financial
target the ultimate objective, monetary policy focussed                      market segments, the diversification of financial
on intermediate targets that bear close relationship                         institutions and the globalisation of financial
with the final objective. The selection of intermediate                      intermediation (Van’t dack,1999).
targets is conditional on the channels of monetary
policy transmission that operate in the economy. The                         3.25    With the gradual development and
process of rapid disintermediation sparked off by a                          sophistication of money markets in a deregulated
spate of financial innovations during the 1980s began                        regime, there has been a shift from Keynesian growth-
to impact the monetary targeting framework (Solans,                          and full-employment-or iented monetar y policy
2003). Accordingly, with money demand becoming                               operating on monetary aggregates to an inflation-
unstable, central banks began to modulate aggregate                          oriented monetary policy operating on interest rates.
demand by targeting interest rates. As a result, central                     With the growing sophistication of markets, the
                                                      2
banks in the US (1992) and Japan (1994-2001) ,                               traditional dirigiste, direct control approach to
among others, adopted inter-bank rates as                                    monetary policy has become obsolete, while indirect
intermediate targets. Financial liberalisation, however,                     mar ket oriented approach has gained greater
has reduced the importance of explicit intermediate                          acceptance (Forssbaeck and Oxelheim, 2003).


 2    The Bank of Japan shifted to quantitative easing policy since March 2001 but again decided on March 9, 2006 to change the operating target
      from the outstanding balances of current accounts at the Bank to the uncollateralised overnight call rate.



                                                                       73
REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE




3.26     Among the two operating procedures, viz.,                standing facilities to define an interest rate corridor.
through bank reserves and interest rates, the focus               Most of these countries steer the overnight rates
has increasingly shifted towards the latter since the             within a corridor - lower bound (floor) set by the
early 1990s due to the broader changes that took                  deposit facility and upper bound (ceiling) represented
place in the economic environment (Borio, 1997). The              by the lending facility. These corridors are normally
trend reflects the growing role played by interest rates          considerably wide, allowing for the significant flexibility
in the transmission mechanism as markets develop                  in the movement of both policy and overnight rates
in a deregulated environment. The sharper focus on                (Borio, op.cit). With regard to the frequency of interest
interest rates as the operating target has gone hand              rate adjustments, most central banks prefer a policy
in hand with a tendency to move towards targeting                 of small and gradual changes.
short-term interest rates. As a corollary, the overnight
rate has emerged as the most commonly pursued                     Operating Procedures
operating target in the conduct of monetary policy.
Hence, the focus has been concentrated on money                   3.30      The operating procedures of liquidity
markets for transmitting monetary policy signals. The             management have also changed in response to the
targeting of short-term interest rates is fully consistent        changes in the policy environment amidst financial
with a market oriented approach whereby information               liberalisation. The literature and the central banks’ own
about the expectations of future movements in interest            accounts attribute five main reasons for reform in their
rates is extracted from the prevailing market rates.              operating procedures in the industrial countries during
                                                                  the 1980s and the 1990s (Mehran et al., 1996 and
3.27    Although countries differ in terms of the                 Forssbaeck and Oxelheim, op cit). First, monetary
choice of instruments, they could be broadly classified           policy instruments were changed to adapt to the new
on the basis of their key operating targets (interest             operational frameworks of the respective monetary
rates) (Annex III.1). In the first category are countries         author ities. Second, with financial deepening
such as the US, Japan, Canada and Australia, where                occurring more or less entirely outside the central
the key operating target is the overnight inter-bank              banks’ balance sheets, the share of the financial
rate although the signalling strategies differ. In the            system over which monetary authorities had direct
case of other developed countries such as the ECB,                control was reduced, warranting indirect (price-
the key policy rate is the tender rate that is applicable         oriented as opposed to quantity-oriented instruments)
to regular operations, mainly, the refinancing                    ways to control the non-monetary components of
operations. Some central banks, however, in countries             liquidity in the financial system. Third, in the wake of
such as the UK, select overnight market interest rates            expansion, diversification and integration of financial
as their operating target consistent with the official            markets all over the world, greater interest rate
Bank Rate decided by the MPC. In general, the                     flexibility and narrowing of differentials between rates
maturity of such interest rates varies from 1 to 2 weeks          of return in different currencies warranted instruments
but could range between 1 or 2 days to 1-month.                   that can impart flexibility to liquidity management in
3.28    The operating target in the case of several               terms of the timing, magnitude and accuracy. Fourth,
EMEs also is the overnight rate - determined in the               the growing importance of expectations in financial
inter-bank market for settlement balances (Korea and              markets favoured the adoption of instruments that are
Malaysia) (Annex III.2). In order to promote financial            better suited for signalling the stance of monetary
stability, central banks, being the monopolistic                  policy. Finally, there was a growing urge on the part
suppliers of primary liquidity, have endeavoured to               of central banks to stimulate money market activity
smoothen the movements in the overnight rate with a               and improve monetary policy transmission while
high degree of precision through calibrated                       emphasising the separation of monetar y and
modulation of bank reserves. Central banks have                   Government debt management objectives.
generally refrained from strict control of interest rates
                                                                  3.31     As a result of the changes in the policy
as it deters the development of money markets.
                                                                  environment, the following trends could be observed
Allowing the volatility in the overnight rate to absorb
                                                                  at the international level, particularly during the 1990s
temporary pressure could enable central banks to
                                                                  (Borio, op.cit and Van’t dack, op.cit). First, there has
preserve stability in other money market segments.
                                                                  been a continuous reduction in reserve requirements.
3.29    Central banks have used several techniques                The marked international trend towards reduction in
in order to contain the interest rate volatility - the            reserve requirements over the last decade reflects
averaging of reser ve requirements and use of                     the conscious policy effort to reduce the tax on

                                                             74
MONEY MARKET




intermediation with a view to reducing the burden of                          become ‘safety valves’ rather than the key
institutions and generate a level playing field, both                         mechanisms for setting the interest rate. They are
between different types of domestic institutions and                          operated at the margin in order to bridge temporary
increasingly those across national borders. Although                          mismatches in liquidity. In the case of EMEs also,
the fluctuations in liquidity levels engendered by                            there has been a movement away from standing
autonomous factors could be modulated through the                             facilities. With the development and integration of new
buffer stock property of reserve requirements and                             financial markets, bank intermediation became less
through active liquidity management by means of                               dominant as households parked a part of their savings
discretionary operations3, internationally, the general                       outside the banking sector. As a result, enterprises
downward trend in reserve ratios has been shifting                            increasingly started tapping non-bank sources of
the balance towards liquidity activism. This has also                         funding. Consequently, aggregate spending became
been made possible by the increase in excess                                  sensitive to more than just bank-determined interest
maintenance of reserves whereby banks circumvent                              rates as policy induced changes in interest rates also
the impact of changes in reserve requirements.                                influenced demand through the wealth effect of asset
                                                                              prices. Accordingly, the asset channel of monetary
3.32     Central banks in EMEs tend to use reserve                            transmission, which focusses on developing new
requirements to offset autonomous influences on bank                          instruments and procedures for influencing financial
liquidity more frequently than in developed countries.                        market expectations and behaviour, has gained added
While reserve requirements play a different role in                           importance.
EMEs than in developed countries, there has been a
convergence towards lower levels while                                        3.35    Third, among the wide array of monetary
deemphasising their role as active instruments of                             policy instruments, repos have almost become the
monetary control. Thus, in recent years, reserve                              main policy tool, which could be considered a major
requirements have been giving way to a more market                            milestone in the development of money markets.
oriented approach of impounding liquidity, including                          Countries (including EMEs) have preferred repos
through the issue of central bank paper.                                      more than the outright open market operations
                                                                              because they do not require an underlying market for
3.33     Second, there has been a growing emphasis                            securities and they tend to break the link between
on active liquidity management driven partly by the                           the maturity of the paper and that of the transaction.
pressures of increasingly mobile international capital                        The emergence and subsequent rapid growth of
and decline in reserve requirements. With a view to                           pr ivate repo mar kets in recent years, often
developing money markets by reducing the reliance                             encouraged by the central banks themselves, have
on accommodation from the central bank and in order                           spurred the usage of these instruments.
to impart greater flexibility in interest rate adjustments,
liquidity management has largely been implemented                             3.36     Most EMEs have assigned repos a major role
through discretionary operations at the expense of                            in the day-to-day management of bank reserves. An
standing facilities, particularly since the early 1980s.                      active market for repos and reverse repos has been
As a corollary, central banks have widened the range                          developed in Korea, Mexico and Thailand. The
of instruments used in their market operations,                               underlying eligible assets are mainly government fixed
shortened the maturity of transactions, increased their                       income securities. In the case of thin markets, central
frequency and complemented regular basic                                      banks have responded by widening the range of
refinancing operations with other fine-tuning                                 eligible securities. The central banks of the US, the
operations.                                                                   ECB, the UK, Singapore and Mexico also conduct
                                                                              repo operations involving cor porate bonds as
3.34   The reliance on market operations rather than                          collaterals.
standing facilities for balancing the market for bank
reserves was also necessitated by the need to develop                         3.37    Besides the rapid growth of domestic repo
more flexible and less intrusive implementation                               markets in recent years, repurchase transactions are
procedures. Hence, the main instruments for liquidity                         now easily carried out across national borders also.
management by central banks are discretionary                                 This has been facilitated by the Inter national
                                                                                                                    4
market operations. Conversely, standing facilities have                       Securities Market Association (ISMA) , which plays

3   Discretionary operations include purchase/ sale of securities or more often reverse transactions in domestic or foreign currency.
4
    Since July 2005, ISMA merged with Primary Market Association to become the International Capital Market Association.



                                                                        75
REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE




an important role by establishing uniform trading                 reluctance to conduct outright transactions in the
procedures in the international bond markets. This has            government securities market.
helped large banks/other financial institutions to cover
short-term liquidity mismatches. Accordingly, the                 3.41     Although country practices vary, the operating
international financial system has experienced an                 procedures of monetary policy of most central banks
increase in global integration. It is widely believed that        are beginning to converge to one of the variants of
the growth of the collateralised repo market has                  the three-closely related paradigms. The first set of
played an important role in enhancing the overall                 central banks, including the US Federal Reserve,
stability of the financial system by removing                     estimate the demand for bank reserves and then carry
counterparty risks through funded credit protection               out open market operations to target short-term
against risky transactions in unsecured wholesale                 interest rates, especially if their financial markets are
financial markets (Joshi, 2005).                                  deep enough to transmit changes at the short end to
                                                                  the longer end of the term structure. A second set of
3.38     Four th, greater flexibility in liquidity                central banks such as in Russia and Mexico estimate
management has been accompanied by a greater                      market liquidity and carry out open market operations
transparency in the policy signals relating to desired            to target bank reserves, while allowing interest rates
interest rate levels, driven by the broader changes in            to adjust, especially if their credit channels are
the economic and political environment, including the             strong. In the third category, a growing number of
decline in inflation to relatively low levels, growing            central banks including the European Central Bank
emphasis on inflation targeting, greater autonomy and             (ECB) and a large number of inflation targeters
accountability of central banks and growing influence             modulate monetary conditions in terms of both the
of market forces and expectations in the formation of             quantum and price of liquidity through a mix of open
interest rates. The main structural factors shaping               market operations (OMOs), standing facilities and
policy implementation are also induced by the                     minimum reserve requirements and changes in the
changes in payment and settlement systems,                        policy rate but do not announce pre-set money or
particularly, the broad-based introduction of real time           interest rate targets.
gross settlement system.
                                                                  3.42    These developments together with the
Central Bank Operations                                           growing integration of markets have warranted
                                                                  accurate forecasts of liquidity, par ticularly the
3.39     With regard to market operations, most                   autonomous supply of bank reserves and its demand
central banks conduct at least one transaction at a               by the banking system. The operations of central
regular interval in order to meet the basic liquidity             banks have become critically contingent on these
needs of the system. The other complementary                      forecasts. The features of the forecasting process vary
operations that take place are calibrated responses               significantly across the countries, reflecting their
to day-to-day mar ket conditions, fine-tuning                     operating frameworks of monetary policy. Several
operations providing liquidity over longer horizons (the          EMEs also conduct forecasts on a regular basis with
US and Japan) and mopping up of excess liquidity                  planning horizons ranging from one day to several
with a view to inducing ex ante liquidity shortage (the           months.
UK). The maturity of these operations is usually
relatively short for key operations, shorter for day-to-          3.43    Regarding the number of instruments, country
day calibration and longer for other operations.                  practices differ widely. Central banks in countries such
                                                                  as Canada conduct one or two type of operations at
3.40     In some countries, outright transactions also
                                                                  the most, which are sufficient for liquidity
play a role. For instance, in the US, periodic purchases
                                                                  management, whereas central banks in Japan and
and sales of government securities are used as
                                                                  the UK rely on a broad range of operations. The range
permanent additions/withdrawals of reserves. In
                                                                  of underlying securities traded and collateral accepted
Japan, the central bank regular ly purchases
                                                                  is broad in Japan and several European countries,
government bonds to supply the base money. In the
                                                                  including various types of public and private claims.
case of EMEs, outright transactions in the secondary
                                                                  Conversely, in the US, New Zealand and Australia,
markets remain important instruments, particularly to
                                                                  central banks operate on the basis of public sector
offset structural liquidity surpluses/shortages. In
                                                                  assets.
recent years, however, there has been an increasing
trend towards allowing greater leeway to market forces            3.44   The choice of counter par ties var ies
in determining the interest rates. Hence, there is                substantially across the countries. For instance, in

                                                             76
MONEY MARKET




the US, the Fed deals only with a restricted group of          securities in excess of the fiscal requirements and
primary dealers. In the UK, each market operation              parks the surplus funds with the Monetary Authority
and standing facility has a specific set of                    of Singapore (MAS) as deposits, thus, supplementing
counterparties. There is a wide range of counterparties        its draining operations. Countries such as Malaysia,
in different countries. For instance, only banks act as        Thailand and Indonesia have modulated excess
counterparties in Mexico, while in Korea apart from            liquidity in the financial system by diverting government/
banks, merchant banks, investment/trust companies              public sector deposits from the commercial banking
and securities companies also act as counterparties.           system to the central bank.
While level playing field considerations may favour
                                                               3.47      To sum up, some lessons emerge from the
many counterparties, efficiency considerations may
                                                               international experience on liquidity management of
call for a system of primary dealers. If the domestic
                                                               both developed and emerging market economies.
securities markets are not deep, central banks
                                                               First, with the deepening of financial markets and the
engage in foreign exchange swaps for liquidity
                                                               growth of non-bank intermediaries, central banks
management purposes (South Africa and Thailand).
                                                               need to increase the market orientation of their
3.45    Most central banks, thus, prefer open market           instruments. A large proportion of reserves is supplied
operations (OMO) as a tool of monetary policy, which           through open market operations with standing
allow them to adjust market liquidity and influence            facilities being limited to providing marginal
the interest rate structure across tenors through an           accommodation or emergency finance. Furthermore,
auction mechanism in which market participants are             high reserve requirements tend to inhibit inter-bank
able to bid their preferences. The particular form of          activity. Similarly, easy and cheap access to central
operations such as outright transactions in eligible           bank standing facilities impedes proactive liquidity
securities, repos and sometimes standing deposit/              management by banks.
lending facility, often depend on the specific
                                                               3.48    Second, in view of growing complexities of
macroeconomic conditions and the existing legal
                                                               monetary management, monetary policy formulation
framework of the country.
                                                               has been guided by a number of macroeconomic
                                                               indicators rather than a single intermediate nominal
Government’s Surplus Cash Balances                             anchor.
3.46      Government’s large surplus cash balances             3.49      Third, the growing impor tance and the
held with the central bank can have a significant              flexibility of financial market price and its transmission
impact on liquidity in the banking system (and                 mechanism in a deregulated environment
thereby could have a bearing on short-term interest            necessitated central banks to focus increasingly on
rates) necessitating active management of such                 interest rates rather than bank reserves in liquidity
surplus balances. Accordingly, arrangements which              management. Central banks need to ensure smooth
facilitate transfer of surplus funds from Government’s         trend in interest rates for several reasons. For
account to deficit participants in the system could            instance, volatile interest rates can obscure policy
help in better management of liquidity. Such                   signals, while more orderly market conditions promote
arrangements not only enable the Governments to                a rapid and predictable transmission of monetary
earn better returns on the cash balances, but also             policy impulses. Less volatile interest rates may also
mitigate volatility in short-term interest rates and           help financial institutions to better assess and manage
keep overnight money market rates stable. The                  their market risks. Market participants benefit from
cross-country practices on such arrangements vary              stable rates through stabilisation of expectations,
widely. For instance, while the cash balances of the           which, in turn, promote the development of a term
Central Government are auctioned (competitively)               structure in the money market.
on a daily basis in Canada, all government balances
                                                               3.50    Fourth, with reduced market segmentation
are maintained with their respective central banks
                                                               and the greater ease and speed with which interest
in Japan and Italy. In the US and France, a significant
                                                               rate changes are transmitted across the entire term
working balance is maintained with their central
                                                               structure, central banks need to focus on the very
banks while amounts beyond the targeted balance
                                                               short end of the yield curve, where their actions tend
are invested in the market. Such surplus balances
                                                               to have the maximum impact.
have also been effectively used as an instrument of
sterilisation by many central banks. The Government            3.51     Fifth, the greater market orientation of the
of Singapore, for instance, issues government                  central banks’ policy instruments has been associated

                                                          77
REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE




with a preference for flexible instruments. In volatile              term credit instruments, futures market instruments
financial conditions, most notably in the EMEs, the                  and the Federal Reserve’s discount window (Annex
flexibility in the design of policy instruments has                  III.3). These are generally characterised by a high
emerged as a key consideration.                                      degree of safety of principal and are most commonly
                                                                     issued in units of US $1 million or more. Treasury Bills
3.52    Finally, the growing awareness of the                        issued by the US Treasury and the securities issued
importance of market psychology and expectations                     by the State and Local Governments have the largest
has warranted greater transparency in the conduct                    volume outstanding and constitute the most active
of monetar y policy with special emphasis on                         secondar y mar ket amongst all money mar ket
communication policy for conveying the stance and                    instruments (MMIs) in the US. A key feature of most
rationale of policy decisions.                                       State and local securities is that the interest income
                                                                     is generally exempt from federal income taxes, which
Structure of the Money Market                                        makes them particularly attractive to investors in high
Instruments                                                          income tax brackets. Non-financial and non-bank
                                                                     financial businesses raise funds in the money market
3.53     In view of the rapid changes on account of                  primarily by issuing commercial paper (CP) - a short-
financial deregulation and global financial markets                  term unsecured promissory note. In recent years, an
integration, central banks in several countries have                 increasing number of firms have gained access to this
striven to develop and deepen the money markets by                   market, and issue of CPs has grown at a rapid pace.
enlarging the ambit of instruments5 and participants                 The outstanding CPs is expected to increase to US $
so as to improve the transmission channels of                        2.17 trillion in 2007. Besides conventional instruments,
monetary policy. The structure of money markets                      money market futures and options have also become
determines the type of instruments that are feasible                 popular in the US money market in the recent period.
for the conduct of monetary management. Evidence
and experience indicate that preference for market-                  3.56     Similarly in the UK, the money market has
oriented instruments by the monetary authorities                     emerged as a mechanism for short-term funding
helps to promote broader market development                          through the issuance of money market instruments
(Forssbaeck and Oxelheim, op cit).                                   or an active fixed-term cash deposit market. It is
                                                                     principally sterling-based but also covers a wide range
3.54      The diminishing role of quantitative controls              of other currencies. The Government, the banking
and search for alternatives gave rise to three major                 sector and industry are among those who raise
mar ket-or iented instr uments, viz., shor t-ter m                   resources from the money market through the
securities, repurchase operations and swaps. These                   issuance of Treasury Bills, certificates of deposit
instruments prompted the central banks to create,                    (CDs) and bills of exchange (BE)/CPs, respectively.
stimulate and support the development of markets                     Besides, Acceptances and Local Authority Bills also
particularly, inter-bank deposit market and short-term               act as MMIs. Commercial bills include bank acceptance
securities market. In the absence of an efficient inter-             and trade paper. Both overseas and inland trade is
bank market, there was a pressing need for the central               financed by bank acceptances. Much of the lending in
banks to create adequate instruments to absorb                       the market takes place overnight. The bulk (90 per cent)
liquidity and stimulate the formation of markets for                 of the MMIs held are CDs and the rest are BEs, Treasury
alternative short-term assets. The emergence of the                  Bills and CPs.
short-term securities market added a new dimension to
                                                                     3.57    In the Euro system, during the course of the
liquidity management by central banks. In the absence
                                                                     1990s, repurchase transactions were adopted as a
of outright transactions in the securities market, the
                                                                     main liquidity management instrument in Denmark
existence of a liquid securities segment in the money
                                                                     (1992), Sweden (1994), Austria (1995), Finland (mid-
market is often believed to facilitate the central bank’s
                                                                     1990s), Switzerland (1998) and then in the whole Euro
operations by providing collateral to repurchase
                                                                     system since its inception (1999). Several countries
agreements and similar collateralised transactions.
                                                                     such as Austria, the Netherlands and Denmark, in
3.55    Among developed countries, the money                         the absence of adequate liquid short-term markets,
market in the US encompasses a large group of short-                 came to rely on foreign exchange operations

5   Money market instruments facilitate transfer of large sums of money quickly and at a low cost from one economic unit (business,
    government, banks, non-banks and others) to another for relatively short periods of time.



                                                                78
MONEY MARKET




(particularly swaps) for liquidity management. In addition          Certificates. Moreover, in Thailand, other bonds such
to marketable debt instruments, non-marketable debt                 as Financial Institution Development Fund Bonds and
instruments and even some equities are eligible for repos.          Government Guaranteed State Enterprise Bonds are
These are of two types, viz., Tier-1 fulfilling uniform euro        used for repo operations. Foreign exchange swap is
area-wide eligibility criteria of ECB and Tier-2, subject           another instrument that the Bank of Thailand uses to
to the eligible criteria specified by the national central          influence liquidity conditions in the money market.
banks and the ECB.
3.58     In Japan, the most active money market                     Tenor
segment involves very short-term transactions, which                3.61     In the US, although maturities of MMIs range
include the borrowing and lending of funds in the call              from one day to one year, the maturity of most
market with or without collateral; the sale and                     common instruments is three months or less. In the
purchase of short-term securities such as CPs, CDs                  UK, the main items in “period money” are borrowed
and short-term government bills such as Treasury                    for 1 and 3 months, but banks may also borrow for a
Bills; and repo transactions with government and/                   week or for almost any time up to 12 months. The
municipal securities, government guaranteed bonds,                  CDs issued by the building societies and actively
corporate bonds and foreign government bonds as                     traded by banks and discount houses have an original
eligible collaterals. Purchases of shor t-ter m                     maturity of less than one year (although some CDs
government bills are used most frequently.                          have a maturity of over a year). They are all short-
3.59    In Australia, the list of securities eligible under         term bearer negotiable debt instruments that are
the Intra-day Repurchase Agreement Facility                         either issued at a discount or bear a coupon. In the
(introduced in 1998) has been broadened to cover                    case of ECB, the maturity of refinancing operations
several other instr uments. These include                           ranges from 1-week to 3-months and for debt
commonwealth gover nment secur ities (CGS),                         securities up to 12- months. Japan’s tenor for its repo
domestic debt securities and discount instruments                   is in the range of 1 week to 6-months. In Canada, the
issued by the central borrowing authorities of State                maturity of Treasury Bills ranges from 1-month to 1-
and Territory Governments (permitted in 1997), and                  year and that of money market STRIPS up to 18
bank bills and CDs issued by select banks and select                months and Government guaranteed CPs from 1-
debt securities of approved supranational institutions              month to 1-year.
and foreign Governments. At the other end of the                    3.62     In other countries also, money market
spectrum, Canadian MMIs comprise short-term papers                  instruments are mostly short-term in nature – with
of maturity up to 18 months that are issued by the                  tenor being generally less than a year. In most
Government, banks and corporations and are available                countries, call money transactions and the repurchase
in the US and Canadian dollars. MMIs mainly comprise                agreements serve as the shorter duration segment
Treasury Bills and money market strips issued and                   of money markets. The tenor of Treasury Bills is of
guaranteed by the Government of Canada. There are                   nor mally 91-day, 182-day and 364-day. Market
also Government guaranteed CPs, which are short-term                Stabilisation Bonds in Korea even have 546-day
promissory notes issued by the Crown Corporations                   maturity period. In the case of certain instruments
such as Canadian Wheat Board and the Federal                        such as negotiable certificates of deposit (NCDs),
Business Development Bank. The other MMIs include                   tenor may be as long as five years also.
Treasury Bills and promissory notes issued by the
Provincial Governments, bankers’ acceptances issued                 Participants
by corporations with an unconditional guarantee of a
                                                                    3.63     The major participants in the US money market
major Canadian chartered bank and CPs issued by the
                                                                    are commercial banks, Governments, corporations,
major corporations.
                                                                    Government-sponsored enterprises, money market
3.60    In several other EMEs such as Russia, South                 mutual funds, futures market exchanges, brokers and
Africa, China, Malaysia and Korea, the main money                   dealers and the Fed. Commercial banks are the major
market instruments are government Treasury Bills,                   participants in the market for federal funds, which are
repurchase agreements, bankers’ acceptances, CPs                    very short-term, mainly overnight. Banks act as
and CDs. In countries such as Thailand and Indonesia,               dealers in the money market for over-the-counter
central banks have aimed to expand the range of                     interest rate derivatives, which has grown rapidly in
instruments by issuing their own bonds/certificates,                recent years. The Federal Reserve is also a key
viz., Bank of Thailand Bonds and Bank of Indonesia                  participant in the US money market.

                                                               79
REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE




3.64     Another important group of participants in the                    3.68    In most other countries, commercial banks,
US money markets include money market mutual                               central banks, regional banks, specialised banks,
funds and local Government investment pools. These                         investment and finance companies, merchant banking
pools, which were virtually non-existent before the                        corporations, investment trust companies, insurance
mid-1970s, have grown to be one of the largest                             companies, securities finance corporations, credit
financial intermediaries in the US. A distinct feature                     insurance funds and business enterprises are the
of the US money market is that there are groups of                         major participants in the money market.
privately owned financial intermediaries sponsored by
the Government who raise the funds and channel                             III. MONEY MARKET IN INDIA – UP TO THE
them to farming and housing sectors of the economy.                             MID-1980s
3.65    In the UK, trading in the money market takes                       3.69     The Indian money market prior to the 1980s
place on an over-the-counter (OTC) basis for the                           was characterised by paucity of instruments, lack of
same day settlement. The money market attracts a                           depth and dichotomy in the market structure. The
wide range of participants such as the Government,                         money market consisted of the inter-bank call market,
banking sector, industry and financial institutions such                   Treasury Bills, commercial bills and participation
as pension funds. The Bank of England and the UK                           certificates. Historically, the call money market has
Debt Management Office also make use of the money                          constituted the core of the money market structure in
market on a daily basis to fulfil their official obligations.              India due to lack of other instruments and strict
Participants in the UK inter-bank market comprise the                      regulations on interest rates and participation.
whole of the banking community (including the
discount houses) and non-bank institutions (such as                        3.70     In the call/notice money market, overnight
building societies) and the market is served by a                          money and money at short notice (up to a period of
number of money market brokers.                                            14 days) are lent and borrowed without collateral. This
                                                                           market enables banks to bridge their short-term
3.66      In the Euro system, the ECB, national central                    liquidity mismatches arising out of their day-to-day
banks, the Governments and the eligible credit                             operations. The call money market in India was purely
institutions participate in the money market. Similarly,                   an inter-bank market until 1971 when the erstwhile
in Australia, the Central Government, State and                            Unit Tr ust of India (UTI) and Life Insurance
Territorial Gover nments, the Reser ve Bank of                             Corporation (LIC) of India were allowed to participate
Australia, banks, Gover nment agencies, other                              as lenders. The interest rate in the call money market
Gover nments of the Commonwealth and                                       was freely determined by the market till December
supranational institutions are the major participants.                     1973. However, as call money rates increased sharply
In the case of Canada, the participants include both                       to touch 25-30 per cent, the Indian Banks’ Association
Federal and Provincial Governments, banks, major                           (IBA) instituted an administered system of interest
Crown Corporations such as Canadian Wheat Board                            rates by imposing a ceiling interest rate of 15 per cent
and Federal Business Development Bank.                                     in December 1973 so as to maintain systemic stability
3.67      In Japan, business units of Japanese and                         and quell any abnormal rise in the call rates. The
non-Japanese banks located in Japan participate in                         ceiling was subject to several revisions but there were
the uncollateralised money market to raise funds. The                      several instances of violation of the ceiling rates
major participants in the uncollateralised overnight                       through other means (like buy-back arrangements)
call money market are the city banks which have the                        during phases of tight liquidity.
largest share as borrowers, while regional banks act                       3.71     Treasur y Bills constituted the main
as major lenders. The other participants include                           instr ument of shor t-ter m borrowing by the
institutional investors such as investment trusts, trust                   Government and served as a convenient gilt-edged
banks, regional banks, life insurance companies,                           security for the money market. The characteristics
specialised money market brokers and Keito 6 . The                         of high liquidity, absence of default risk and negligible
counterparties of the Bank of Japan include banks,                         capital depreciation of Treasury Bills made them
securities companies, security finance companies and                       another attractive instr ument for shor t-ter m
money market brokers (Tanshi companies).                                   investment by banks and other financial institutions.

6   Keito is a central financing organisation for financial co-operatives such as small and medium sized businesses, agriculture, forestry, and
    fishery co-operatives.



                                                                      80
MONEY MARKET




The Reser ve Bank, being the banker to the                        banks. The prevalence of administered structure in
Government, issued Treasury Bills at a discount. The              the money market did not permit interest rates to
issuance system of Treasury Bills migrated from an                reflect the actual extent of scarcity of funds. Owing to
auction to tap basis in July 1965 with the rate of                limited participation, money market liquidity was highly
discount administratively fixed at 3.5 per cent per               skewed, characterised by a few dominant lenders and
annum, which was raised to 4.6 per cent by July 1974              a large number of chronic borrowers. Faced with these
and remained at that level in respect of 91-day                   impediments, together with limited Reserve Bank’s
Treasury Bills till 1991. There was also a system of              refinance, banks often faced either short-term liquidity
ad hoc Treasury Bills from 1955, which were created               problems for meeting the statutor y reser ve
by the Central Government in favour of the Reserve                requirements or remained saddled with excess
Bank to automatically restore its cash balances to                liquidity. Banks parked surplus funds, in the absence
the minimum stipulated level, whenever there was                  of alternative instruments, in Treasury Bills before
excess drawdown of cash.                                          rediscounting them with the Reserve Bank so as to
                                                                  meet the cash reserve requirements on an average
3.72     Par ticipation cer tificates (PCs) and                   basis dur ing the repor ting period. This led to
commercial bills (under bills rediscounting scheme)               significant fluctuations in banks’ investments in
were introduced in the money market in 1970. PCs                  Treasury Bills and also their cash balances with the
were utilised mostly by financial institutions to park            Reserve Bank, thereby complicating the task of
their funds for longer maturities and could not be                monetary management. Furthermore, in addition to
developed for meeting liquidity mismatches between                the rediscounted regular Treasury Bills, the Reserve
financial institutions and/or banks. Under the bills              Bank also had to hold the ad hoc Treasury Bills (issued
rediscounting scheme, the Reser ve Bank                           by the Government of India with a fixed 4.6 per cent
rediscounted genuine trade bills at the Bank Rate or              interest rate since July 1974) under the system of
at a rate specified by it. The underlying purpose of              automatic monetisation, thereby constraining the
developing the bill market was to enable banks and                emergence of Treasury Bills as a money market
other financial institutions to invest their surplus funds        instrument. Moreover, the government securities
profitably by selecting appropriate maturities. Over the          market was also characterised by administered
years, the rediscounting facility became restrictive and          interest rates and captive investor base, which made
was made available on a discretionary basis. The main             open market operations an ineffective instrument of
factors inhibiting the development of bill finance were           monetary control thereby constraining, to a large
lack of a bill culture, non-availability of stamp papers          extent, the regular management of short-term liquidity
of required denominations, absence of specialised                 by the Reserve Bank.
credit information agencies and an active secondary
mar ket. Both these instr uments (par ticipation                  IV. EVOLUTION OF RESERVE BANK’S LIQUIDITY
certificates and commercial bills), however, did not                  MANAGEMENT
develop and activity in these instruments remained                3.75     The nascent state of development of the
insignificant.                                                    money market in India and the administered interest
3.73     As a result of inadequate depth and liquidity            rate structure inhibited active liquidity management
in the organised money market, the sectoral financing             operations of the Reserve Bank. The Reserve Bank
gaps (i.e., the requirements of unsatisfied borrowers             regulated market liquidity by essentially operating
in the organised financial system) were met by the                through direct instruments such as CRR and sector-
unorganised market. The interest rate in this segment             specific refinance. As monetary policy was largely
was generally higher than that in the organised market            contingent on the fiscal stance, monetary operations
reflective of the actual market conditions. As bank               were undertaken to neutralise the fiscal impact.
credit (both aggregate and sectoral) was the principal            Consequently, with the dominance of the quantum
focus of monetary policy making under the credit                  channel in the transmission mechanism, there was
planning approach adopted in 1967-68, this                        little scope of signalling monetary policy changes
dichotomous nature of the money market served the                 through indirect instruments. Therefore, the money
requirement of monetary management.                               market increasingly reflected the spillover impact of
                                                                  monetary policy operations through direct instruments.
3.74   To sum up, the money market during this                    The increasingly unsustainable fiscal conditions, as
period could not provide an equilibrating market                  reflected in macroeconomic imbalances, necessitated
mechanism for meeting short-term liquidity needs for              structural reforms from the early 1990s. Consequently,

                                                             81
REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE




the emphasis on the market paradigm gathered                      began to pay greater attention to the movements in
momentum, warranting greater use of indirect                      monetary aggregates. Against this backdrop, the
instruments for the conduct of monetary policy.                   Committee to Review the Working of the Monetary
Concomitantly, the Reserve Bank refined its operating             System (Chairman: Sukhamoy Chakravarty, 1985)
procedures of liquidity management in tandem with                 recommended a framework of monetary targeting with
the changing financial landscape. Major developments              feedback. In pursuance of the recommendations of
in the liquidity management operations of the Reserve             this Committee, the Reserve Bank began to target a
Bank and developments of money market have taken                  desirable growth in money supply consistent with a
place since the mid-1980s. However, in order to                   tolerable level of inflation and expected output growth
place these developments in proper perspective, it                (RBI, 1985). Thus, broad money emerged as an
may be useful to understand the broad contours of                 intermediate target of monetary policy and the
liquidity management by the Reserve Bank since                    Reserve Bank began to formally announce monetary
the late 1960s.                                                   targets as nominal anchor for inflation.

3.76     Monetary policy up to the mid-1980s was                  3.78     The adoption of monetar y targeting
predominantly conducted through direct instruments                necessitated considerable changes in the operating
with credit budgets for the banks being framed in sync            procedures of monetary policy. Over the years, the
with monetary budgeting (Mohan, op. cit). This period             Reserve Bank, through its refinancing and open
was marked by administered interest rates, credit                 market operations, had already succeeded, to a large
ceilings, directed lending, automatic monetisation of             extent, in reducing the level of interest rates in general
deficits and fixed exchange rates. The Indian economy             and the call money rate in particular; albeit by varying
functioned essentially as a closed and controlled                 the ceiling rate (it reached 8.5 per cent by March 1978
economy with the role of market being virtually non-              although it was again raised to 10.0 per cent in April
existent due to the existing structural rigidities in the         1980). However, the fiscal dominance since the late
system. In the absence of a formal intermediate target,           1970s made the traditional instruments of Bank Rate
bank credit - aggregate as well as sectoral – came to             and OMO less effective. The scope for OMO was
serve as a proximate target of monetary policy after              limited as yields were governed by an administered
the adoption of credit planning in 1967-68 (Jalan,                interest rate regime, including sale of Treasury Bills
2002). The money market was essentially represented               on tap at a coupon of 4.6 per cent fixed since 1974
by the inter-bank call market, where activity was                 (Mohan, op. cit). In this scenario, the Reserve Bank
mainly driven by the banks’ demand for reserves for               began to use reser ve requirements and credit
meeting their statutory commitments. Furthermore,                 planning for modulating monetar y and liquidity
strong seasonality in demand for money and credit                 conditions. As a result, the CRR reached the ceiling
during agricultural seasons also influenced market                of 15 per cent of net demand and time liabilities
activity. In the presence of skewed distribution of               (NDTL) in July 1989 and the SLR reached the peak
liquidity, these factors made the call money rates                of 38.5 per cent in September 1990. The increase in
highly volatile, necessitating imposition of interest rate        SLR was, however, unable to fully meet the financing
ceilings. In the absence of stability in the money                requirements of the Government, thereby leading to
market, and with planned allocation of credit under               monetary accommodation by the Reserve Bank (RBI,
an administered structure of interest rates, the                  2004a). As monetary financing of fiscal deficits is
Reserve Bank had little choice but to conduct its                 inflationary beyond a point, an increase in the Reserve
liquidity management operations through a standard                Bank’s support to the Government was accompanied
mix of OMOs and changes in the Bank Rate. The                     by an increase in CRR to rein in monetary expansion.
OMOs were conducted through outright transactions                 Despite these measures, however, money supply
in government securities.                                         growth remained high and contributed to inflation. This
                                                                  underscored the need for monetar y-fiscal co-
3.77     Although credit planning guided monetary                 ordination in achieving price stability.
policy, the concerns about rising inflation during the
1970s and the 1980s attracted a good deal of policy               3.79   In tandem with the shifts in operating
attention. Apart from supply shocks (oil prices and               procedures, the proper development of the money
crop failures), inflation was increasingly believed to            market was also emphasised, partly due to the
be caused by excessive monetar y expansion                        success in lowering the call money rates, albeit,
generated by large scale monetisation of fiscal deficits          through reductions in interest rate ceilings. The
during the 1980s. Accordingly, the Reserve Bank                   Chakravarty Committee (1985) was the first to make

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  • 1. III MONEY MARKET 3.1 The money market is a key component of the has been a shift towards greater exchange rate financial system as it is the fulcrum of monetary flexibility and adoption of inflation targeting by some operations conducted by the central bank in its central banks partly because of increased capital pursuit of monetary policy objectives. It is a market mobility, greater financial market integration and for shor t-term funds with maturity ranging from repeated episodes of currency crises. Commensurate over night to one year and includes financial with these changes, central banks have moved away instruments that are deemed to be close substitutes from conventional (direct) instruments of monetary of money. The money market performs three broad control (working through the quantum channel) functions. One, it provides an equilibrating towards more use of indirect instruments (operating mechanism for demand and supply of short-term through the price channel). Accordingly, the use of funds. Two, it enables borrowers and lenders of short- reserve requirements and direct credit controls has term funds to fulfil their borrowing and investment been gradually de-emphasised, while relying more requirements at an efficient market clearing price. on interest rates for signalling the monetary policy Three, it provides an avenue for central bank stance. As central banks have only limited control intervention in influencing both quantum and cost of over long-term interest rates, the most commonly liquidity in the financial system, thereby transmitting adopted strategy has been to exert direct influence monetary policy impulses to the real economy. The only on short-term interest rates and permitting objective of monetary management by the central market expectations to influence long-term interest bank is to align money market rates with the key rates through financial market inter-linkages. Thus, policy rate. As excessive money market volatility the choice of monetary policy instruments is guided could deliver confusing signals about the stance of by the structure of the money market. monetary policy, it is critical to ensure orderly market 3.4 In India, although the ultimate goals of behaviour, from the point of view of both monetary monetary policy, viz., growth and price stability, have and financial stability. Thus, efficient functioning of remained unchanged over the years, the Reserve the money market is important for the effectiveness Bank has modified its operational and intermediate of monetary policy. objectives of monetar y policy several times in 3.2 In order to meet these basic functions response to changes in the economic and financial efficiently, money markets have evolved over time environment. For instance, in the mid-1980s, the spawning new instruments and participants with Reserve Bank formally adopted monetary targeting varying risk profiles in line with the changes in the with feedback as a nominal anchor to fight inflation, operating procedures of monetary policy. Changes in partly induced by the large scale monetisation of fiscal financial mar ket str uctures, macroeconomic deficits. The operating procedure in this regime was objectives and economic environment have called for modulation of bank reserves by varying reserve shifts in monetary regimes, which, in turn, have requirements. In order to meet reserve requirements, necessitated refinements both in the operating banks borrowed primarily from the inter-bank (call instruments and procedures, and in institutional money) market. Hence, these transactions were arrangements by central banks. reflective of the overall liquidity in the system. Accordingly, the Reserve Bank focussed on the money 3.3 Internationally, following the breakdown of market, in particular, the call money market by using the Bretton Woods system, there was a shift from various direct instruments of monetary control to rule-based frameworks towards discretion in the use signal the policy stance consistent with the overall of monetary policy instruments, which ultimately led objectives of achieving growth and price stability. As to the gradual abandonment of exchange rate interest rates were regulated, monetary management targets. Changes in financial structures and financial was undertaken mainly through changes in the cash innovations also rendered monetar y targeting reserve ratio (CRR), which was used to influence ineffective by making the money demand functions indirectly the marginal cost of borrowing by having unstable. Accordingly, since the early 1990s, there an initial impact on the call money market. As the
  • 2. REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE success of this strategy was crucially dependent on streamlining the money market operations. This the stability of the call money market and its inter- resulted in greater control over the liquidity in the linkages with other money market segments, reforms system and created an efficient mechanism to since the late 1980s, along with changes in the transmit interest rate signals. Thus, changes in the reserve maintenance procedures, have aimed at monetary policy operating procedures necessitated developing various money market segments through refinements in money market microstructure through introduction of new instr uments, increased introduction of new instruments and widening of participation and improved liquidity management in par ticipation under a deregulated interest rate the system. environment. 3.5 Financial sector reforms since the early 3.7 The need for developed and well-integrated 1990s have provided a strong impetus to the money market also assumes critical importance as development of financial markets, which, along with India progressively moves towards greater capital interest rate deregulation, paved the way for account convertibility, as envisaged by the Committee introduction of mar ket-based monetar y policy on Fuller Capital Account Convertibility (FCAC), which instruments. With financial innovations, money submitted its report to the Reserve Bank in July 2006. demand was seen as less stable and the Better response to such financial flows by various disequilibrium in money markets got reflected in market segments will depend upon the extent of short-term interest rates (Mohan, 2006). Accordingly, integration as well as the development of necessary since the adoption of the multiple indicator approach infrastructure. The greater integration of domestic and in 1998, although monetary aggregates continue to international markets also calls for flexible use of be an important information variable, interest rates monetary policy instruments for modulating domestic have emerged as the operational instrument of policy liquidity conditions and correcting any serious – initially the Bank Rate and then the repo/reverse misalignments between short-term and long-term repo rates under the liquidity adjustment facility interest rates. (LAF) from June 2000. This shift in emphasis from money to interest rates has been spurred by 3.8 Against the above backdrop, this chapter increased financial liberalisation, greater trade traces the evolution of monetary policy operating openness and capital flows, and innovations in procedures in India as necessitated by the changes payment and transactions technologies. Such a shift in the financial market structure, in particular, the was gradual and a logical outcome of measures money market, and the risks/challenges arising out implemented in the reform period since the early of such market orientation of monetar y policy. 1990s (Reddy, 2002). An array of new money market Section I spells out the theoretical underpinnings of instruments such as commercial paper, certificates money mar ket for monetar y policy making. of deposit and repos has been introduced in order International experience on money market operating to broaden the money market. Furthermore, with procedures, the evolving practices in liquidity increased sophistication of financial markets, the risk management operations and the structure of money profiles of financial mar ket par ticipants also market are set out in Section II. Section III presents changed, necessitating introduction of derivative a brief review of the money market in India in the instruments as effective risk management tools. pre-reform period. Section IV deals with the changes in the Reser ve Bank’s liquidity management 3.6 The liberalisation of capital controls resulting operations commensurate with the shifts in operating in increased integration of the Indian economy with procedures. Developments in various segments of the global economy, however, posed new challenges the money market since the mid-1980s are covered and dilemmas for monetar y and exchange rate in Section V. It also discusses the Reserve Bank’s management in the 1990s. These developments proactive role in mitigating various risks to the called for a greater emphasis on orderly conditions financial system. Section VI identifies the emerging in financial markets for ensuring financial stability. issues in monetary and liquidity management in India In this phase, the focus of reforms was on introducing and the need for addressing them in future for the instruments of various maturities in different money smooth functioning of the money market and the market segments and imparting liquidity to these efficient conduct of monetary policy. Section VII instruments by developing a secondary market, and presents the concluding observations. 68
  • 3. MONEY MARKET I. ROLE OF THE MONEY MARKET - bank money in the banking system, which is THEORETICAL UNDERPINNINGS determined by the supply of bank reserves. If all factors having an impact on output and inflation were 3.9 There is a general consensus among completely known in advance, it would make no academics and central bankers that monetary policy difference whether the central bank conducts policy is best geared to achieve price stability. In some by fixing the supply of reserves or by setting an countries, central banks have additional mandates interest rate (Friedman, 2000b). In fact, these such as ensuring full employment, maximising growth alternative operating strategies would be similar in and promoting financial stability. In order to meet these impact. However, since many factors that impact the objectives, central banks intervene in financial central bank’s policy priorities are unpredictable, the markets to ensure that short-term interest rates (and choice of the operating instrument matters for the exchange rates) and liquidity are maintained at effectiveness of monetary policy. appropriate levels, consistent with the objectives of monetary policy. Thus, monetary policy and financial 3.12 The theoretical justification for the conduct of markets are linked intrinsically. It is through the monetary policy through interest rates is derived from financial markets that monetary policy affects the real “the appropriate choice of instrument problem” (Poole, economy. Hence, financial markets are the connecting 1970). It was demonstrated that if aggregate demand link in the transmission mechanism between monetary shocks in the economy originate from the goods policy and the real economy. market (the IS curve), then the optimum policy is to 3.10 The relationship between monetary policy and target monetary aggregates for minimising output financial markets is of mutual inter-dependence. fluctuations. On the other hand, if demand shocks Central banks conduct monetary policy by directly and originate in the money market (the LM curve), from indirectly influencing financial market prices. Financial the perspective of monetary policy, targeting interest market prices reflect the expectations of market rates is the appropriate approach. The implication participants about future economic developments. being that as financial mar kets develop with These expectations, in tur n, provide valuable increasing financial innovations, the demand for information to central banks in setting the optimal money becomes unstable, rendering monetar y course of monetary policy in the future. targeting redundant. In other words, with the gradual financial sophistication of the economy, the 3.11 Monetary policy affects financial markets speculative demand for money dominates the through various financial price and quantity channels. transaction motive. Hence, most developed countries The transmission process from monetary policy to operate through an interest rate target. financial markets and finally to the real economy is typically triggered through the use of monetary policy 3.13 The interest rate channel is the primary instruments (reserve requirements, open market mechanism of monetar y policy transmission in operations, policy rates and refinance facilities) for conventional macroeconomic models where an controlling the operating targets (like reserve money increase in nominal interest rates, given some degree and bank reserves) consistent with intermediate of price stickiness, translates into an increase in the targets such as money supply, which enables real rate of interest and the user cost of capital attainment of final objectives of economic growth and (Exhibit III.1) . These changes, in turn, lead to a pr ice stability. Typically, the monetar y policy postponement in consumption or a reduction in instrument is a financial market price, which is investment spending thereby affecting the working of directly set or closely controlled by the central bank. the real sector, viz., changing aggregate demand and For most central banks with floating exchange rates, supply, and eventually growth and inflation in the the monetar y policy instrument is a shor t-term economy (Kuttner and Mosser, 2002). This is the interest rate. Changes in the short-term policy rate mechanism embodied in conventional specifications provide signals to financial markets, whereby various of the “IS” curve, both of the “Old Keynesian” variety segments of the financial system respond by (Samuelson and Solow, 1960) and the “New Keynesian” adjusting their rates of return on various instruments, models developed during the 1990s (Rotemberg and depending on their sensitivity and the efficacy of the Woodford, 1997; Clarida, Gali, and Gertler, 1999). transmission mechanism. Under fixed exchange rate However, the macroeconomic response to policy- regimes, a particular exchange rate serves as the induced interest rate changes is considerably larger instrument. Similarly, under the monetary targeting than that implied by conventional estimates of the regime, the operating target is the quantity of central interest elasticities of consumption and investment 69
  • 4. REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE Exhibit III.1: Monetary Policy Transmission through Interest Rate Channel Monetary Policy Operations (OMO, Reserve Requirements, Refinance) Change in Reserves Short-term Interest Rate Monetary Base Money Supply Market Interest Rate Real Interest Rate Interest Rate Channel Aggregate Demand Source: Adapted from Kuttner and Mosser (2002). (Bernanke and Gertler, 1995). This suggests that 3.15 Short-term interest rates alone have only mechanisms, other than the interest rate channel, may limited direct effects on the economy. Long-term also be at work in the transmission of monetary policy1 . interest rates have a stronger impact as they 3.14 Interest rates can influence the monetary determine savings and investment decisions in the policymaking process in three distinct ways economy. In order to impact the economy, monetary (Friedman, 2000a). The first role of interest rates is policy impulses must, therefore, be transmitted from as an instrument variable that the central bank sets the money market to the capital market by influencing in order to implement its chosen policy. A second asset prices such as loan rates, bond rates, exchange potential role for interest rates in the monetary policy rates and stock market valuations. The money market process is again as an instrument variable, but as an and the capital market are linked by expectations. instrument that the central bank varies not for Neglecting transaction costs and risk premiums, the influencing output and inflation directly but rather for expectations theory of the term structure views the targeting the money stock. Finally, most central banks long-term interest rate as an average of the short- use short-term interest rate as their monetary policy term interest rates expected to prevail till the maturity instrument variable based on long-term interest rate of the respective instrument. Although current short- movements, which are taken as more of an term interest rates have some effect on longer-term infor mation var iable about potential future bond yields, the expectations theory of the term developments. Implicit in this framework, however, is structure indicates that it is primarily expected future a regular term structure of interest rates whereby short-term interest rates which determine bond yields. policy initiatives at the short end are transmitted In practice, owing to uncertainty about the future efficiently to the longer end of the maturity spectrum. evolution of short-term interest rates and the time- This relationship fares better under the assumption varying risk premiums, the longer the maturity, the of adaptive expectations (Chow, 1989), while recent weaker the link between current short-term rates and empirical evidence suggests that long-term rates are long-term rates. Therefore, in practice, central banks poor (and biased) predictors of future short-term sometimes find it difficult to guide longer-term interest rates, particularly when expectations are rational rates to a level commensurate with what they consider (Blinder, 2006). to be the optimal monetary policy stance. 1 The changes in the policy rate, by inducing international interest rate differentials, also have a bearing on exchange rate movements through the uncovered interest rate parity condition. 70
  • 5. MONEY MARKET 3.16 Central banks, never theless, operate on refers to actions taken by the central bank to manage short-term policy rates, which under a regular term- the overall level of high-powered money and, through structure and a smooth market continuum would be this, to regulate money market conditions (Box III.1). able to influence long-term interest rates. In order to The regulation of money market conditions focusses efficiently transmit monetary policy signals to long- on offsetting the demand for excess reserves in order term rates, central banks foster development of the to avoid large fluctuations in bank reserves causing money market. The money market, thus, serves as volatility in short-term interest rates. Successful the corner-stone of a competitive and efficient system market liquidity management requires that the daily of market-based intervention by the central bank. It level of excess reserves in the banking system be stimulates an active secondary bond market by close to the level demanded by banks. reducing the liquidity risk of bonds and other short- term financial instruments and assists financial 3.19 Theoretically, the speed of transmission of intermediaries in managing their liquidity risk. It also policy signals to financial asset prices improves with ser ves as the medium for Gover nment cash derivatives trading as it enables risk sharing across management and provides the first link in the the market as well as reflects the inter-temporal implementation of monetary policy. There are three adjustments of financial asset prices to monetary conditions which are required to be fulfilled for policy signals. A financial derivative contract derives developing a well-functioning money market. These the future price for the underlying asset on the basis are: (i) banks and other financial institutions must be of its current price and interest rates. Accordingly, the commercially motivated to respond to incentives, efficient pricing of derivatives is contingent upon an actively manage risk and maximise profit; (ii) the active and liquid market for the underlying asset. As central bank must shift from direct to indirect methods the informational content of the market is reflected in of implementing monetar y policy; and (iii) the prices of derivatives, there is a case for using Government must have a good mechanism of cash derivatives as monetary policy instruments. It is, management, thereby giving the central bank greater however, noted that central banks do not use freedom in setting its operating procedures. derivative instruments actively for monetary policy purposes as they are normally considered to be risky 3.17 The central bank’s operating procedures and uncertain. Furthermore, the impact of derivatives greatly influence the stability of the money market as trading on the real economy remains ambiguous (Gray well as banks’ incentives to actively use the money market to manage risk. In this regard, operating and Place, 2001). Der ivatives, however, are procedures need to be designed appropriately to increasingly becoming a useful tool for r isk promote market liquidity, stability and encourage management in financial markets. active risk management. The operating procedures 3.20 To sum up, the interest rate channel has that particularly influence banks’ risk management emerged as a key channel of monetar y policy incentives are the reserve maintenance period, the transmission mechanism. Although the central bank definition of liabilities on which reserves are levied, can directly influence mainly shor t-ter m rates, accommodation policy and the accuracy of operations effective transmission of policy signals requires a designed to affect market liquidity - that is, the proper term structure of interest rates, which is accuracy with which the central bank can control the dependent on market par ticipants’ expectations demand for excess reserves in the system. about the future movements in policy rates. A well- 3.18 Development of liquidity in the inter-bank functioning money market is, therefore, essential for market - the market for short-term lending/borrowing conducting indirect, market-based monetary policy amongst banks - provides the basis for growth and operations and for providing the liquidity necessary increased liquidity in the broader money market, for the market in government securities and private including secondary market for Treasury Bills and sector bonds. By careful management of liquidity private sector money market instruments. While the conditions, the central bank can realise its monetary central bank’s liquidity management operations policy objectives and encourage money market encompass discretionary injections or withdrawals of transactions while ensuring stable market conditions. primary money from the financial system at its own A vital element for conducting effective monetary initiative, its accommodation policy comprises policy is knowledge of Government cash flows, operations to meet the demand for liquidity from which, like central bank’s open market operations, market participants. Market liquidity management also affect bank’s reserve balances. 71
  • 6. REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE Box III.1 Role of the Money Market in the Monetary Transmission Mechanism The money market forms the first and foremost link in the (rise) to the level at which banks collectively are willing to transmission of monetary policy impulses to the real hold all of the reserves that the central bank has supplied economy. Policy interventions by the central bank along will the financial system reach equilibrium. Hence, an with its market operations influence the decisions of “expansionary” (contractionary) open market operation households and fir ms through the monetar y policy creates downward (upward) pressure on short-term interest transmission mechanism. The key to this mechanism is rates not only because the central bank itself is a buyer the total claim of the economy on the central bank, (seller), but also because it leads banks to buy (sell) commonly known as the monetary base or high-powered securities. In this way, the central bank can easily influence money in the economy. Among the constituents of the interest rates on short-term debt instruments. In the monetary base, the most important constituent is bank presence of a regular term structure of interest rates and reserves, i.e., the claims that banks hold in the form of without market segmentation, such policy impulses get deposits with the central bank. The banks’ need for these transmitted to the longer end of the maturity spectrum, reserves depends on the overall level of economic activity. thereby influencing long-term interest rates, which have a This is governed by several factors: (i) banks hold such bearing on household’s consumption and savings decisions reserves in proportion to the volume of deposits in many and hence on aggregate demand. countries, known as reserve requirements, which influence their ability to extend credit and create deposits, thereby There are alternative mechanisms of achieving the same limiting the volume of transactions to be handled by the objective through the imposition of reserve requirements bank; (ii) bank’s ability to make loans (asset of the bank) and central bank lending to banks in the form of refinance depends on its ability to mobilise deposits (liability of the facilities. Lowering (increasing) the reserve requirement, bank) as total assets and liabilities of the bank need to and, therefore, reducing (increasing) the demand for match and expand/contract together; and (iii) banks’ need reserves has roughly the same impact as an expansionary to hold balances at the central bank for settlement of claims (contractionary) open market operation, which increases within the banking system as these transactions are settled (decreases) the supply of reserves creating downward through the accounts of banks maintained with the central (upward) pressure on interest rates. Similarly, another way bank. Therefore, the daily functioning of a modern economy in which central banks can influence the supply of reserves and its financial system creates a demand for central bank is through direct lending of reserves to banks. Central reserves which increases along with an expansion in banks lend funds to banks at a policy rate, which usually overall economic activity (Friedman, 2000b). acts as the ceiling in the short-term market. Similarly, central banks absorb liquidity at a rate which acts as the The central bank’s power to conduct monetary policy stems floor for short-term market interest rates. This is important, from its role as a monopolist, as the sole supplier of bank since injecting liquidity at the ceiling rate would ensure reserves, in the market for bank reserves. The most that banks do not have access to these funds for arbitrage common procedure by which central banks influence the opportunities whereby they borrow from the central bank outstanding supply of bank reserves is through “open and deploy these funds in the market to earn higher interest mar ket operations” – that is, by buying or selling rates. Similarly, liquidity absorption by the central bank has government securities in the market. When a central bank to be at the floor rate since deployment of funds with the buys (sells) securities, it credits (debits) the reserve account central bank is free of credit and other risks. Typically, the of the seller (buyer) bank. This increases (decreases) the objective of the central bank is to modulate liquidity total volume of reserves that the banking system collectively conditions by pegging short-term interest rates within this holds. Expansion (contraction) of the total volume of corridor. reserves in this way matters because banks can exchange reserves for other remunerative assets. Since reserves earn While the above mechanism outlines how central banks low interest, and in many countries remain unremunerated, can influence short-term interest rates by adjusting the banks typically would exchange them for some interest quantity of bank reserves, the same objective can be bearing asset such as Treasury Bill or other short-term debt achieved by picking on a particular short-term interest rate instruments. If the banking system has excess (inadequate) and then adjusting the supply of reserves commensurate reserves, banks would seek to buy (sell) such instruments. with that rate. In many countries, this is achieved by If there is a general increase (decrease) in demand for targeting the overnight inter-bank lending rate and securities, it would result in increase (decline) in security adjusting the level of reserves which would keep the inter- prices and decline (increase) in interest rates. The resulting bank lending rate at the desired level. Thus, by influencing lower (higher) interest rates on short-term debt instruments short-term interest rates, central banks can influence mean a reduced (enhanced) opportunity cost of holding output and inflation in the economy, the ultimate objectives low interest reserves. Only when market interest rates fall of monetary policy. 72
  • 7. MONEY MARKET II. OPERATING PROCEDURES AND MONEY targets in several countries, thereby prompting many MARKET - INTERNATIONAL EXPERIENCE central banks to adopt a multiple indicator approach. Under this approach, many central banks such as the 3.21 The objectives, targets and operating US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and procedures of monetary policy worldwide have the Bank of Japan regularly monitor a number of witnessed considerable shifts in tune with the macroeconomic indicators such as prices, output evolution of monetary theory, central banking regimes gaps, and developments in asset, credit and other and the changing macroeconomic conditions over financial markets, which have a bearing on price time. By the 1970s, most central banks came to accept stability. price stability as a key objective of monetary policy - a departure from the earlier prominence given to 3.23 Some EMEs such as Russia and China growth and employment objectives. In recent years, continue to specify intermediate targets in the form beyond the traditional growth-inflation trade-off, of monetary aggregates. Some other countries such financial stability has emerged as another key as Indonesia, however, use indicative monetary objective in the wake of growing financial market targets more as an important information variable, integration and associated uncertainty and volatility supplementing it with other indicators of developments arising out of contagion. Although a number of central in financial mar kets and the real economy. banks in developed countries such as the Reserve Furthermore, along with the adoption of inflation Bank of New Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia and targeting by many EME central banks, there has been the Bank of England have adopted price stability as an increasing focus on the interest rate channel of their sole objective by adopting an inflation targeting the monetary transmission process. framework, several other countries, viz., the US and Japan continue to pursue dual objectives of price stability and growth. Similarly, while some emerging Operating Targets market economies (EMEs) such as South Africa, 3.24 The process of monetar y policy Thailand, Korea and Mexico have emphasised solely implementation is guided mainly by the choice of price stability by adopting an inflation targeting operating targets. Notwithstanding the policy framework, some others tend to follow multiple objectives, the critical issue facing the monetary objectives. authorities is to strike a balance in the short-run between instruments and targets. In recent years, a Monetary Policy Frameworks certain degree of consensus has emerged both in the Intermediate Targets industrialised countries and EMEs to use market- oriented instruments, driven mainly by the rapid 3.22 As central banks could not always directly development and deepening of various financial target the ultimate objective, monetary policy focussed market segments, the diversification of financial on intermediate targets that bear close relationship institutions and the globalisation of financial with the final objective. The selection of intermediate intermediation (Van’t dack,1999). targets is conditional on the channels of monetary policy transmission that operate in the economy. The 3.25 With the gradual development and process of rapid disintermediation sparked off by a sophistication of money markets in a deregulated spate of financial innovations during the 1980s began regime, there has been a shift from Keynesian growth- to impact the monetary targeting framework (Solans, and full-employment-or iented monetar y policy 2003). Accordingly, with money demand becoming operating on monetary aggregates to an inflation- unstable, central banks began to modulate aggregate oriented monetary policy operating on interest rates. demand by targeting interest rates. As a result, central With the growing sophistication of markets, the 2 banks in the US (1992) and Japan (1994-2001) , traditional dirigiste, direct control approach to among others, adopted inter-bank rates as monetary policy has become obsolete, while indirect intermediate targets. Financial liberalisation, however, mar ket oriented approach has gained greater has reduced the importance of explicit intermediate acceptance (Forssbaeck and Oxelheim, 2003). 2 The Bank of Japan shifted to quantitative easing policy since March 2001 but again decided on March 9, 2006 to change the operating target from the outstanding balances of current accounts at the Bank to the uncollateralised overnight call rate. 73
  • 8. REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE 3.26 Among the two operating procedures, viz., standing facilities to define an interest rate corridor. through bank reserves and interest rates, the focus Most of these countries steer the overnight rates has increasingly shifted towards the latter since the within a corridor - lower bound (floor) set by the early 1990s due to the broader changes that took deposit facility and upper bound (ceiling) represented place in the economic environment (Borio, 1997). The by the lending facility. These corridors are normally trend reflects the growing role played by interest rates considerably wide, allowing for the significant flexibility in the transmission mechanism as markets develop in the movement of both policy and overnight rates in a deregulated environment. The sharper focus on (Borio, op.cit). With regard to the frequency of interest interest rates as the operating target has gone hand rate adjustments, most central banks prefer a policy in hand with a tendency to move towards targeting of small and gradual changes. short-term interest rates. As a corollary, the overnight rate has emerged as the most commonly pursued Operating Procedures operating target in the conduct of monetary policy. Hence, the focus has been concentrated on money 3.30 The operating procedures of liquidity markets for transmitting monetary policy signals. The management have also changed in response to the targeting of short-term interest rates is fully consistent changes in the policy environment amidst financial with a market oriented approach whereby information liberalisation. The literature and the central banks’ own about the expectations of future movements in interest accounts attribute five main reasons for reform in their rates is extracted from the prevailing market rates. operating procedures in the industrial countries during the 1980s and the 1990s (Mehran et al., 1996 and 3.27 Although countries differ in terms of the Forssbaeck and Oxelheim, op cit). First, monetary choice of instruments, they could be broadly classified policy instruments were changed to adapt to the new on the basis of their key operating targets (interest operational frameworks of the respective monetary rates) (Annex III.1). In the first category are countries author ities. Second, with financial deepening such as the US, Japan, Canada and Australia, where occurring more or less entirely outside the central the key operating target is the overnight inter-bank banks’ balance sheets, the share of the financial rate although the signalling strategies differ. In the system over which monetary authorities had direct case of other developed countries such as the ECB, control was reduced, warranting indirect (price- the key policy rate is the tender rate that is applicable oriented as opposed to quantity-oriented instruments) to regular operations, mainly, the refinancing ways to control the non-monetary components of operations. Some central banks, however, in countries liquidity in the financial system. Third, in the wake of such as the UK, select overnight market interest rates expansion, diversification and integration of financial as their operating target consistent with the official markets all over the world, greater interest rate Bank Rate decided by the MPC. In general, the flexibility and narrowing of differentials between rates maturity of such interest rates varies from 1 to 2 weeks of return in different currencies warranted instruments but could range between 1 or 2 days to 1-month. that can impart flexibility to liquidity management in 3.28 The operating target in the case of several terms of the timing, magnitude and accuracy. Fourth, EMEs also is the overnight rate - determined in the the growing importance of expectations in financial inter-bank market for settlement balances (Korea and markets favoured the adoption of instruments that are Malaysia) (Annex III.2). In order to promote financial better suited for signalling the stance of monetary stability, central banks, being the monopolistic policy. Finally, there was a growing urge on the part suppliers of primary liquidity, have endeavoured to of central banks to stimulate money market activity smoothen the movements in the overnight rate with a and improve monetary policy transmission while high degree of precision through calibrated emphasising the separation of monetar y and modulation of bank reserves. Central banks have Government debt management objectives. generally refrained from strict control of interest rates 3.31 As a result of the changes in the policy as it deters the development of money markets. environment, the following trends could be observed Allowing the volatility in the overnight rate to absorb at the international level, particularly during the 1990s temporary pressure could enable central banks to (Borio, op.cit and Van’t dack, op.cit). First, there has preserve stability in other money market segments. been a continuous reduction in reserve requirements. 3.29 Central banks have used several techniques The marked international trend towards reduction in in order to contain the interest rate volatility - the reserve requirements over the last decade reflects averaging of reser ve requirements and use of the conscious policy effort to reduce the tax on 74
  • 9. MONEY MARKET intermediation with a view to reducing the burden of become ‘safety valves’ rather than the key institutions and generate a level playing field, both mechanisms for setting the interest rate. They are between different types of domestic institutions and operated at the margin in order to bridge temporary increasingly those across national borders. Although mismatches in liquidity. In the case of EMEs also, the fluctuations in liquidity levels engendered by there has been a movement away from standing autonomous factors could be modulated through the facilities. With the development and integration of new buffer stock property of reserve requirements and financial markets, bank intermediation became less through active liquidity management by means of dominant as households parked a part of their savings discretionary operations3, internationally, the general outside the banking sector. As a result, enterprises downward trend in reserve ratios has been shifting increasingly started tapping non-bank sources of the balance towards liquidity activism. This has also funding. Consequently, aggregate spending became been made possible by the increase in excess sensitive to more than just bank-determined interest maintenance of reserves whereby banks circumvent rates as policy induced changes in interest rates also the impact of changes in reserve requirements. influenced demand through the wealth effect of asset prices. Accordingly, the asset channel of monetary 3.32 Central banks in EMEs tend to use reserve transmission, which focusses on developing new requirements to offset autonomous influences on bank instruments and procedures for influencing financial liquidity more frequently than in developed countries. market expectations and behaviour, has gained added While reserve requirements play a different role in importance. EMEs than in developed countries, there has been a convergence towards lower levels while 3.35 Third, among the wide array of monetary deemphasising their role as active instruments of policy instruments, repos have almost become the monetary control. Thus, in recent years, reserve main policy tool, which could be considered a major requirements have been giving way to a more market milestone in the development of money markets. oriented approach of impounding liquidity, including Countries (including EMEs) have preferred repos through the issue of central bank paper. more than the outright open market operations because they do not require an underlying market for 3.33 Second, there has been a growing emphasis securities and they tend to break the link between on active liquidity management driven partly by the the maturity of the paper and that of the transaction. pressures of increasingly mobile international capital The emergence and subsequent rapid growth of and decline in reserve requirements. With a view to pr ivate repo mar kets in recent years, often developing money markets by reducing the reliance encouraged by the central banks themselves, have on accommodation from the central bank and in order spurred the usage of these instruments. to impart greater flexibility in interest rate adjustments, liquidity management has largely been implemented 3.36 Most EMEs have assigned repos a major role through discretionary operations at the expense of in the day-to-day management of bank reserves. An standing facilities, particularly since the early 1980s. active market for repos and reverse repos has been As a corollary, central banks have widened the range developed in Korea, Mexico and Thailand. The of instruments used in their market operations, underlying eligible assets are mainly government fixed shortened the maturity of transactions, increased their income securities. In the case of thin markets, central frequency and complemented regular basic banks have responded by widening the range of refinancing operations with other fine-tuning eligible securities. The central banks of the US, the operations. ECB, the UK, Singapore and Mexico also conduct repo operations involving cor porate bonds as 3.34 The reliance on market operations rather than collaterals. standing facilities for balancing the market for bank reserves was also necessitated by the need to develop 3.37 Besides the rapid growth of domestic repo more flexible and less intrusive implementation markets in recent years, repurchase transactions are procedures. Hence, the main instruments for liquidity now easily carried out across national borders also. management by central banks are discretionary This has been facilitated by the Inter national 4 market operations. Conversely, standing facilities have Securities Market Association (ISMA) , which plays 3 Discretionary operations include purchase/ sale of securities or more often reverse transactions in domestic or foreign currency. 4 Since July 2005, ISMA merged with Primary Market Association to become the International Capital Market Association. 75
  • 10. REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE an important role by establishing uniform trading reluctance to conduct outright transactions in the procedures in the international bond markets. This has government securities market. helped large banks/other financial institutions to cover short-term liquidity mismatches. Accordingly, the 3.41 Although country practices vary, the operating international financial system has experienced an procedures of monetary policy of most central banks increase in global integration. It is widely believed that are beginning to converge to one of the variants of the growth of the collateralised repo market has the three-closely related paradigms. The first set of played an important role in enhancing the overall central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, stability of the financial system by removing estimate the demand for bank reserves and then carry counterparty risks through funded credit protection out open market operations to target short-term against risky transactions in unsecured wholesale interest rates, especially if their financial markets are financial markets (Joshi, 2005). deep enough to transmit changes at the short end to the longer end of the term structure. A second set of 3.38 Four th, greater flexibility in liquidity central banks such as in Russia and Mexico estimate management has been accompanied by a greater market liquidity and carry out open market operations transparency in the policy signals relating to desired to target bank reserves, while allowing interest rates interest rate levels, driven by the broader changes in to adjust, especially if their credit channels are the economic and political environment, including the strong. In the third category, a growing number of decline in inflation to relatively low levels, growing central banks including the European Central Bank emphasis on inflation targeting, greater autonomy and (ECB) and a large number of inflation targeters accountability of central banks and growing influence modulate monetary conditions in terms of both the of market forces and expectations in the formation of quantum and price of liquidity through a mix of open interest rates. The main structural factors shaping market operations (OMOs), standing facilities and policy implementation are also induced by the minimum reserve requirements and changes in the changes in payment and settlement systems, policy rate but do not announce pre-set money or particularly, the broad-based introduction of real time interest rate targets. gross settlement system. 3.42 These developments together with the Central Bank Operations growing integration of markets have warranted accurate forecasts of liquidity, par ticularly the 3.39 With regard to market operations, most autonomous supply of bank reserves and its demand central banks conduct at least one transaction at a by the banking system. The operations of central regular interval in order to meet the basic liquidity banks have become critically contingent on these needs of the system. The other complementary forecasts. The features of the forecasting process vary operations that take place are calibrated responses significantly across the countries, reflecting their to day-to-day mar ket conditions, fine-tuning operating frameworks of monetary policy. Several operations providing liquidity over longer horizons (the EMEs also conduct forecasts on a regular basis with US and Japan) and mopping up of excess liquidity planning horizons ranging from one day to several with a view to inducing ex ante liquidity shortage (the months. UK). The maturity of these operations is usually relatively short for key operations, shorter for day-to- 3.43 Regarding the number of instruments, country day calibration and longer for other operations. practices differ widely. Central banks in countries such as Canada conduct one or two type of operations at 3.40 In some countries, outright transactions also the most, which are sufficient for liquidity play a role. For instance, in the US, periodic purchases management, whereas central banks in Japan and and sales of government securities are used as the UK rely on a broad range of operations. The range permanent additions/withdrawals of reserves. In of underlying securities traded and collateral accepted Japan, the central bank regular ly purchases is broad in Japan and several European countries, government bonds to supply the base money. In the including various types of public and private claims. case of EMEs, outright transactions in the secondary Conversely, in the US, New Zealand and Australia, markets remain important instruments, particularly to central banks operate on the basis of public sector offset structural liquidity surpluses/shortages. In assets. recent years, however, there has been an increasing trend towards allowing greater leeway to market forces 3.44 The choice of counter par ties var ies in determining the interest rates. Hence, there is substantially across the countries. For instance, in 76
  • 11. MONEY MARKET the US, the Fed deals only with a restricted group of securities in excess of the fiscal requirements and primary dealers. In the UK, each market operation parks the surplus funds with the Monetary Authority and standing facility has a specific set of of Singapore (MAS) as deposits, thus, supplementing counterparties. There is a wide range of counterparties its draining operations. Countries such as Malaysia, in different countries. For instance, only banks act as Thailand and Indonesia have modulated excess counterparties in Mexico, while in Korea apart from liquidity in the financial system by diverting government/ banks, merchant banks, investment/trust companies public sector deposits from the commercial banking and securities companies also act as counterparties. system to the central bank. While level playing field considerations may favour 3.47 To sum up, some lessons emerge from the many counterparties, efficiency considerations may international experience on liquidity management of call for a system of primary dealers. If the domestic both developed and emerging market economies. securities markets are not deep, central banks First, with the deepening of financial markets and the engage in foreign exchange swaps for liquidity growth of non-bank intermediaries, central banks management purposes (South Africa and Thailand). need to increase the market orientation of their 3.45 Most central banks, thus, prefer open market instruments. A large proportion of reserves is supplied operations (OMO) as a tool of monetary policy, which through open market operations with standing allow them to adjust market liquidity and influence facilities being limited to providing marginal the interest rate structure across tenors through an accommodation or emergency finance. Furthermore, auction mechanism in which market participants are high reserve requirements tend to inhibit inter-bank able to bid their preferences. The particular form of activity. Similarly, easy and cheap access to central operations such as outright transactions in eligible bank standing facilities impedes proactive liquidity securities, repos and sometimes standing deposit/ management by banks. lending facility, often depend on the specific 3.48 Second, in view of growing complexities of macroeconomic conditions and the existing legal monetary management, monetary policy formulation framework of the country. has been guided by a number of macroeconomic indicators rather than a single intermediate nominal Government’s Surplus Cash Balances anchor. 3.46 Government’s large surplus cash balances 3.49 Third, the growing impor tance and the held with the central bank can have a significant flexibility of financial market price and its transmission impact on liquidity in the banking system (and mechanism in a deregulated environment thereby could have a bearing on short-term interest necessitated central banks to focus increasingly on rates) necessitating active management of such interest rates rather than bank reserves in liquidity surplus balances. Accordingly, arrangements which management. Central banks need to ensure smooth facilitate transfer of surplus funds from Government’s trend in interest rates for several reasons. For account to deficit participants in the system could instance, volatile interest rates can obscure policy help in better management of liquidity. Such signals, while more orderly market conditions promote arrangements not only enable the Governments to a rapid and predictable transmission of monetary earn better returns on the cash balances, but also policy impulses. Less volatile interest rates may also mitigate volatility in short-term interest rates and help financial institutions to better assess and manage keep overnight money market rates stable. The their market risks. Market participants benefit from cross-country practices on such arrangements vary stable rates through stabilisation of expectations, widely. For instance, while the cash balances of the which, in turn, promote the development of a term Central Government are auctioned (competitively) structure in the money market. on a daily basis in Canada, all government balances 3.50 Fourth, with reduced market segmentation are maintained with their respective central banks and the greater ease and speed with which interest in Japan and Italy. In the US and France, a significant rate changes are transmitted across the entire term working balance is maintained with their central structure, central banks need to focus on the very banks while amounts beyond the targeted balance short end of the yield curve, where their actions tend are invested in the market. Such surplus balances to have the maximum impact. have also been effectively used as an instrument of sterilisation by many central banks. The Government 3.51 Fifth, the greater market orientation of the of Singapore, for instance, issues government central banks’ policy instruments has been associated 77
  • 12. REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE with a preference for flexible instruments. In volatile term credit instruments, futures market instruments financial conditions, most notably in the EMEs, the and the Federal Reserve’s discount window (Annex flexibility in the design of policy instruments has III.3). These are generally characterised by a high emerged as a key consideration. degree of safety of principal and are most commonly issued in units of US $1 million or more. Treasury Bills 3.52 Finally, the growing awareness of the issued by the US Treasury and the securities issued importance of market psychology and expectations by the State and Local Governments have the largest has warranted greater transparency in the conduct volume outstanding and constitute the most active of monetar y policy with special emphasis on secondar y mar ket amongst all money mar ket communication policy for conveying the stance and instruments (MMIs) in the US. A key feature of most rationale of policy decisions. State and local securities is that the interest income is generally exempt from federal income taxes, which Structure of the Money Market makes them particularly attractive to investors in high Instruments income tax brackets. Non-financial and non-bank financial businesses raise funds in the money market 3.53 In view of the rapid changes on account of primarily by issuing commercial paper (CP) - a short- financial deregulation and global financial markets term unsecured promissory note. In recent years, an integration, central banks in several countries have increasing number of firms have gained access to this striven to develop and deepen the money markets by market, and issue of CPs has grown at a rapid pace. enlarging the ambit of instruments5 and participants The outstanding CPs is expected to increase to US $ so as to improve the transmission channels of 2.17 trillion in 2007. Besides conventional instruments, monetary policy. The structure of money markets money market futures and options have also become determines the type of instruments that are feasible popular in the US money market in the recent period. for the conduct of monetary management. Evidence and experience indicate that preference for market- 3.56 Similarly in the UK, the money market has oriented instruments by the monetary authorities emerged as a mechanism for short-term funding helps to promote broader market development through the issuance of money market instruments (Forssbaeck and Oxelheim, op cit). or an active fixed-term cash deposit market. It is principally sterling-based but also covers a wide range 3.54 The diminishing role of quantitative controls of other currencies. The Government, the banking and search for alternatives gave rise to three major sector and industry are among those who raise mar ket-or iented instr uments, viz., shor t-ter m resources from the money market through the securities, repurchase operations and swaps. These issuance of Treasury Bills, certificates of deposit instruments prompted the central banks to create, (CDs) and bills of exchange (BE)/CPs, respectively. stimulate and support the development of markets Besides, Acceptances and Local Authority Bills also particularly, inter-bank deposit market and short-term act as MMIs. Commercial bills include bank acceptance securities market. In the absence of an efficient inter- and trade paper. Both overseas and inland trade is bank market, there was a pressing need for the central financed by bank acceptances. Much of the lending in banks to create adequate instruments to absorb the market takes place overnight. The bulk (90 per cent) liquidity and stimulate the formation of markets for of the MMIs held are CDs and the rest are BEs, Treasury alternative short-term assets. The emergence of the Bills and CPs. short-term securities market added a new dimension to 3.57 In the Euro system, during the course of the liquidity management by central banks. In the absence 1990s, repurchase transactions were adopted as a of outright transactions in the securities market, the main liquidity management instrument in Denmark existence of a liquid securities segment in the money (1992), Sweden (1994), Austria (1995), Finland (mid- market is often believed to facilitate the central bank’s 1990s), Switzerland (1998) and then in the whole Euro operations by providing collateral to repurchase system since its inception (1999). Several countries agreements and similar collateralised transactions. such as Austria, the Netherlands and Denmark, in 3.55 Among developed countries, the money the absence of adequate liquid short-term markets, market in the US encompasses a large group of short- came to rely on foreign exchange operations 5 Money market instruments facilitate transfer of large sums of money quickly and at a low cost from one economic unit (business, government, banks, non-banks and others) to another for relatively short periods of time. 78
  • 13. MONEY MARKET (particularly swaps) for liquidity management. In addition Certificates. Moreover, in Thailand, other bonds such to marketable debt instruments, non-marketable debt as Financial Institution Development Fund Bonds and instruments and even some equities are eligible for repos. Government Guaranteed State Enterprise Bonds are These are of two types, viz., Tier-1 fulfilling uniform euro used for repo operations. Foreign exchange swap is area-wide eligibility criteria of ECB and Tier-2, subject another instrument that the Bank of Thailand uses to to the eligible criteria specified by the national central influence liquidity conditions in the money market. banks and the ECB. 3.58 In Japan, the most active money market Tenor segment involves very short-term transactions, which 3.61 In the US, although maturities of MMIs range include the borrowing and lending of funds in the call from one day to one year, the maturity of most market with or without collateral; the sale and common instruments is three months or less. In the purchase of short-term securities such as CPs, CDs UK, the main items in “period money” are borrowed and short-term government bills such as Treasury for 1 and 3 months, but banks may also borrow for a Bills; and repo transactions with government and/ week or for almost any time up to 12 months. The municipal securities, government guaranteed bonds, CDs issued by the building societies and actively corporate bonds and foreign government bonds as traded by banks and discount houses have an original eligible collaterals. Purchases of shor t-ter m maturity of less than one year (although some CDs government bills are used most frequently. have a maturity of over a year). They are all short- 3.59 In Australia, the list of securities eligible under term bearer negotiable debt instruments that are the Intra-day Repurchase Agreement Facility either issued at a discount or bear a coupon. In the (introduced in 1998) has been broadened to cover case of ECB, the maturity of refinancing operations several other instr uments. These include ranges from 1-week to 3-months and for debt commonwealth gover nment secur ities (CGS), securities up to 12- months. Japan’s tenor for its repo domestic debt securities and discount instruments is in the range of 1 week to 6-months. In Canada, the issued by the central borrowing authorities of State maturity of Treasury Bills ranges from 1-month to 1- and Territory Governments (permitted in 1997), and year and that of money market STRIPS up to 18 bank bills and CDs issued by select banks and select months and Government guaranteed CPs from 1- debt securities of approved supranational institutions month to 1-year. and foreign Governments. At the other end of the 3.62 In other countries also, money market spectrum, Canadian MMIs comprise short-term papers instruments are mostly short-term in nature – with of maturity up to 18 months that are issued by the tenor being generally less than a year. In most Government, banks and corporations and are available countries, call money transactions and the repurchase in the US and Canadian dollars. MMIs mainly comprise agreements serve as the shorter duration segment Treasury Bills and money market strips issued and of money markets. The tenor of Treasury Bills is of guaranteed by the Government of Canada. There are nor mally 91-day, 182-day and 364-day. Market also Government guaranteed CPs, which are short-term Stabilisation Bonds in Korea even have 546-day promissory notes issued by the Crown Corporations maturity period. In the case of certain instruments such as Canadian Wheat Board and the Federal such as negotiable certificates of deposit (NCDs), Business Development Bank. The other MMIs include tenor may be as long as five years also. Treasury Bills and promissory notes issued by the Provincial Governments, bankers’ acceptances issued Participants by corporations with an unconditional guarantee of a 3.63 The major participants in the US money market major Canadian chartered bank and CPs issued by the are commercial banks, Governments, corporations, major corporations. Government-sponsored enterprises, money market 3.60 In several other EMEs such as Russia, South mutual funds, futures market exchanges, brokers and Africa, China, Malaysia and Korea, the main money dealers and the Fed. Commercial banks are the major market instruments are government Treasury Bills, participants in the market for federal funds, which are repurchase agreements, bankers’ acceptances, CPs very short-term, mainly overnight. Banks act as and CDs. In countries such as Thailand and Indonesia, dealers in the money market for over-the-counter central banks have aimed to expand the range of interest rate derivatives, which has grown rapidly in instruments by issuing their own bonds/certificates, recent years. The Federal Reserve is also a key viz., Bank of Thailand Bonds and Bank of Indonesia participant in the US money market. 79
  • 14. REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE 3.64 Another important group of participants in the 3.68 In most other countries, commercial banks, US money markets include money market mutual central banks, regional banks, specialised banks, funds and local Government investment pools. These investment and finance companies, merchant banking pools, which were virtually non-existent before the corporations, investment trust companies, insurance mid-1970s, have grown to be one of the largest companies, securities finance corporations, credit financial intermediaries in the US. A distinct feature insurance funds and business enterprises are the of the US money market is that there are groups of major participants in the money market. privately owned financial intermediaries sponsored by the Government who raise the funds and channel III. MONEY MARKET IN INDIA – UP TO THE them to farming and housing sectors of the economy. MID-1980s 3.65 In the UK, trading in the money market takes 3.69 The Indian money market prior to the 1980s place on an over-the-counter (OTC) basis for the was characterised by paucity of instruments, lack of same day settlement. The money market attracts a depth and dichotomy in the market structure. The wide range of participants such as the Government, money market consisted of the inter-bank call market, banking sector, industry and financial institutions such Treasury Bills, commercial bills and participation as pension funds. The Bank of England and the UK certificates. Historically, the call money market has Debt Management Office also make use of the money constituted the core of the money market structure in market on a daily basis to fulfil their official obligations. India due to lack of other instruments and strict Participants in the UK inter-bank market comprise the regulations on interest rates and participation. whole of the banking community (including the discount houses) and non-bank institutions (such as 3.70 In the call/notice money market, overnight building societies) and the market is served by a money and money at short notice (up to a period of number of money market brokers. 14 days) are lent and borrowed without collateral. This market enables banks to bridge their short-term 3.66 In the Euro system, the ECB, national central liquidity mismatches arising out of their day-to-day banks, the Governments and the eligible credit operations. The call money market in India was purely institutions participate in the money market. Similarly, an inter-bank market until 1971 when the erstwhile in Australia, the Central Government, State and Unit Tr ust of India (UTI) and Life Insurance Territorial Gover nments, the Reser ve Bank of Corporation (LIC) of India were allowed to participate Australia, banks, Gover nment agencies, other as lenders. The interest rate in the call money market Gover nments of the Commonwealth and was freely determined by the market till December supranational institutions are the major participants. 1973. However, as call money rates increased sharply In the case of Canada, the participants include both to touch 25-30 per cent, the Indian Banks’ Association Federal and Provincial Governments, banks, major (IBA) instituted an administered system of interest Crown Corporations such as Canadian Wheat Board rates by imposing a ceiling interest rate of 15 per cent and Federal Business Development Bank. in December 1973 so as to maintain systemic stability 3.67 In Japan, business units of Japanese and and quell any abnormal rise in the call rates. The non-Japanese banks located in Japan participate in ceiling was subject to several revisions but there were the uncollateralised money market to raise funds. The several instances of violation of the ceiling rates major participants in the uncollateralised overnight through other means (like buy-back arrangements) call money market are the city banks which have the during phases of tight liquidity. largest share as borrowers, while regional banks act 3.71 Treasur y Bills constituted the main as major lenders. The other participants include instr ument of shor t-ter m borrowing by the institutional investors such as investment trusts, trust Government and served as a convenient gilt-edged banks, regional banks, life insurance companies, security for the money market. The characteristics specialised money market brokers and Keito 6 . The of high liquidity, absence of default risk and negligible counterparties of the Bank of Japan include banks, capital depreciation of Treasury Bills made them securities companies, security finance companies and another attractive instr ument for shor t-ter m money market brokers (Tanshi companies). investment by banks and other financial institutions. 6 Keito is a central financing organisation for financial co-operatives such as small and medium sized businesses, agriculture, forestry, and fishery co-operatives. 80
  • 15. MONEY MARKET The Reser ve Bank, being the banker to the banks. The prevalence of administered structure in Government, issued Treasury Bills at a discount. The the money market did not permit interest rates to issuance system of Treasury Bills migrated from an reflect the actual extent of scarcity of funds. Owing to auction to tap basis in July 1965 with the rate of limited participation, money market liquidity was highly discount administratively fixed at 3.5 per cent per skewed, characterised by a few dominant lenders and annum, which was raised to 4.6 per cent by July 1974 a large number of chronic borrowers. Faced with these and remained at that level in respect of 91-day impediments, together with limited Reserve Bank’s Treasury Bills till 1991. There was also a system of refinance, banks often faced either short-term liquidity ad hoc Treasury Bills from 1955, which were created problems for meeting the statutor y reser ve by the Central Government in favour of the Reserve requirements or remained saddled with excess Bank to automatically restore its cash balances to liquidity. Banks parked surplus funds, in the absence the minimum stipulated level, whenever there was of alternative instruments, in Treasury Bills before excess drawdown of cash. rediscounting them with the Reserve Bank so as to meet the cash reserve requirements on an average 3.72 Par ticipation cer tificates (PCs) and basis dur ing the repor ting period. This led to commercial bills (under bills rediscounting scheme) significant fluctuations in banks’ investments in were introduced in the money market in 1970. PCs Treasury Bills and also their cash balances with the were utilised mostly by financial institutions to park Reserve Bank, thereby complicating the task of their funds for longer maturities and could not be monetary management. Furthermore, in addition to developed for meeting liquidity mismatches between the rediscounted regular Treasury Bills, the Reserve financial institutions and/or banks. Under the bills Bank also had to hold the ad hoc Treasury Bills (issued rediscounting scheme, the Reser ve Bank by the Government of India with a fixed 4.6 per cent rediscounted genuine trade bills at the Bank Rate or interest rate since July 1974) under the system of at a rate specified by it. The underlying purpose of automatic monetisation, thereby constraining the developing the bill market was to enable banks and emergence of Treasury Bills as a money market other financial institutions to invest their surplus funds instrument. Moreover, the government securities profitably by selecting appropriate maturities. Over the market was also characterised by administered years, the rediscounting facility became restrictive and interest rates and captive investor base, which made was made available on a discretionary basis. The main open market operations an ineffective instrument of factors inhibiting the development of bill finance were monetary control thereby constraining, to a large lack of a bill culture, non-availability of stamp papers extent, the regular management of short-term liquidity of required denominations, absence of specialised by the Reserve Bank. credit information agencies and an active secondary mar ket. Both these instr uments (par ticipation IV. EVOLUTION OF RESERVE BANK’S LIQUIDITY certificates and commercial bills), however, did not MANAGEMENT develop and activity in these instruments remained 3.75 The nascent state of development of the insignificant. money market in India and the administered interest 3.73 As a result of inadequate depth and liquidity rate structure inhibited active liquidity management in the organised money market, the sectoral financing operations of the Reserve Bank. The Reserve Bank gaps (i.e., the requirements of unsatisfied borrowers regulated market liquidity by essentially operating in the organised financial system) were met by the through direct instruments such as CRR and sector- unorganised market. The interest rate in this segment specific refinance. As monetary policy was largely was generally higher than that in the organised market contingent on the fiscal stance, monetary operations reflective of the actual market conditions. As bank were undertaken to neutralise the fiscal impact. credit (both aggregate and sectoral) was the principal Consequently, with the dominance of the quantum focus of monetary policy making under the credit channel in the transmission mechanism, there was planning approach adopted in 1967-68, this little scope of signalling monetary policy changes dichotomous nature of the money market served the through indirect instruments. Therefore, the money requirement of monetary management. market increasingly reflected the spillover impact of monetary policy operations through direct instruments. 3.74 To sum up, the money market during this The increasingly unsustainable fiscal conditions, as period could not provide an equilibrating market reflected in macroeconomic imbalances, necessitated mechanism for meeting short-term liquidity needs for structural reforms from the early 1990s. Consequently, 81
  • 16. REPORT ON CURRENCY AND FINANCE the emphasis on the market paradigm gathered began to pay greater attention to the movements in momentum, warranting greater use of indirect monetary aggregates. Against this backdrop, the instruments for the conduct of monetary policy. Committee to Review the Working of the Monetary Concomitantly, the Reserve Bank refined its operating System (Chairman: Sukhamoy Chakravarty, 1985) procedures of liquidity management in tandem with recommended a framework of monetary targeting with the changing financial landscape. Major developments feedback. In pursuance of the recommendations of in the liquidity management operations of the Reserve this Committee, the Reserve Bank began to target a Bank and developments of money market have taken desirable growth in money supply consistent with a place since the mid-1980s. However, in order to tolerable level of inflation and expected output growth place these developments in proper perspective, it (RBI, 1985). Thus, broad money emerged as an may be useful to understand the broad contours of intermediate target of monetary policy and the liquidity management by the Reserve Bank since Reserve Bank began to formally announce monetary the late 1960s. targets as nominal anchor for inflation. 3.76 Monetary policy up to the mid-1980s was 3.78 The adoption of monetar y targeting predominantly conducted through direct instruments necessitated considerable changes in the operating with credit budgets for the banks being framed in sync procedures of monetary policy. Over the years, the with monetary budgeting (Mohan, op. cit). This period Reserve Bank, through its refinancing and open was marked by administered interest rates, credit market operations, had already succeeded, to a large ceilings, directed lending, automatic monetisation of extent, in reducing the level of interest rates in general deficits and fixed exchange rates. The Indian economy and the call money rate in particular; albeit by varying functioned essentially as a closed and controlled the ceiling rate (it reached 8.5 per cent by March 1978 economy with the role of market being virtually non- although it was again raised to 10.0 per cent in April existent due to the existing structural rigidities in the 1980). However, the fiscal dominance since the late system. In the absence of a formal intermediate target, 1970s made the traditional instruments of Bank Rate bank credit - aggregate as well as sectoral – came to and OMO less effective. The scope for OMO was serve as a proximate target of monetary policy after limited as yields were governed by an administered the adoption of credit planning in 1967-68 (Jalan, interest rate regime, including sale of Treasury Bills 2002). The money market was essentially represented on tap at a coupon of 4.6 per cent fixed since 1974 by the inter-bank call market, where activity was (Mohan, op. cit). In this scenario, the Reserve Bank mainly driven by the banks’ demand for reserves for began to use reser ve requirements and credit meeting their statutory commitments. Furthermore, planning for modulating monetar y and liquidity strong seasonality in demand for money and credit conditions. As a result, the CRR reached the ceiling during agricultural seasons also influenced market of 15 per cent of net demand and time liabilities activity. In the presence of skewed distribution of (NDTL) in July 1989 and the SLR reached the peak liquidity, these factors made the call money rates of 38.5 per cent in September 1990. The increase in highly volatile, necessitating imposition of interest rate SLR was, however, unable to fully meet the financing ceilings. In the absence of stability in the money requirements of the Government, thereby leading to market, and with planned allocation of credit under monetary accommodation by the Reserve Bank (RBI, an administered structure of interest rates, the 2004a). As monetary financing of fiscal deficits is Reserve Bank had little choice but to conduct its inflationary beyond a point, an increase in the Reserve liquidity management operations through a standard Bank’s support to the Government was accompanied mix of OMOs and changes in the Bank Rate. The by an increase in CRR to rein in monetary expansion. OMOs were conducted through outright transactions Despite these measures, however, money supply in government securities. growth remained high and contributed to inflation. This underscored the need for monetar y-fiscal co- 3.77 Although credit planning guided monetary ordination in achieving price stability. policy, the concerns about rising inflation during the 1970s and the 1980s attracted a good deal of policy 3.79 In tandem with the shifts in operating attention. Apart from supply shocks (oil prices and procedures, the proper development of the money crop failures), inflation was increasingly believed to market was also emphasised, partly due to the be caused by excessive monetar y expansion success in lowering the call money rates, albeit, generated by large scale monetisation of fiscal deficits through reductions in interest rate ceilings. The during the 1980s. Accordingly, the Reserve Bank Chakravarty Committee (1985) was the first to make 82