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Articles
http://neurology.thelancet.com Vol 5 December 2006 1029
Effect of nimodipine on outcome in patients with traumatic
subarachnoid haemorrhage: a systematic review
Mervyn D IVergouwen, MarinusVermeulen,Yvo BW E M Roos
Summary
Background Despite several randomised controlled trials, there is still much debate whether nimodipine improves
outcome in patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage. A 2003 Cochrane review reported improved outcome
with nimodipine in these patients; however, because the results of Head Injury Trial (HIT) 4 were only partly presented
there is still discussion whether patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage should be treated with this drug.
Here, we present data from all head-injury trials, including previously unpublished results from HIT 4.
Methods We systematically searched PubMed and EMBASE databases using the following combinations of variables:
“nimodipine” or “calcium antagonist” with “traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage”, “head injury”, “head trauma”,
“brain injury”, or “brain trauma”. Bayer AG and all principal investigators or corresponding authors of the identified
studies were contacted for additional information.
Findings Five manuscripts were identified, describing the results of four trials. We obtained additional data from HIT
1, 2, and 4. In total, 1074 patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage were included. The occurrence of poor
outcome was similar in patients treated with nimodipine (39%) and those treated with placebo (40%); odds ratio was
0·88 (95% CI 0·51–1·54). Mortality rates did not differ between nimodipine (26%) and placebo (27%) treated patients
(odds ratio 0·95; 95% CI 0·71–1·26).
Interpretation Our results do not lend support to the finding of a beneficial effect of nimodipine on outcome in
patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage as reported in an earlier Cochrane review.
Introduction
In patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage,
nimodipine has been shown to be effective in the
prevention of ischaemic complications after haemorrhage
resulting in improved outcome.1
Since nimodipine is
believed to have neuroprotective properties, the drug was
suggested to be of potential benefit in patients with
traumatic head injury.
The first report on nimodipine treatment in patients
with severe head injury dates from 1984.2
The first
randomised controlled trials investigating the effect of
nimodipine in head injury the Head Injury Trials (HIT) 1
and 2 were published in the early 1990s.3,4
In the overall
analysis of these studies, no reduction in poor outcome
was shown. However, in a subgroup analysis of HIT 2, a
possible beneficial effect was noted in patients with
traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage. Because of these
findings, HIT 3 was initiated in which only head-injury
patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage were
included.5
The HIT 3 study showed a small but significant
beneficial effect in nimodipine-treated patients. To confirm
this favourable effect in a much larger group of patients,
HIT 4 was started. Unexpectedly, HIT 4 showed a
significant increase in poor outcome in nimodipine-treated
patients. Possibly because of this disappointing result, the
results of HIT 4 have never been published in detail, but
some of the results were presented at a conference.
In 2003, a Cochrane review on the effects of calcium
antagonists on outcome in patients with head injury was
published, which concluded that there is no beneficial
effect of nimodipine on outcome in head-injury patients.6
However, in the subgroup of patients with traumatic
subarachnoid haemorrhage nimodipine was shown to
improve outcome.
Because the results of HIT 4 were only partly presented,
there is still much debate as to whether patients with
traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage should be treated
with nimodipine. Here we present for the first time the
data of all head-injury trials, including previously
unpublished results from the HIT 4 trial.
Methods
Search strategy and selection criteria of studies
We systematically searched the electronic PubMed and
EMBASE databases up to 2006 (week 10) for the following
combinations of variables: “nimodipine” or “calcium
antagonist” with “traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage”,
“head injury”, “head trauma”, “brain injury”, or “brain
trauma”. Randomised controlled studies from the English,
German, and French published work were included.
Animal studies were excluded. Bayer AG and all principal
investigators or corresponding authors of the identified
studies were contacted for additional information. All
randomised controlled trials investigating the effect of
the calcium antagonist nimodipine in patients with head
injury were included, irrespective of dose, route of
administration, and duration of treatment.
The Glasgow outcome scale was measured 6 months
after head injury.7
Primary outcome was a poor outcome,
defined as death, vegetative state, or severe disability.
Lancet Neurol 2006; 5: 1029–32
Published Online
October 17, 2006
DOI:10.1016/S1474-
4422(06)70582-8
See Reflection and Reaction
page 993
Department of Neurology,
Academic Medical Centre,
Meibergdreef 9, Amsterdam,
Netherlands
(M D IVergouwen MD,
MVermeulen MD,
Y BW E M Roos MD)
Correspondence to:
Mervyn D IVergouwen
m.d.vergouwen@amc.uva.nl
Articles
1030 http://neurology.thelancet.com Vol 5 December 2006
Favourable outcome was defined as moderate disability
and good recovery. Secondary outcome was mortality.
Methodological quality
One of the investigators (MDIV) assessed the
methodological quality of the studies by means of the
Jadad scale.8
This scale is a validated 5 point scale in
which the following items are assessed: randomisation
(0–2 points), double-blinding (0–2 points), and
withdrawals and drop-outs after randomisation
(0–1 point). Higher values on the Jadad scale represent
higher quality studies. All trials scoring 1 or 2 points for
randomisation were included in the analysis.
Statistical analysis
Data were analysed according to the intention-to-treat
principle and processed in Review Manager 4.2 as
supplied by the Cochrane Collaboration. Odds ratios for
poor outcome were calculated with a random-effects
model because of possible heterogeneity between studies.
Mortality odds ratios were calculated with a χ² analysis
because only crude mortality rates were available.
Statistical uncertainty was expressed by 95% CIs.
Role of the funding source
There was no external funding source or sponsor involved
in the study design, data collection, data analysis, data
interpretation, or writing of the report. The corresponding
author had full access to all the data in the study and had
responsibility for the final decision to submit for
publication.
Results
By searching the electronic databases of PubMed and
EMBASE five manuscripts were identified, describing the
results of four trials.3–5,9,10
The principal investigators of
HIT 1 and 2 were contacted for additional data on outcome
and access was granted to both original datasets. For HIT
3, only published data were available. Bayer AG was
contacted for the data of HIT 4, but they advised us to
contact the principal investigator of HIT 4. The principal
investigator of HIT 4 granted us permission to analyse
and publish the results of HIT 4, which were described in
a table of the pooled outcome scores of all patients of all
four HITs. Finally, the corresponding author of the study
by Pillai and co-workers10
was contacted for additional
data. However, the original data were unavailable.
In HIT 1, 352 patients with head injury were included.3
The presence of traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage
was not registered during the study, but was assessed
afterwards by a panel of four observers.9
CT scans could
be retrieved for 257 patients, of whom traumatic
subarachnoid haemorrhage was present in 71 (36 placebo
patients, 35 nimodipine patients).
In HIT 2, 852 patients with head injury were enrolled.4
The presence of traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage
was assessed by the investigators and afterwards re-
assessed by a review committee. Although the
participating investigators identified traumatic
subarachnoid haemorrhage in 149 placebo patients and
in 119 nimodipine patients, the review committee
identified traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage in
145 placebo patients and in 123 nimodipine patients.
HIT 1 (n=71) HIT 2 (n=268) HIT 3 (n=121) HIT 4 (n=577) Pillai, et al (n=37)
Placebo Nimodipine Placebo Nimodipine Placebo Nimodipine Placebo Nimodipine Placebo Nimodipine
Poor outcome 25 (69%) 26 (74%) 83(56%) 53 (45%) 28 (46%) 15 (25%) 75 (26%) 98 (34%) 11 (61%) 13 (68%)
Favourable outcome 11 (31%) 9 (26%) 66(44%) 66 (55%) 33 (54%) 45 (75%) 212 (74%) 192 (66%) 7 (39%) 6 (32%)
Total 36 35 149 119 61 60 287 290 18 19
Data are number (%).
Table 1: Glasgow outcome scale of head-injury patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage
Favours treatment Favours placebo
10·50·20·1 52 10
OR (random) 95% CI Weight % OR (random) 95% CIControl n/NTreatment n/NStudy or subcategory
HIT1
HIT2
HIT3
HIT4
Pillai
Total (95% CI)
26/35
53/119
15/60
98/290
13/19
523
23/36
83/149
28/61
75/287
11/18
551
15·11
25·77
19·80
28·30
11·02
100·00
1·27 [0·45–3·59]
0·64 [0·39–1·04]
0·39 [0·18–0·85]
1·44 [1·01–2·06]
1·38 [0·36–5·34]
0·88 [0·51–1·54]
Total events: 205 (treatment), 222 (control)
Test for heterogeneity: χ²=13·35, df=4 (p=0·010), I²=70·0%
Test for overall effect: Z=0·44 (p=0·66)
Comparison: Nimodipine vs placebo
Outcome: Poor outcome
Figure: Comparison of nimodipine versus placebo for the odds of poor outcome defined as death, vegetative state, or dependency on the Glasgow outcome
scale at 6 months after head injury.
Articles
http://neurology.thelancet.com Vol 5 December 2006 1031
In HIT 3 only head-injury patients with traumatic
subarachnoid haemorrhage were enrolled.5
In total
123 patients were randomised. A review committee could
not confirm the presence of traumatic subarachnoid
haemorrhage in 26 patients. However, these cases were
included for the intention-to-treat analysis. Of these
123 patients, two patients were lost to follow-up at
6 months.
In HIT 4, 592 patients were enrolled, of whom 577 were
valid for the intention-to-treat analysis (287 placebo
patients, 290 nimodipine patients; unpublished data).
Why 15 patients were excluded for the intention-to-treat
analysis is not known. A CT scan review committee
identified traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage in
525 patients (259 placebo patients, 266 nimodipine
patients). The HIT 4 data, which were released earlier at
a conference where data of the CT scan review committee
were shown, were used for the Cochrane review. For the
present systematic review we used the data of the HIT 4
intention-to-treat analysis, thus including 577 patients
instead of 525 patients.
In the study by Pillai and co-workers,10
97 patients with
severe diffuse head injury were enrolled, of whom 39 had
traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage on CT scan. Of
these 39 patients, follow-up was missing in two. Therefore
Glasgow outcome scores at 6 months were available for
37 patients (18 placebo patients, 19 nimodipine patients).
In total, 1074 head-injury patients with traumatic
subarachnoid haemorrhage were included for this
systematic review. In the primary analysis, the effect of
nimodipine on the incidence of poor outcome was studied.
For this analysis all five studies supplied data on the
incidence of poor outcome as well as unpublished data of
HIT 4.4,5,9,10
Table 1 and the figure show the dichotomised
Glasgow outcome scores. The occurrence of poor outcome
was similar in nimodipine and placebo-treated patients
(39% in the nimodipine group and 40% in the placebo
group: odds ratio 0·88 [95% CI 0·51–1·54]).
In the secondary analysis, we studied the effect of
nimodipine on the incidence of mortality. No data on
mortality were available in the study of Pillai and co-
workers.10
Pooled mortality rates of all four HIT studies
including all patients valid for intention-to-treat analysis
are listed in table 2. Thus, for the secondary analysis, data
for 1037 patients were available. The mortality rates were
similar in nimodipine and placebo-treated patients (26%
in the nimodipine group and 27% in the placebo group:
odds ratio 0·95 [95% CI 0·71–1·26]).
The methodological quality of the included studies was
assessed with the use of the Jadad scale (table 3). The CT
scans of HIT 1 were assessed afterwards by a panel of
observers who were unaware of drug allocation and
outcome (G Teasdale, personal communication). The
Jadad score for HIT 4 was based on limited data. The
median score was 3 (range 2–5). As all trials scored 1 or 2
points for randomisation, no studies were excluded for
this systematic review.
Discussion
The occurrence of poor outcome and mortality rates did
not differ between patients treated with nimodipine and
those treated with placebo. Our results contrast with
those of the Cochrane review published in 2003, which
showed that nimodipine significantly reduced poor
outcome and mortality in patients with traumatic
subarachnoid haemorrhage. The present analysis differs
in three aspects from the Cochrane analysis. First, we
restudied the original data of HIT 1 so that mortality rates
of HIT 1 could be included in the present analysis.
Second, we managed to obtain additional data from the
HIT 4 study and included these data in the analysis of all
patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage.
Interestingly, in the Cochrane review, the HIT 4 data
were only included in the overall analysis of patients with
traumatic head injury and not in the subgroup analysis
of patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage.
This is remarkable since HIT 4 only included patients
with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage. Therefore,
the Cochrane review was based on less than half of the
patients of our review. We also included the results of an
additional study.
By contrast with patients with traumatic subarachnoid
haemorrhage, nimodipine has been proven to improve
outcome in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid
haemorrhage.1
Several factors can explain the difference
in effect of nimodipine on outcome in patients with
aneurysmal compared with traumatic subarachnoid
haemorrhage. Aneurysmal and traumatic subarachnoid
haemorrhages are different entities. In patients with
aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage, secondary
cerebral ischaemia can occur in the weeks after the
haemorrhage. Patients who have secondary ischaemia
have an increased risk of poor outcome. This secondary
Randomisation
(0–2 points)
Double-blinding
(0–2 points)
Withdrawals/
drop-outs (1 point)
Total (0–5 points)
HIT 1 2 2 1 5
HIT 2 2 2 0 4
HIT 3 1 2 0 3
HIT 4* 1 1 0 2
Pillai 2 1 0 3
*Based on limited data.
Table 3: Methodological quality of the included studies using the Jadad scale
Placebo Nimodipine
Survival 390 (73%) 374 (74%)
Death 143 (27%) 130 (26%)
Total 533 504
Data are number (%).
Table 2: Pooled mortality rates for all patients in all four HIT studies
valid for intention-to-treat analysis
Articles
1032 http://neurology.thelancet.com Vol 5 December 2006
cerebral ischaemia is less common in traumatic
subarachnoid haemorrhage than in aneurysmal
subarachnoid haemorrhage.11,12
Nimodipine is probably
only effective for secondary cerebral ischaemia and might
therefore be effective only in patients with aneurysmal
subarachnoid haemorrhage. For a long time, the beneficial
effects of nimodipine in subarachnoid haemorrhage have
been attributed to a beneficial effect on vasospasm.
However, nimodipine exerts a fibrinolytic effect in patients
with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage, an effect
which was also observed in other calcium antagonists
from the dihydropyridine group.13
Therefore, nimodipine
exerts a beneficial profibrinolytic effect in patients with
aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage and this could be
the mechanism by which the incidence of cerebral
ischaemia is decreased. In patients with traumatic
subarachnoid haemorrhage the profibrinolytic effect
might not be beneficial, but even deleterious by inducing
cerebral and systemic haemorrhages.
The Jadad scale was used to assess the methodological
quality of the included papers. The Jadad score of HIT 4
was based on a limited number of data. With the available
data of HIT 4, the Jadad score was 2. Therefore the largest
study in this systematic review probably had the lowest
quality score. Often, lower quality trials tend to have more
positive results, but this was not found in this analysis.
In this systematic review including 1074 patients with
traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage, we could not
confirm the beneficial effects of nimodipine shown in a
previous review, which included 460 patients with this
condition.
Contributors
MDIV, MV, and YBWEMR developed the study protocol. MDIV and
YBWEMR managed the data. MDIV did the statistical analysis. MDIV,
MV, and YBWEMR prepared the manuscript.
Conflicts of interest
We have no conflicts of interest.
Acknowledgments
We thank Prof Sir G Teasdale and Prof R Braakman, principal investigators
of HIT 1 and 2, respectively, for permission to study the original data of
these trials. We also thank Prof V J Farrell, principal investigator of HIT 4,
for permission to use and publish parts of the results of HIT 4.
References
1 Rinkel GJE, Feigin VL, Algra A, van den Bergh WM, Vermeulen M,
van Gijn J. Calcium antagonists for aneurysmal subarachnoid
haemorrhage. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2005; 1: CD000277.
2 Kostron H, Twerdy K, Stampfl G, Mohsenipour I, Fischer J,
Grunert V. Treatment of the traumatic cerebral vasospasm with the
calcium channel blocker nimodipine: a preliminary report.
Neurol Res 1984; 6: 29–32.
3 Bailey I, Bell A, Gray J, et al. A trial of the effect of nimodipine on
outcome after head injury. Acta Neurochir (Wien) 1991; 110: 97–105.
4 The European Study Group on Nimodipine in Severe Head Injury.
A multicenter trial of the efficacy of nimodipine on outcome after
severe head injury. J Neurosurg 1994; 80: 797–804.
5 Harders A, Kakarieka A, Braakman R, the German tSAH Study
Group. Traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage and its treatment with
nimodipine. J Neurosurg 1996; 85: 82–89.
6 Langham J, Goldfrad C, Teasdale G, Shaw D, Rowan K. Calcium
channel blockers for acute traumatic brain injury.
Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2003; 4: CD000565.
7 Jennett B, Bond M. Assessment of outcome after severe brain
damage. Lancet 1975; 305: 480–84.
8 Jadad AR, Moore RA, Carroll D, et al. Assessing the quality of
reports of randomized clinical trials: is blinding necessary?
Control Clin Trials 1996; 17: 1–12.
9 Murray GD, Teasdale GM, Schmitz H. Nimodipine in traumatic
subarachnoid hemorrhage: a re-analysis of the HIT I and HIT II
trials. Acta Neurochir (Wien) 1996; 138: 1163–67.
10 Pillai SV, Kolluri VR, Mohanty A, Chandramouli BA. Evaluation of
nimodipine in the treatment of severe diffuse head injury: a double-
blind placebo-controlled trial. Neurol India 2003; 51: 361–63.
11 Fukuda T, Hasue M, Ito H. Does traumatic subarachnoid
hemorrhage caused by diffuse brain injury cause delayed ischemic
brain damage? Comparison with subarachnoid hemorrhage caused
by ruptured intracranial aneurysms. Neurosurgery 1998; 43: 1040–49.
12 Steiger HJ, Aaslid R, Stooss R, Seiler RW. Transcranial Doppler
monitoring in head injury: relations between type of injury, flow
velocities, vasoreactivity, and outcome. Neurosurgery 1994; 34: 79–85.
13 Roos YBWEM, Levi M, Carroll TA, Beenen LFM, Vermeulen M.
Nimodipine increases fibrinolytic activity in patients with
aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Stroke 2001; 32: 1860–62.

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Nimodipine Effect on Traumatic Brain Injury Outcomes

  • 1. Articles http://neurology.thelancet.com Vol 5 December 2006 1029 Effect of nimodipine on outcome in patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage: a systematic review Mervyn D IVergouwen, MarinusVermeulen,Yvo BW E M Roos Summary Background Despite several randomised controlled trials, there is still much debate whether nimodipine improves outcome in patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage. A 2003 Cochrane review reported improved outcome with nimodipine in these patients; however, because the results of Head Injury Trial (HIT) 4 were only partly presented there is still discussion whether patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage should be treated with this drug. Here, we present data from all head-injury trials, including previously unpublished results from HIT 4. Methods We systematically searched PubMed and EMBASE databases using the following combinations of variables: “nimodipine” or “calcium antagonist” with “traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage”, “head injury”, “head trauma”, “brain injury”, or “brain trauma”. Bayer AG and all principal investigators or corresponding authors of the identified studies were contacted for additional information. Findings Five manuscripts were identified, describing the results of four trials. We obtained additional data from HIT 1, 2, and 4. In total, 1074 patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage were included. The occurrence of poor outcome was similar in patients treated with nimodipine (39%) and those treated with placebo (40%); odds ratio was 0·88 (95% CI 0·51–1·54). Mortality rates did not differ between nimodipine (26%) and placebo (27%) treated patients (odds ratio 0·95; 95% CI 0·71–1·26). Interpretation Our results do not lend support to the finding of a beneficial effect of nimodipine on outcome in patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage as reported in an earlier Cochrane review. Introduction In patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage, nimodipine has been shown to be effective in the prevention of ischaemic complications after haemorrhage resulting in improved outcome.1 Since nimodipine is believed to have neuroprotective properties, the drug was suggested to be of potential benefit in patients with traumatic head injury. The first report on nimodipine treatment in patients with severe head injury dates from 1984.2 The first randomised controlled trials investigating the effect of nimodipine in head injury the Head Injury Trials (HIT) 1 and 2 were published in the early 1990s.3,4 In the overall analysis of these studies, no reduction in poor outcome was shown. However, in a subgroup analysis of HIT 2, a possible beneficial effect was noted in patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage. Because of these findings, HIT 3 was initiated in which only head-injury patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage were included.5 The HIT 3 study showed a small but significant beneficial effect in nimodipine-treated patients. To confirm this favourable effect in a much larger group of patients, HIT 4 was started. Unexpectedly, HIT 4 showed a significant increase in poor outcome in nimodipine-treated patients. Possibly because of this disappointing result, the results of HIT 4 have never been published in detail, but some of the results were presented at a conference. In 2003, a Cochrane review on the effects of calcium antagonists on outcome in patients with head injury was published, which concluded that there is no beneficial effect of nimodipine on outcome in head-injury patients.6 However, in the subgroup of patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage nimodipine was shown to improve outcome. Because the results of HIT 4 were only partly presented, there is still much debate as to whether patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage should be treated with nimodipine. Here we present for the first time the data of all head-injury trials, including previously unpublished results from the HIT 4 trial. Methods Search strategy and selection criteria of studies We systematically searched the electronic PubMed and EMBASE databases up to 2006 (week 10) for the following combinations of variables: “nimodipine” or “calcium antagonist” with “traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage”, “head injury”, “head trauma”, “brain injury”, or “brain trauma”. Randomised controlled studies from the English, German, and French published work were included. Animal studies were excluded. Bayer AG and all principal investigators or corresponding authors of the identified studies were contacted for additional information. All randomised controlled trials investigating the effect of the calcium antagonist nimodipine in patients with head injury were included, irrespective of dose, route of administration, and duration of treatment. The Glasgow outcome scale was measured 6 months after head injury.7 Primary outcome was a poor outcome, defined as death, vegetative state, or severe disability. Lancet Neurol 2006; 5: 1029–32 Published Online October 17, 2006 DOI:10.1016/S1474- 4422(06)70582-8 See Reflection and Reaction page 993 Department of Neurology, Academic Medical Centre, Meibergdreef 9, Amsterdam, Netherlands (M D IVergouwen MD, MVermeulen MD, Y BW E M Roos MD) Correspondence to: Mervyn D IVergouwen m.d.vergouwen@amc.uva.nl
  • 2. Articles 1030 http://neurology.thelancet.com Vol 5 December 2006 Favourable outcome was defined as moderate disability and good recovery. Secondary outcome was mortality. Methodological quality One of the investigators (MDIV) assessed the methodological quality of the studies by means of the Jadad scale.8 This scale is a validated 5 point scale in which the following items are assessed: randomisation (0–2 points), double-blinding (0–2 points), and withdrawals and drop-outs after randomisation (0–1 point). Higher values on the Jadad scale represent higher quality studies. All trials scoring 1 or 2 points for randomisation were included in the analysis. Statistical analysis Data were analysed according to the intention-to-treat principle and processed in Review Manager 4.2 as supplied by the Cochrane Collaboration. Odds ratios for poor outcome were calculated with a random-effects model because of possible heterogeneity between studies. Mortality odds ratios were calculated with a χ² analysis because only crude mortality rates were available. Statistical uncertainty was expressed by 95% CIs. Role of the funding source There was no external funding source or sponsor involved in the study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or writing of the report. The corresponding author had full access to all the data in the study and had responsibility for the final decision to submit for publication. Results By searching the electronic databases of PubMed and EMBASE five manuscripts were identified, describing the results of four trials.3–5,9,10 The principal investigators of HIT 1 and 2 were contacted for additional data on outcome and access was granted to both original datasets. For HIT 3, only published data were available. Bayer AG was contacted for the data of HIT 4, but they advised us to contact the principal investigator of HIT 4. The principal investigator of HIT 4 granted us permission to analyse and publish the results of HIT 4, which were described in a table of the pooled outcome scores of all patients of all four HITs. Finally, the corresponding author of the study by Pillai and co-workers10 was contacted for additional data. However, the original data were unavailable. In HIT 1, 352 patients with head injury were included.3 The presence of traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage was not registered during the study, but was assessed afterwards by a panel of four observers.9 CT scans could be retrieved for 257 patients, of whom traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage was present in 71 (36 placebo patients, 35 nimodipine patients). In HIT 2, 852 patients with head injury were enrolled.4 The presence of traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage was assessed by the investigators and afterwards re- assessed by a review committee. Although the participating investigators identified traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage in 149 placebo patients and in 119 nimodipine patients, the review committee identified traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage in 145 placebo patients and in 123 nimodipine patients. HIT 1 (n=71) HIT 2 (n=268) HIT 3 (n=121) HIT 4 (n=577) Pillai, et al (n=37) Placebo Nimodipine Placebo Nimodipine Placebo Nimodipine Placebo Nimodipine Placebo Nimodipine Poor outcome 25 (69%) 26 (74%) 83(56%) 53 (45%) 28 (46%) 15 (25%) 75 (26%) 98 (34%) 11 (61%) 13 (68%) Favourable outcome 11 (31%) 9 (26%) 66(44%) 66 (55%) 33 (54%) 45 (75%) 212 (74%) 192 (66%) 7 (39%) 6 (32%) Total 36 35 149 119 61 60 287 290 18 19 Data are number (%). Table 1: Glasgow outcome scale of head-injury patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage Favours treatment Favours placebo 10·50·20·1 52 10 OR (random) 95% CI Weight % OR (random) 95% CIControl n/NTreatment n/NStudy or subcategory HIT1 HIT2 HIT3 HIT4 Pillai Total (95% CI) 26/35 53/119 15/60 98/290 13/19 523 23/36 83/149 28/61 75/287 11/18 551 15·11 25·77 19·80 28·30 11·02 100·00 1·27 [0·45–3·59] 0·64 [0·39–1·04] 0·39 [0·18–0·85] 1·44 [1·01–2·06] 1·38 [0·36–5·34] 0·88 [0·51–1·54] Total events: 205 (treatment), 222 (control) Test for heterogeneity: χ²=13·35, df=4 (p=0·010), I²=70·0% Test for overall effect: Z=0·44 (p=0·66) Comparison: Nimodipine vs placebo Outcome: Poor outcome Figure: Comparison of nimodipine versus placebo for the odds of poor outcome defined as death, vegetative state, or dependency on the Glasgow outcome scale at 6 months after head injury.
  • 3. Articles http://neurology.thelancet.com Vol 5 December 2006 1031 In HIT 3 only head-injury patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage were enrolled.5 In total 123 patients were randomised. A review committee could not confirm the presence of traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage in 26 patients. However, these cases were included for the intention-to-treat analysis. Of these 123 patients, two patients were lost to follow-up at 6 months. In HIT 4, 592 patients were enrolled, of whom 577 were valid for the intention-to-treat analysis (287 placebo patients, 290 nimodipine patients; unpublished data). Why 15 patients were excluded for the intention-to-treat analysis is not known. A CT scan review committee identified traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage in 525 patients (259 placebo patients, 266 nimodipine patients). The HIT 4 data, which were released earlier at a conference where data of the CT scan review committee were shown, were used for the Cochrane review. For the present systematic review we used the data of the HIT 4 intention-to-treat analysis, thus including 577 patients instead of 525 patients. In the study by Pillai and co-workers,10 97 patients with severe diffuse head injury were enrolled, of whom 39 had traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage on CT scan. Of these 39 patients, follow-up was missing in two. Therefore Glasgow outcome scores at 6 months were available for 37 patients (18 placebo patients, 19 nimodipine patients). In total, 1074 head-injury patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage were included for this systematic review. In the primary analysis, the effect of nimodipine on the incidence of poor outcome was studied. For this analysis all five studies supplied data on the incidence of poor outcome as well as unpublished data of HIT 4.4,5,9,10 Table 1 and the figure show the dichotomised Glasgow outcome scores. The occurrence of poor outcome was similar in nimodipine and placebo-treated patients (39% in the nimodipine group and 40% in the placebo group: odds ratio 0·88 [95% CI 0·51–1·54]). In the secondary analysis, we studied the effect of nimodipine on the incidence of mortality. No data on mortality were available in the study of Pillai and co- workers.10 Pooled mortality rates of all four HIT studies including all patients valid for intention-to-treat analysis are listed in table 2. Thus, for the secondary analysis, data for 1037 patients were available. The mortality rates were similar in nimodipine and placebo-treated patients (26% in the nimodipine group and 27% in the placebo group: odds ratio 0·95 [95% CI 0·71–1·26]). The methodological quality of the included studies was assessed with the use of the Jadad scale (table 3). The CT scans of HIT 1 were assessed afterwards by a panel of observers who were unaware of drug allocation and outcome (G Teasdale, personal communication). The Jadad score for HIT 4 was based on limited data. The median score was 3 (range 2–5). As all trials scored 1 or 2 points for randomisation, no studies were excluded for this systematic review. Discussion The occurrence of poor outcome and mortality rates did not differ between patients treated with nimodipine and those treated with placebo. Our results contrast with those of the Cochrane review published in 2003, which showed that nimodipine significantly reduced poor outcome and mortality in patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage. The present analysis differs in three aspects from the Cochrane analysis. First, we restudied the original data of HIT 1 so that mortality rates of HIT 1 could be included in the present analysis. Second, we managed to obtain additional data from the HIT 4 study and included these data in the analysis of all patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage. Interestingly, in the Cochrane review, the HIT 4 data were only included in the overall analysis of patients with traumatic head injury and not in the subgroup analysis of patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage. This is remarkable since HIT 4 only included patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage. Therefore, the Cochrane review was based on less than half of the patients of our review. We also included the results of an additional study. By contrast with patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage, nimodipine has been proven to improve outcome in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage.1 Several factors can explain the difference in effect of nimodipine on outcome in patients with aneurysmal compared with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage. Aneurysmal and traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhages are different entities. In patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage, secondary cerebral ischaemia can occur in the weeks after the haemorrhage. Patients who have secondary ischaemia have an increased risk of poor outcome. This secondary Randomisation (0–2 points) Double-blinding (0–2 points) Withdrawals/ drop-outs (1 point) Total (0–5 points) HIT 1 2 2 1 5 HIT 2 2 2 0 4 HIT 3 1 2 0 3 HIT 4* 1 1 0 2 Pillai 2 1 0 3 *Based on limited data. Table 3: Methodological quality of the included studies using the Jadad scale Placebo Nimodipine Survival 390 (73%) 374 (74%) Death 143 (27%) 130 (26%) Total 533 504 Data are number (%). Table 2: Pooled mortality rates for all patients in all four HIT studies valid for intention-to-treat analysis
  • 4. Articles 1032 http://neurology.thelancet.com Vol 5 December 2006 cerebral ischaemia is less common in traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage than in aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage.11,12 Nimodipine is probably only effective for secondary cerebral ischaemia and might therefore be effective only in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage. For a long time, the beneficial effects of nimodipine in subarachnoid haemorrhage have been attributed to a beneficial effect on vasospasm. However, nimodipine exerts a fibrinolytic effect in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage, an effect which was also observed in other calcium antagonists from the dihydropyridine group.13 Therefore, nimodipine exerts a beneficial profibrinolytic effect in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage and this could be the mechanism by which the incidence of cerebral ischaemia is decreased. In patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage the profibrinolytic effect might not be beneficial, but even deleterious by inducing cerebral and systemic haemorrhages. The Jadad scale was used to assess the methodological quality of the included papers. The Jadad score of HIT 4 was based on a limited number of data. With the available data of HIT 4, the Jadad score was 2. Therefore the largest study in this systematic review probably had the lowest quality score. Often, lower quality trials tend to have more positive results, but this was not found in this analysis. In this systematic review including 1074 patients with traumatic subarachnoid haemorrhage, we could not confirm the beneficial effects of nimodipine shown in a previous review, which included 460 patients with this condition. Contributors MDIV, MV, and YBWEMR developed the study protocol. MDIV and YBWEMR managed the data. MDIV did the statistical analysis. MDIV, MV, and YBWEMR prepared the manuscript. Conflicts of interest We have no conflicts of interest. Acknowledgments We thank Prof Sir G Teasdale and Prof R Braakman, principal investigators of HIT 1 and 2, respectively, for permission to study the original data of these trials. We also thank Prof V J Farrell, principal investigator of HIT 4, for permission to use and publish parts of the results of HIT 4. References 1 Rinkel GJE, Feigin VL, Algra A, van den Bergh WM, Vermeulen M, van Gijn J. Calcium antagonists for aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2005; 1: CD000277. 2 Kostron H, Twerdy K, Stampfl G, Mohsenipour I, Fischer J, Grunert V. Treatment of the traumatic cerebral vasospasm with the calcium channel blocker nimodipine: a preliminary report. Neurol Res 1984; 6: 29–32. 3 Bailey I, Bell A, Gray J, et al. A trial of the effect of nimodipine on outcome after head injury. Acta Neurochir (Wien) 1991; 110: 97–105. 4 The European Study Group on Nimodipine in Severe Head Injury. A multicenter trial of the efficacy of nimodipine on outcome after severe head injury. J Neurosurg 1994; 80: 797–804. 5 Harders A, Kakarieka A, Braakman R, the German tSAH Study Group. Traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage and its treatment with nimodipine. J Neurosurg 1996; 85: 82–89. 6 Langham J, Goldfrad C, Teasdale G, Shaw D, Rowan K. Calcium channel blockers for acute traumatic brain injury. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2003; 4: CD000565. 7 Jennett B, Bond M. Assessment of outcome after severe brain damage. Lancet 1975; 305: 480–84. 8 Jadad AR, Moore RA, Carroll D, et al. Assessing the quality of reports of randomized clinical trials: is blinding necessary? Control Clin Trials 1996; 17: 1–12. 9 Murray GD, Teasdale GM, Schmitz H. Nimodipine in traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage: a re-analysis of the HIT I and HIT II trials. Acta Neurochir (Wien) 1996; 138: 1163–67. 10 Pillai SV, Kolluri VR, Mohanty A, Chandramouli BA. Evaluation of nimodipine in the treatment of severe diffuse head injury: a double- blind placebo-controlled trial. Neurol India 2003; 51: 361–63. 11 Fukuda T, Hasue M, Ito H. Does traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage caused by diffuse brain injury cause delayed ischemic brain damage? Comparison with subarachnoid hemorrhage caused by ruptured intracranial aneurysms. Neurosurgery 1998; 43: 1040–49. 12 Steiger HJ, Aaslid R, Stooss R, Seiler RW. Transcranial Doppler monitoring in head injury: relations between type of injury, flow velocities, vasoreactivity, and outcome. Neurosurgery 1994; 34: 79–85. 13 Roos YBWEM, Levi M, Carroll TA, Beenen LFM, Vermeulen M. Nimodipine increases fibrinolytic activity in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Stroke 2001; 32: 1860–62.