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Mexico: A comeback story 
Alvaro Uribe Vélez
How can reforms improve the 
conditions in México?
México by the numbers compared with other regional countries 
Indicator Mexico Brazil Argentina Colombia Peru Venezuela Chile 
Nominal GDP 
(US$ Billion) 
1.251 2.203 402 386 213 318 250 
GDP Growth 
2013 
2% 2.4% 4.5 3.9% 5.7 0% 4.8% 
Nominal Fiscal 
Balance %GDP 
-1.5% -2.8% -2.2 -1% 1.2% -1% -0.5% 
Public Sector 
Debt % GDP 
25.3% 28.2% 50.6% 36.5% 20% 24.9% 7.5% 
Unemployment 5% 6.2% 7% 9.0% 7.6% 8.4% 6.6% 
FDI US$ Million 22.500 70.000 6.000 13.000 10.000 -1.000 28.600 
Trade Balance 
US$ million 
2.699 16.300 12.300 -1.614 5.280 26.000 3.157
México has improved in the Doing Business Rankings while lagging 
in the World Competitiveness and the Human Development Index 
Indicator Mexico Brazil Argentina Colombia Peru Venezuela Chile Ecuador 
DB 2013 48 130 124 45 213 180 37 139 
DB 2012 53 128 116 44 5.7 179 33 134 
Global 
Competitivene 
ss 2012-2013 
53 48 96 69 61 126 33 86 
Global 
Competitivene 
ss 2013-2014 
55 56 104 69 61 134 34 71 
IDH 2012 61 85 45 91 77 71 40 89 
IDH 2011 57 84 45 87 80 73 44 83
Peña Nieto signed with PRD and PAN a Pact for Mexico 
Due to the congressional composition a political consensus on sensible and needed 
reforms is required…
The needed reforms 
Fiscal 
Simplify the Tax Code 
Close loopholes 
Make Tax collections more 
efficient 
Punish evasion 
Scale back exemptions and 
subsidies 
Raising Tax rates for 
corporations 
Tax capital gains 
Exoand the added value tax 
base 
Energy 
The State maintains PEMEX 
control 
Allow PEMEX to to enter into 
profit-sharing contracts with 
private companies 
Amend Article 27 of the 
Mexican Constitution, 
allowing oil and gas 
concessions 
Education 
Strengthening Teacher 
Evaluation 
Digital literacy 
Escuelas de tiempo 
completo. 
Constitutional Reform to 
Gran the Teacher Evaluation 
Institute more autonomy 
(Instituto Nacional para la 
evaluación en la educación) 
Security 
Improve Policy Planning 
Crime prevention agenda 
Human Rights enforcement 
Security Forces coordination 
Institutional transformation 
Monitoring and evaluation
The reform´s impact 
The 
Reform 
Agenda 
Increase Fiscal 
Strength for Social 
Investment 
Investor confidence 
Improve FDI 
Make Security a 
social value 
Make teachers 
quality the trigger for 
better education 
systems 
Make security a 
democratic value 
that generates 
coordination among 
police and military 
bodies 
Improve security 
coordination 
between the 
National Government 
and Local Authorities
The Reform’s impact in Mexico’s regional Stature 
Energy 
•Create Intra-Regional Investment 
• Expand Mexico’s role as an energy provider 
Security 
•Expand Intra-Regional anti-crime policies 
•Dismantle and inmobilize criminal groups that 
have regional operations 
•Set example for other countries with 
institutional complexities 
Fiscal 
•Set an example for other medium income 
regional countries 
•Allow Mexico to fund new innovative social 
programs for low income families 
• Improve Mexico’s financial strength 
Reforms 
Education 
•Set new standards for teacher quality that can 
expand to other countries 
• Introduce a digital literacy program that can 
trigger intra-regional knowledge exchange with 
students from other countries
Has NAFTA or the relation with the U.S. affected 
Mexico’s relation with Latin America and the 
Caribbean?
NAFTA today 
NAFTA by the numbers 
NAFTA created the 
world's largest free trade 
area, which now links 
450 million people 
producing $17 trillion 
worth of goods and 
services 
The NAFTA countries 
(Canada and Mexico), 
were the top two 
purchasers of U.S. 
exports in 2010. 
(Canada $248.2 billion 
and Mexico $163.3 
billion) 
The NAFTA countries 
were the second and 
third largest suppliers of 
goods imports to the 
United States in 2010- 
2012. (Canada $276.5 
billon, and Mexico 
$229.7 billion) 
U.S. imports of 
agricultural products 
from NAFTA countries 
totaled $29.8 billion in 
2010. Leading categories 
include: fresh vegetables 
($4.6 billion), snack 
foods, (including 
chocolate) ($4.0 billion), 
fresh fruit (excluding 
bananas) ($2.4 billion), 
live animals ($2.0 
billion), and red meats, 
fresh/chilled/frozen 
($2.0 billion)
The Pacific Alliance by the numbers 
Despite the strategic importance of NAFTA, Mexico has continousy expanded its sustainable trade 
with other regional countries. 
The four founding nations (Colombia, Peru, 
Mexico and Chile) of the Pacific Alliance represent 
about 36% of Latin American GDP 
The countries of the Pacific 
Alliance together exported 
about $445 billion in 2010, 
almost 60% more than 
Mercosur 
The Mercado Integrado 
Latinoamericano (MILA) 
currently integrates the stock 
markets of Colombia (Colombia 
Stock Exchange), Chile (Santiago 
Stock Exchange), and Peru (Lima 
Stock Exchange) 
If the Alliance for the Pacific 
were a Country it would be the 
ninth largest economy in the 
world with a nominal GDP of 
more than US$2 trillion 
The Pacific Alliance has a 
population of more than 200 
million people. They no longer 
require tourist Visa for Alliance 
Members 
Costa Rica joined the Alliance in 
May 2013
Areas for new regional ties
Areas were Mexico can bolster its relations with Latin America and the Caribbean 
Creative Industries: The creative sector represents 7% of the 
Mexican GDP 
Climate Change adaptation and prevention. The Mexican 
Government is a regional leader in Domestic Policy for climate 
change adaptation 
Natural disaster management and prevention 
Financial Markets – Stock Exchange- integration 
Security and Anti-Organized crime policies
www.alvarouribevelez.com

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Mexico: A comeback story

  • 1. Mexico: A comeback story Alvaro Uribe Vélez
  • 2. How can reforms improve the conditions in México?
  • 3. México by the numbers compared with other regional countries Indicator Mexico Brazil Argentina Colombia Peru Venezuela Chile Nominal GDP (US$ Billion) 1.251 2.203 402 386 213 318 250 GDP Growth 2013 2% 2.4% 4.5 3.9% 5.7 0% 4.8% Nominal Fiscal Balance %GDP -1.5% -2.8% -2.2 -1% 1.2% -1% -0.5% Public Sector Debt % GDP 25.3% 28.2% 50.6% 36.5% 20% 24.9% 7.5% Unemployment 5% 6.2% 7% 9.0% 7.6% 8.4% 6.6% FDI US$ Million 22.500 70.000 6.000 13.000 10.000 -1.000 28.600 Trade Balance US$ million 2.699 16.300 12.300 -1.614 5.280 26.000 3.157
  • 4. México has improved in the Doing Business Rankings while lagging in the World Competitiveness and the Human Development Index Indicator Mexico Brazil Argentina Colombia Peru Venezuela Chile Ecuador DB 2013 48 130 124 45 213 180 37 139 DB 2012 53 128 116 44 5.7 179 33 134 Global Competitivene ss 2012-2013 53 48 96 69 61 126 33 86 Global Competitivene ss 2013-2014 55 56 104 69 61 134 34 71 IDH 2012 61 85 45 91 77 71 40 89 IDH 2011 57 84 45 87 80 73 44 83
  • 5. Peña Nieto signed with PRD and PAN a Pact for Mexico Due to the congressional composition a political consensus on sensible and needed reforms is required…
  • 6. The needed reforms Fiscal Simplify the Tax Code Close loopholes Make Tax collections more efficient Punish evasion Scale back exemptions and subsidies Raising Tax rates for corporations Tax capital gains Exoand the added value tax base Energy The State maintains PEMEX control Allow PEMEX to to enter into profit-sharing contracts with private companies Amend Article 27 of the Mexican Constitution, allowing oil and gas concessions Education Strengthening Teacher Evaluation Digital literacy Escuelas de tiempo completo. Constitutional Reform to Gran the Teacher Evaluation Institute more autonomy (Instituto Nacional para la evaluación en la educación) Security Improve Policy Planning Crime prevention agenda Human Rights enforcement Security Forces coordination Institutional transformation Monitoring and evaluation
  • 7. The reform´s impact The Reform Agenda Increase Fiscal Strength for Social Investment Investor confidence Improve FDI Make Security a social value Make teachers quality the trigger for better education systems Make security a democratic value that generates coordination among police and military bodies Improve security coordination between the National Government and Local Authorities
  • 8. The Reform’s impact in Mexico’s regional Stature Energy •Create Intra-Regional Investment • Expand Mexico’s role as an energy provider Security •Expand Intra-Regional anti-crime policies •Dismantle and inmobilize criminal groups that have regional operations •Set example for other countries with institutional complexities Fiscal •Set an example for other medium income regional countries •Allow Mexico to fund new innovative social programs for low income families • Improve Mexico’s financial strength Reforms Education •Set new standards for teacher quality that can expand to other countries • Introduce a digital literacy program that can trigger intra-regional knowledge exchange with students from other countries
  • 9. Has NAFTA or the relation with the U.S. affected Mexico’s relation with Latin America and the Caribbean?
  • 10. NAFTA today NAFTA by the numbers NAFTA created the world's largest free trade area, which now links 450 million people producing $17 trillion worth of goods and services The NAFTA countries (Canada and Mexico), were the top two purchasers of U.S. exports in 2010. (Canada $248.2 billion and Mexico $163.3 billion) The NAFTA countries were the second and third largest suppliers of goods imports to the United States in 2010- 2012. (Canada $276.5 billon, and Mexico $229.7 billion) U.S. imports of agricultural products from NAFTA countries totaled $29.8 billion in 2010. Leading categories include: fresh vegetables ($4.6 billion), snack foods, (including chocolate) ($4.0 billion), fresh fruit (excluding bananas) ($2.4 billion), live animals ($2.0 billion), and red meats, fresh/chilled/frozen ($2.0 billion)
  • 11. The Pacific Alliance by the numbers Despite the strategic importance of NAFTA, Mexico has continousy expanded its sustainable trade with other regional countries. The four founding nations (Colombia, Peru, Mexico and Chile) of the Pacific Alliance represent about 36% of Latin American GDP The countries of the Pacific Alliance together exported about $445 billion in 2010, almost 60% more than Mercosur The Mercado Integrado Latinoamericano (MILA) currently integrates the stock markets of Colombia (Colombia Stock Exchange), Chile (Santiago Stock Exchange), and Peru (Lima Stock Exchange) If the Alliance for the Pacific were a Country it would be the ninth largest economy in the world with a nominal GDP of more than US$2 trillion The Pacific Alliance has a population of more than 200 million people. They no longer require tourist Visa for Alliance Members Costa Rica joined the Alliance in May 2013
  • 12. Areas for new regional ties
  • 13. Areas were Mexico can bolster its relations with Latin America and the Caribbean Creative Industries: The creative sector represents 7% of the Mexican GDP Climate Change adaptation and prevention. The Mexican Government is a regional leader in Domestic Policy for climate change adaptation Natural disaster management and prevention Financial Markets – Stock Exchange- integration Security and Anti-Organized crime policies