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Opportunities Challenges
Context




               Sanjana Hattotuwa

    Senior Researcher, Centre for Policy Alternatives
      Ashoka News and Knowledge Entrepreneur
HELP WANTED
         Immediate
Opening!
 Sri Lankan newspapers seek individuals who can rescue
    print media from impending irrelevance. Qualified
applicants must possess new media skills and understand
   web technologies. Getting people to pay for online
              content will be added bonus.

 Must be able to work from home, on the road and at
            office. Mobile phone essential.

      Persons resistant to change need not apply.
Context
ECONOMICS TODAY
    Context




    Not a happy time. Global recession + local fiscal mismanagement + media
•
    repression = fragmented, cash strapped markets

    Cover prices and subscriptions do not cover costs of content production
•

    Advertisers have a de facto control over print and electronic media
•

    Readers of alternative press are not purchasers. Same problem with new
•
    media!

    Lack of advertising increases costs, decreases market share, volume,
•
    distribution and impact
ECONOMICS TODAY
 Context




         may have to shut down. Spectrum will struggle
• Montage
 without GoSL ads.

            Leader recently had the worst ad revenues in 13 years
• Sunday

             Leader shut down, never profitable
• Morning

• WithoutGoSL ads, any publication finds it hard to survive.
 GoSL ads only go to State media.

• Vicious   cycle of financial crisis
Challenges
FOES OF FOE
Challenges
SCENARIOS

    War heightens / risk increases / FOE decreases
•

    Violence continues / print & electronic suffer / web media stronger
•

    War ends / FOE increases / media freedom flourishes
•

    Irrespective of war trajectory, web media grows wider and deeper, including
•
    diaspora content production

    Terrorism slow burn / status quo continues
•

    Journalists leave Sri Lanka / continue to write
•
CONVERGENCE | QUAD PLAY
                      Internet
Challenges




             TV
                                 Telephony


                  Wireless
CONVERGENCE CREATES
             CENSORS
Challenges




• Tamilnet.com       blocked since June 2007

• Teleconferencing       disallowed on Suntel

• SMS        blocked on independence day / Dialog blocks JNW

• Mobile       telephony regularly shut off in embattled areas

• Telcos      complying with unwritten MoD diktats?
Opportunities
6 DRIVING FORCES
1.Increasing media consumption

                                 Generational
2.Fragmentation

3.Participation

4.Personalisation
                                  Business
5.New revenue models (?)
                                 Technology
6.Broadband availability
FUTURE TRENDS
Opportunities




    New Media and Citizen Journalism will merge with MSM
•

    Consumers will become producers
•

    Citizen will become witnesses who report
•

    Audiences will fragment, broadcast and distribution will be redefined
•

    MSM on the web will become places not static products.
•

    News will be a conversation - reported and then responded to.
•

    Mobiles will be ubiquitous and everyone will be addressable
•
GLOBAL TRENDS
WHERE WILL REVENUE COME
         FROM?




         Accenture, 2007


                           Monetising user generated content
CONTENT CONSUMPTION




       Accenture, 2007
YOUTUBE.COM

   billion video streams watched by 91 million viewers in
•5
 September ’08
• Average      duration 2.9 minutes
• 44%    of online video on Google / YouTube
• Average      of 55 videos a month per user
• In   July ’08, Americans watched 11.4 billion videos, a total
        Source: http://www.comscore.com/press/release.asp?press=2444
PRINT OR ONLINE?




                      Accenture, 2007



Moving away from print and terrestrial to online media
PRINT IN ASIA
400,000


300,000


200,000


100,000


       0
        2003         2004         2005     2006     2007


            Asia          Europe         North America
 Source: Time Magazine, 2 March 2009
PRINT VS ONLINE IN SRI LANKA
PRINT VS ONLINE IN SRI LANKA
HOW THE WEB HAS
CHANGED THE MEDIA
    INDUSTRY
CNN IREPORT
NOWPUBLIC.COM
DEMOTIX
USTREAM MOBILE
FACEBOOK FOR STRONGER SOCIAL
          NETWORKING




IFJ campaign to free Tissa


                             Pissu Poona
Source: http://apramana.com/web/top-10-sri-lankan-twitter-users/
                                                                   TWITTER
SRI LANKAN /
DEVELOPING WORLD
      TRENDS
MOBILE GROWTH IN SRI
           LANKA
                      Mobiles (in millions)
                      Fixed lines (in millions)


8


6


4


2




                                                                 Lirneasia
0
 2001   2002   2003           2004          2005   2006   2007
OVERALL
    200,000 broadband users
•


    Several thousand mobile broadband users
•


    3 million fixed lines / 8 million mobiles / 11 million SIMs (Source: Lirneasia)
•


    Heavy use of SMS
•


    Most newspapers have websites
•


    Around 1,000 blogs
•


    Facebook groups / social networking vibrant particular in Middle East
•
WEB BASED CITIZEN
JOURNALISM IN SRI LANKA
INFORMANTS
VERNACULAR NEW MEDIA

• Vikalpa YouTube
                videos watched hundreds of thousands of
 times (~200 from Nokia 93i, ~150 from DV)

• Shortvideo vernacular content more popular than vernacular
 blogging

• CPA   first with tri-lingual UNICODE website.

• 100+ Sinhala and Tamil blogs on Kottu, out of over 300 in just
 the past two years.
IS SLPI TEACHING ITS
STUDENTS TO LEVERAGE
WEB 2.0 AND NEW MEDIA?
MOBILE / SMS NEWS




                      1,000 SMS messages
  Rs. 8,053 via http://www.intellisms.co.uk
                        Rs. 1,000 on Dialog
IMPACT OF NEW MEDIA: LONG TERM


• Emphasison communicative rights: citizens have a right to
 produce and access a wide and diverse range of information
 and views that inform them on the main issues of the day.

• Information   treated as a public good

• Freedom   of expression not simply the media’s right to
 publish / produce but the ability and rights to participate in the
 discussions
IMPACT OF NEW MEDIA: LONG TERM
             (LONG TAIL)


• Hyper-local, topic   specific media now possible

• Niche   content attracts consumers over time

• Niche   content archives become valuable over time

• E.g. paddy cultivation best practices in Mahaweli C Sector, surf
 conditions in Arugam Bay, garment sector worker’s mobile blog
GROUNDVIEWS VS. THE
     ISLAND
EVOLUTION OF MEDIA
                 ETHICS
    Groundviews vs. The Island (PCC useless in 2007) but Editor asks for
•
    reprint permission in 2009

    The Sri Lankan blogosphere vs. Lakbima (emergence of a strong new
•
    media collective)

    MSM journalists will need to recognise blogs are legitimate sources of
•
    information - attributing them correctly

    Media trust models will need to develop to determine bias of
•
    crowdsourced journalism
HOW WILL YOU RESPOND


• How   will you shape the institution to deal with these trends -
 political and technological?

• How will you shape the training to address the development
 in media?
THANK YOU

 sanjana@cpalanka.org

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Media Trends and Training in Sri Lanka

  • 1. Opportunities Challenges Context Sanjana Hattotuwa Senior Researcher, Centre for Policy Alternatives Ashoka News and Knowledge Entrepreneur
  • 2. HELP WANTED Immediate
Opening! Sri Lankan newspapers seek individuals who can rescue print media from impending irrelevance. Qualified applicants must possess new media skills and understand web technologies. Getting people to pay for online content will be added bonus. Must be able to work from home, on the road and at office. Mobile phone essential. Persons resistant to change need not apply.
  • 4. ECONOMICS TODAY Context Not a happy time. Global recession + local fiscal mismanagement + media • repression = fragmented, cash strapped markets Cover prices and subscriptions do not cover costs of content production • Advertisers have a de facto control over print and electronic media • Readers of alternative press are not purchasers. Same problem with new • media! Lack of advertising increases costs, decreases market share, volume, • distribution and impact
  • 5. ECONOMICS TODAY Context may have to shut down. Spectrum will struggle • Montage without GoSL ads. Leader recently had the worst ad revenues in 13 years • Sunday Leader shut down, never profitable • Morning • WithoutGoSL ads, any publication finds it hard to survive. GoSL ads only go to State media. • Vicious cycle of financial crisis
  • 8. SCENARIOS War heightens / risk increases / FOE decreases • Violence continues / print & electronic suffer / web media stronger • War ends / FOE increases / media freedom flourishes • Irrespective of war trajectory, web media grows wider and deeper, including • diaspora content production Terrorism slow burn / status quo continues • Journalists leave Sri Lanka / continue to write •
  • 9. CONVERGENCE | QUAD PLAY Internet Challenges TV Telephony Wireless
  • 10. CONVERGENCE CREATES CENSORS Challenges • Tamilnet.com blocked since June 2007 • Teleconferencing disallowed on Suntel • SMS blocked on independence day / Dialog blocks JNW • Mobile telephony regularly shut off in embattled areas • Telcos complying with unwritten MoD diktats?
  • 12. 6 DRIVING FORCES 1.Increasing media consumption Generational 2.Fragmentation 3.Participation 4.Personalisation Business 5.New revenue models (?) Technology 6.Broadband availability
  • 13. FUTURE TRENDS Opportunities New Media and Citizen Journalism will merge with MSM • Consumers will become producers • Citizen will become witnesses who report • Audiences will fragment, broadcast and distribution will be redefined • MSM on the web will become places not static products. • News will be a conversation - reported and then responded to. • Mobiles will be ubiquitous and everyone will be addressable •
  • 15. WHERE WILL REVENUE COME FROM? Accenture, 2007 Monetising user generated content
  • 16. CONTENT CONSUMPTION Accenture, 2007
  • 17. YOUTUBE.COM billion video streams watched by 91 million viewers in •5 September ’08 • Average duration 2.9 minutes • 44% of online video on Google / YouTube • Average of 55 videos a month per user • In July ’08, Americans watched 11.4 billion videos, a total Source: http://www.comscore.com/press/release.asp?press=2444
  • 18. PRINT OR ONLINE? Accenture, 2007 Moving away from print and terrestrial to online media
  • 19. PRINT IN ASIA 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Asia Europe North America Source: Time Magazine, 2 March 2009
  • 20. PRINT VS ONLINE IN SRI LANKA
  • 21. PRINT VS ONLINE IN SRI LANKA
  • 22. HOW THE WEB HAS CHANGED THE MEDIA INDUSTRY
  • 27. FACEBOOK FOR STRONGER SOCIAL NETWORKING IFJ campaign to free Tissa Pissu Poona
  • 29. SRI LANKAN / DEVELOPING WORLD TRENDS
  • 30. MOBILE GROWTH IN SRI LANKA Mobiles (in millions) Fixed lines (in millions) 8 6 4 2 Lirneasia 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
  • 31. OVERALL 200,000 broadband users • Several thousand mobile broadband users • 3 million fixed lines / 8 million mobiles / 11 million SIMs (Source: Lirneasia) • Heavy use of SMS • Most newspapers have websites • Around 1,000 blogs • Facebook groups / social networking vibrant particular in Middle East •
  • 34. VERNACULAR NEW MEDIA • Vikalpa YouTube videos watched hundreds of thousands of times (~200 from Nokia 93i, ~150 from DV) • Shortvideo vernacular content more popular than vernacular blogging • CPA first with tri-lingual UNICODE website. • 100+ Sinhala and Tamil blogs on Kottu, out of over 300 in just the past two years.
  • 35. IS SLPI TEACHING ITS STUDENTS TO LEVERAGE WEB 2.0 AND NEW MEDIA?
  • 36. MOBILE / SMS NEWS 1,000 SMS messages Rs. 8,053 via http://www.intellisms.co.uk Rs. 1,000 on Dialog
  • 37. IMPACT OF NEW MEDIA: LONG TERM • Emphasison communicative rights: citizens have a right to produce and access a wide and diverse range of information and views that inform them on the main issues of the day. • Information treated as a public good • Freedom of expression not simply the media’s right to publish / produce but the ability and rights to participate in the discussions
  • 38. IMPACT OF NEW MEDIA: LONG TERM (LONG TAIL) • Hyper-local, topic specific media now possible • Niche content attracts consumers over time • Niche content archives become valuable over time • E.g. paddy cultivation best practices in Mahaweli C Sector, surf conditions in Arugam Bay, garment sector worker’s mobile blog
  • 40. EVOLUTION OF MEDIA ETHICS Groundviews vs. The Island (PCC useless in 2007) but Editor asks for • reprint permission in 2009 The Sri Lankan blogosphere vs. Lakbima (emergence of a strong new • media collective) MSM journalists will need to recognise blogs are legitimate sources of • information - attributing them correctly Media trust models will need to develop to determine bias of • crowdsourced journalism
  • 41. HOW WILL YOU RESPOND • How will you shape the institution to deal with these trends - political and technological? • How will you shape the training to address the development in media?