The document discusses new transportation technologies being developed by IBM. It describes IBM's Intelligent Transportation initiatives which use vast amounts of real-time sensor data and advanced algorithms to improve traffic prediction, optimize public transit systems, and dynamically adjust transportation pricing. One key technology is the Traffic Prediction Tool which forecasts future traffic conditions up to an hour in advance to help manage traffic operations more effectively.

1. New Technologies to Shape The Future of Transport: “It’s About the Data” !
! Presented at Transforming Transportation 2014!
! David E. Pickeral, JD, Transportation Sector Lead!
! IBM Industry Smarter Solutions Team!
Transforming Transportation 2014!

2. New Technologies to Shape The Future
of Transport: “It’s About the Data”
Plenary Session: Transforming Transportation Through Technology
David E. Pickeral, JD
Transportation Sector Lead
IBM Industry Smarter Solutions Team
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation

3. IBM Intelligent Transportation (IIT)
Computational Engineering challenges
•
•
•
TOAS: Public Transportation Awareness
Urban Dynamics:
Traffic Prediction Tool
•
Megaffic: Agent based Traffic Management
Dublin
China
Zurich
Watson
Almaden
Austin
•
Smarter Traveler
•
•
Haifa
Saudi Arabia
•
Nairobi
Brazil
Multi-modal Transportation Pricing
DOCIT
Tokyo
India
•
Never Blocked
Analytics for frugal ITS
Melbourne
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation
3

4. IBM Intelligent Transportation (IIT)
Transportation Management Solutions – Functionality
Data Needed
Road sensor
Transit &
Movement
Transportation
(Mobile, GPS, etc.)
System
Network GIS
People count,
Behavior
Vehicle location
& flow
Fare rules
Analyses / Projects
Journey
Management
System
Zonal densities and
Interzonal O/D
matrices
Transit network
Simulation and
Operational plan
Optimization
Analysis of passenger
Spatio-temporal
Distribution
Dynamic route
Reconstruction and
Time of arrival
prediction
Network-wide
Optimization of prices
To maximize revenue
Or profit
Traffic simulation
Results Provided
Journey history,
travel time predictions
Upcoming travel
Actionable information
Optimized transit
Routes and scenario
Planning
Passenger O/D
matrices
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation
Decision support for
Public transportation
Network planning
Predicted time of
Arrival
Predicted traffic
Conditions upto 1-hour
ahead
Route performance,
Road speed, vehicle
location
Optimized prices,
Revenue potential
Under different rules
And assumptions
4

5. IBM Intelligent Transportation (IIT)
Smarter Traveler
notifies users in case of transportation incidents
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation
5

6. Driver Services - Transportation Management
Smarter Traveler: Solution Architecture
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation
6

7. IBM Intelligent Transportation (IIT)
Traffic Prediction Tool (TPT)
ID 103063556
ID 103064570
3500
Little automated use is made of the gigabytes of real-time
traffic data today; often, by the time it is received, it is no
longer representative of the actual traffic
0
500
1500
IBM’s TPT provides a layer of intelligence by using sensor
data in sophisticated algorithms that create relevant
insights from the raw data
500
200
2500
2500
► IBM Innovation: forecast the future
REAL[pl, ]
400
REAL[pl, ]
► Issue: “real-time” is too late
1500
600
800
3500
ID 103011024
200
250
0
50
blue = forecast
150
200
250
0
250
100
time
100
150
0
200
250
150
200
REAL[pl, ]
250
200
ID 103064789
TPT accurately
forecasts future
traffic conditions,
including incidents
0
50
ID 103072372
100
150
200
ID 103102451
Extension: Data Expansion
r
r
r r
r r r
rr
r r rrr r r r
r
r r r r r rrrrrr r
r
r rr
r
r
r
rr
r
r rr
rr r r r rr
r
r
rr r rr
r
r rr
r r r r r r rr rr rr rrr
r
r
r r rr r rrr r
r
rrr rrr r r
r
r rr r
r r
rr r r r
r r
r
r
r rr r
r
r
r r
r
rr r rrr
rrr r r
rr
r
r rr
rr
rr r
r r r rr
r
r rrr
r
rrrr
rr rr r rrr rr r
r
r
r r
rr rr r
r r
r rrrrr
r
0
50
4000
r r
300
REAL[pl, ]
3000
2000
1000
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation
50
100
(2008 IME) develop algorithm to fill in
gaps of real-time sensor data, resulting
Traffic Planning; Dynamic
Road Pricing; congestion
based tariff setting; route
planning & advice
4000
Traffic Operations:
Variable Message Sign
setting; traffic signal
timing, ramp metering
50
150
in a complete picture of future traffic
state, network-wide
100
150
200
1000
Future Use
5000
Current Focus
500
0
REAL[pl, ]
200
ID 103067974
0
3000
1000
150
100
2500
4000
100
400
50
r
r
200
0
rr
r
r
rr r r
r r
r r
r rr
r rr r r
r
r r rr
rr
2000
REAL[pl, ]
tool screenshot
50
red = incident
ID 103064655
volume
1000 2000 3000 4000 5000
ID 103064571
100
black = actual
3500
150
1500
100
3000
50
2000
0
7
250
0
50
100
7 150
200

8. IBM Intelligent Transportation (IIT)
Dynamic Optimization of Community Intermodal Transportation (DOCIT)
Typical Scenario:
• A family travels from Birmensdorf (ZH)
to the Zoo.
Several possibilities with different
• Modes
• Connections
• Transfers
and uncertainties!
• Delays
• Lack of parking
• Traffic jams
• …
Use Case 2
Operator facing optimization
Use Case 1
Personal Journey Planning
• Provides API to external applications to plan
a journey in a multi-modal network and track
trip progress
• Re-plan when User is off-track; Events
invalidate plan; Events create better
opportunities
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation
• Derive and communicate to operator performance
measures based on how the system works for a user
-
Account for uncertainties
Performance Metrics: journey times, wait times,
missed connections, walk access distances
-
• Make recommendations on schedule refinements
8

9. IBM Intelligent Transportation (IIT)
Analytics Driven Asset Management - ADAM
Descriptive, Predictive and
Prescriptive Analytics
• Maintenance Planning
• Maintenance Scheduling
• Replacement Planning
• Condition Assessment
• Failure Cause Analysis
• Failure Prediction
• Usage Analysis
• Customer Analysis
ADAM
Insight,
Foresight and Prescriptions
Data
Data à Operational, Failure, Usage, Condition, Customer, Location
• Asset Management
• Work Management
• Service Management
• Inventory / Contract
• Procurement Management
Scada, Sensors, Inspection, Metering Systems
EAM / SCADA
Enterprise Asset Management
Assets
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation
9

10. IBM Intelligent Transportation (IIT)
PALM: Planning Analytics for Asset Lifecycle Management
Profile
Infrastructure
Profile
Predict
Prescribe
Coordinate
Strategic Needs &
Sustainability
Assessment (replace vs.
Predictive
Analytics
Act
Cross Agency
Project
Identification
rehab vs. run to failure)
Investment
Planning – O&M
vs. Capital
Unified information portal of Region Assets across all agencies
Road
Water Sanitary / Storm
Enterprise Asset
Management
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation
GIS
Ponds
Bike Paths Signs
Pavement
Agency Plan
(O&M + Capital)
Buildings
Agency
Financials
10

11. Thank You
depicker@us.ibm.com
www.linkedin.com/in/pickeral
© 2014 International Business Machines Corporation
11