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5/14/2013
1
Creating value is our business
Capsicum MarketCapsicum Market
ReportReport –– China & USChina & US
VinayVinay SreekumarSreekumar
May 16, 2013May 16, 2013
Creating value is our business
Important Species
usually, higher the pungency, lower the color.
Characteristics Distribution
Capsicum frutescens High Pungency. Low flavor Tabasco, Most Indian Varieties
Capsicum annum
Capsicum chinense Extremely Hot, Fiery
Capsicum pubescens Smallregions in S.America
Capsicum baccatum Medium-High pungency
Species
Low to Medium Pungency,
good color
Some Paprika as well as Indian
Color chillies. Popular in U.S
Habenero,Jamaican Hot, etc. Not
common in India.
Not very common. Little is
known
Not grown in Asia, Mostly grown
in S.America.
Family : Solanaceae
Genus : Capsicum
5/14/2013
2
Creating value is our business
Major ProductsMajor Products: Color, Heat and Flavor: Color, Heat and Flavor
Capsicums
20-27 species
100(0)s varieties
Paprika - Color
Primary Origins: China,
Peru, US
Secondary: Spain, Israel,
Zimbabwe
Hot Red Pepper
Primary Origins –
India, Pakistan,
Bangladesh
Secondary: Mexico,
Africa
Mild – Medium Hot
Red Pepper
Primary Origins –
India, China
Specialties – Flavor
Jalapeno, Chipotle,
Ancho, Guajillo, Green
Chile & others
Origins: Mexico, Peru
Creating value is our business
Standard Pod Size
- generally, smaller the pod size, higher the pungency.
5/14/2013
3
Creating value is our business
2012/ 13 Market – Overview Capsicums
• Overall Global Production of Paprika is UP
Chinese Paprika Production is UP
Good US crop
Peru – trending low to previous years
• Continued Strong Demand
Higher than normal growth rate in destination markets
Whole Pods, Oleoresin Strong demand
Specialties on the rise.
• Market Pricing trend is Lower
Creating value is our business
2012 Global Production - Paprika
432MM lbs ( 196,000 MT)
61%15%
12%
3%
2%
7%
MM lbs
China
Peru
US
Europe
Africa
Others
5/14/2013
4
Creating value is our business
2012 Paprika End Usage by Type
49%
33%
17%
1%
Ground
Oleo
Whole
Others
Creating value is our business
2012 Global Demand by Region ( 190,000 MT)
40%
29%
17%
9%
5%
MM lbs
US + Canada
Europe
China
Mexico
Others
5/14/2013
5
Creating value is our business
China – Key Market Characteristics
• Second largest Capsicum producer in the world.
• Largest Paprika producer
• High 2012 crop of ~120,000 MT
• Large crop of Medium quality ( 160 – 200 ASTA)
• High level of transformation – Whole to
Crushed/Ground: VAT impact
• High favorability among Spanish buyers
• Meets EU requirements
• Low pricing
• High Oleoresin production
Creating value is our business
SweetPaprika
Linear Chili
Linear Chili
Jinta ChiliYidu Chili
Jinta Chili
Yidu Chili
Jinta Chili
Yidu ChiliAmericanRed Chili
These areas primarily plant SweetChili, American Red Chili,
Yidu Chili, Jinta Chili, and Linear Chili.
These areas primarily plants Chaotian Chili in the Hebei, Henan,
Guizhou, Yunnan, and Hunan Province.
Chili Planting Areas in China
5/14/2013
6
Creating value is our businessCreating valueis our business
• Main crop varieties include:
Chillies in China: Varieties & Overview
Chaotian Jinta Paprika
Thread
chilies
Yunnan
chilies
Yidu
American
red
The difference is ASTA & SHU
Creating value is our business
Paprika growing – China
Basic CropBasic Crop
20122012
KuerleKuerle AkesuAkesu KashiKashi YiliYili// ChangjiChangji
In Mou 180,000 Mu 40,000 Mu 16,000 Mu 30,000 Mu
% Area 68% 15% 6% 11%
County Bohu Yanji Hejing Wensu Baicheng Alaer Shufu Yupehu Zepu Various Area
Quality BEST BEST NORMAL NORMAL NORMAL BEST LOW LOW LOW MEDIUN
5/14/2013
7
Creating value is our businessCreating value is our business
Chiliwhole pod
Chiliminced
Chilicrushed Powder
Chilistring Chiliring
Oleoresin
Products made from Chili Raw Material
Creating value is our business
Paprika -Crop Market Segments - China
54%
17%
25%
4%
Quantity – 120,000 MT
Oleoresin Whole Pods Ground/Crushed Others
5/14/2013
8
Creating value is our business
Crop Market Segments - China
23%
27%
18%
14%
18%
Whole Pods – 20000 MT
24%
15%
37%
9%
15%
Crushed/ Ground – 30000 MT
Creating value is our business
China Paprika – Challenges – 2013
Crop
• Lower prices in CY 12 is a major de-motivator for
farmers.
• Replacement by alternate crops.
• Growing region far away from export ports – local
transportation, cold storages and processing
infrastructure.
• High ASTA – captive oleoresin industry – high capacity.
5/14/2013
9
Creating value is our business
China – Paprika - Benefits
• High carry forward of lower ASTA paprika in cold
storage.
• VAT benefits – more transformation
• Availability of seeds
Creating value is our business
China – 2014 crop forecast
• 25% less planting – lower crop
• High carry forward of low ASTA product ( 8000 -10,000
MT)
• Stable to low prices till Sept 2013
• Prices trending higher from Oct 2013
• More focus on transformation of available stocks.
5/14/2013
10
Creating value is our business
US – Paprika growing
areas
Creating value is our business
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
2010 2011 2012
Arizona
California
New Mexico
Texas
Unted States
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2010 2011 2012
Arizona
California
New Mexico
texas
United States
Area Harvested (Acres)
Yields Per Acre
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
2010 2011 2012
Arizona
California
NewMexico
texas
United States
Production (1,000 cwt)
US – Capsicums Production Data
5/14/2013
11
Creating value is our business
US – Paprika Production ( MM lbs)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Millones
US SW Paprika Production
REDS
Creating value is our business
US – Key Market Characteristics
• Large producer of Capsicums – Bell Pepper,
Green Chile, Capsicum.
• High 2012 crop of ~ 32,000 MT
• ASTA medium quality ( 160 – 200 ASTA)
• Contract based farming
• Fully mechanized operations
• Dehydration – Mechanized – Tunnel or
Continuous
• Lower competitive pricing
• Variety management – higher ASTA, disease
resistance.
5/14/2013
12
Creating value is our business
Capsicum Growing - US
Crop is planted in
March
Mature green pods
by Aug.
Pods begin achieving
red color Sept 1., due
to carotenoid
development
Fields are defoliated
prior to harvest
Creating value is our business
Capsicum – US Harvest
One time single harvest
Fields usually sprayed with sodium chlorate solution to defoliateplants and
makes the pods easier to pick
All of the New Mexico/Texas/Arizonacrop is now mechanically harvested
.
5/14/2013
13
Creating value is our business
Mechanical
Harvest
All US crop is now
mechanically
harvested
Creating value is our business
Mechanized Dehydration
5/14/2013
14
Creating value is our business
Capsicum Products - US
• Paprika – Ground, Flakes and Whole
• Table Capsicums ( Mesa)
• Red Pepper – Ground, Flakes & Whole
• Chili Blends
• Oleoresins – Paprika & Capsicum
• Specialty Peppers – Jalapeno, Chipotle,
Ancho, Guajilo and others
Creating value is our business
Consumption of Capsicums
58%
39%
3%
TotalCapsicums 160,000 MT
Paprika
Red Pepper
Capsicums- Others
Approximately65,000 MT converted and consumed in Wet/Liquid
Form.
5/14/2013
15
Creating value is our business
Analytical
Extractable Color (known as ASTA Color)
Visible Color (Scan)
Pungency
Particle Size
Moisture
WaterActivity (Aw)
Bulk Index
Adulteration Indicators (Added colors, Contaminants)
Base purity of the spice (Rodent Hair & Insect Fragments)
Pesticide Residues
Microbiological
Salmonella
Aflatoxin & Ochratoxin as an indicator of poor post harvest management
SPC
Yeast / Mold
Coliform
E.Coli
Key Quality Attributes for Capsicum Products
Creating value is our business
US crop - challenges
• Weather
• Planting size
• Yields
• Disease pressure
• Competing Crops
• Carry forward stocks from other origins
5/14/2013
16
Creating value is our business
US crop - outlook
• Smaller 2013 crop compared to 2012 (
10% drop)
• Pricing pressure from other origins
• Focus on cost management /
mechanization
• Pricing increase in new crop
Creating value is our business
Overall – Global outlook
• High carry forward stocks in 2013
Lower pricing through 2013
• Lower planting in 2013
Less available stocks in 2014
Higher pricing for good quality – supply
shortage
• FSMA, Food safety and quality
management critical
Farm management – Pesticides
Post Harvest management – Toxins
5/14/2013
17
Creating value is our business
Peru Capsicums to focus on..
• Cost Management initiatives
Yield improvement
Mechanization of agriculture practices
• Agricultural Practices
Pesticide control and management
• Post Harvest Management
Mechanical Drying
Reduction of Toxins, Yeast & Mold, SPC
Extraneous matter & Insect Fragment control.
Creating value is our business
Thank you
Questions ?

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ADEX - convencion capsicum 2013: olam

  • 1. 5/14/2013 1 Creating value is our business Capsicum MarketCapsicum Market ReportReport –– China & USChina & US VinayVinay SreekumarSreekumar May 16, 2013May 16, 2013 Creating value is our business Important Species usually, higher the pungency, lower the color. Characteristics Distribution Capsicum frutescens High Pungency. Low flavor Tabasco, Most Indian Varieties Capsicum annum Capsicum chinense Extremely Hot, Fiery Capsicum pubescens Smallregions in S.America Capsicum baccatum Medium-High pungency Species Low to Medium Pungency, good color Some Paprika as well as Indian Color chillies. Popular in U.S Habenero,Jamaican Hot, etc. Not common in India. Not very common. Little is known Not grown in Asia, Mostly grown in S.America. Family : Solanaceae Genus : Capsicum
  • 2. 5/14/2013 2 Creating value is our business Major ProductsMajor Products: Color, Heat and Flavor: Color, Heat and Flavor Capsicums 20-27 species 100(0)s varieties Paprika - Color Primary Origins: China, Peru, US Secondary: Spain, Israel, Zimbabwe Hot Red Pepper Primary Origins – India, Pakistan, Bangladesh Secondary: Mexico, Africa Mild – Medium Hot Red Pepper Primary Origins – India, China Specialties – Flavor Jalapeno, Chipotle, Ancho, Guajillo, Green Chile & others Origins: Mexico, Peru Creating value is our business Standard Pod Size - generally, smaller the pod size, higher the pungency.
  • 3. 5/14/2013 3 Creating value is our business 2012/ 13 Market – Overview Capsicums • Overall Global Production of Paprika is UP Chinese Paprika Production is UP Good US crop Peru – trending low to previous years • Continued Strong Demand Higher than normal growth rate in destination markets Whole Pods, Oleoresin Strong demand Specialties on the rise. • Market Pricing trend is Lower Creating value is our business 2012 Global Production - Paprika 432MM lbs ( 196,000 MT) 61%15% 12% 3% 2% 7% MM lbs China Peru US Europe Africa Others
  • 4. 5/14/2013 4 Creating value is our business 2012 Paprika End Usage by Type 49% 33% 17% 1% Ground Oleo Whole Others Creating value is our business 2012 Global Demand by Region ( 190,000 MT) 40% 29% 17% 9% 5% MM lbs US + Canada Europe China Mexico Others
  • 5. 5/14/2013 5 Creating value is our business China – Key Market Characteristics • Second largest Capsicum producer in the world. • Largest Paprika producer • High 2012 crop of ~120,000 MT • Large crop of Medium quality ( 160 – 200 ASTA) • High level of transformation – Whole to Crushed/Ground: VAT impact • High favorability among Spanish buyers • Meets EU requirements • Low pricing • High Oleoresin production Creating value is our business SweetPaprika Linear Chili Linear Chili Jinta ChiliYidu Chili Jinta Chili Yidu Chili Jinta Chili Yidu ChiliAmericanRed Chili These areas primarily plant SweetChili, American Red Chili, Yidu Chili, Jinta Chili, and Linear Chili. These areas primarily plants Chaotian Chili in the Hebei, Henan, Guizhou, Yunnan, and Hunan Province. Chili Planting Areas in China
  • 6. 5/14/2013 6 Creating value is our businessCreating valueis our business • Main crop varieties include: Chillies in China: Varieties & Overview Chaotian Jinta Paprika Thread chilies Yunnan chilies Yidu American red The difference is ASTA & SHU Creating value is our business Paprika growing – China Basic CropBasic Crop 20122012 KuerleKuerle AkesuAkesu KashiKashi YiliYili// ChangjiChangji In Mou 180,000 Mu 40,000 Mu 16,000 Mu 30,000 Mu % Area 68% 15% 6% 11% County Bohu Yanji Hejing Wensu Baicheng Alaer Shufu Yupehu Zepu Various Area Quality BEST BEST NORMAL NORMAL NORMAL BEST LOW LOW LOW MEDIUN
  • 7. 5/14/2013 7 Creating value is our businessCreating value is our business Chiliwhole pod Chiliminced Chilicrushed Powder Chilistring Chiliring Oleoresin Products made from Chili Raw Material Creating value is our business Paprika -Crop Market Segments - China 54% 17% 25% 4% Quantity – 120,000 MT Oleoresin Whole Pods Ground/Crushed Others
  • 8. 5/14/2013 8 Creating value is our business Crop Market Segments - China 23% 27% 18% 14% 18% Whole Pods – 20000 MT 24% 15% 37% 9% 15% Crushed/ Ground – 30000 MT Creating value is our business China Paprika – Challenges – 2013 Crop • Lower prices in CY 12 is a major de-motivator for farmers. • Replacement by alternate crops. • Growing region far away from export ports – local transportation, cold storages and processing infrastructure. • High ASTA – captive oleoresin industry – high capacity.
  • 9. 5/14/2013 9 Creating value is our business China – Paprika - Benefits • High carry forward of lower ASTA paprika in cold storage. • VAT benefits – more transformation • Availability of seeds Creating value is our business China – 2014 crop forecast • 25% less planting – lower crop • High carry forward of low ASTA product ( 8000 -10,000 MT) • Stable to low prices till Sept 2013 • Prices trending higher from Oct 2013 • More focus on transformation of available stocks.
  • 10. 5/14/2013 10 Creating value is our business US – Paprika growing areas Creating value is our business 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 2010 2011 2012 Arizona California New Mexico Texas Unted States 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2010 2011 2012 Arizona California New Mexico texas United States Area Harvested (Acres) Yields Per Acre 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 2010 2011 2012 Arizona California NewMexico texas United States Production (1,000 cwt) US – Capsicums Production Data
  • 11. 5/14/2013 11 Creating value is our business US – Paprika Production ( MM lbs) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Millones US SW Paprika Production REDS Creating value is our business US – Key Market Characteristics • Large producer of Capsicums – Bell Pepper, Green Chile, Capsicum. • High 2012 crop of ~ 32,000 MT • ASTA medium quality ( 160 – 200 ASTA) • Contract based farming • Fully mechanized operations • Dehydration – Mechanized – Tunnel or Continuous • Lower competitive pricing • Variety management – higher ASTA, disease resistance.
  • 12. 5/14/2013 12 Creating value is our business Capsicum Growing - US Crop is planted in March Mature green pods by Aug. Pods begin achieving red color Sept 1., due to carotenoid development Fields are defoliated prior to harvest Creating value is our business Capsicum – US Harvest One time single harvest Fields usually sprayed with sodium chlorate solution to defoliateplants and makes the pods easier to pick All of the New Mexico/Texas/Arizonacrop is now mechanically harvested .
  • 13. 5/14/2013 13 Creating value is our business Mechanical Harvest All US crop is now mechanically harvested Creating value is our business Mechanized Dehydration
  • 14. 5/14/2013 14 Creating value is our business Capsicum Products - US • Paprika – Ground, Flakes and Whole • Table Capsicums ( Mesa) • Red Pepper – Ground, Flakes & Whole • Chili Blends • Oleoresins – Paprika & Capsicum • Specialty Peppers – Jalapeno, Chipotle, Ancho, Guajilo and others Creating value is our business Consumption of Capsicums 58% 39% 3% TotalCapsicums 160,000 MT Paprika Red Pepper Capsicums- Others Approximately65,000 MT converted and consumed in Wet/Liquid Form.
  • 15. 5/14/2013 15 Creating value is our business Analytical Extractable Color (known as ASTA Color) Visible Color (Scan) Pungency Particle Size Moisture WaterActivity (Aw) Bulk Index Adulteration Indicators (Added colors, Contaminants) Base purity of the spice (Rodent Hair & Insect Fragments) Pesticide Residues Microbiological Salmonella Aflatoxin & Ochratoxin as an indicator of poor post harvest management SPC Yeast / Mold Coliform E.Coli Key Quality Attributes for Capsicum Products Creating value is our business US crop - challenges • Weather • Planting size • Yields • Disease pressure • Competing Crops • Carry forward stocks from other origins
  • 16. 5/14/2013 16 Creating value is our business US crop - outlook • Smaller 2013 crop compared to 2012 ( 10% drop) • Pricing pressure from other origins • Focus on cost management / mechanization • Pricing increase in new crop Creating value is our business Overall – Global outlook • High carry forward stocks in 2013 Lower pricing through 2013 • Lower planting in 2013 Less available stocks in 2014 Higher pricing for good quality – supply shortage • FSMA, Food safety and quality management critical Farm management – Pesticides Post Harvest management – Toxins
  • 17. 5/14/2013 17 Creating value is our business Peru Capsicums to focus on.. • Cost Management initiatives Yield improvement Mechanization of agriculture practices • Agricultural Practices Pesticide control and management • Post Harvest Management Mechanical Drying Reduction of Toxins, Yeast & Mold, SPC Extraneous matter & Insect Fragment control. Creating value is our business Thank you Questions ?